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Poll
Question: Due to Trump's economic policies, has it kick started the bear market?
Yes - 15 (57.7%)
No - 11 (42.3%)
Total Voters: 26

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Author Topic: BTC Sentiment Poll for April  (Read 989 times)
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April 17, 2025, 09:18:17 PM
 #81

The price is pretty stagnant, but the Fear & Greed index and Bitcoin's dominance are slowly rising. I'm not sure if this is a bullish or bearish sign (or any sign at all).
I guess the rising dominance would fit in with the theory that this cycle's ATH is still ahead of us, and maybe even we would even see the altcon season that many were hoping for (myself excluded).
Currently, the price is still struggling to stay above the $85k, but maybe the Easter bunny will bring us some small rally just so we can finally see some action.

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April 18, 2025, 09:58:37 AM
 #82

For this year after the ATH of $109k  the rally hasn't really maintained a strong course which has really created some doubt about the bears gradually sneaking without us not knowing but base on the fundamentals on ground it's unlikely that we going bearish anytime soon. Even with the effect of the tariff war we can still see bitcoin price taking up back to $85k+. The effect of the tarrif was enough to onset a bear season but  couldn't because we're still bullish, which if price can break pass the resistance we can have April ending with an uptrend into May.
This is true, as the effect of Trump, tariff war didn't push us into the bear run, then it is a testament that the bull run is not over yet, there was a resistance to dip bellow $74k, it is enough proof for me that we are still in bull run. I believe that price can break past this current resistance and we can see more bullish months ahead, I am hopeful that we can see a new ATH between this second quarter and third quarter of 2025. What we need now are some positive global trends to push us to the peak of this bull season.

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April 18, 2025, 10:18:58 AM
 #83

The price is pretty stagnant, but the Fear & Greed index and Bitcoin's dominance are slowly rising. I'm not sure if this is a bullish or bearish sign (or any sign at all).
I guess the rising dominance would fit in with the theory that this cycle's ATH is still ahead of us, and maybe even we would even see the altcon season that many were hoping for (myself excluded).
Currently, the price is still struggling to stay above the $85k, but maybe the Easter bunny will bring us some small rally just so we can finally see some action.

Isn't it surprising though to see the price moving sideways and we are at $85k? I thought that we might not maintain this price because of the tariff. But it seems that we are solid for this week.

Although the biggest barrier is $85k, I do not think that it's hard enough to break. Maybe we just need one good news and the market will turn for the better again breaking that price and then moving along the $90k price range.

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April 18, 2025, 11:34:48 AM
 #84

The price is pretty stagnant, but the Fear & Greed index and Bitcoin's dominance are slowly rising. I'm not sure if this is a bullish or bearish sign (or any sign at all).
I guess the rising dominance would fit in with the theory that this cycle's ATH is still ahead of us, and maybe even we would even see the altcon season that many were hoping for (myself excluded).
Currently, the price is still struggling to stay above the $85k, but maybe the Easter bunny will bring us some small rally just so we can finally see some action.

Isn't it surprising though to see the price moving sideways and we are at $85k? I thought that we might not maintain this price because of the tariff. But it seems that we are solid for this week.

Although the biggest barrier is $85k, I do not think that it's hard enough to break. Maybe we just need one good news and the market will turn for the better again breaking that price and then moving along the $90k price range.
Currently, most chance's situation will be not clear until this tariff is not going to be settled which is looking not easy in near future, but movement will be also not bad because touching $85K is good and things will be stayed between $85K to $90K which are also not bad.

Political instability is having deep impact with Trump is surely going to stand with his policies which are also tense, but adjustment will be happened which will give some positive way to investors Bitcoin will be stayed slow Easter is on head, so this can bring some positivity which is also needed because in current situation positive movement is big opportunity for everyone.

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April 18, 2025, 11:46:24 AM
 #85

Most likely the world is fucked bigly for as long as 8 or 9 years.

He will likely tank the worlds economy and cause trillions lost for people everywhere.

He will also likely be able to stay in power past the 4 year term that he is in.

I would have liked to pick maybe can't be sure until six or eight months from now so I picked yes.

It is unfortunate that BTC is not seen as a true recession item like gold.

But adoption and wrapping it into ETFs has hurt it when it comes to recession.

Oh well.

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April 18, 2025, 11:54:13 AM
 #86

Isn't it surprising though to see the price moving sideways and we are at $85k? I thought that we might not maintain this price because of the tariff. But it seems that we are solid for this week.

