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Author Topic: USA 2024 Presidential Election Promotion in Stake.com  (Read 1099 times)
KTChampions
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August 18, 2024, 09:41:06 PM
 #21

2.00 on Trump? I guess that's a good bet to put some money on. I haven't bet on this election yet and stake has adjusted the odds already since Biden is already out of the race. We'll see the others pulling out on this race when they have realized that they have no chance of winning. Anyone who have bet already on this race? I have been seeing lately videos about RFKJR about interesting things about him. I'm not sure if he's got a chance in the race because of his dad and uncle's name.

2.20 already.
It looks like easy money, but I won't bet on this market because the outcome won't be determined in a fair fight. It won't be the vote that decides everything, but the backroom games. Where are the guarantees that we won't see the miracles of postal voting again? The very fact that Harris is quoted at the same level as Trump is complete nonsense. It's already a scam.

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August 19, 2024, 09:36:08 AM
 #22

2.20 already.
It is now 1.94 for Kamala Harris.

The very fact that Harris is quoted at the same level as Trump is complete nonsense. It's already a scam.
In 2014 presidential election in my country, the president had the lowest odd while the person that won the election had the second lowest odd but higher than the president's odd. Also you can not just make conclusion when there has been no voting yet.

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August 19, 2024, 11:34:17 AM
 #23

Great to see Harris having lower odds than Trump when I expected the reverse in literally every gambling site that offers such markets. If this was Biden, this would never have happened.

Looks like the Republicans and their fans are sweating now since it's going to go right down to the wire in a couple of months. Hope Harris ends up defeating that fat turd somehow.

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August 19, 2024, 12:03:19 PM
 #24

Interesting, seeing Harris and Trump with the most likely odd Makes this obvious that they both have the most supporters amidst other candidates and are very likely to have most of the votes than others will, Trumps odd has been fluctuating but it's been within the range of 2.0 - 2.10 could this be a probable hint, nevertheless the voters are to decide best, Harris too is having a even more probable odds which I think is facilitated by the More awareness and attention she's got recently, but like the gambling on sports games, until the elections are over we don't know who the winner is going to be just yet,we keep making our bets and hope we stake right.

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August 19, 2024, 12:22:16 PM
 #25

Great to see Harris having lower odds than Trump when I expected the reverse in literally every gambling site that offers such markets. If this was Biden, this would never have happened.

Looks like the Republicans and their fans are sweating now since it's going to go right down to the wire in a couple of months. Hope Harris ends up defeating that fat turd somehow.

Biden has already been overused and people don't like what he does when he became a president. That's why he's statistic declines and made him decide to step down since if he insist to run then this will be the easiest victory Trump will get.

But Democrats is really smart for inserting a replacement for Biden and they put Kamala Harris which is also strong then try to create a history in US then sell that to people. They know emotion somehow could gather votes and they want people to think that if they vote for Harris they will create a history and she will be the first female to became a President in history. Let see if this will happen or Trump will just totally eat them alive and take a heavy lead in election day.

R


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August 19, 2024, 12:48:25 PM
 #26

Great to see Harris having lower odds than Trump when I expected the reverse in literally every gambling site that offers such markets. If this was Biden, this would never have happened.

Looks like the Republicans and their fans are sweating now since it's going to go right down to the wire in a couple of months. Hope Harris ends up defeating that fat turd somehow.

Biden has already been overused and people don't like what he does when he became a president. That's why he's statistic declines and made him decide to step down since if he insist to run then this will be the easiest victory Trump will get.

But Democrats is really smart for inserting a replacement for Biden and they put Kamala Harris which is also strong then try to create a history in US then sell that to people. They know emotion somehow could gather votes and they want people to think that if they vote for Harris they will create a history and she will be the first female to became a President in history. Let see if this will happen or Trump will just totally eat them alive and take a heavy lead in election day.
They already saw that coming and have it planned out. Now, it looks like we have a 50-50 match between Trump and Harris. Just like a championship game, we’ll see if this is truly a close contest or if Harris is just media hype meant to mislead people. There's still a lot that can happen in the coming months, but I believe Trump’s camp has already built a lead in the real situation. They just need to continue what they’re doing and not disappoint the voting public.

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August 19, 2024, 01:05:36 PM
 #27

2.20 already.
It is now 1.94 for Kamala Harris.

The very fact that Harris is quoted at the same level as Trump is complete nonsense. It's already a scam.
In 2014 presidential election in my country, the president had the lowest odd while the person that won the election had the second lowest odd but higher than the president's odd. Also you can not just make conclusion when there has been no voting yet.

It doesn't matter what the current quote values ​​are, only two things are important: 1. either Trump or Harris will definitely win 2. the sum of the quotes for Trump and Harris is greater than 4, which means there is value in this picks.
You missed my point about Harris - she is literally unelectable (in honest elections), she has the worst approval ratings and has never won any election. She was appointed, not elected, it's a scam.

