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Author Topic: Is statistical analysis enough to make an informed prediction in soccer betting?  (Read 123 times)
shanz (OP)
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Today at 10:27:41 AM
Last edit: Today at 01:10:33 PM by shanz
 #1

I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh

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Today at 10:53:02 AM
 #2

Well I think that if as a gambler that specialized on football betting and you want to bet on a team winning, it's very much logical that when analyzing the game on who might carry the day, the first thing I mostly looks out for is their head too head record, like who have the upper hand between the two teams, how frequently do both teams score's any time they meet and most importantly, their present form, like the performance of both teams in their past five five match, are they on a winning streak or a losing streak, these are the major things I look up to before making a decision when betting on football matches.

Though I believe that their are gamblers out there that doesn't look into all these I made mentioned, they just bet base on the team they feels is stronger, but I think that it's definitely a wrong way to go about it, that my own opinion though.

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Today at 10:56:24 AM
 #3

Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
If I may understand correctly players personal life does not have anything to do with their overall performance in the club they are or the team they are playing for, that is to say if player have any lawsuit or absence from training, fight or whatever it does not also affect their overall performance or skill in football what matters most is if they are healthy I think this aspect is what mostly affect players overall performance in football but however if  if the club notice such lapses in a player they wouldn't allow him play for the season or for the period of illness maybe after fully recovery he can play in the next season.

So, such player would be replaced that is why most of the clubs today always assign new player due to lapses from any of the player it could be they are due for retirement or they are weak in the wings they play. So therefore to me while doing my prediction or analysis what I consider most is first how they play in the last season it could be 2 to 3 years ago or 4 years ago with their previous team played together if the goals they scored between those previous matches are what reasonable then I don't mind using same pattern to analyze the present match so this also help me to secure some few winnings, and again other thing I look at is their past matches for example the goal they scored in the previous matches also help me in making my analysis to secure winning.

 
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Today at 10:56:53 AM
 #4

I agree that using different tools for statistical analysis would help you increase your chances of winning. For example, tools like ESPN with sports, social media pages that could distribute or publish reports on current happenings, and forums like BitcoinTalk.

I believe this could enhance your chances of winning and ensure that you get the prediction right.

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Today at 10:57:36 AM
 #5

Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
Football is a team sport where 11 players participate. What this mean is that if a single player has been involved in a lot of law suits scandals, fight with teammates and absence from training, it will not affect the performance of the team in general especially when there are other competent players in the squad. And I believe that the club manager would make the right decision not to file in that player during that match until they have been able to sort themself out and be in top form again. It would be like shooting yourself in the foot if you allow such people player in the match. So as a gambler I would not consider this detail. I look at the overall performance of the team and not a single player.

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Today at 11:19:21 AM
 #6

I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh


Statistical analysis is very important before making your selections in soccer betting, but a lot of times these analysis fail due to some uncontrollable and unforseen circumstances... Analysis isn't enough in some cases and my reason for saying this is because there are some changes that might occur right before the game starts or probably when it' Starts that might alter the predictions that you have made so far, watching sports channels and keeping up with daily news and informations about players should also be part of your research

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Today at 11:33:16 AM
 #7

Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
I do not care about football player history, lawsuits, scandals and fight with teammates in my analyses. I can not even think in that direction because it has nothing to do with the outcome of a match. All I go for is not beyond the fitness of the player and if the player would be available in the match that I want to bet on.

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Today at 12:48:31 PM
 #8

The problem here is that all these statistics are available too for the sportsbook, and it's algorithm calculates the chances and offers you their odds. Si, even if you "knew" that it was three times easier for a team to win, you will only get 1.33 for your bet, so you'll have to win three times to double your initial skate, at the risk of losing it at anytime if the unexpected happens.

On the other hand, answering to your question, I don't think any kind of analysis is enough to make an "accurate" prediction in soccer, as there is always certain degree of uncertainty in an event as complex as a footbal match. We can't be deterministic there. So much better, IMO, to follow your guts, bet little amounts without expecting any profits, and enjoy the match.

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Today at 12:58:21 PM
 #9

Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
The data's are statistical data from the past and may not actually be able to predict future outcomes because sometimes a team that statistically has been predicted to win or should win a game may end up losing the game because there's a factor called luck and chance in football where even a team that has never won a game can end up defeating a team that has been on a winning run.

The statisticians would have been the best gamblers if statistical analysis assured a 100% winning rate in gambling, but unfortunately it does not, and just like other gamblers, after a prediction has been made, even with statistics, it is left in the hands of chance/luck for us to see if it happens the way we predict.

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Today at 01:03:51 PM
 #10

the only way to get such inside news is to follow strictly the team/players you want bet in. This include not only conventional mass media but also social networks. By the way I don't think this could be something useful for a prediction, if not only very few cases.
I have just found one time a "bug" where a bet was offered even if a team (due a lawsuit) was already considered as a loss one.

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Today at 01:12:32 PM
 #11

If you're trying to achieve 100% win rate, these information aren't enough, you must become an employee of the team you want to bet because you will know how to value your team against other team. These information are secret, never blown up on the medias.

However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc.
These personal thing are mostly start from a rumor and it will be confirmed after few weeks or months, and these dramas are easily blown up on many medias because people always like to hear gossip.

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Today at 01:14:30 PM
 #12

However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?

