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Author Topic: This chart illustrates why this is III and not a 3-3-5  (Read 2702 times)
Flappy
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December 26, 2011, 10:22:45 PM
 #21

...if W happens, then this pattern will be confirmed, leading to Z price. This is perhaps what someone meant by "my wave".

An amateur market mover might see this as an opportunity.  I would see it as a risk.

I suspect this could backfire when the market doesn't agree with "your wave".  While some people will see the point you've made and follow the pattern, if the overall market doesn't agree, then it will fail.  The experienced trader can tell the difference between a crafted (or manipulated) wave and a more natural crowd generated one, and they may choose to bet against your trade.

How then can a market mover identify waves he can profit from?  He has to pick waves with sufficient energy (volume).

31-Jul has an example of a spike when someone perhaps thought they could spark a new trend.  But the market disagreed.
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December 27, 2011, 03:32:15 AM
 #22

Yes, one should always look for sustained volume within a price movement. In fact, lack thereof is a an excellent opportunity to take the contrarian position. It's just that those are impossible to discuss and certainly not chart before the reversal occurs.

In fact, this entire Christmas week has been a series of premature ejaculate spikes.

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