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Author Topic: China/PBOC eases their monetary policy  (Read 258 times)
Wind_FURY (OP)
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September 25, 2024, 09:01:06 AM
 #1

 Shocked

Quote

The most important move was a 20bp cut to the benchmark 7-day reverse repo rate, bringing the new rate to 1.5% from 1.7%. Given previous patterns, markets had been leaning toward expecting multiple 10bp rate cuts, so a 20bp cut represents a slightly stronger than expected move. However, the net impact will depend on whether we see further cuts ahead or whether the PBOC falls into a wait-and-see mindset after today's policy package.

The second more well-signalled move was a 50bp cut to the required reserve ratio (RRR), bringing the RRR for major banks down to 9.5% from 10.0%. This move in our view is mostly to help buoy sentiment, as the current issue is not banks lacking the funds to lend, but rather a lack of high-quality borrowing demand amid downbeat sentiment. As we saw with the February RRR cut, this is unlikely to have a major impact on credit activity by itself, but in conjunction with the rate cut could help support credit activity.

https://think.ing.com/snaps/pboc-unveiled-a-monetary-policy-easing-package-in-bid-to-support-growth/


It's not turning on their money printer to make to go "BRRRRR", but this is definitely a stimulus package to encourage more spending and growth in China's economy.

For the doubters/bears, that probably will confirm that we are indeed in a bull cycle, no? Cool

What are the best investments that's not Bitcoin?

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September 25, 2024, 09:24:06 AM
Merited by MusaMohamed (1)
 #2

In the last days (and months) everyone decides to push their economies in this way, and now it's up to investors to accept the game and start new investment cycles. China is no exception in this sense, and according to what can be read, they have big problems with companies in the real estate business, which they obviously cannot solve at all.

Rates cuts are probably a good signal for global markets, and as far as investing in BTC is concerned, it is logical to expect that part of the money will flow in that direction, although one should not expect a large share of China, which still has a firm attitude towards the ban of such activities. Of course, people in China continue to invest in cryptocurrencies, but it's all on the black market and makes up a very small share of what it was before the ban.

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Wind_FURY (OP)
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September 25, 2024, 02:09:55 PM
 #3

In the last days (and months) everyone decides to push their economies in this way, and now it's up to investors to accept the game and start new investment cycles. China is no exception in this sense, and according to what can be read, they have big problems with companies in the real estate business, which they obviously cannot solve at all.


It's probably contracting, or projected to contract. They're pivoting to a "less tight" monetary policy like the lowering of required down payments for buying real estate.

Quote

Rates cuts are probably a good signal for global markets, and as far as investing in BTC is concerned, it is logical to expect that part of the money will flow in that direction, although one should not expect a large share of China, which still has a firm attitude towards the ban of such activities. Of course, people in China continue to invest in cryptocurrencies, but it's all on the black market and makes up a very small share of what it was before the ban.


It's very VERY good, but the Federal Reserve and the Central Banks around the globe should be careful of re-inflation. Because the world uses the Dollar was its reserve currency and all their currencies are pegged on the value of the Dollar, the U.S. has the ability to "export" that inflation.

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avikz
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September 25, 2024, 02:19:59 PM
 #4

When you hear news about the rate cuts in multiple Nations, it is usually a good news for the overall economy. Rate cuts usually happens when the inflation falls within a controllable zone. Rate cut happens to encourage the population to spend more so that more money is circulated in the economy. So China is probably trying to increase spending of their citizens to revive their economy. Same applies for the United States of America.

I am sure, some more Nations will decide to decrease the interest rate as the global spending slows down. Government needs to find ways to increase it and rate cut is just one of the ways.

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September 25, 2024, 03:30:34 PM
 #5

For the doubters/bears, that probably will confirm that we are indeed in a bull cycle, no? Cool

What are the best investments that's not Bitcoin?
To me I think stocks should be a perfect option beside Bitcoin. Since rate cut is becoming a trend among the biggest economies, money will definitely move to stocks because investor are following where the maximum profit is possible.

I am sure, some more Nations will decide to decrease the interest rate as the global spending slows down. Government needs to find ways to increase it and rate cut is just one of the ways.
While most big economies are cutting rates to boost their economies, the reverse is happening in most African countries. Nigeria for instance, raised interest rate to 27.5% from around 15% that it was previously amidst excruciating economic realities in the country, the reason for this I do not know because the economy is practically dead. 











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September 26, 2024, 10:37:21 AM
 #6

~snip~
It's very VERY good, but the Federal Reserve and the Central Banks around the globe should be careful of re-inflation. Because the world uses the Dollar was its reserve currency and all their currencies are pegged on the value of the Dollar, the U.S. has the ability to "export" that inflation.


