crazy bets may pay off sometimes

[bitterguy28]

in sports betting, people often stick to what they know and what has been known in the past people tend to analyze results of the past and tend to apply it again in recent and most of the time it pays off

aside from the live matches there are also bets that do not really involve the match at all like for example teams and players’ contracts

if someone had betted on luka dončić being traded and everyone would have betted against that then that person would have made some good money but seeing as the news has been surprising for almost everyone it is quite a reach to make bets this unrealistic

sometimes though it seems to pay off to take some big risks and make outrageous predictions

[mcdouglasx]

in sports betting, people often stick to what they know and what has been known in the past people tend to analyze results of the past and tend to apply it again in recent and most of the time it pays off

aside from the live matches there are also bets that do not really involve the match at all like for example teams and players’ contracts

if someone had betted on luka dončić being traded and everyone would have betted against that then that person would have made some good money but seeing as the news has been surprising for almost everyone it is quite a reach to make bets this unrealistic

sometimes though it seems to pay off to take some big risks and make outrageous predictions

I think that sports betting depends to a greater extent on statistics, and luck plays a smaller percentage role. Betting on a player being traded without any kind of hint is equivalent to a stroke of luck or manipulation by people close to the club who know the decision in advance. Therefore, betting this way is riskier, but in return, you gain more benefits when you win.

[retreat]

-snip-

sometimes though it seems to pay off to take some big risks and make outrageous predictions

But the bet can only be said to be pay off when you win the bet, if you lose then you will lose a lot of money. So if someone thinks of taking a high-risk bet, he also needs to think about whether he can take the risk or not. If he can't afford to lose, then he shouldn't have thought about taking the risk in the first place. Because if he underestimates high-risk bets and thinks that he can, when in fact he can't, then in the end he will only fool himself.

[BitMaxz]

if someone had betted on luka dončić being traded and everyone would have betted against that then that person would have made some good money but seeing as the news has been surprising for almost everyone it is quite a reach to make bets this unrealistic

I think this is beyond the normal bets on betting sites. I've never experienced such a thing unless it's a direct bet between your friends.

Is that the crazy bets you mean, or are you talking about random choice without analyzing the previous games?
If you do that actually, it will end up being pure luck-based, or if you are always betting against the people's wants, that's risky, and the chances of winning are slim, but if you win on that bet, the reward is higher compared to betting on what the majority of people prefer.

[Su-asa]

Before one considering taking a big risks during  gambling, they also need to be aware that the chances of losing the bet is bigger than the chances of winning. No matter the kind of risk one is planning to take he needed to know that it's very important for them to risk with what they can afford to lose because chances of winning is very tiny.
IMO, a gambler that tends to take gamble as the advantage of generating wealth through it take such big risks on gambling forgetting that succeeding on gambling is based on luck.

[nimogsm]

in sports betting, people often stick to what they know and what has been known in the past people tend to analyze results of the past and tend to apply it again in recent and most of the time it pays off

aside from the live matches there are also bets that do not really involve the match at all like for example teams and players’ contracts

if someone had betted on luka dončić being traded and everyone would have betted against that then that person would have made some good money but seeing as the news has been surprising for almost everyone it is quite a reach to make bets this unrealistic

sometimes though it seems to pay off to take some big risks and make outrageous predictions

I think such forecasts are not possible for all sports bookmakers. In addition, there is insider information leaks can be from the management of the team itself, which means that the result is more than predictable, another thing is the match there are many more factors that can affect the result.
This is more about the opportunity to make money on rumors; to be honest, I wouldn’t be interested in that.

[Porfirii]

if someone had betted on luka dončić being traded and everyone would have betted against that then that person would have made some good money but seeing as the news has been surprising for almost everyone it is quite a reach to make bets this unrealistic

I think this is beyond the normal bets on betting sites. I've never experienced such a thing unless it's a direct bet between your friends.

Is that the crazy bets you mean, or are you talking about random choice without analyzing the previous games?
If you do that actually, it will end up being pure luck-based, or if you are always betting against the people's wants, that's risky, and the chances of winning are slim, but if you win on that bet, the reward is higher compared to betting on what the majority of people prefer.

