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Author Topic: Right/best strategy to catch the house edge for long term  (Read 240 times)
Su-asa
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May 11, 2025, 09:13:10 PM
 #21

My biggest ever gambling strategy of keeping long term potential success is getting on the table(making your bet) on live matches most better as from the halftime out of the 90 Mins in the football game, then compare their odds in the realtime and how much long for the game to end.
There you'll have a more probability to win but due to odds dropping, the "payouts" value will be smaller, so you should be able to double your stakes while stand chances of collecting them profits gradually while maintaining to keep less (low) risks in the Short term after kickoff of the matches.
You just need not to be greedy of increasing your risks just to Increase your payout rate otherwise you'll lost it all back. So,  know when to stop.

You are not the first person that has thought of this, live betting strategy has been done by a lot of gamblers in the past but where did it get them to? Strategies are just like an endless succession of failures or should I say repeated failures, you try it today it works for a while then after some time it stops working. Live betting isn't safe, I have tried it and I can tell you this for free. Instead of trying to overwork yourself with strategies just enjoy the game.

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May 11, 2025, 10:50:05 PM
 #22

My biggest ever gambling strategy of keeping long term potential success is getting on the table(making your bet) on live matches most better as from the halftime out of the 90 Mins in the football game, then compare their odds in the realtime and how much long for the game to end.
There you'll have a more probability to win but due to odds dropping, the "payouts" value will be smaller, so you should be able to double your stakes while stand chances of collecting them profits gradually while maintaining to keep less (low) risks in the Short term after kickoff of the matches.
You just need not to be greedy of increasing your risks just to Increase your payout rate otherwise you'll lost it all back. So,  know when to stop.
Your strategy seems a little bit demanding because it will require you to be very attentive to the bets and to the games that you bet on. Then I'm thinking again would this strategy now work more for a gambler who bets on a very little games because a gambler who accumulates a lot of bets, this sort of strategy will be very difficult for them to put into practice because keeping up with so many games at the same time will be something very difficult for any gambler especially somebody who is gambling for the purpose of relaxation or entertainment and then trying to make some money from it.
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May 11, 2025, 11:27:18 PM
 #23

Sorry to say this, but this is just another the gambler’s fallacy.
Just because it has worked for you (till now) and you have won some bets doesn't mean it's a guaranteed strategy that will work for everyone or forever.
If you keep placing bets on low odds (less than 1.1), for example, then all it takes is one loss out of ten to end up at a net loss.
It’s like playing dice with a 99% chance of winning —> you will lose on the long run.

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May 12, 2025, 07:46:24 AM
 #24

Is that so? I used to think that house edge applies to all sports especially football. But what do we say about the changing odds when the game is on? Isn't that the sportsbook doing it so that they can have an edge?

Bookies can try keeping a spread and odds change based on the money inflow, but it's not like they have complete control over it.
Once the odds are published, it's the money that comes in that generates the movement, just as in every single market, the odds are adjusted that flow, despite that they can still lose pretty heavily on one bet, unlike casinos it's way harder to adjust those, and from he start of the bet there is no guarantee that anyone would bet on the losers.
Let's assume everyone betting on Real-Barca put their bets on Barcelona, despite the odds going to 1.01 as money kept piling there was nothing saving the bookie from the disaster.

This happens a lot in horse racing, you suddenly have a punter throwing 100k at a 10:1 horse, you can adjust the hell of the odds after it, since the whole pot isn't covering that it's just praying he got it wrong.







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AVE5 (OP)
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May 12, 2025, 12:40:13 PM
 #25

There you'll have a more probability to win but due to odds dropping
Those are the odds that you want to choose from because you want to bet safely, but some odds will be increasing as the match is getting to 90 minutes. Example are odds of the losing team which will be increasing while getting close to 90 minutes.

In-play will look simple but it is also very risky just like other bets.

You're right because the fact you lower your risk by placing your bet after kickoff match which may show some kind of convenable that you can tell what outcome the game will be isn't assured because odd changes as the teams pulls more energy while the leading team may flop.
But in this case, you'll be of better chances to win than making your bets from a future match which though isn't guaranteed.

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May 12, 2025, 07:54:56 PM
 #26

I don't think this offers much of a difference. Odds are adjusted as the games go and many times the flow of a game can change at anytime, meaning after you place your bets, the least expected team to win can always pull a surprise.

But if this works for you, then you can definitely keep up that strategy

key word in his post being "potential".
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