Everyone who knows a little about economics is aware that things that have been happening for decades cannot be fixed with these kinds of measures. Central banks simply have no choice but to raise interest rates in certain periods, and then cut interest rates afterwards, because this is obviously the only mechanism they can use to save the financial system from completely collapsing.

If everything in the world is measured in constant economic growth, which is simply not possible because we live on a planet that we use to the extent that we spend twice as much as the same planet can regenerate, then a very gloomy future awaits us unless there are drastic changes at all levels of society in which we live.

It is true that the USD is still holding up well as the world's reserve currency, but do you think that the BRICS will manage to change something about that? USD dominance has fallen by approximately 7% since 2016.

Interesting link with more info : Dollar-dominance-monitor

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Wind_FURY (OP)
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September 26, 2024, 10:56:51 AM
 #7

For the doubters/bears, that probably will confirm that we are indeed in a bull cycle, no? Cool

What are the best investments that's not Bitcoin?
To me I think stocks should be a perfect option beside Bitcoin. Since rate cut is becoming a trend among the biggest economies, money will definitely move to stocks because investor are following where the maximum profit is possible.


It's probably Gold and other surging precious metals if you ask me. Plus don't hold everything in Gold certificates. Buy a vault, and HODL actual Gold coin pieces that you can trade physically. Cool

~snip~
It's very VERY good, but the Federal Reserve and the Central Banks around the globe should be careful of re-inflation. Because the world uses the Dollar was its reserve currency and all their currencies are pegged on the value of the Dollar, the U.S. has the ability to "export" that inflation.



Everyone who knows a little about economics is aware that things that have been happening for decades cannot be fixed with these kinds of measures. Central banks simply have no choice but to raise interest rates in certain periods, and then cut interest rates afterwards, because this is obviously the only mechanism they can use to save the financial system from completely collapsing.

If everything in the world is measured in constant economic growth, which is simply not possible because we live on a planet that we use to the extent that we spend twice as much as the same planet can regenerate, then a very gloomy future awaits us unless there are drastic changes at all levels of society in which we live.

It is true that the USD is still holding up well as the world's reserve currency, but do you think that the BRICS will manage to change something about that? USD dominance has fallen by approximately 7% since 2016.

Interesting link with more info : Dollar-dominance-monitor


But the problem - Monetary Policy is controlled by a Cabal, and therefore it could be highly politicized to favor a small group of individuals. That's a sort of poison that's harming our society. Bitcoin is the antidote.

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Yatsan
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September 26, 2024, 11:21:48 AM
 #8

Shocked

Quote

The most important move was a 20bp cut to the benchmark 7-day reverse repo rate, bringing the new rate to 1.5% from 1.7%. Given previous patterns, markets had been leaning toward expecting multiple 10bp rate cuts, so a 20bp cut represents a slightly stronger than expected move. However, the net impact will depend on whether we see further cuts ahead or whether the PBOC falls into a wait-and-see mindset after today's policy package.

The second more well-signalled move was a 50bp cut to the required reserve ratio (RRR), bringing the RRR for major banks down to 9.5% from 10.0%. This move in our view is mostly to help buoy sentiment, as the current issue is not banks lacking the funds to lend, but rather a lack of high-quality borrowing demand amid downbeat sentiment. As we saw with the February RRR cut, this is unlikely to have a major impact on credit activity by itself, but in conjunction with the rate cut could help support credit activity.

https://think.ing.com/snaps/pboc-unveiled-a-monetary-policy-easing-package-in-bid-to-support-growth/


It's not turning on their money printer to make to go "BRRRRR", but this is definitely a stimulus package to encourage more spending and growth in China's economy.

For the doubters/bears, that probably will confirm that we are indeed in a bull cycle, no? Cool

What are the best investments that's not Bitcoin?

I believe your analysis really captures the essence of the changes in recent monetary policies. From 20 basis points down to that 7-day retracement rate in that repo rate. Truthfully, it was a more aggressive move than the market expected. and indicates PBOC is committed to growth stimulation. - - - This cut, in conjunction with a 50 basis point cut in the RRR, is a tactical step toward consolidation. credit and build confidence Even though your ability to access impact loans directly will be diminished.

It is an interesting note that it is not a strategy. It is a "money script," but it is a great target. This is a more measured reaction to the prevalent economic downturn. This is beneficial for growth sustainability. It is a case of ups and downs for those who think so. It would be a great time to invest in activities that tend to thrive in the event of more liquidity and consumer confidence.

