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Author Topic: [free to join] Contest for the hodlers : Loki Cryptotag for the winner !  (Read 892 times)
hopenotlate
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March 08, 2025, 11:42:55 AM
 #21

Thanks!

My wild guess is 123.
BABY SHOES
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March 08, 2025, 03:59:31 PM
 #22

I'm trying to guess 120 shitcoins in the bottle... French baguette I don't know for sure but it's more than 1 Euro Cheesy

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...Next Generation Crypto Casino...
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March 08, 2025, 08:52:29 PM
 #23

It's far from easy to guess the number, I'll just go by the clue and just give a rather random number:

137 coins

Thanks

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...SOL.....USDT...
...FAST PAYOUTS...
...BTC...
...TON...
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March 09, 2025, 08:51:12 PM
Merited by Becassine (1)
 #24

It's interesting how the baguette clue made everyone suddenly go 100+, which I completely understand since that's what you get if you google it.
If we can change the predictions based on these clues I'll probably edit mine some time later. Cheesy

The jar really looks like it cointains (see what I did there?) less than 100, but it's probably like that good old saying that everybody looks different on TV than IRL.
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March 09, 2025, 08:58:57 PM
 #25

It's interesting how the baguette clue made everyone suddenly go 100+, which I completely understand since that's what you get if you google it.
If we can change the predictions based on these clues I'll probably edit mine some time later. Cheesy

The jar really looks like it cointains (see what I did there?) less than 100, but it's probably like that good old saying that everybody looks different on TV than IRL.

I fully agree with this.
My initial counting was between 60 and 80. But from my internet search a baguette is more expensive than that hence...  yeah... I'm trying my luck with a significantly higher number.

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.
...SOL.....USDT...
...FAST PAYOUTS...
...BTC...
...TON...
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March 09, 2025, 09:41:43 PM
 #26

It's interesting how the baguette clue made everyone suddenly go 100+, which I completely understand since that's what you get if you google it.
If we can change the predictions based on these clues I'll probably edit mine some time later. Cheesy

The jar really looks like it cointains (see what I did there?) less than 100, but it's probably like that good old saying that everybody looks different on TV than IRL.

The baguette clue  Grin

As said and to be fair, it's possible to edit prediction until the last moment on 28 march.

I sent the right number per mail to the cryptotag team. I also made a video but I couldn't post it  Grin. So no one can accuse me of favoring anyone in particular. Besides, there's no point, trust is important.

Bisous


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March 10, 2025, 12:44:43 AM
Merited by Becassine (1)
 #27

Based on what I found in Google (as I've never been to France) and what their AI has to say:
Quote
A baguette in France costs around 0.90 € in bakeries and 0.45 € in supermarkets
I assumed you are a fancy lad who would rather buy his baguette in a proper bakery rather than stroll in a supermarket, so 90 shitcoins.  Cheesy

BTW, Thanks for the invite.

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March 10, 2025, 07:20:42 AM
 #28

101 shitcoins!

Hilarious contest and great stuff as usual Becassine.

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March 10, 2025, 09:07:52 AM
 #29

Hello,

I remind you that you can make the same prediction as another bitcointalker, if it's the right number, the wonderful bitmover tool will pick the winner.

You can also edit your answers if, after careful calculation, you change your mind. Feel free to write down how you arrived at your results, even if we don't understand anything. Laughter is good for the health  Grin

PS : and if I give you a merit, it has nothing to do with your prediction, but only because you made me laugh.

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March 10, 2025, 09:11:55 AM
 #30

132 shitpenny!
Nice contest, well done!

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March 10, 2025, 12:01:28 PM
 #31

130
Thank you
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March 10, 2025, 05:30:17 PM
Merited by Becassine (1)
 #32

Hello guys!

Awesome initiative. I estimate there are 110 one-cent euro coins in the bottle.

The first image showed the bottle about two-thirds to three-quarters full with 1 cent euro coins.

The second image includes a ruler, indicating the bottle’s height. The ruler shows markings up to 15 cm, and the bottle’s height appears to be approximately 12-13 cm (based on the visible length from the base to the neck, aligning with the 12 cm mark on the ruler).

The third image provides a close-up of the base with a ruler, showing the base diameter is about 5-6 cm (likely around 5.5 cm based on the 5 cm mark).

1-cent euro coins have a diameter of 16.25 mm (1.625 cm) and a thickness of 1.67 mm (0.167 cm).

Volume of one coin: π × (radius)² × thickness = π × (0.8125 cm)² × 0.167 cm ≈ 0.347 cc (cubic centimeters).