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August 19, 2024, 01:35:13 PM
 #28

The moment Biden withdrew and Kamala took on, polls started being more favorable for Democrats. But it's not just a matter of polling. Candidates have till the election to win over the battleground states that don't seem locked in. Georgia, pensylvania etc. If Trump can make a good plan with some popular promises in these states he may stand a chance. Some say he has already lost Georgia due to being reckless but this will only show in the polls. Last election many states were very close too.
I lost interest in predicting election results with polls during the 2016 presidential elections between Hilary Clinton and Donald Trump. The majority of the polls predicted that Clinton would win the elections. Biden's age and health concerns were impediments to the success of the Democrat's campaign. His poor performance in the presidential debate broke the camel's back. The election will be keenly contested but Haris have the advantage since she has the backing of the incumbent president. Trump's status as a convicted felon will also affect his chances of winning the election. So I am not surprised that Kamala's odd is 1.94 and Trump 2.20.     

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August 19, 2024, 03:35:33 PM
 #29

I'm taking my chances betting on Trump here knowing that Stake has a promotion that if a candidate gets more than 220 electors you are paid out as a winner.
Honestly I think it's going to be a tight race and I'm anticipating for the debates but Trump will most definitely get at least 220 electors I believe. The payout odds are too good given how good Trump's chances actually are looking at this point. He's not far behind Kamala on national polls at all. But in the U.S. elections aren't just a popularity contest, they're a race to get electors. 

I wish the terms of this promotion would allow bigger payouts and I'd bet more too. Grin

Anyone else putting bets too? What's your thought process behind the bet?

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August 19, 2024, 04:56:59 PM
 #30

I'm taking my chances betting on Trump here knowing that Stake has a promotion that if a candidate gets more than 220 electors you are paid out as a winner.
Honestly I think it's going to be a tight race and I'm anticipating for the debates but Trump will most definitely get at least 220 electors I believe. The payout odds are too good given how good Trump's chances actually are looking at this point. He's not far behind Kamala on national polls at all. But in the U.S. elections aren't just a popularity contest, they're a race to get electors. 

I wish the terms of this promotion would allow bigger payouts and I'd bet more too. Grin

Anyone else putting bets too? What's your thought process behind the bet?

Harris has nothing to say in a debate. When this debate finally takes place, I doubt Harris will get a high rating. It's going to be the same as Biden's. The is the same vice president that backed Biden's policies and if confronted with those issues by Trump who has all the bad mouth in the world, she's gonna crumble. This time she faces Trump with audience.

She may be winning in the polls but it looks like the same strategy done by Democrats in the past.

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August 19, 2024, 05:04:33 PM
 #31

passwordnow I saw 2.10 on Trump and 2.00 Kalama. Probably you didn't check well. I still crossed check again and the 2.00 is foe Kalama Harris and not Trump.
Yeah, a mistake and can't edit that no more, thanks. It changes because of the weigh of the bettors and just as the time when OP posted it, it was 2.10 and then changes as ktchampions said, it became 2.20.

2.20 already.
It looks like easy money, but I won't bet on this market because the outcome won't be determined in a fair fight. It won't be the vote that decides everything, but the backroom games. Where are the guarantees that we won't see the miracles of postal voting again? The very fact that Harris is quoted at the same level as Trump is complete nonsense. It's already a scam.
Still, there will be a lot that's going to bet for Trump on this one. But I am not sure if those that have bet for Biden will still continue to bet against Trump or they have a change of heart as well and will just have to go with the 2.20 for Trump or whatever will be the last odds for him.

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August 19, 2024, 06:03:34 PM
 #32

When I visited Stake on 9th of August, I saw it. If you visit Stake, you can clearly see it which you can click to select who tho win. Donald Trump odd was 2.05 at the time, but now the odd increased but with just little added to it.

Things get interesting based on the odds, but I’m still not going to change my prediction that Trump will win another term after a loss. I guess the odds are screaming 'get me,' and I was already fine with 1.50, but now it's over 2.00, so that's some kind of gift for us bettors who believe in his chances. Kamala came into the picture, and we saw this huge change. The question now is, do his odds really reflect his actual chance of winning, or are they just being overvalued due to some hype?
At this point things are not clear enough to know what is happening, since just today the democratic national convention will be held and Harris will finally become the official candidate for the democratic party on the upcoming days, and while Harris seems to be taking the lead on the polls, it is possible for her to give up all that ground that was won, as some of the economic policies she has revealed are not to the liking of small business owners.
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August 19, 2024, 06:47:14 PM
 #33

Well this is pretty interesting that they've got Michelle Obama on the ticket here.  I mean I guess if you wanted pretty good odds yet to lose your placed bet, than betting on her makes sense lol. 

I was actually talking to one of my buddies yesterday about this very subject.  They aren't really into politics but was asking why Michelle hadn't run..I was like would you?  I have no question though that if she would have run, she would SMOKE Trump/Vance..hell even if she didn't have a VP she would.  I wouldn't want the stress if I was her either.

