Will you still bet on the next Pope next time?

[nelson4lov]

I didn't bet on the current Pope. Tbf, I didn't even know that there are outright betting markets for it. If I knew, I wouldn't bet on it for the same reason why I didn't bet on US election markets. As much as I'd love to bet of prediction markets like this, I know every little about the subject matter. I don't even know the current Pope.

My best regards to all who lost money. You win and lost some at the end of the day.

[_BlackStar]

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.

Chance is still chance - luck will help you win it regardless of what odds you have. Even if I have a 50% chance of winning - then it is certain that my chance of losing is 50%, but Cardinal Pietro Parolin's loss was so bad. When we have a higher chance of winning than others, but we still lose - then this is a really bad day, although it rarely happens, but this is something that makes many people disappointed. A person can still lose in a game even though he is almost certain to win - this is not strange and in gambling it happens often.

[r_victory]

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.

I saw some surveys where he didn't even appear among the betting options. If someone bet on him, they certainly made a lot of money.

We can say that the new pope was the underdog this time in the betting market…   

[Pokapoka124]

Will you still bet on the next Pope next time?

This question is indeed very funny. I didn't bet on the next Pope to win because the chances of winning is very low. It would have been better to bet on next Pope if they where 2 or 3 competitors, but they where many up to 6 or 7 thereabout and that will be very difficult to predict the winner. Even though the odd where convincing enough to predict correctly. But now the winners is very far from what people though. If this prediction was like normal sportbet where 2 clubs can be predicted, it would have been better, than to predic match that the contestine than above 5.

We will have to wait for God knows how long before a new pope will be elected. It’s not something that many people would be eager to bet on because the current pope has to die for another to be appointed. It’s more fun when it’s a presidential election or something that can be done every four years. The US elections was popular on gambling sites, and they often changed the odds according to the current polls which made it even more interesting.

[Odusko]

Anytime any day if I hard the chance to take my luck in a test I will definitely bet on the next pope since it has become something predictable and left for chances to tell, from the look of things, the pattern have changed and a lot is going on within the Catholic leadership system, who most people predicted to be the new Pope was not the winner after all, but then it gambling and poly market needs to generate income and if not for events like this, it will be almost impossible to tell that the current Pope could possibly be the winner since all odds where against him.

[AmoreJaz]

Anytime any day if I hard the chance to take my luck in a test I will definitely bet on the next pope since it has become something predictable and left for chances to tell, from the look of things, the pattern have changed and a lot is going on within the Catholic leadership system, who most people predicted to be the new Pope was not the winner after all, but then it gambling and poly market needs to generate income and if not for events like this, it will be almost impossible to tell that the current Pope could possibly be the winner since all odds where against him.

The take of gamblers is indeed different from each other. On my end, betting line like this would be like having a large percentage of luck is in play. Thus, I would just watch and see who are the top contenders but won't bet. Because even if we say, Parolin was the top choice, we didn't know the pulse of those cardinals who will vote for the Papacy. So the chance is quite low in this kind of betting line because we may see the pulse in the market but we don't have the upperhand regarding the people who will directly vote for the position.

[Wexnident]

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.

I mean, no surprise. It's the conclave, not a popularity contest lol. I swear people who are dumbfounded by this have never read the methods as to how the next pope is actually elected. Yes, I rooted for someone and yes, I also bet on them but no, I won't be dumbfounded if they weren't picked. The conclave is a process of a PRIVATE meeting. What people think, no matter how much they share their opinions in social media, means jack to them.

And yes, I still would. It's like once every idk, decade? Kinda fun to join in on it through betting.

[Darker45]

Betting on the next pope isn't my cup of tea. It's not because it's actually hard to choose one among several dozen candidates, but because I don't find it interesting to bet on religious stuff.

And, yeah, we're pretty much blind as to the bases of our choices. There's not much to analyze, no statistics to make something of, no public statements or platforms or whatever that candidates present to the public, and so forth.

Even the elections itself is kept hidden from the public.

