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Author Topic: Bitcoin may not fall below $75000 in this bull season  (Read 702 times)
cryptomaniac_xxx
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March 31, 2025, 10:52:13 AM
 #61

I doubt if bitcoin will fall down to $70k again. Though right now it is coming down to $80k but within the week it will rise again because the way I see the movement, it is coming down in every weekend and rise again in the mid week. And right now it is on the green side of the bar 📈📊. And previous experience I don't think bitcoin will still hit all time high again but some people are making assertion that the price will hit $110,000 before it will come down again but I doubt if it will be.

Through 2025, I do think we will see the bottom of BTC on the chart and then the rebounce back up. I would say even lower than 70k.

But that's just me. Let's see what will come of it Wink

Everyone is welcome to make his wild educated guess.

If it falls lower than $70k then we will have to accept it, maybe there is reason why the investors are selling off, maybe they fear something that we don't know or if there are negative news in the market.

And again, as if we haven't heard this adage, if the market is red then take that opportunity to accumulate and stack sats and look at the picture picture.

 
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March 31, 2025, 12:49:48 PM
 #62

Well, I understand that people usually think positively when the market is bullish, and even if the price is declining, they remain optimistic. But I think we should still be open to any possible changes in the market situation and be able to embrace the reality that, anytime, the price will go down and turn bearish again. Maybe at this time we feel confident that there are no huge corrections yet to happen, but we are not certain how the trend is going in the 2nd and 3rd quarters. We may remain positive, but should not ignore a possible drop.

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March 31, 2025, 03:05:36 PM
 #63

If bitcoin falls below $50k, that would mean bitcoin would be down more than 50% from its ATH, and if I remember correctly, bitcoin's value even dropped 70-80% in the previous bear season. It can be seen that bitcoin falling to $50k is very normal, nothing is impossible.

Right, nothing is impossible.
We saw Bitcoin dumped below 17K from 69 K, so it's not impossible to repeat the history again. Bitcoin was at 109K, and its current price is around 80K to 81K, which is almost 30K lower than the ATH. If Bitcoin goes down below 50K again, I won't be surprised at all. Nothing is impossible in the crypto market. The market is now more centralized then before. If some exchanges decide to crash the market, they can do it within the next 24 hours. I always believe that there is a thing called market manipulation and it is real. It happens.

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March 31, 2025, 03:26:09 PM
 #64

Well, I understand that people usually think positively when the market is bullish, and even if the price is declining, they remain optimistic. But I think we should still be open to any possible changes in the market situation and be able to embrace the reality that, anytime, the price will go down and turn bearish again. Maybe at this time we feel confident that there are no huge corrections yet to happen, but we are not certain how the trend is going in the 2nd and 3rd quarters. We may remain positive, but should not ignore a possible drop.

Yes, we can be optimistic but don't be subjective because we all know that crypto is an unpredictable market, anything can happen. We follow the market, not the market follows us. So be open and accept sudden changes, don't be stubborn and obstinate because it will not benefit us.
I remain optimistic that the bull market is not really over yet, but I still don't rule out the possibility that the bear market could come sooner than we think.

The entire world economy is extremely pessimistic about what Trump is doing and this is not a good sign, we would be doing ourselves a disservice if we assumed that bear season would never come this year.

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March 31, 2025, 05:21:14 PM
 #65

The market price of Bitcoin has not been impressive since the beginning of this year and what we expect isn't what we are seeing. I never thought of the market price this year to be this poor, $81k and before we know it the price has increased to a familiar amount like $85k to $90k which will stay for a week then later drop rapidly and is not in any way helping investors or even traders, for now I'd say business hasn't been productive in any way and it seems like more of what we have seen in the first 3 months of this year will continue from next month and the hope of the market price of going up is gradually dying because if we have to tell ourselves the truth and I can't say next month will have a better chance of giving us a surprising bump, we just have to watch and see how it goes.

Currently, it's on the danger zone again as the price falls hard to $81k from $89k last week. And we didn't maintain that $85k, which is the biggest support and obviously, everyone could be in panic and selling that's why the price is going down.

It's really hard not to panic though, as in the last 2 months, the market has been in red and it looks like that there are no hope for us to recover. Nevertheless, we still have a lot of leg room this year. We are just in April, and so we should not panic and relax and just be patience and be optimistic that in the next quarter, we will see the price slowly getting back to 6 digits again.

