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Author Topic: 2025 Difficulty thread. Planning to make 2025 the last one I do.  (Read 2289 times)
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philipma1957 (OP)
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December 24, 2025, 10:16:41 PM
Last edit: December 30, 2025, 10:05:40 PM by philipma1957
 #121

Quote
https://newhedge.io/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   929336  (5 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   99.7122%  (1977 / 1982.71 expected, 5.71 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   149301205959699.9                            
Current Difficulty:   148195306640204.7                            
Next Difficulty:   between 147771375081540 and 147771533279266
Next Difficulty Change:   between -0.2861% and -0.2860%
Previous Retarget:   December 10, 2025 at 10:47 PM  (-0.7407%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Today at 11:45 PM  (in 0d 6h 31m 6s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Today at 11:45 PM  (in 0d 6h 31m 7s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 0h 58m 10s and 14d 0h 58m 11s


could be -1 to +1      could be right at midnight EST

And with the strong finish last night we did plus 0.0426% for the two weeks.

Latest Block:   929455  (16 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   90.0395%  (80 / 88.85 expected, 8.85 behind)
Previous Difficulty:   148195306640204.7                            
Current Difficulty:   148258433855481.3                            
Next Difficulty:   between 134839292114718 and 147119484695219
Next Difficulty Change:   between -9.0512% and -0.7682%
Previous Retarget:   Yesterday at 10:39 PM  (+0.0426%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   January 8, 2026 at 1:32 AM  (in 13d 12h 4m 59s)
Next Retarget (latest):   January 9, 2026 at 11:49 AM  (in 14d 22h 21m 40s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 2h 53m 29s and 15d 13h 10m 10s


‐------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------

Early

Latest Block:   929777  (14 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   98.6227%  (402 / 407.61 expected, 5.61 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   148195306640204.7                            
Current Difficulty:   148258433855481.3                            
Next Difficulty:   between 146535802220584 and 147635286914825
Next Difficulty Change:   between -1.1619% and -0.4203%
Previous Retarget:   last Wednesday at 10:39 PM  (+0.0426%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   January 8, 2026 at 12:20 AM  (in 11d 5h 44m 56s)
Next Retarget (latest):   January 8, 2026 at 3:20 AM  (in 11d 8h 45m 24s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 1h 41m 5s and 14d 4h 41m 32s

----------------------------------------------------------------
in under a day we go from 5.6 behind to 5.1 ahead
----------------------------------------------------------------
Latest Block:   929898  (3 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   100.9925%  (523 / 517.86 expected, 5.14 ahead)
Previous Difficulty:   148195306640204.7                            
Current Difficulty:   148258433855481.3                            
Next Difficulty:   between 149034113254208 and 149987242351028
Next Difficulty Change:   between +0.5232% and +1.1661%
Previous Retarget:   last Wednesday at 10:39 PM  (+0.0426%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   January 7, 2026 at 7:21 PM  (in 10d 6h 23m 16s)
Next Retarget (latest):   January 7, 2026 at 9:09 PM  (in 10d 8h 11m 56s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 13d 20h 41m 52s and 13d 22h 30m 32s

___________________________________
So still early and price just goes sideways
____________________________________
Latest Block:   930141  (15 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   99.2352%  (766 / 771.90 expected, 5.9 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   148195306640204.7                            
Current Difficulty:   148258433855481.3                            
Next Difficulty:   between 147294099768874 and 147663349166092
Next Difficulty Change:   between -0.6504% and -0.4014%
Previous Retarget:   last Wednesday at 10:39 PM  (+0.0426%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   January 8, 2026 at 12:14 AM  (in 8d 16h 56m 36s)
Next Retarget (latest):   January 8, 2026 at 1:14 AM  (in 8d 17h 56m 20s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 1h 35m 38s and 14d 2h 35m 22s

_________________________________________
________________________________________________
____________________________________________________
Latest Block:   930197  (5 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   98.9951%  (822 / 830.34 expected, 8.34 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   148195306640204.7                            
Current Difficulty:   148258433855481.3                            
Next Difficulty:   between 146925735806309 and 147390475075408
Next Difficulty Change:   between -0.8989% and -0.5854%
Previous Retarget:   last Wednesday at 10:39 PM  (+0.0426%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   January 8, 2026 at 12:52 AM  (in 8d 7h 49m 25s)
Next Retarget (latest):   January 8, 2026 at 2:03 AM  (in 8d 9h 1m 12s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 2h 12m 51s and 14d 3h 24m 38s