I don't think he refers to random choices, but to bets no one would usually make.

It can be a good strategy though. Most people rely on past performance to predict future results, but that logic is flawed too. So why not bet for the underdog from time to time? the chances you have to win are usually compensated with unusually high odds, so with a little good luck you might earn more than those who aim to analyze everything and have everything under control making "safe" bets.

[AprilioMP]

Very few people get a victory over their crazy betting who chose a team that was not favored in sports betting.

For example sports betting that is a few gamblers who dare to bet big on a soccer team played between Espanyol vs Real Madrid. Most betting people bet on Real Madrid. In the Champions League competition, the Juventus vs Benfica match. Juventus lost at the Allianz Stadium. Two big matches in two different leagues, most people bet on Real Madrid and Juventus, but the results are those who choose Espanyol and Benfica who get money.

I think that brave like that is very little. I also don't dare to take risks there.

[OgNasty]

I have yet to have a crazy bet pay off, but there’s always that dream. I have been guilty in the past of betting, ridiculous parlays in the hopes of hitting a massive payday with a tiny bet. But as far as I know, I’ve never even come close to actually winning anything when I do this. Still it is fun to dream.

[NeuroticFish]

They do most of time. Just they don't pay off in money, they pay in adrenalin, or in "thrill" if you want.
Of course, big rewards in money are rare; gambling is not earning. But can be interesting if a crazy bet pays off also in money 

[OgNasty]

They do most of time. Just they don't pay off in money, they pay in adrenalin, or in "thrill" if you want.
Of course, big rewards in money are rare; gambling is not earning. But can be interesting if a crazy bet pays off also in money 

This is exactly right and I wish everyone looked at gambling this way. Sure, making money is great but it’s the thrill of whether or not you’re going to win money that you’re paying for. That’s the allure of gambling. People get too caught up in whether or not they make money like it’s a job, but they should be chasing that high of the thrill.

[swogerino]

in sports betting, people often stick to what they know and what has been known in the past people tend to analyze results of the past and tend to apply it again in recent and most of the time it pays off

aside from the live matches there are also bets that do not really involve the match at all like for example teams and players’ contracts

if someone had betted on luka dončić being traded and everyone would have betted against that then that person would have made some good money but seeing as the news has been surprising for almost everyone it is quite a reach to make bets this unrealistic

sometimes though it seems to pay off to take some big risks and make outrageous predictions

Many people do that all the time, especially lately that most crypto casinos who offer also sport betting offer to copy bets from other people and I have seen there dramatic odds of well over x1.000.000 as a multiplier and this is a super crazy multiplier that people do bet on. Well I will be honest, most people from desperate countries, and by desperate I mean in economy not as countries, I have seen Nigerian people, Indonesian and Argentinian to be placing these type of bets, well I am not 100% sure of it but those are the currencies in which it is most common to see these type of outrageous odds which are very difficult, if impossible to hit.

[BitMaxz]

I don't think he refers to random choices, but to bets no one would usually make.

It can be a good strategy though. Most people rely on past performance to predict future results, but that logic is flawed too. So why not bet for the underdog from time to time? the chances you have to win are usually compensated with unusually high odds, so with a little good luck you might earn more than those who aim to analyze everything and have everything under control making "safe" bets.

Well, I much prefer to do a parlay than doing this, which is risky I don't see a good result on doing crazy bets if you are always against other people's bets; the chances are still very slim. About the underdog depends on what game, but it looks like OP is talking about basketball since Luka Dončić is a basketball player. I won't just bet on the underdog I usually check and analyze the background first because the chances to win are higher than if I just keep betting on a team or a player with lower or lesser odds.

Maybe if you do it with martingale strategy, maybe 1 of 6 bets got lucky plus high odds; it might be worth it Imagine you bet $1 everytime you lose you bet times 2 I'm sure it pays off very well.
However, doing this with a fixed amount, maybe you haven't recovered yet the amount you lost on previous bets, even though you win this time with high odds.

I would stick to analyzing the game first because that is the way to know which one will win. Crazy bets are rare, I might against it for some reasons.