This is not the first time Bitcoin price has dropped to this kind of amount or maybe not as this but it has dropped and we could see the panic which is normal but the selling aspect is something many do avoid, only complain of how poor it has been but this particular time I don't know but is getting to that danger zone a bit, if next month doesn't show any sign of getting the market price high then we could be seeing Bitcoin dropping to $69k to $60k (I'm just saying) because I see next month as a month to save the weak performance of Bitcoin price. I'd love to see Bitcoin get back to 6 digits again, it gives newbie investors the hope of being on the right track, some feels they made a mistake but with time they'd understand the flow or movement of Bitcoin.

 
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March 31, 2025, 05:38:50 PM
 #66

Right, nothing is impossible.
We saw Bitcoin dumped below 17K from 69 K, so it's not impossible to repeat the history again. Bitcoin was at 109K, and its current price is around 80K to 81K, which is almost 30K lower than the ATH. If Bitcoin goes down below 50K again, I won't be surprised at all. Nothing is impossible in the crypto market. The market is now more centralized then before. If some exchanges decide to crash the market, they can do it within the next 24 hours. I always believe that there is a thing called market manipulation and it is real. It happens.

Nothing is indeed impossible, but some things can't be done. Like the exchangers to decide and crash the BTC market. How can they do something like that since they don't actually own the BTC that they have in their platforms? And even if they have them, why do that? Doesn't make any sense at all.
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March 31, 2025, 08:13:39 PM
 #67

Although some people are saying bitcoin may get to $69000 but I do not think so this time. But be it anyway, expect a bounce back. No bear season yet, it is only a retracement.
All what everyone is doing is just mere speculations regardless that some speculation are backed by previous price performance but however, it is better for us to make speculations based on the current market trends. The market hasn't made any significant uptrend or downtrend movement for over a month which means that the next action will cause an uproar or an excitement again. Let's just be positive even if the price goes below $75,000 or $69k, it will still skyrocket there after.

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April 01, 2025, 01:59:44 PM
Last edit: April 01, 2025, 02:13:59 PM by Lanatsa
 #68

The market price of Bitcoin has not been impressive since the beginning of this year and what we expect isn't what we are seeing. I never thought of the market price this year to be this poor, $81k and before we know it the price has increased to a familiar amount like $85k to $90k which will stay for a week then later drop rapidly and is not in any way helping investors or even traders, for now I'd say business hasn't been productive in any way and it seems like more of what we have seen in the first 3 months of this year will continue from next month and the hope of the market price of going up is gradually dying because if we have to tell ourselves the truth and I can't say next month will have a better chance of giving us a surprising bump, we just have to watch and see how it goes.

Currently, it's on the danger zone again as the price falls hard to $81k from $89k last week. And we didn't maintain that $85k, which is the biggest support and obviously, everyone could be in panic and selling that's why the price is going down.

It's really hard not to panic though, as in the last 2 months, the market has been in red and it looks like that there are no hope for us to recover. Nevertheless, we still have a lot of leg room this year. We are just in April, and so we should not panic and relax and just be patience and be optimistic that in the next quarter, we will see the price slowly getting back to 6 digits again.

This is not the first time Bitcoin price has dropped to this kind of amount or maybe not as this but it has dropped and we could see the panic which is normal but the selling aspect is something many do avoid, only complain of how poor it has been but this particular time I don't know but is getting to that danger zone a bit, if next month doesn't show any sign of getting the market price high then we could be seeing Bitcoin dropping to $69k to $60k (I'm just saying) because I see next month as a month to save the weak performance of Bitcoin price. I'd love to see Bitcoin get back to 6 digits again, it gives newbie investors the hope of being on the right track, some feels they made a mistake but with time they'd understand the flow or movement of Bitcoin.
For those people who had been here on this market for a while then they are really that getting used to it and they wont really be that easily that getting panic out whenever the price market dips. We arent that too far off when it comes to 75k on which it is already that being that not too far and there's always that possibility that it would really be that having up such correction and this isnt that shocking nor surprising.
Never that make yourself that always be checking out the price if you are trying out to hold for longer positions, for short term approach then it will really be that necessary on this aspect. When you do really know on what you are doing then its good but if its not then you will be ending up on having that kind of hesitance on every actions that you would really be that taking.

There's always that probability that the price might really be that going that even more below 75k on which there are those who do believe that the price might be able to hit up 50k lower before it would really be that shooting up. No one really knows on what would gonna happen in the market and if you arent that knowing onw hat you are doing then that will impose that much more bigger risks on losing money or taking up that huge chunk into your trading capital. We are still going near on mid year and we arent that done yet for this year and there's still so much thing to happen. It is really just that the market is moving sideways now.