I think statistical analysis is more than enough, with this we can draw basic conclusions even though in reality our predictions could be wrong. For example, what Inter Milan did in their last friendly match, they lost to Al-Ittihad with an absurd score, they couldn't even score a single goal. The other data you mentioned could strengthen our analysis, but what? do you go into that much detail to even know the players personal lives?

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Today at 01:34:54 PM
 #13

I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
as a sports person, one thing that's common with most of us is that we are conversant with what's going on with each team and also follow up on the private life of the key players that make up each team. The predominant statistics you can easily find iether from sports journalist or from the leagues site is stats like, the position of the team on the table, past head to head games played and the results which also goes to guide you on what might play out at present and some other indices that's obviously visible for all sports lovers. Outside of those, thier are times when certain player aren't in good terms with the coach of the team or thier might be instances when argument erupt from the dressing room. Those things affect a team negatively and can cause then to lose against a smaller team.  It's not as though you have to analyse those things for every predictin you're making but you should know some key factors that might also help to influence the outcome of the game and from there make a better decision.


Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
in this global age when news travels almost faster than the spead of light, it's hard for an athlete to have a law suit or for fight to break out between players and you don't get to see that in the media. Journalist and sports bloggers are always on their toes looking for news and you're rest assured that if you're an active fellow of the sports you usually bet on, no news will pass you unaware.  The gambling section of the forum has been too busy with almost everything that's going on in the worlds sports arena and I doubt thier is anything you would want to know about the private life of key players in most sports that you can't get from here. Apart from this forum, a lot of sports bloggers gives information like that on there pages and a simple following of them will give you the required information that will become a source of additional help while making your prediction.

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Today at 01:39:50 PM
 #14


Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh

Yes, it can, because players cannot concentrate on their games if there are bad things running in their minds, especially if it's a scandal the team may be the favorite to win the games, these internal issues can harm the motivation of the players that will result into upsets, motivations of the players is something that the management of the team are always working on to make the team play harmoniously and have a strong dedication to win.

The management always sees to it that internal issues like this, will not come out because they know, that it will have an impact on the team and how the public looks at the team, sports news reporters are always looking for a scandal, so if you want this news and you are a bettor then follow sports and celebrity reporters.

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Today at 02:02:38 PM
 #15

I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
Indeed stats is a very useful resources on sports betting since it’s your basis to determine what’s the potential of the team. Without it, we are just gambling based on pure luck just like playing casino games.

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However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh

Definitely, Players is still human and they are also subjected to this kind of mental weakness in time of problem. There’s a lot of players that can’t perform well and sometimes have a break when they have a serious personal issue so it’s important to consider it especially if that person do an important role for the team.

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Today at 02:12:59 PM
 #16

If yes, then someone could built an algorithm and feedback necessary information such as data to find the results of every match but in reality it isn't the case so stats plays a part to certain extent but it will not be enough or any news or data to predict the winner of any game with 100%. The numbers varies from what kind of games and what level they are playing and many more so all you can do is just hope after your analysis that this team is more likely to win.

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Today at 02:17:40 PM
 #17

I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink

Most of the time, the statistics you mentioned above are some of the factors that contributes to the outcome of a match but it is not certain that following up those statistics will guarantee winning but it helps in making predictions of the possible outcomes of the current matches but despite that predictions are made from previous meetings and previous matches of the both teams, things can still go contrary to their statistics.

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Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh

All these information are late news as some of them are made known even while the match is ongoing so a lot of things affects the outcome of a match as against their statistical analysis of which a player being given a red card in a match can also attribute to a match going in different direction from their initial statistics or probably the weather condition of the game, either rainy game, snow game or sunny game all affects the current statistics of a team as against their previous statistics.

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Today at 02:21:55 PM
 #18

I think just your first paragraph is already anough parameter to make judgements with for the result of a match as I don't think thr other personalize of the gambler would actually matter so much as long as they are being able to deliver the task ahead of them.
diving directly to answer your question based on the caption, then I would say that, statistical analysis will go a very long way to impact thr result of a game if well done.

one sweet and funny thing about gambling is that, no one is absolutely sure of what the gambling result would be or what the outcome of a particular match would be not even the players because it's a competition everyone would want to win and maintain a brand and reputation and you don't expect them jeopardize on that .

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Today at 02:45:03 PM
 #19

I believe that statistics do help, they can be a good parameter for starting a bet. But obviously other details matter a lot, such as the momentum of the teams that will be playing and other minor details like injuries

An interesting example was Bayern Leverkusen last season
All the statistics led us to believe that Bayern Munich were going to be champions again, but an incredible run by Leverkusen secured the title. In this case, the team's momentum mattered more than the statistics of other years

Does anyone here only bet based on statistics?

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Beparanf
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Today at 03:07:36 PM
 #20

However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?

I think statistical analysis is more than enough, with this we can draw basic conclusions even though in reality our predictions could be wrong. For example, what Inter Milan did in their last friendly match, they lost to Al-Ittihad with an absurd score, they couldn't even score a single goal. The other data you mentioned could strengthen our analysis, but what? do you go into that much detail to even know the players personal lives?

I think he is pertaining to the issue when it was affected a star players that contributed a huge role in the match. A personal problem sometimes affects players game, I don’t know specifically the history on foot ball but this is common problem in sports like basketball that a star player can perform well because he is thinking with his personal problem.

Also watching after game interview from players sometimes they disclose this kind of problem that partly affect their performance. I think this is the issue which the @Op considered as factor that can affect the game.

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