Beyond Bitcoin, there could still be a chance that it survives in this recovering economy. Technology is still considered good. Especially for companies majoring in AI and automation. Another thing is renewable energy. Considering the continuous growth of demand on sustainable solutions globally, customers will enjoy increased expenses with confidence returning. Real estate investment trusts also offer great opportunities. It is particularly inclined toward sectors like logistics and data centers.

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September 26, 2024, 11:51:43 AM
 #9

China had a post-Covid economic slowdown, so they have to boost their economy by using every tool they have at their disposal.
The western countries had a post-Covid inflation(also impacted by the war in Ukraine), which caused them to raise the interest rates, but now the inflation is under control, so the interest rates will slowly go down. The global market is preparing for the 2025 bull run. Grin
Will the Chinese interest rate cuts boost the price of Bitcoin? I really don't know. China isn't the most Bitcoin/crypto friendly country, despite the fact that many Chinese probably hold a decent amount of crypto. AFAIK, most Chinese people are really conservative when it comes to investing their money, so I don't expect massive crypto investments in China.

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September 26, 2024, 04:55:21 PM
 #10



It's not turning on their money printer to make to go "BRRRRR", but this is definitely a stimulus package to encourage more spending and growth in China's economy.

How do you call a 142 Billion injection if not printing money?

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-weighs-injecting-142-billion-015612259.html

Quote
China is considering injecting up to 1 trillion yuan ($142 billion) of capital into its biggest state banks to increase their capacity to support the struggling economy, according to people familiar with the matter.

They are considering it which means so far it has not happened.

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September 27, 2024, 05:40:41 AM
 #11

What are the best investments that's not Bitcoin?
Gold!

The global situation is deteriorating every day as tensions continue to grow and countries continue accumulating gold (specially China!). And there are a couple of things that could shoot gold price to the moon even more than it already has.
Things such as China invading Taiwan! or other conflicts expanding or generally speaking each time we climb the escalation ladder.

Basically stuff I've said in my gold topics are still true:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5418480.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5432581.0

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September 27, 2024, 05:53:15 AM
 #12

What are the best investments that's not Bitcoin?
Gold!

The global situation is deteriorating every day as tensions continue to grow and countries continue accumulating gold (specially China!). And there are a couple of things that could shoot gold price to the moon even more than it already has.
Things such as China invading Taiwan! or other conflicts expanding or generally speaking each time we climb the escalation ladder.
I agree with this, most countries are hoarding gold for as long as they and for as much as they can. Only a few countries are selling their gold reserves and as for China, they're ranked part of the top 10 among the countries that have the most gold in the world and of course, US topping the rank based on the articles that are circulating online.

Technology is still considered good. Especially for companies majoring in AI and automation.
And as for China, this is where they're also dominating the global scene. While smart phones, they're not yet at their peak it's noticeable that the China branded phones are expanding globally and being liked by most consumers as they're more affordable. Also, they're also becoming of the biggest producers of the EVs globally.

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September 27, 2024, 09:46:30 AM
 #13

~snip~
But the problem - Monetary Policy is controlled by a Cabal, and therefore it could be highly politicized to favor a small group of individuals. That's a sort of poison that's harming our society. Bitcoin is the antidote.


You are talking about something that has existed for thousands of years, there have always been those who had great power, and they still exist today. The "cabal", as you call them, cannot be destroyed by something like BTC, because this "antidote" is not something that people want, I think they have clearly shown that in the past 15 years.

I am not saying that in the future more people will not use BTC in one way or another, but it will be far from some global awareness that something needs to be changed.

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September 27, 2024, 04:44:38 PM
 #14

The US, the EU, the UK & China have all started a rate cutting cycle. This is very bullish for both stocks & crypto. More liquidity will flood into crypto which will send prices sky high. Buckle up, you are about to make generational wealth.

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September 28, 2024, 01:16:35 PM
 #15

~snip~
But the problem - Monetary Policy is controlled by a Cabal, and therefore it could be highly politicized to favor a small group of individuals. That's a sort of poison that's harming our society. Bitcoin is the antidote.


You are talking about something that has existed for thousands of years, there have always been those who had great power, and they still exist today. The "cabal", as you call them, cannot be destroyed by something like BTC, because this "antidote" is not something that people want, I think they have clearly shown that in the past 15 years.

I am not saying that in the future more people will not use BTC in one way or another, but it will be far from some global awareness that something needs to be changed.


Ser, if you didn't get the point, I didn't post about destroying the Cabal. I was talking about how their policies, through the Federal Reserve, as a kind of "poison", and that Bitcoin is the antidote.

