confidence is a dangerous thing

[bitzizzix]

What you need to know is that there is no truly consistent win in gambling and if some of your bets are successful, it does not necessarily mean that your next bet will be successful and it could be that the previous success was just a coincidence. So you have to be careful, indeed sometimes in such a situation you will be carried away by the atmosphere that makes you feel confident but this must be watched out for and considered for the next bet and there is nothing wrong with involving analysis and other related things to help you in making decisions because of doubt.
And I think as a gambler I have felt this and most of the next bets are unsuccessful because of the confidence that is only because you succeeded in the previous bet that makes you forget to stay careful and play with full awareness so as not to be carried away by the atmosphere that has the potential to make you controlled by the game that you should be the one controlling the game.

[Renampun]

i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

your analysis that you successfully apply in your gambling is proof that you are in the process, there is nothing wrong with that especially if you really like the sport you are betting on then you are processing data. it's different if you play slots, slots actually can't be analyzed all the analysis you use is just in vain, to succeed in slots you only need to do tricks, that's all, many slot players become slot addicts because they are delusional, they think that they are very lucky, invincible on the machine but in the end it's all wrong, they are trapped in a fantasy of being too confident.

[Rockstarguy]

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

If over the time your predictions always comes through,  do not let it to get into your head to much because sports predictions are not guarantee and anything can happen,  even if you predictions happens just like how you want it is as a result of luck.

 If you are lucky always and you let so much confidence make you think you can always get it right, this can be a trap for you that you would want to use so much money to bet and the outcome is not what your predictions is. You can make your predictions and also know that sport betting is also unpredicted,  it is a game of luck.

[uneng]

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

If you feel too high, maybe it's better to quit gambling for now and come back once you are stabilized once again. The fact you are feeling powerful, ecstatic by a recent accurate prediction, is likely to influence your judgement. Therefore, your next analyzes may be determined by emotion, instead of reasoning, and that is never good.

I guess that if you don't win your next bets you will feel really regretful for not having stopped before. So why to take this risk ahead, while you can simply enjoy the winnings you have just achieved? For me, it's obvious you should stop, otherwise you wouldn't even be asking it here.

[$crypto$]

Try your accurate prediction to bet in the casino you will feel whether this prediction is accurate or not.
In reality, it can be reversed, so don't make the mistake again, which means you need to analyze to make a betting decision.
Sometimes I also have the same hunch as the prediction and bet finally won.

[Ambatman]

You could be that good or just lucky but don't let it get to your head.
Bet within your capacity and with the mindset that
Whatever would go wrong could go wrong.

Take for example today, it was a constant that Barcelona women would destroy Real Madrid females
The odds was even supporting same with barca winning at 1.1
Long story short I placed a bet for barca and they lost


The thing is always happening don't means it would forever.

[Frankolala]

i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Don't get too excited for getting your predictions right and gave you a good win. You might feel that you have understand the tactics of winning, and that will give you more confidence to bet again. This was how a lot of gamblers felt before they end up losing big and later realized that it was by luck they got their first prediction right. When yiu are lucky, appreciate your luck and walk home.

[Cantsay]

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

One thing I have come to realized is that when you’re just making predictions without any actual plan to bet on it you tend to do well because you won’t be bothering about you losing anything so your thought at that moment is very much clear - but when you’re to bet on it you tend to start thinking of other things as well which is going to affect how much your prediction or your brain is going to be efficient.

I have done it several times and trust me when I tell you that the results at the end of the game is always shocking. You’d just predict different games and they’ll all be correct but the moment you decide to bet on anyone else you’ll start losing and all your predictions skills will instantly be nowhere to be found. So I’d advice you not to think you’d have a 100% accuracy or wins because you’ve been doing well in your previous predictions the results are always shocking.

[alegotardo]

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Yeah!

First of all, congratulations on making accurate predictions! This shows that you have a good understanding of the sport and the teams involved. However, it is important not to get carried away by emotion and to keep a cool head.

But come on... it is great to see that you are confident in your prediction skills and that your previous predictions have been correct, but remember that overconfidence can be quite dangerous when it comes to betting, so before you jump into it for real always consider the following factors:

• Objective analysis: Make sure that your predictions are based on objective analysis and not just optimism or intuition, so you should always check the data, statistics and trends to have a clearer view of what might happen and even be prepared to change your strategy mid-game if necessary.
• Risk management: Remember that betting always involves risk and so you should be prepared to lose, accept defeat if it occurs and not chase losses.
• Diversification: You may have heard the cliché “don’t put all your eggs in one basket,” and that applies here too… instead of betting everything on a single game or sport, consider betting on different sports, teams, or events to diversify your risk.

Remember, confidence is important, but caution and risk management are key to avoiding problems. Good luck!

[Felicity_Tide]

~snip

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

It might be that you've started maintaining a rightful analysis that has lead to the two recent wins, and it might also be that you've been lucky in the last two wins. It is very impossible to tell which one has been working for you because you've just had two wins. How about you continue with the same analysis method, and try it for the next 4-5 games, we might then make a proper evaluation to know which one has been working.