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April 01, 2025, 11:09:12 PM
 #69

I think the fall does happen but it doesnt have to be that it stays down, the more important factor is after the fall does it get back up or get worse.  A fall which recovers is very bullish and I would pretty much be glad to see the negative dealt with then remain in the wings waiting.   When we deal with negatives and end up back where we started it has to be taken positively.
 
The reason I think we do fall is we have been trading below the 200 day average since early March looks like and even though it remains above a yearly average, the 200 SMA is more then twice as important as a reference point so far as I know which means its the most referenced indicator and all these people know its been weak and nobody bought BTC enough to raise it back up.   Just the weakness alone not dealt with could signal further development is most likely to happen.

 
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April 01, 2025, 11:33:21 PM
 #70

The market price of Bitcoin has not been impressive since the beginning of this year and what we expect isn't what we are seeing. I never thought of the market price this year to be this poor, $81k and before we know it the price has increased to a familiar amount like $85k to $90k which will stay for a week then later drop rapidly and is not in any way helping investors or even traders, for now I'd say business hasn't been productive in any way and it seems like more of what we have seen in the first 3 months of this year will continue from next month and the hope of the market price of going up is gradually dying because if we have to tell ourselves the truth and I can't say next month will have a better chance of giving us a surprising bump, we just have to watch and see how it goes.

Currently, it's on the danger zone again as the price falls hard to $81k from $89k last week. And we didn't maintain that $85k, which is the biggest support and obviously, everyone could be in panic and selling that's why the price is going down.

It's really hard not to panic though, as in the last 2 months, the market has been in red and it looks like that there are no hope for us to recover. Nevertheless, we still have a lot of leg room this year. We are just in April, and so we should not panic and relax and just be patience and be optimistic that in the next quarter, we will see the price slowly getting back to 6 digits again.

This is not the first time Bitcoin price has dropped to this kind of amount or maybe not as this but it has dropped and we could see the panic which is normal but the selling aspect is something many do avoid, only complain of how poor it has been but this particular time I don't know but is getting to that danger zone a bit, if next month doesn't show any sign of getting the market price high then we could be seeing Bitcoin dropping to $69k to $60k (I'm just saying) because I see next month as a month to save the weak performance of Bitcoin price. I'd love to see Bitcoin get back to 6 digits again, it gives newbie investors the hope of being on the right track, some feels they made a mistake but with time they'd understand the flow or movement of Bitcoin.
For those people who had been here on this market for a while then they are really that getting used to it and they wont really be that easily that getting panic out whenever the price market dips. We arent that too far off when it comes to 75k on which it is already that being that not too far and there's always that possibility that it would really be that having up such correction and this isnt that shocking nor surprising.
Never that make yourself that always be checking out the price if you are trying out to hold for longer positions, for short term approach then it will really be that necessary on this aspect. When you do really know on what you are doing then its good but if its not then you will be ending up on having that kind of hesitance on every actions that you would really be that taking.

There's always that probability that the price might really be that going that even more below 75k on which there are those who do believe that the price might be able to hit up 50k lower before it would really be that shooting up. No one really knows on what would gonna happen in the market and if you arent that knowing onw hat you are doing then that will impose that much more bigger risks on losing money or taking up that huge chunk into your trading capital. We are still going near on mid year and we arent that done yet for this year and there's still so much thing to happen. It is really just that the market is moving sideways now.

Even with those who have been in the business for very long time they still have that fear of losing their money, to be frank with you nobody loves to lose his or her hard earn money for the sake of investing and with this panic it will look like the long time investors don't understand the whole Bitcoin movement, the ups and downs of it, fine there must be correction but still this fast dropping of Bitcoin is only pointing at one direction which is the red signal and we all are expecting to see more of the green lines than red, so what can we say would help those who are scared of the market price? Amd what's thee hope to give them to be strong?

 
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April 02, 2025, 02:20:45 AM
 #71

---
Bitcoin is not getting below $80000 for almost 2 weeks now. With what I am seeing, this only means that if bitcoin go to around $76000 again, the price will bounce back. Or the price may not get below that level.

Although some people are saying bitcoin may get to $69000 but I do not think so this time. But be it anyway, expect a bounce back. No bear season yet, it is only a retracement.
Looking at the liquidation heatmap, there are many investors that are waiting at the recent low at around $76,000 so if we see Bitcoin's price going to that low, there's a huge chance that it will just go up immediately.

Although it's good to see Bitcoin not going below $80,000 for 2 weeks now, I'm still not confident that we will see it's price going to as high as $100,000 or even $90,000. Whenever I look at charts, I always look at the 21 Weekly EMA, and based on that indicator, it got touched last week, but didn't end the week above it, and for some analysts, it's a bad sign. The next couple of weeks will be crucial, or maybe the next months. I just hope that we will see Bitcoin ending the week above that Weekly EMA because if not, it increases the probability of it going down to below $80,000 yet again.