Although the biggest barrier is $85k, I do not think that it's hard enough to break. Maybe we just need one good news and the market will turn for the better again breaking that price and then moving along the $90k price range.

The tariff is on the stop, that's why it's all gud before the new actions would be taken.

Let's see where it would lead us.
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April 18, 2025, 12:25:31 PM
 #87

Isn't it surprising though to see the price moving sideways and we are at $85k? I thought that we might not maintain this price because of the tariff. But it seems that we are solid for this week.

Although the biggest barrier is $85k, I do not think that it's hard enough to break. Maybe we just need one good news and the market will turn for the better again breaking that price and then moving along the $90k price range.

The tariff is on the stop, that's why it's all gud before the new actions would be taken.

Let's see where it would lead us.

Stop for 90 days? And then what after that lapses, we might see the price going down hard again? It's really anarchy out there, there are no written rules everyone is against each other that's why all financial market is affected negatively by the tariffs.

So we really don't know what will be the price this April. We can only hope that even if there is negative news, we have seen the lowest low for this year and we won't go as low as $60k as other might have predicted because of the whole tariff war that we are facing.

 
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April 18, 2025, 01:19:21 PM
 #88

Isn't it surprising though to see the price moving sideways and we are at $85k? I thought that we might not maintain this price because of the tariff. But it seems that we are solid for this week.

Although the biggest barrier is $85k, I do not think that it's hard enough to break. Maybe we just need one good news and the market will turn for the better again breaking that price and then moving along the $90k price range.

The tariff is on the stop, that's why it's all gud before the new actions would be taken.

Let's see where it would lead us.

Stop for 90 days? And then what after that lapses, we might see the price going down hard again? It's really anarchy out there, there are no written rules everyone is against each other that's why all financial market is affected negatively by the tariffs.

So we really don't know what will be the price this April. We can only hope that even if there is negative news, we have seen the lowest low for this year and we won't go as low as $60k as other might have predicted because of the whole tariff war that we are facing.

its the flip flop 🩴 over and over that hurts the economy bigly.

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April 18, 2025, 04:55:43 PM
 #89

Way too many people believe we are already starting the bear run, but I am not entirely sure if that is the case. While it is true that we didn't do well recently, we still have about 6+ months left for this year, which means we are not going to be bothering anything.

In this 8 months, we could see the price going up again, while it may not be good now, that doesn't mean it will stay bad for 8 long months, in the crypto world 8 months equals to decade in stock market years, so the movements we could have this season is still great. Obviously that is not going to be easy to achieve, it is going to take a while, but we need to realize it will happen,  so while it may not soon, it will be something you need to get ready for.

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April 18, 2025, 05:38:09 PM
 #90

Way too many people believe we are already starting the bear run, but I am not entirely sure if that is the case. While it is true that we didn't do well recently, we still have about 6+ months left for this year, which means we are not going to be bothering anything.

In this 8 months, we could see the price going up again, while it may not be good now, that doesn't mean it will stay bad for 8 long months, in the crypto world 8 months equals to decade in stock market years, so the movements we could have this season is still great. Obviously that is not going to be easy to achieve, it is going to take a while, but we need to realize it will happen,  so while it may not soon, it will be something you need to get ready for.

There is a monetary cycle and i don't think it can be extended to eight months from now. If we are to go up, we should be going up by the end of April and may have a little nice run for the next two months before we may see another leg down. The bitcoin has a very heavy resistance at 88K and then between 93-95K. We can see a weekly closing over this bitcoin price, only then can we see the bitcoin all time high. Otherwise we may get rejected at 95K and then move all the way back to 70K and then start the way up again but if this plays out, it may take many months.

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April 18, 2025, 09:13:49 PM
 #91

So yeah...  I was really expecting March to be green.  It turned out to be one of those ones that started well but ended up being meh.  But the monthly chart below, even though it's red, still looks like it was the up trend since 2023 intact...

But the market sentiment could be another story.  So curious what you guys think.  Has the recent events involving Trump kick started the bear market or is it still a bull market?


It cannot be denied that some of Trump's policies have brought the market back from bullishness, but there is no chance of this trend lasting for long. If Trump ends his trade war, we will see the market return to its previous position in a short time. Moreover, it is not difficult to quickly recover from the current situation in the market. I think that even if normal conditions are created, the market will continue to be bullish again. Although the Bitcoin market has declined slightly in the past few days, it has not had a chance to go further deep, which is why we can say from a sense that the market is less likely to be bearish, rather it may even surpass the previous high in the coming days. Although I do not expect much this month, I expect a bullish movement of Bitcoin in the next month.

