VOLGASTALLION CONTESTS DISCUSSION THREAD

[Pmalek]

I wish I had got my picks in! I suppose that I still could, it surely woudl be fun.

The deadline was 31 January and the prediction topic has been closed by the OP, so you can no longer take part. Even though you can't officially participate in this competition, no one can stop you from thinking and writing down the BTC value you believe will be recorded 90 and 180 days from the day Trump took office for your own reference and put your prediction skills to the test.

[Volgastallion]

Well now we are hearing the ticking of the clock and the hour is aproaching lets see what tpice CMC is gonna mark for the time we use as cut.

I feel like some people is gonna be saved by this last pump of BTC, lets see if this remains until we smash the final hour.

Tik-tok-tik-tok (not related to the app)  

Well guys the hour has arrive and the price in CMC is......

BTC: 97.990 USD

And the people who is out of the competition in this first cut are..... (40/49).

Code:

LoyceV
paid2
psycodad
philipma1957
Danydee
BABY SHOES
GazetaBitcoin
Dumper
strunberg
Koal-84
BlackhatCoiner
1miau
nutildah
Betwrong
Smartprofit
fillippone
1dq
Haunebu
krogothmanhattan
AlcoHodl
xlays
pooya87
dkbit98
Odohu
ajiz
slapper
ovcijisir
vapourminer
goldkingcoiner
despairo
NotATether
OmegaStarScream
OgNasty
The Speptical Chymist
Mia Chloe
DiMarxist
cryptofrka
joker_josue
NeuroticFish
Pmalek

People who is still alive on the contest.(9/49).

Code:

Biodom
bitbollo
Woodie
Becassine
BTCLiz
Rikafip
bitmover
xandry
buwaytress

Well i was not expecting this, but the "winter" in the price made this happen, some bears still alive and the bullish guys out.

A few incredibles were paid2 going out only for 10 usd.
Rikafip being saved at the very last moment with the last push in the price.

I really want to have more players still alive, but it is what it is. I have to learn for future contest.

And for you guys.... we need to talk more in the Wall Observer  


PS: For all of those who are out see the good side, no more telegram notifications from the bot.  

[moderator's note: consecutive posts merged]

[fillippone]

I will have my vengeance.
This exclusion come in a very unexpected time.
But the rally of our orange friend, the corn, not Trump, will be face-melting!

[NeuroticFish]

Well i was not expecting this, but the "winter" in the price made this happen, some bears still alive and the bullish guys out.

A dip was not unexpected. But it's significantly deeper and longer than I've expected.

PS: For all of those who are out see the good side, no more telegram notifications from the bot. 

Don't forget that this give us a little more time with cheap sats.

[cryptofrka]

Oh shit, missed one of the rules and thought that I have to be only in the ~10.000 difference bracket.

Thanks for the competition and good luck to the bears still remaining

[vapourminer]

Well guys the hour has arrive and the price in CMC is......

BTC: 97.990 USD

And the people who is out of the competition in this first cut are..... (40/49).

Code:

vapourminer

it has been an honor to be included in a group of such esteemed and utter losers..

or somethin like that

best of luck to the survivors!

[goldkingcoiner]

Well, guess I am out. 

I am not disappointed other than in Bitcoin not being above 100K. I guess the 120K pump is in the near future but not quite as near as I had initially hoped it would be.

But good luck to those who are still running!

[Pmalek]

And the people who is out of the competition in this first cut are..... (40/49).

See? I told you that many people would leave the competition after the first round. We are simply too optimistic.

it has been an honor to be included in a group of such esteemed and utter losers..

We truly are a bunch of bullish and over-confident big-name suckers who expected too much. I still blame Trump, though.

[Becassine]

It's not so bad to be bipolar: bearish predictions and bullish inside 

[Volgastallion]

And the people who is out of the competition in this first cut are..... (40/49).

See? I told you that many people would leave the competition after the first round. We are simply too optimistic.

It was a complete bloodbath, i was expecting to see at least 15 or maybe 20 people going out in the first round for sure, but 40 was a crazy thing. I think nobody expect to see the market lateralizing for more than one month.

Lets see now in the new mark, 60 days more seems really far away right now.

[Pmalek]

It was a complete bloodbath...