They want to keep increasing M2-Money-Supply? - Good for Bitcoin. Cool

Plus I was wrong. China has a stimulus package planned to revitalize its economy. The money printer is ON! 👀

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September 28, 2024, 02:20:18 PM
 #16

The US, the EU, the UK & China have all started a rate cutting cycle. This is very bullish for both stocks & crypto. More liquidity will flood into crypto which will send prices sky high. Buckle up, you are about to make generational wealth.

Unfortunately the liquidity helps those more  and they have a pretty bad record with spreading their wealth.
The best consumer class is the low income class.

At corporate level management does not believe that their workers should earn more.
Just look at retirement's homes. Caretaker's wages are at $10 hour.

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September 29, 2024, 06:20:04 AM
 #17

~snip~
But the problem - Monetary Policy is controlled by a Cabal, and therefore it could be highly politicized to favor a small group of individuals. That's a sort of poison that's harming our society. Bitcoin is the antidote.

You are talking about something that has existed for thousands of years, there have always been those who had great power, and they still exist today. The "cabal", as you call them, cannot be destroyed by something like BTC, because this "antidote" is not something that people want, I think they have clearly shown that in the past 15 years.

I am not saying that in the future more people will not use BTC in one way or another, but it will be far from some global awareness that something needs to be changed.
I feel like controlled market will always be something that governments do, and governments are filled with regular people, while some people idolize presidents and politicians, they are humans just like us, and that means they have evil in them as much as any other person, usually more for politicians, so they can be bought and that means wealthy could control the politicians anyway they want.

This is why I think it's clear that we are going to face with a lot of trouble when we want a better economy, the wealthy will get richer, while we get poorer and we will be asked to learn to live with less and less, eventually living in commune housing with a hundred strangers will become the norm, and eating potato and rice everyday will become the norm, because rich will want every money we have.

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September 29, 2024, 06:24:39 AM
 #18


What are the best investments that's not Bitcoin?

Anything?

Stocks, gold, real estate... Whatever asset, just name it. Stocks are already booming and gold is doing ATH after ATH. Everything is going up. It is kind of scary in a way because what if this the last pump right before a major 1929 style collapse? What if we are getting fooled into a bull trap?

How many people here can stomach a 80%+ crash after buying assets from these price levels? I guess it is best to be cautious. You'll never know whatever fuckery hiding in the next corner.

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September 29, 2024, 07:11:31 AM
 #19

~
It's not turning on their money printer to make to go "BRRRRR", but this is definitely a stimulus package to encourage more spending and growth in China's economy.

For the doubters/bears, that probably will confirm that we are indeed in a bull cycle, no? Cool

What are the best investments that's not Bitcoin?
And we know what happens to the market when an economy as big as China goes "BRRRRRRRRR" with their money.

We saw the US did this as well in 2020. They printed lots and lots of dollars causing the value of their dollar to go down, but most of the assets including the crypto market went up. I don't know, but there's a high chance that it will happen again. Prices of global markets going up including the crypto market and the catalyst? China's printing of money to stimulate their economy. Well, ever since the pandemic, their economy is declining already hence, they need to do this in order for their economy to be saved.

Which investment is the best to invest our money with? Like what the above post said, literally every asset class out there might be a good choice for investing our money. If I will choose one though, I'll pick the Stock Market particularly the US and even the Chinese Stock Market as well. Whatever the case is, as long as you're invested on any asset class right now, there's a high chance that it will go up. Now I believe this printing of money of the Chinese Government will be the catalyst towards what we are waiting for a long time. THE BULL RUN!!!. Tongue

 
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September 29, 2024, 11:29:09 AM
 #20

China is no exception in this sense, and according to what can be read, they have big problems with companies in the real estate business, which they obviously cannot solve at all.
One of billionaires in China, smelt this crisis especially real estate market and decided to withdraw massive money out of China.

Li Ka-Shing Moves Investments Out of China. He did it about 10 years ago, and this decision was made because of his feeling on bad management of Xi Jinping together with high risk of real estate market there.

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Rates cuts are probably a good signal for global markets, and as far as investing in BTC is concerned, it is logical to expect that part of the money will flow in that direction, although one should not expect a large share of China, which still has a firm attitude towards the ban of such activities.
They waited for FED actions to follow and make their own decisions on rate cut. These latest activities from USA and China governments will help people feel more comfortable with their lives and become more actively in investment with best choice is Bitcoin. It comes at right time when Bitcoin market already went through several months of corrections and its next bull run seems to be ready.

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