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April 19, 2025, 08:36:48 PM
 #92

In this 8 months, we could see the price going up again, while it may not be good now, that doesn't mean it will stay bad for 8 long months, in the crypto world 8 months equals to decade in stock market years, so the movements we could have this season is still great. Obviously that is not going to be easy to achieve, it is going to take a while, but we need to realize it will happen,  so while it may not soon, it will be something you need to get ready for.
In 2025 Bitcoin still has a chance to be at $100k with more than 6 months left. After Bitcoin hit a high above $100k, the price chart with several things happening including Trump's reciprocal tariff decision has gone up and down not going past the current ATH level and Trump's decisions being considered strange have caused some people to panic.

I still think that to make a decision about the opportunity for Bitcoin prices in 2025 to experience a deep decline, it still cannot be said that it will happen. In fact, we can still hope that it will rise again.

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April 21, 2025, 02:15:47 AM
 #93

Hehehehe it appears that there are many who are beginning to speculate that the market is presently becoming a bear market. You might be correct, however, the contrarian in me disagrees. There is however, a warning from Crypoquant that the market might have more volatility after noticing large movements of bitcoin that were held within 3-6 months. According to this article, these large movements from this group implies also a large move on the market. I speculate that this move will be a pump.



On-chain behavior from this group has historically served as an early signal for major price action, according to the post. Mid-term holders are typically considered to be traders that hold a cryptocurrency for anywhere between three to 12 months.

They tend to be more reactive to market conditions than long-term holders but less impulsive than short-term traders, making their movements especially telling during transitional periods.

When large amounts of bitcoin shift out of this cohort, it can indicate growing uncertainty or strategic positioning ahead of an anticipated market event. In either case, analysts view this as a sign that a sharp move is coming, though the direction remains unclear.


Read in full https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/04/18/bitcoin-volatility-expected-as-170k-btc-shift-from-mid-term-holders-cryptoquant

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April 21, 2025, 12:26:13 PM
 #94

Way too many people believe we are already starting the bear run, but I am not entirely sure if that is the case. While it is true that we didn't do well recently, we still have about 6+ months left for this year, which means we are not going to be bothering anything.

In this 8 months, we could see the price going up again, while it may not be good now, that doesn't mean it will stay bad for 8 long months, in the crypto world 8 months equals to decade in stock market years, so the movements we could have this season is still great. Obviously that is not going to be easy to achieve, it is going to take a while, but we need to realize it will happen,  so while it may not soon, it will be something you need to get ready for.

There is a monetary cycle and i don't think it can be extended to eight months from now. If we are to go up, we should be going up by the end of April and may have a little nice run for the next two months before we may see another leg down. The bitcoin has a very heavy resistance at 88K and then between 93-95K. We can see a weekly closing over this bitcoin price, only then can we see the bitcoin all time high. Otherwise we may get rejected at 95K and then move all the way back to 70K and then start the way up again but if this plays out, it may take many months.
All scenarios can happen in the rest of this year. But this situation is not a bear, at least that is for me because the price still in high compare to the price before the last halving in $66k. So we can expect there is a rise for the price in the rest of this year. 8 months is not too long and everything can happen so that could give more time to Bitcoin to prepare the rally.

But if in the rest of this year the price is not increase and back to $93k, we don't have to worry and still waiting for the rally. Sooner or later, the price will show the sign before rally so we must prepare by accumulating more before it is too late to buy at a low price.

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April 22, 2025, 02:57:05 PM
 #95

But the market sentiment could be another story.  So curious what you guys think.  Has the recent events involving Trump kick started the bear market or is it still a bull market?
Bitcoin has not fallen below $80000 again for some time now. Bitcoin has stated too long above $80000 which is an indication that the price may not fall again. Any fall may bring trigger a response from buyers to start buying again. What I just think is that bitcoin is going to all-time high but it might take time before that will happen. This month may not have significant effect on bitcoin price but we are not yet in bear market.
Looking at today's market you will notice a tremendous move, it has been long since Bitcoin hit $90k but I was amazed by Bitcoin price today for hitting this $90k, this implies that this month or this Q2 of 2025 will be Good. I also think that Bitcoin may never fall below $80k anytime soon, even if atoll but let's hope it falls not. From my overall analysis or point of view, I think $130k may be achieved before the end of Q4 of this year. Even though it remain uncertain but there is a green light that indicates positive move.