It could have been even worse if the Bybit hacking incident happened one day earlier, for instance. More participants would have dropped out from the competition in that case. BTC was heading for $100k again and then the news that Bybit got hacked came out. A few hours later and we are back down to $95,000. Some people were lucky the hack happened one day after the cut.

[Volgastallion]

It was a complete bloodbath...

It could have been even worse if the Bybit hacking incident happened one day earlier, for instance. More participants would have dropped out from the competition in that case. BTC was heading for $100k again and then the news that Bybit got hacked came out. A few hours later and we are back down to $95,000. Some people were lucky the hack happened one day after the cut.

Hahahahahahah yes, when i was following the price because of that i was thinking to myself a few more guys were saved only by  a day. I think it could be also worse for the price but seems like like all we are seeing in the last times, didnt affect so much the ptice and plus if they do in a few hours we are back again at normal prices.

[Volgastallion]

Since you are the only who are still in the fight in this competition and you are the bears behind this winter. 

Seems like the bears keep making the price go down more and more, i think a lot are safe because of the reamining days until the next cut which is pretty far away. But i think nobody was expeting this

What do you think? How is gonna develop?

Code:

Biodom
bitbollo
Woodie
Becassine
BTCLiz
Rikafip
bitmover
xandry
buwaytress

[buwaytress]

Since you are the only who are still in the fight in this competition and you are the bears behind this winter. 

Seems like the bears keep making the price go down more and more, i think a lot are safe because of the reamining days until the next cut which is pretty far away. But i think nobody was expeting this

What do you think? How is gonna develop?

Heh, yes, should blame people like us, even if we don't actually move liquidity! For me, it was just my innate logic of timeframe. It's been a year plus now of bullish movement, and Bitcoin, if anything, doesn't like spending the majority of its time on the up.

That said, still slightly surprised we didn't get more legs up. I think there should be a recovery (I said in another thread the scalpers will need to glean a bit more close to 100k), but we'll need to survive the weekend without losing current support first.

Still wish I were wrong, though. Not that it matters too much to me, but I'm always feeling better when Bitcoin is up (and stable-ish).

[Becassine]

I'm so glad I'm still on the short list at the end. Given the recent drop, liquidations must be overheating 

[fillippone]

I'm so glad I'm still on the short list at the end. Given the recent drop, liquidations must be overheating 

Bitcoin is oversold, funding rates are negative, open interest is low.
Adoption won’t stop. ETF outflow were mainly carry trade unwinding.
Bitfinex longs are loading like a spring.
I will be back.

[Volgastallion]

I'm so glad I'm still on the short list at the end. Given the recent drop, liquidations must be overheating 

Bitcoin is oversold, funding rates are negative, open interest is low.
Adoption won’t stop. ETF outflow were mainly carry trade unwinding.
Bitfinex longs are loading like a spring.
I will be back.

Ok but You are out of the most importante contest :p 

No, talking seriously i believe like you this is not gonna last so much time. In 2/3 months we are gonna see another big and continuos jump in the price.

So much inflows of money coming and a lot more preparing to jump in, imposible yo ser the price not going up.

[Volgastallion]

What a super waves we are navigating right now..... men.

One day we go deep down and in other day we go up, no one has any serious backed fundamentals.

Seems like this sea is gonna be with us for a few months until we take a more pacific sea.

[buwaytress]

^ And then back down to even deeper waters, with some sort of levelling off today. Not sure if we continue to tread water like this or if some undercurrents can push against the current but at this rate, even my "bearish" predictions are in danger of failing. Plenty of time to the April date though, I'm feeling good to stay in this contest.

[Volgastallion]

^ And then back down to even deeper waters, with some sort of levelling off today. Not sure if we continue to tread water like this or if some undercurrents can push against the current but at this rate, even my "bearish" predictions are in danger of failing. Plenty of time to the April date though, I'm feeling good to stay in this contest.

Its just incredible how deep we are going, i still remember when i was collecting the predictions of each one, laughting at someones who put so low prices, i tent to think they were only joking and waiting to be special, but now seems like they know something maybe?


One thing i forget to mention is thanks to fillippone  who recopilate a lot of the entries and make my work much more easy.

Coming back to the price, now we have braking the 80k under limit so we can expect anything to happen.