I also don't see it as a bear season if it goes down to it's recent low, but just a retracement like you said. After all, it also happened during the 2021 bull run, and I expect the same thing this year.

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April 02, 2025, 03:01:33 AM
 #72

Right, nothing is impossible.
We saw Bitcoin dumped below 17K from 69 K, so it's not impossible to repeat the history again. Bitcoin was at 109K, and its current price is around 80K to 81K, which is almost 30K lower than the ATH. If Bitcoin goes down below 50K again, I won't be surprised at all. Nothing is impossible in the crypto market. The market is now more centralized then before. If some exchanges decide to crash the market, they can do it within the next 24 hours. I always believe that there is a thing called market manipulation and it is real. It happens.

Nothing is indeed impossible, but some things can't be done. Like the exchangers to decide and crash the BTC market. How can they do something like that since they don't actually own the BTC that they have in their platforms? And even if they have them, why do that? Doesn't make any sense at all.

You mean crypto exchanges? They don't have the power to influence the price, it is still up to the traders themselves, although some platform might have exposed those big sell orders that make some newbies nervous and decided to follow those whales.

But contrary to what we are seeing, the price goes up to $85k, so it might be a good start for this month as we have some bearish formation at around $82k, and if it didn't hold we might go below $80k. The good thing is that the market become positive again.


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April 02, 2025, 12:22:58 PM
 #73

Nothing is indeed impossible, but some things can't be done. Like the exchangers to decide and crash the BTC market. How can they do something like that since they don't actually own the BTC that they have in their platforms? And even if they have them, why do that? Doesn't make any sense at all.

Why do you think so?
When people open a trading position, where do you think the money goes when they lose a trade? It goes to the exchange. When you make a profit, the exchange has to pay you. Why do you think they do not own the coins that are on their platform? As soon as you deposit an exchange, the coin is under their control, and you cannot control it anymore. You have some digits in your account.

If an exchange sees that many people havee actually opened a long position, they can dump their coins so the market goes down and the traders get liquidated. They may spend a hundred thousand dollars to dothis, and make a couple of millions.

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April 02, 2025, 12:28:41 PM
 #74

Well, I understand that people usually think positively when the market is bullish, and even if the price is declining, they remain optimistic. But I think we should still be open to any possible changes in the market situation and be able to embrace the reality that, anytime, the price will go down and turn bearish again. Maybe at this time we feel confident that there are no huge corrections yet to happen, but we are not certain how the trend is going in the 2nd and 3rd quarters. We may remain positive, but should not ignore a possible drop.
Traders who always think that when the market is bullish, the price will be positive will usually get trapped and become a holder.
Lucky if he only trades in Bitcoin - Fiat pairs because holding Bitcoin for the long term will not be worrying, unlike if it is an altcoin.
Traders who are always positive and trade in altcoins will usually lose a lot.

I agree with you, even in a bullish state, you have to be ready for the market to reverse direction so that you are ready for all possibilities, because we don't know for sure when the bullish will end and enter the bearish

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April 03, 2025, 04:39:43 AM
 #75

Bitcoin has already fallen below $77000 but the price increased back above $80000. It falls below $80000 like two times. Although many times but you can understand what I means from the day candles how it is not more than two times.

Bitcoin is not getting below $80000 for almost 2 weeks now. With what I am seeing, this only means that if bitcoin go to around $76000 again, the price will bounce back. Or the price may not get below that level.

Although some people are saying bitcoin may get to $69000 but I do not think so this time. But be it anyway, expect a bounce back. No bear season yet, it is only a retracement.
I don't see it dropping to $69,000 either, the lowest it can dip is just $75,000 but then again it's unpredictable. Bitcoin's price has been hanging around $80,000 and above for a long time now and it's possible that this could be a retracement rather than a bear market. Bitcoin is almost 30% lower than the ATH and this is not the first time a kind of decrease like this is happening in the price so I'm not surprised because I know it will always find its way back on the right track.

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April 03, 2025, 07:39:10 AM
 #76

but we are not certain how the trend is going in the 2nd and 3rd quarters. We may remain positive, but should not ignore a possible drop.
A possible drop is not uncertain, it is the reason why we have come this down even at the time we all expected that after an $100k that we will even go further to that range of $150k and never get down bellow $100k to this point, ever again. it eventually happens and we so far have been at a relatively stable point for this long. we can't be too certain of where bitcoin can't drop below or can't go above until real life event leads us to that point. as it stands, a lot of event is still playing around giving us the feeling that the next point from here is another bullish movement but it is still uncertain when the next massive bull will kick in. i am more bullish on bitcoin getting to new ATH than seeing it get bellow $75k.