[Hispo]

I wouldn't bet on that. One thing is for people to bet on who will be the next president of the United States, because there are companies that do research and publish it on news channels and that way people have an idea of ​​who may have the best chance of winning. Even looking at the comments of political analysts on TV and newspapers, people can see which of the candidates has the best chances. But that doesn't happen when it comes to the Pope, because there are many candidates about whom people don't have much information, so people won't be right if they bet.

Right, it is rather a shot in the darkness when comes to these kinds of events in which the results or the winners of the selection are in the hands of a relatively small amount of people and there are not chances for the population of a location to democratically select their pope, for example. There was no reliable way to make any analysis on the actual possibilities of the actual winner to succeed over others.

This was a huge waste of money for the majority of the people who went for the favorites, the lesson to learn here is to stick to political events like elections which are more transparent in terms of polls and it id easier to analyze what is going on and the preferences of people over one candidate.

[bubilas]

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.

I can't even imagine how you can bet on such events. It's a blind bet, because even if it's funny, what statistics do you have to try to correctly predict the outcome of such an event? This is not a football match, where there are results of previous meetings or a review of the physical form of the players. In a bet on the choice of a new pope, there is nothing that a bettor could rely on in a statistical analysis of the situation. Therefore, I will never bet on such events. It's the same as throwing a roulette ball and trying to predict where it will land.

[Churchillvv]

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.

When it comes to political or electoral gambling the outcome is not always as most or the majority speculates. the cases of pope we had so many people on the list and our expectations is very high on some but to my great disappointment it wasn't who we expected and this is a very big sign we shouldn't wager what we can't afford to loss because the outcome is very much not guaranteed nor the possibility of making the right choice is likely.

I'm just wondering what those guys who staked thousands of dollars on this would be thinking now or what's there fate on the outcome.

[bakasabo]

I feel like many people are disappointed with their wrong prediction, but this is only due to lack of rational thinking. Many have placed bets on Pietro Parolin, because «he is an Italian from Vatican». What were they thinking about? That during election Catholic church is going to select only an Italian among all other candidates? I think they have neglected the fact that most deserving person is always elected.

[asarfiar]

I didn't bet on the current Pope. Tbf, I didn't even know that there are outright betting markets for it. If I knew, I wouldn't bet on it for the same reason why I didn't bet on US election markets. As much as I'd love to bet of prediction markets like this, I know every little about the subject matter. I don't even know the current Pope.

My best regards to all who lost money. You win and lost some at the end of the day.

Very few people won the bet in the gambling. Gambling addiction takes the gamble to a level from which the person cannot easily get out. Many people say that the game can be won through effort and intelligence But in all games, such a situation cannot be noticed I saw from winning the gambling The amount of losing is high. If you win 5 rupees, then makes the loss of 20 rupees. From casino to play game and other types of betting, there are different rules that attract a gambler.

Pope bets are playing more gamblers at present and it does not look good to me.

[traderethereum]

I feel like many people are disappointed with their wrong prediction, but this is only due to lack of rational thinking. Many have placed bets on Pietro Parolin, because «he is an Italian from Vatican». What were they thinking about? That during election Catholic church is going to select only an Italian among all other candidates? I think they have neglected the fact that most deserving person is always elected.

That is what people miss so make them lose the bet. Or they really want to see someone from Italia will be the next Pope. But they will bet in the next Pope next time because their lose will not stop them to keep betting. They will bet if they think they know what they should choose. We don't know what they think so that will be up to them. I don't bet for Pope in the previous bet so maybe I will not bet in the next Pope.

[Kelward]

Maybe, OP, you should have asked a simple question about whether you would bet on something very loud, seeing as the whole world is going crazy with predictions. As far as I know, the Pope's seat is only elected in the event of the death of the previous person who occupied that seat. There was only one case where the seat was refused. So, OP, are you suggesting that such seats will change regularly, namely that people will die more often? I think this question is very wrong from a moral point of view. Not everything in life should be valued in monetary terms, OP.