"You can buy at least a good French baguette with those shitcoins." In France, a standard baguette typically costs around €0.90 to €1.20 (based on general knowledge of rising bread prices). Since these are 1-cent coins, the total value must be at least €0.90, meaning there are at least 90 coins. However, the phrase "at least a good French baguette" suggests the value could be higher, possibly up to €1.20 or more, implying 120 coins as a minimum upper bound from this clue alone.  Wink

The average of the guesses  at the time of my post (72, 89, 83, 122, 78, 113, 103, 82, 109, 130, 123, 120, 108, 137, 90, 101, 132, 130) is 106.78. This collective estimate provides a useful benchmark, though it may be influenced by varying assumptions about the bottle’s capacity.

Volume and Packing Calculation
Bottle Dimensions:
Height: ~12.5 cm (estimated from the ruler).

Base diameter: ~5.5 cm, suggesting a maximum cross-sectional area of π × (2.75 cm)² ≈ 23.76 cm². However, the bottle tapers toward the neck, so the average cross-sectional area will be less. Assuming a rough average diameter of 4 cm (based on the visible taper), the average area is π × (2 cm)² ≈ 12.57 cm².

Total volume (cylinder approximation): 12.5 cm × 12.57 cm² ≈ 157.1 cc. This is a simplification, as the bottle’s shape (wider base, narrower neck) reduces the effective volume. A more realistic volume might be 120-150 cc, accounting for the taper.

Coin Packing:
Packing efficiency for randomly stacked coins is typically 60-68%. Using 65% as an average, the effective volume for coins is ~78-97 cc (taking 130 cc as a midpoint adjustment for taper).

Number of coins = Effective volume ÷ Coin volume = 78 cc ÷ 0.347 cc ≈ 225 (lower bound) to 97 cc ÷ 0.347 cc ≈ 279 (upper bound). Adjusting for the bottle being about 70% full (visually from the first image), this gives a range of ~157 to 195 coins.

The volume-based estimate (157-195 coins) suggests fewer coins than the clue’s minimum of 90 and the average guess of 106.78. This discrepancy likely arises because:
The bottle’s taper and neck reduce the effective volume more than my initial cylinder assumption.

The coins may be packed more densely in the base, with some vertical stacking obscured by the glass.

The clue about buying a baguette (≥90 coins, possibly up to 120) and the average guess (106.78) suggest the true number is higher than the volume estimate alone.

Final Guess
The clue and average guess strongly indicate 90-120 coins as a plausible range. The volume calculation may underestimate due to dense packing or a larger bottle capacity than assumed. Given the bottle’s height (12.5 cm) and the tight stacking visible, I’ll adjust upward, aligning with the clue and average.

I estimate 110 coins as my best guess, balancing the volume estimate (adjusted to ~100-120 coins with denser packing), the minimum baguette cost (90 coins), and the average of previous guesses (106.78).

To improve the guess I would need to know:

What is the exact height and maximum diameter of the bottle?

Can you weigh the bottle with coins and provide the empty weight?

Is the fill level exactly 70%, or can you estimate it more precisely?


Good luck for everyone!
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March 10, 2025, 05:33:06 PM
Last edit: March 12, 2025, 09:18:01 AM by NebulaMiner
 #33

88 coins is my take !

Thx ma copine !
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March 10, 2025, 05:44:49 PM
Merited by Becassine (1)
 #34

Based on what I found in Google (as I've never been to France) and what their AI has to say:
Quote
A baguette in France costs around 0.90 € in bakeries and 0.45 € in supermarkets
I assumed you are a fancy lad who would rather buy his baguette in a proper bakery rather than stroll in a supermarket, so 90 shitcoins.  Cheesy
If the price of a baguette exceeds 1€, I expect the French to haul out the guillotine.

I assume 40% air, coins piled 5 cm high, 4.6 cm diameter. Total coin volume: 4.6^2*pi*0.25*5*0.6=49.8570754125 cm3. Each coin is 16.25^2*pi/4*1.67/1000=0.346348318212 cm3.
49.857/0.346=Final answer: 144 coins.

I see you like hitting things with your ruler Roll Eyes

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March 10, 2025, 08:36:55 PM
 #35

Hello guys!

Awesome initiative. I estimate there are 110 one-cent euro coins in the bottle.

The first image showed the bottle about two-thirds to three-quarters full with 1 cent euro coins.

The second image includes a ruler, indicating the bottle’s height. The ruler shows markings up to 15 cm, and the bottle’s height appears to be approximately 12-13 cm (based on the visible length from the base to the neck, aligning with the 12 cm mark on the ruler).

The third image provides a close-up of the base with a ruler, showing the base diameter is about 5-6 cm (likely around 5.5 cm based on the 5 cm mark).

1-cent euro coins have a diameter of 16.25 mm (1.625 cm) and a thickness of 1.67 mm (0.167 cm).

Volume of one coin: π × (radius)² × thickness = π × (0.8125 cm)² × 0.167 cm ≈ 0.347 cc (cubic centimeters).