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April 03, 2025, 03:45:28 PM
 #77

If bitcoin falls below $50k, that would mean bitcoin would be down more than 50% from its ATH, and if I remember correctly, bitcoin's value even dropped 70-80% in the previous bear season. It can be seen that bitcoin falling to $50k is very normal, nothing is impossible.

Right, nothing is impossible.
We saw Bitcoin dumped below 17K from 69 K, so it's not impossible to repeat the history again. Bitcoin was at 109K, and its current price is around 80K to 81K, which is almost 30K lower than the ATH. If Bitcoin goes down below 50K again, I won't be surprised at all. Nothing is impossible in the crypto market. The market is now more centralized then before. If some exchanges decide to crash the market, they can do it within the next 24 hours. I always believe that there is a thing called market manipulation and it is real. It happens.
Bitcoin is prone to market manipulation, which means there will be more price fluctuations that are inevitable, and that would put investors at a severe loss most especially for those who panic easily every time btc price drops very low.

With that, be it $50k or $30k btc price drop, everything is very possible. As long as there is market manipulation, high volatility occurs that would result into price fluctuations, and that any low price drop is always possible with bitcoin, even if the market is not completely bearish.
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April 03, 2025, 11:42:33 PM
 #78

Although some people are saying bitcoin may get to $69000 but I do not think so this time. But be it anyway, expect a bounce back. No bear season yet, it is only a retracement.
All what everyone is doing is just mere speculations regardless that some speculation are backed by previous price performance but however, it is better for us to make speculations based on the current market trends. The market hasn't made any significant uptrend or downtrend movement for over a month which means that the next action will cause an uproar or an excitement again. Let's just be positive even if the price goes below $75,000 or $69k, it will still skyrocket there after.
We have no choice actually but to stay optimistic no matter what will be the future price. Bitcoin price will stay unpredictable so it's best to deal it with positivity, otherwise it will only leave you upset once bitcoin price drops so low, something that is beyond your expectation.

Know that in every price drop, there will always be a reversal. In every dump season, there comes a pump. And in every price that comes out in bitcoin market, an opportunity is waiting for us to seize and grab. Now it's up to you how you will maximize the chance.
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April 05, 2025, 04:34:56 PM
 #79

Bitcoin is prone to market manipulation, which means there will be more price fluctuations that are inevitable, and that would put investors at a severe loss most especially for those who panic easily every time btc price drops very low.

As time passes, big hands accumulate more and more Bitcoin every day. The institutions are buying more coins now and Bitcoin is getting more centralized every day. If an institute holds 1% of the total supply of Bitcoin, they can manipulate the market every day and you will have nothing to do against them except to accept what happened.

So, the only way to survive is never to open leverage trading positions and hold your coins in your wallet. Never sell on loss. If you coins loss value, wait for the market to go up and then sell it when you are in profit. Is there any other better way?

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April 07, 2025, 12:34:52 PM
 #80

Bitcoin has already fallen below $77000 but the price increased back above $80000. It falls below $80000 like two times. Although many times but you can understand what I means from the day candles how it is not more than two times.

Bitcoin is not getting below $80000 for almost 2 weeks now. With what I am seeing, this only means that if bitcoin go to around $76000 again, the price will bounce back. Or the price may not get below that level.

Although some people are saying bitcoin may get to $69000 but I do not think so this time. But be it anyway, expect a bounce back. No bear season yet, it is only a retracement.
I don't see it dropping to $69,000 either, the lowest it can dip is just $75,000 but then again it's unpredictable. Bitcoin's price has been hanging around $80,000 and above for a long time now and it's possible that this could be a retracement rather than a bear market. Bitcoin is almost 30% lower than the ATH and this is not the first time a kind of decrease like this is happening in the price so I'm not surprised because I know it will always find its way back on the right track.

It goes down to $76k, and from then on, it has been fluctuating a lot. And it's obvious that the current dip was due to the tariff that Trump announces and it really affecting everyone specially crypto. There are even threads now that saying Trump is the one causing this big dump that we are seeing as we have seen the price plummet to 30% from it's all time high.

But the thing is that perhaps time is on our side, it's just the start of the second quarter, so there still the last quarter of the year. And if we look at Bitcoin's history, it's that in the couple of months before the end of the year that we have this kind of parabolic rise so it might not be the end for us.

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