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August 20, 2024, 12:20:59 AM
 #34

I think Kamala is a smoke screen, I personally don't care who wins these elections, but DT's @s are still interesting...btw, note that these odds are in several bookmakers competing to capture the "incredible" +2@ for either of the 2 candidates.

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August 20, 2024, 04:48:21 AM
 #35

Honestly it is looking more and more like it is going to be Kamala Harris that will win it, she has the wind on her back and she is going very strong, I feel like we are going to see her win this election easily without much problem. The reality is that we are going to see Trump get more and more hate, and he can't always end up protecting himself by lying and convincing others.

The most recent one was against Taylor Swift, he saw some AI image of her and thought that she supported him, which is a total lie of course, and this pissed a lot of "Swifties" which means that they may end up rallying together for a voting registration stuff or whatever, or more like they may just end up go out to vote. Imagine if Taylor Swift actually came out and supported Kamala Harris, doubt that will happen but it is not unheard of and I think we can see something like that.

It would lose her all the republican support she has, considering she started as country singer, and her customers are mostly white woman, we may consider that's a big demographic for her. But she is strong enough, if she does that, we can say it's as good as done because that's a few million people right there, I doubt it would be anything shorter than that.

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August 20, 2024, 06:50:02 AM
 #36

It would lose her all the republican support she has, considering she started as country singer, and her customers are mostly white woman, we may consider that's a big demographic for her. But she is strong enough, if she does that, we can say it's as good as done because that's a few million people right there, I doubt it would be anything shorter than that.
Good point. Harris's biggest advantage this time around is surprisingly the fact that she is a woman when men are traditionally favoured for the presidential position and there are a lot of women willing to vote for her.

Another thing going for her is her age which settles the whole old age debate convincingly. Trump and his supporters are clearly nervous now. Let's see what happens.

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August 20, 2024, 07:06:21 AM
 #37

For $100 both sides look like sure bets too bad this wasn't available a bit earlier when  Harris still had 3:1 odds.
270to win shows a score of 226 to 235 with 77 undecided, pretty hard for any candidate to not get at least one of the disputed states and lose more of what they have, the Democrats would have to lose Minnesota and Oregon, and the Republicans Ohio and NC and not win any ...

I'm thinking of throwing the minimum bet at both sides at this moment.

The very fact that Harris is quoted at the same level as Trump is complete nonsense.

And why is that?
It is quite amusing to see how some think they know the preferences of 200 million people as they would have talked to each of them about the elections.

Honestly it is looking more and more like it is going to be Kamala Harris that will win it, she has the wind on her back and she is going very strong, I feel like we are going to see her win this election easily without much problem. The reality is that we are going to see Trump get more and more hate, and he can't always end up protecting himself by lying and convincing others.

It won't be a Harris win, it will be a Trump loss if this happens.
That's what some of the guys here don't get, it's not about how many vote for Harris, it's about how many will vote against Trump.

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August 20, 2024, 09:46:09 AM
 #38

I'm thinking of throwing the minimum bet at both sides at this moment.
Let's go!  Tongue



Kamala Harris @ 1.94 odds by the time that I have bet and Trump @ 2.20. This is just another bet and we've got three months left or so, time is fast and there can be a lot of things that can happen between these candidates.

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August 20, 2024, 10:06:25 AM
 #39

Really surprised to see names like JD Vance or Hillary Clinton on the list. I wonder if people really bet on them to somehow blindside everyone and becomes another president candidate. Makes me wonder if there are betting options to see which candidate withdraw from the race first, juse like Biden. Anyway, betting on the winning party for each state is probably a better option if people are looking for risky prediction. CMIIW.

Anyway, my social media circle is clearly pushing for a Harris win. There are tons of posts showing how Trump and Vance are problematic and so on. A bit surprised since I don't particularly follow their race. I guess it's understandable if her odds to win increased.

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August 20, 2024, 10:23:24 AM
 #40

It would lose her all the republican support she has, considering she started as country singer, and her customers are mostly white woman, we may consider that's a big demographic for her. But she is strong enough, if she does that, we can say it's as good as done because that's a few million people right there, I doubt it would be anything shorter than that.
Good point. Harris's biggest advantage this time around is surprisingly the fact that she is a woman when men are traditionally favoured for the presidential position and there are a lot of women willing to vote for her.

Another thing going for her is her age which settles the whole old age debate convincingly. Trump and his supporters are clearly nervous now. Let's see what happens.

That's how they sell Harris they sensualized this aspect and try to implant some thoughts that there's something good to happen in their country under by a women's care. They try to insert some thoughts that they want to create a history by voting Harris. But hopefully US citizens will not fall in that kind of brain washing and put those people who could really help US to became more powerful.

We can't deny that Harris is also good presidentiable, but her time is not yet to come and people need Trump its because people think that he can bring impressive changes especially he know how to handle well their country and current agenda on some good topics tackle is really helpful for their citizen. That's why I guess right now I can say that Trump got huge chance to win.

I don't also think that Trump supporter is nervous now since I see them doing fine and didn't care about the polls release by the mainstream.

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