"You can buy at least a good French baguette with those shitcoins." In France, a standard baguette typically costs around €0.90 to €1.20 (based on general knowledge of rising bread prices). Since these are 1-cent coins, the total value must be at least €0.90, meaning there are at least 90 coins. However, the phrase "at least a good French baguette" suggests the value could be higher, possibly up to €1.20 or more, implying 120 coins as a minimum upper bound from this clue alone.  Wink

The average of the guesses  at the time of my post (72, 89, 83, 122, 78, 113, 103, 82, 109, 130, 123, 120, 108, 137, 90, 101, 132, 130) is 106.78. This collective estimate provides a useful benchmark, though it may be influenced by varying assumptions about the bottle’s capacity.

Volume and Packing Calculation
Bottle Dimensions:
Height: ~12.5 cm (estimated from the ruler).

Base diameter: ~5.5 cm, suggesting a maximum cross-sectional area of π × (2.75 cm)² ≈ 23.76 cm². However, the bottle tapers toward the neck, so the average cross-sectional area will be less. Assuming a rough average diameter of 4 cm (based on the visible taper), the average area is π × (2 cm)² ≈ 12.57 cm².

Total volume (cylinder approximation): 12.5 cm × 12.57 cm² ≈ 157.1 cc. This is a simplification, as the bottle’s shape (wider base, narrower neck) reduces the effective volume. A more realistic volume might be 120-150 cc, accounting for the taper.

Coin Packing:
Packing efficiency for randomly stacked coins is typically 60-68%. Using 65% as an average, the effective volume for coins is ~78-97 cc (taking 130 cc as a midpoint adjustment for taper).

Number of coins = Effective volume ÷ Coin volume = 78 cc ÷ 0.347 cc ≈ 225 (lower bound) to 97 cc ÷ 0.347 cc ≈ 279 (upper bound). Adjusting for the bottle being about 70% full (visually from the first image), this gives a range of ~157 to 195 coins.

The volume-based estimate (157-195 coins) suggests fewer coins than the clue’s minimum of 90 and the average guess of 106.78. This discrepancy likely arises because:
The bottle’s taper and neck reduce the effective volume more than my initial cylinder assumption.

The coins may be packed more densely in the base, with some vertical stacking obscured by the glass.

The clue about buying a baguette (≥90 coins, possibly up to 120) and the average guess (106.78) suggest the true number is higher than the volume estimate alone.

Final Guess
The clue and average guess strongly indicate 90-120 coins as a plausible range. The volume calculation may underestimate due to dense packing or a larger bottle capacity than assumed. Given the bottle’s height (12.5 cm) and the tight stacking visible, I’ll adjust upward, aligning with the clue and average.

I estimate 110 coins as my best guess, balancing the volume estimate (adjusted to ~100-120 coins with denser packing), the minimum baguette cost (90 coins), and the average of previous guesses (106.78).

To improve the guess I would need to know:

What is the exact height and maximum diameter of the bottle?

Can you weigh the bottle with coins and provide the empty weight?

Is the fill level exactly 70%, or can you estimate it more precisely?


Good luck for everyone!

Extraordinary demonstration, unfortunately there's a rule at the start: you need 10 merits to take part. I can't change the rules, otherwise it's a general uprising and then I get depressed  Embarrassed. But I hope you'll come back for the next contest.

By the way, even if I'm totally hopeless at maths, if I give you the empty weight and you (easily) find the weight of a shitcoin, the number of coins will be very easy to calculate (even for me). So I won't answer that question  Tongue


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March 11, 2025, 03:42:59 AM
 #36

I'm gonna go with 99 shitcoins, fingers crossed  Roll Eyes

.
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March 11, 2025, 07:47:09 AM
 #37

I don't have 10 merit points but I have been a long time lurker here (account made in January 2018!).
I'd like to see if I can still participate. My guess is 118.
Cheers!
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March 11, 2025, 08:08:05 AM
 #38

143 shitcoins.
Thanks Becassine Wink

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March 11, 2025, 07:42:20 PM
Merited by Becassine (1)
 #39

After doing some high-iq math, my guess is 299 coins. Do note that I never passed a single math test in school so if I'm wrong we'll just blame it on the education system.
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March 12, 2025, 03:58:30 PM
 #40

I don't have 10 merit points but I have been a long time lurker here (account made in January 2018!).
I'd like to see if I can still participate. My guess is 118.
Cheers!

After doing some high-iq math, my guess is 299 coins. Do note that I never passed a single math test in school so if I'm wrong we'll just blame it on the education system.

Sorry, but the rules are intangible.

However, I have updated the delivery conditions following the instructions of the Cryptotag team, which allow many other participants to be delivered in their country. So invite your friends to play.

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