I share your view, the content of the OP subject sounded like electing of a new Pope, is something that we're expecting to happen like a next game. I know he doesn't wish the Pope, death but I don't think that it's morally right to start talking about bet of another Pope, when the newly elected is still alive. Having clarified that I believe that we have enough reasons to gamble with amount that we can afford to loose because gambling wins are by luck. Don't totally rely on your analysis because upsets can happen where your favorite will be defeated, that is why it's called gambling because you're risking your money for a chance to increase it.

[aioc]

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. .

This is one voting event that we should skip if we are looking to make money, because there are no odds involved, it's unpredictable, it's something beyond our grasp, because this is a religious matter, something we have no control of.
But this is an entertaining bet, if you are not going for the money, because you can go based on the merit or history of each Pope, and just go based on your intuition.
I doubt the next time if prediction platform will still include it in their betting seeing how hard to predict the winners.

[JoyMarsha]

The opportunity to vote for the next Pope is not what anyone will be talking about now because the new Pope has just been elected. He will be staying for many years as his health will carry him as a Pope before the election of a new Pope will take on.

Till, when that time comes, I will know what to do. If to vote, or not. I am sure I will not be voting on the popular cardinal who has the high odds of becoming a Pope. I will vote on the cardinal who has the lowest chance of becoming the next Pope. They are the ones whose chance of becoming Pope is high

Like I said in my last post on this topic, chosing of Pope is a spiritual exercise, it's not by election or voting, I said the Pope that will be chosen will be the one that nobody expect and that is what exactly happened, nobody ever taught that an American will be the next Pope, alot of persons taught that it will be from the first to the third then selected and now it's a shock on the whole world . There is no need to place a bet on this issue or gamble on it because you will never understand it not to talk about winning, just forget it .

Don't be deceived. The choosing of a new Pope is through a voting process between the cardinals. Don't think it is through spirituality that the new Pope is being chosen. If it is something spiritual, don't you think a continent like Africa or Asia would have someday become the new Pope since the existence of the catholic church?

If you are still not convinced that the choosing of the Pope is done by election, you can ask Google to give you the correct answer of how the selection of the new Pope is done. 

[Sandra_hakeem]

People were betting on the next Pope?  How does one even do this?  I had no idea whatsoever who the candidates even were.

How in the heavens did you not see all the posts that got flooded on this board althrough for like a week straight? OG, you really missed a great deal if that's the case. At first, I tried as much as I could to avoid the topic. But then, I saw another poll, and another one, then I decided to engage, but against the motives.

This was the same question I asked -- "how does one even place a bet to decide who the next Pope would be"? I thought this selection was normally done through the inspiration of the Holy Spirit? Or maybe I thought wrong.

I imagine churches were being called by gamblers looking for a line on who the next Pope will be.  Nuns having to man the phones to tell degenerates that they don't know who will be selected next.  Such ridiculousness.  If you were a part of this, thanks for the laugh.

No lines are harboured by Nuns in the first place... Any further enquiry would end a degenerate gambler in a big, empty church space, having them hear their own echo should they ever spoke a word after a brief invitation for a one-on-one tipping.... (THE NUN)   . Olllddddd buoy! You know what that means right?

[Davidvictorson]

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.

Hahaha, you came back to do another thread on this. I recall the first one you did. Well, who would have thought it was going to be the priest from Chicago. I agree again with the trademark advice, gamble not with the money you cannot afford to lose. Casinos really smiled to the bank and that's how it will continue to be.

[Sandra_hakeem]

Well, who would have thought it was going to be the priest from Chicago.

Well nobody. I was shocked to my feet to hear that he got selected as the next Pope Leo XIV. Infact, I thought if the votes were to be made open for anyone to take a close watch, he may not have had much people betting on his odds.

Again I'd like to ask... We have a reasonable number of gamblers in this forum and I'm sure most of y'all played the game... Did anyone care to bet on the underdogs? Did anyone win at least one ticket?

Casinos really smiled to the bank and that's how it will continue to be.

That's how it has always been, my friend. With heavy pockets, they can now sit relaxed and plan on what next introduce.