Personally, I won't advise you to start using money now. Just continue with your analysis and pretend like your money is on the line. But if you feel that you have more than enough to risk just to test yourself, then the decision is all yours. But my advise remains the same.

[Zigabel]

Until your money is invested,  never take credence for accuracy or a feel that you are well correct enough because at this point emotions set in and then you would know if you are actually incharge well enough again.

Making such predictions when you don't aren't willing to place a bet on them just yet may feel like you know the game better because at that poithe bias and sentiment of your money isn't involved just yet but the moment all of that is involved you begin to see things differently maybe trying to be even more careful with your picks than you have been before and all of that can contribute to you not been able to make the best of decisions with you picks at that time as much as you have always done when you has nothing at stake.

[Victorybit1]

If you are so sure of your predictions then start staking already, but I must say that sports betting has a way of frustrating you. Just because you are getting your predictions right doesn't mean it's always going to be like that. One advice I would give you is to never stake too high on a bet that you think you are very sure of, it always has a way of disappointing you. I'm not saying that it's not possible for the bet to be successful, you just have to be careful so you don't let overconfidence ruin your bankroll. Every gambler started like this but at some point you'd see what it's all about.

[Stalker22]

Listen, you made a couple good calls that ended up panning out. Thats it.  Feels nice when luck is on your side! But lets be real - it was just that: luck and  you are no some prediction wizard just cause two optimistic hunches worked out.  Its just hopes and dreams.

Confidence is not a dangerous thing, but too much confidence can be.  Getting drunk on two lucky breaks just shows you might be naïve here.  This betting game is full of dudes who thought they cracked the code during a hot streak.  They always end up busted and broke though. 

So should you bet? I cant stop you.  But dont quit your day job just yet.   Call it beginner's luck and keep expectations realistic.  Just my two sats anyways.

[Smartvirus]

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

No matter how confident you get, always try to play it safe and not going too far in the stakes. By that I mean, not having to gamble more than you can afford to lose. Confidence can fail you this way and you would loose yourself even before the bet would be lost.

It’s always a funny thing with gambling, once you’ve got money bet in a market, it always looks as though it’s going against you. Good habit, limit the number of bets you place in your accumulation and stick to safe bets.

Don’t be over confident in your gambling, it leads to too much risk taking.

[Su-asa]

I would like you to share some of your previous bets if you don't mind, so we can be sure of what you are saying. some predictions are like traps, even though your instincts tells you to bet on them you should also be careful with the amount you wager so you don't lose everything. Something out instincts are wrong so one should also becareful when betting any game from their instincts.

[Alphakilo]

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

I disagree respectfully. Confidence is not a dangerous thing. Confidence is a quality that is admirable and should be possessed by every one.

What is dangerous is over-confidence. It will make you make decisions based on wrong thinking.

This is the time for you to put your money where your mouth is. Go ahead and place a bet with the money you can afford to lose. What's the worse that can happen.

[cryptoaddictchie]

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Well I suggest you bet on it. If past results given you a hogh chance of being correct then it means you are good and likely to win. Sometimes its just mind game and lack of confident we missed. Youll never really know until you try. Why? What if you bet and made a fortune with that, imagine the possibilities and opportunity right? Who knows youll end up being a prediction master and make a fortune and name out of it.

[bhadz]

i have been making predictions about this one sport but not really turning my predictions into bets officially meaning i have yet to actually put money on where my mouth is

anyway in this sport i have been following, i have made two claims that ended up being true i wouldn't say that it is straightforward so even i am surprised with how accurate my predictions were when my basis were honestly a lot of optimism and trust to the athletes to be motivated enough to perform well after previous horrible results

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Only you can answer that to prove if you're good and lucky. There is no other people that can prove to you that until it becomes an actual bet and it has won you some money. Don't be afraid of losing even if it turns out that you're just a good analyzer but not a gambler. Everyone has to start from somewhere and you'll see if you fit that shoe of being a gambler. And for that reason, it's going to take you a while before you decide to bet on, that's okay and only do it whenever you are comfortable and ready.

[Miles2006]

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

I was expecting something different probably you must have place a bet after getting 2 or more accurate prediction, for the fact you decide to wait first shows how careful the whole process should be personally i will place a bet not minding the outcome so long as you’re comfortable with the money used for example you can start with something little. At a certain extend confidence will only cause excess pressure and what if you never get to win at first after displaying some skill, just bet using the amount you are comfortable with.

[Accardo]

anyway because my predictions have been correct i now feel drunk in power and i feel like i could get another prediction right for the next sporting event i am considering whether i should try and officially bet on it? am i actually good at analyzing things or have i just been lucky?

Well I suggest you bet on it. If past results given you a hogh chance of being correct then it means you are good and likely to win. Sometimes its just mind game and lack of confident we missed. Youll never really know until you try. Why? What if you bet and made a fortune with that, imagine the possibilities and opportunity right? Who knows youll end up being a prediction master and make a fortune and name out of it.

The possibility is low, Op is only influenced by gambler's fallacy, just like yourself, cryptoaddictchie, a form of cognitive biases that convince players that past events determines what's going to happen in the future. And winning big is among the reason why gamers try to fix themselves into believing that analysis could make a difference in hitting the jackpot someday.