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April 22, 2025, 04:16:23 PM
 #96

Looking at today's market you will notice a tremendous move, it has been long since Bitcoin hit $90k but I was amazed by Bitcoin price today for hitting this $90k, this implies that this month or this Q2 of 2025 will be Good. I also think that Bitcoin may never fall below $80k anytime soon, even if atoll but let's hope it falls not. From my overall analysis or point of view, I think $130k may be achieved before the end of Q4 of this year. Even though it remain uncertain but there is a green light that indicates positive move.

For some reason, Bitcoin has decoupled from the S&P index. It may be temporary, but right now, it is not following it. Yesterday, we saw the bitcoin pump irrespective of the Stocks dumping heavily.

Today, the S&P index is green, so the bitcoin is performing even better and it has crossed 91,000K today. There is a heavy resistance ahead and also at some point the exchanges will try to liquate longs too. Right now, I think there is some short squeeze happening and the bitcoin price is flying. For sure, we will get a green April month and hopefully the continuation of the bull market.

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April 22, 2025, 07:43:17 PM
 #97

But the market sentiment could be another story.  So curious what you guys think.  Has the recent events involving Trump kick started the bear market or is it still a bull market?
Bitcoin has not fallen below $80000 again for some time now. Bitcoin has stated too long above $80000 which is an indication that the price may not fall again. Any fall may bring trigger a response from buyers to start buying again. What I just think is that bitcoin is going to all-time high but it might take time before that will happen. This month may not have significant effect on bitcoin price but we are not yet in bear market.
Looking at today's market you will notice a tremendous move, it has been long since Bitcoin hit $90k but I was amazed by Bitcoin price today for hitting this $90k, this implies that this month or this Q2 of 2025 will be Good. I also think that Bitcoin may never fall below $80k anytime soon, even if atoll but let's hope it falls not. From my overall analysis or point of view, I think $130k may be achieved before the end of Q4 of this year. Even though it remain uncertain but there is a green light that indicates positive move.
The price of bitcoin hit $91k today, it should not cause much excitement because we are still expecting more supports that could probably cause the price to hit $100k again, since the price reached $91k i have been seeing resistance around $90k and hopefully before the week ends, we may see the price hit around $95k. Of course $130k can still be achieved before the end of the year, we should continue Hodling and not to be deceived by short term volatility.

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April 22, 2025, 09:07:07 PM
 #98

Both, S&P 500 and Nasdaq moved up by over 2.5% while Bitcoin did almost twice as much. What's comforting, both indices were in red yesterday but bitcoin went up anyways, which shows that the cyclical pattern might actually be stronger than the correlation with traditional stocks.
Right now we're trading above $91k, which is great to see after a prolonged period of stagnation, but it's a bit too soon to call it a breakaway. If it carries on moving up for another 2-3 days, or at least if the price manages to stay above the $90k, that would be a sign that the bull run in this cycle is not yet over.

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April 22, 2025, 09:46:02 PM
 #99

Both, S&P 500 and Nasdaq moved up by over 2.5% while Bitcoin did almost twice as much. What's comforting, both indices were in red yesterday but bitcoin went up anyways, which shows that the cyclical pattern might actually be stronger than the correlation with traditional stocks.
Right now we're trading above $91k, which is great to see after a prolonged period of stagnation, but it's a bit too soon to call it a breakaway. If it carries on moving up for another 2-3 days, or at least if the price manages to stay above the $90k, that would be a sign that the bull run in this cycle is not yet over.
Even if bitcoin fails to maintain its price above $90k over the next few days, then I still believe we are still in a bullish cycle. Bitcoin market conditions this year appear to be similar to market conditions in 2021, but of course there are several differences that make them not exactly the same. The lowest price we have seen is $74k, while the ATH is at $108k, so let's wait for the next ATH which is still possible in the next few months.

Many of us may have ignored the process of bitcoin's price journey towards ATH after the halving, but I really remember it. It took at least 15 to 18 months for bitcoin to print an ATH before a prolonged correction, but now the market may have started to recover to hit a new ATH. I'm willing to wait until November 2025, ATH will probably hit in that range.
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April 22, 2025, 11:29:09 PM
 #100

Nice news for end of April, its pretty much confirmed a breakout of the prior negative trend.   I think BTC can do much better once its beaten all these negatives in a row, also passing through the 200 day average here.
 I presume when released from its prior range BTC can refill and retrace the pattern of last autumn and we can measure strength relative to that prior action.



Next target to beat would be 96.5k but so long as DXY continues weaker I see no reason why not even if wider market might be negative looking.

 
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