[Rruchi man]

sometimes though it seems to pay off to take some big risks and make outrageous predictions

In sports betting, some kinds of bets can pay off if you are lucky. Some of these bets that are tagged as more risky just mean they are more specific. For example

-  early and late goals usually have high odds.
-  a weaker team winning against a stronger team will usually have a high odd.
- Over/under number of goals to be scored.

The betting strategy of some people is to target these high odds and risk their money in it. They usually do not expect it to enter, but they know that any time it enters, they will be heavily compensated for the risk.

[coolcoinz]

I like those crazy bets because you can make a lot of money betting against the majority. Like for instance when they switched Biden for Harris and everyone thought Trump can't win vs a woman of color. Democrats bet everything on one card and lost despite rigged polls telling people there's no way Trump could win.

There are similar situations in sports when an underdog goes against a champion, but history shows that champs always lose at some point.

[Alphakilo]

in sports betting, people often stick to what they know and what has been known in the past people tend to analyze results of the past and tend to apply it again in recent and most of the time it pays off

aside from the live matches there are also bets that do not really involve the match at all like for example teams and players’ contracts

if someone had betted on luka dončić being traded and everyone would have betted against that then that person would have made some good money but seeing as the news has been surprising for almost everyone it is quite a reach to make bets this unrealistic

sometimes though it seems to pay off to take some big risks and make outrageous predictions

Taking risks pays off or not.
Big risks pays off some of the time and not all the time.
Big risks have their timing and can be boosted by knowing the facts. There is a difference between big risks and blind risks. What some do is blind risks and not big risks. Big risks are timed and executed with strategy this is not what blind risks.

[Ultegra134]

I don't think he refers to random choices, but to bets no one would usually make.

It can be a good strategy though. Most people rely on past performance to predict future results, but that logic is flawed too. So why not bet for the underdog from time to time? the chances you have to win are usually compensated with unusually high odds, so with a little good luck you might earn more than those who aim to analyze everything and have everything under control making "safe" bets.

How do we define a bet that no one else would make? Is it a bet in a less-known sport or league from random countries, or is it betting on a team that someone else wouldn't, because we'd assume that there's no chance they'll win? As @mcdouglasx already mentioned, sports betting is more about statistics than luck. It's quite uncommon for the stronger, dominant team to lose against a weaker team, which explains the high odds; it happens from time to time. The same rule applies to early/late goals and over/under bets, like another user previously mentioned.

With that being said, it's mostly a game of statistics, and most of us prefer to go where those lead us; the "uncommon" option is too risky.

[alani123]

Multi bets and combinations are often seen as lottery tickets. Well it's because they are. For odds of winning that are so low you could see multipliers to the hundreds of thousands, where even betting a few pennies could make you serious cash. But why would a casino even offer these odds? In reality they know you're most definitely a loser in most occasions of an extreme sports bet, so they don't care whatever happens when just losing a single match in your slip loses you the balance.

It's funny to place these bets but better not consider it something serious otherwise you'll keep losing.

[topbitcoin]

Crazy bets by trying to bet on situations that don't even make sense may still be fruitful but in the end the risk is also great because after all when in a bet especially when the match that brings together opponents who are not worth it then in the end it is clear that the strongest is always the favored bet.
I have seen in the world cup some time ago where there were some people who tried to bet crazy when Argentina against Arabia which even in the middle of the match Saudi Arabia at that time in terms of odds even more than x50 but in the end the bet paid off when on the scoreboard Arabia managed to beat Argentina.
That would obviously be a big win but in the end again things like this are sometimes a little tricky because it is likely that only 1 of the many crazy bets like this will pay off with a profit.

[Josefjix]

if someone had betted on luka dončić being traded and everyone would have betted against that then that person would have made some good money but seeing as the news has been surprising for almost everyone it is quite a reach to make bets this unrealistic

sometimes though it seems to pay off to take some big risks and make outrageous predictions

Sometimes you get tired because too much analysis and little stake for bigger amount gets you tired because it seems to never pays off. Sometimes going to the bookmakers by picking randomly without any head to head analysis brings out the best results.

It's better knowing what works best for you, risking it for bigger rewards has been my favorite and it's pays off for most times.