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philipma1957 (OP)
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January 01, 2026, 05:49:30 AM
Last edit: January 05, 2026, 12:59:50 AM by philipma1957
 #122

https://newhedge.io/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator


Latest Block:   930375  (21 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   97.9668%  (1000 / 1020.75 expected, 20.75 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   148195306640204.7                            
Current Difficulty:   148258433855481.3                            
Next Difficulty:   between 145370615802451 and 146093364420543
Next Difficulty Change:   between -1.9478% and -1.4603%
Previous Retarget:   December 24, 2025 at 10:39 PM  (+0.0426%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   January 8, 2026 at 3:51 AM  (in 7d 3h 4m 35s)
Next Retarget (latest):   January 8, 2026 at 5:37 AM  (in 7d 4h 50m 51s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 5h 12m 7s and 14d 6h 58m 23s


price is side ways and the diff dropped a bit.

---------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------
Quote



Latest Block:   930715  (3 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   99.2099%  (1340 / 1350.67 expected, 10.67 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   148195306640204.7                            
Current Difficulty:   148258433855481.3                            
Next Difficulty:   between 147183857327647 and 147303902453364
Next Difficulty Change:   between -0.7248% and -0.6438%
Previous Retarget:   December 24, 2025 at 10:39 PM  (+0.0426%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Thursday at 1:01 AM  (in 4d 17h 15m 47s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Thursday at 1:19 AM  (in 4d 17h 33m 50s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 2h 22m 29s and 14d 2h 40m 33s







Quote
https://newhedge.io/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   930938  (21 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   99.6853%  (1563 / 1567.93 expected, 4.93 behind)
Previous Difficulty:   148195306640204.7                            
Current Difficulty:   148258433855481.3                            
Next Difficulty:   between 147875651314332 and 147894931062236
Next Difficulty Change:   between -0.2582% and -0.2452%
Previous Retarget:   December 24, 2025 at 10:39 PM  (+0.0426%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Wednesday at 11:39 PM  (in 3d 3h 41m 5s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Wednesday at 11:42 PM  (in 3d 3h 44m 18s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 1h 0m 25s and 14d 1h 3m 38s






I will be shutting this thread down in about a week.

I have decided to continue the thread for 2026

2026 thread will open in around 4-5 days

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5570168.0

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philipma1957 (OP)
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January 05, 2026, 05:50:52 PM
Last edit: January 08, 2026, 03:05:51 PM by philipma1957
 #123

Quote
https://newhedge.io/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator


Latest Block:   931027  (27 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   98.9805%  (1652 / 1669.02 expected, 17.02 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   148195306640204.7                            
Current Difficulty:   148258433855481.3                            
Next Difficulty:   between 146825122183729 and 146871411440697
Next Difficulty Change:   between -0.9668% and -0.9355%
Previous Retarget:   December 24, 2025 at 10:39 PM  (+0.0426%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Thursday at 2:00 AM  (in 2d 13h 10m 43s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Thursday at 2:06 AM  (in 2d 13h 17m 29s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 3h 20m 52s and 14d 3h 27m 38s


A very small price jump to 93.8k

and the diff is off by about 1%

Change is due late weds or early thurs.


https://newhedge.io/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator


Quote
https://newhedge.io/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   931310  (17 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   98.2796%  (1935 / 1968.87 expected, 33.87 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   148195306640204.7                            
Current Difficulty:   148258433855481.3                            
Next Difficulty:   between 145773497085533 and 145777441433674
Next Difficulty Change:   between -1.6761% and -1.6734%
Previous Retarget:   December 24, 2025 at 10:39 PM  (+0.0426%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Tomorrow at 4:31 AM  (in 0d 13h 43m 36s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Tomorrow at 4:32 AM  (in 0d 13h 44m 10s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 5h 52m 20s and 14d 5h 52m 54s

dropping to 34 blocks off the pace and price is also dropping


Latest Block:   931370  (a few seconds ago)

Current Pace:   98.4550%  (1995 / 2026.31 expected, 31.31 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   148195306640204.7                            
Current Difficulty:   148258433855481.3                            
Next Difficulty:   between 146031898071405 and 146032136038135
Next Difficulty Change:   between -1.5018% and -1.5016%
Previous Retarget:   December 24, 2025 at 10:39 PM  (+0.0426%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Today at 3:55 AM  (in 0d 3h 33m 15s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Today at 3:55 AM  (in 0d 3h 33m 17s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 5h 16m 19s and 14d 5h 16m 21s



We closed at  146t a drop of 1.2% 

New thread is here

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5570168.msg66270968#new

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