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Question: which one do you prefer in betting?
moneyline - 4 (50%)
point spread - 4 (50%)
Total Voters: 8

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Author Topic: moneyline vs point spread in sports betting.  (Read 346 times)
Ziskinberg (OP)
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May 11, 2025, 11:45:21 PM
Merited by Sanitough (1)
 #1

Have you ever tried keeping a record to compare the two? And what did you find, which one’s actually more profitable?

It’s easier to pick which team will win, so most people go for the moneyline. But the odds can kill your profit, since the favorites usually have really low payouts. So then you start thinking about betting on the point spread, where the payout is more balanced.

But are we really doing that kind of comparison? Or are we just betting based on gut feeling following our instincts without even knowing if we’re actually winning in the long run?

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May 12, 2025, 12:04:22 AM
 #2

I think I’ll just stick to betting on the moneyline, it’s much simpler and feels safer since I’m only picking who will win, without having to worry about how many goals or points they’ll win by. Point spread is too risky for me. I cant tolerate risking my bankroll on it.

In the end what we choose should be based on how safe or more risky we want to be. Moneline safer and less risky, the profit is comfortable while point spread is highly risky, the profits are very high compared to the moneyline.

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May 12, 2025, 05:41:58 AM
 #3

Or are we just betting based on gut feeling following our instincts without even knowing if we’re actually winning in the long run?
As a bettor, we usually combine our predictions with our gut feeling. Because sometimes the predictions we make do not give satisfactory results but our hunches can actually give the right results. But it still does not guarantee long term victory.


I think I’ll just stick to betting on the moneyline, it’s much simpler and feels safer since I’m only picking who will win, without having to worry about how many goals or points they’ll win by. Point spread is too risky for me. I cant tolerate risking my bankroll on it.

In the end what we choose should be based on how safe or more risky we want to be. Moneline safer and less risky, the profit is comfortable while point spread is highly risky, the profits are very high compared to the moneyline.
Nothing is completely safe and without risk. You can even lose your money betting on the favorite team at odds of 1.01.
For me, it's more convenient to bet on point spreads, which offer multiple selections with higher odds that are worth the risk we're taking. While the money line has low odds and is not equal to the risk we choose to take.

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May 12, 2025, 05:49:03 AM
 #4

Have you ever tried keeping a record to compare the two? And what did you find, which one’s actually more profitable?

It’s easier to pick which team will win, so most people go for the moneyline. But the odds can kill your profit, since the favorites usually have really low payouts. So then you start thinking about betting on the point spread, where the payout is more balanced.

But are we really doing that kind of comparison? Or are we just betting based on gut feeling following our instincts without even knowing if we’re actually winning in the long run?

It's up to the teams that are playing, there are games that the odds per ML is very close, like 1.79 for the underdog and 1.86  for the favorite. So with that, it's better to just go on ML and not look for the handicap as the returns is already very attractive.

But if the odds are like 1.1x for the favorite and then 2.x or higher for the underdog, it's much better to look at the handicap to get a better odds for you. I don't think that we should be betting on gut feelings, I mean if you have followed that sports then you know why the team is the favorite and if they can go and cover the spread. Or why the team is the underdog and maybe they can pull an upset or maybe a bet on the + side on them.

 
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AbuBhakar
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May 12, 2025, 06:13:21 AM
 #5

Have you ever tried keeping a record to compare the two? And what did you find, which one’s actually more profitable?

It’s easier to pick which team will win, so most people go for the moneyline. But the odds can kill your profit, since the favorites usually have really low payouts. So then you start thinking about betting on the point spread, where the payout is more balanced.

But are we really doing that kind of comparison? Or are we just betting based on gut feeling following our instincts without even knowing if we’re actually winning in the long run?

Odds in the moneyline for the winning team is really low but has higher chance of winning compared to point spread betting.

While in point spread betting, you need to accurately predict the margin of victory for you to win. You don't know if they will play aggressively to create a huge point gap or show an unmotivated play.

Point-spread betting is more profitable but you would need to be more lucky than putting your bet on a moneyline game. For example 2 gamblers bet on 5 games each, gambler1 bet on 5 moneyline games while gambler2 bet on 5 point-spread games. Gambler1 won 3 games with 12$ profit and gambler2 won 2 games with 15$ profit.

To cut it short, moneyline = low risk, low reward / point-spread = high risk, high reward.


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May 12, 2025, 06:16:03 AM
 #6

Or are we just betting based on gut feeling following our instincts without even knowing if we’re actually winning in the long run?
As a bettor, we usually combine our predictions with our gut feeling. Because sometimes the predictions we make do not give satisfactory results but our hunches can actually give the right results. But it still does not guarantee long term victory.


I think that will be the the approach of the majority of gamblers  This is the way
I do it too. I gamble on two sports disciplines - Rugby and Tennis. I predominantly
do moneyline for my Rugby bets and a mixture for tennis. I have had more positive
results with point spread in Tennis than Rugby. Maybe thas because of the scoring
system in Tennis?

With that in mind I think some sports are better for point spread betting than others.


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May 12, 2025, 06:34:37 AM
 #7

I’d love to know which one is more favorable for you. I’ve already seen some users share their thoughts, but I’m pretty sure more will join in. So I’ll add a poll so you can vote, this way, we can all see which option gets more love from the betting crowd here.   ( I voted first)

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May 12, 2025, 08:13:00 AM
 #8

Have you ever tried keeping a record to compare the two? And what did you find, which one’s actually more profitable?
It’s easier to pick which team will win, so most people go for the moneyline. But the odds can kill your profit, since the favorites usually have really low payouts. So then you start thinking about betting on the point spread, where the payout is more balanced.
If you are actually weighing the both of them based on risk to reward ratio then definitely stacking odds would be the best option. The problem is when you place a bet on a single odd or a single game without making cumulative bets sometimes the payouts are way smaller compared to your initial risks.
On the other hand cumulative odds have a better risk to reward ratio given that mathematically you are risking less compared to getting way more if you pull off a win but the thing is the chances are always very thin.

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May 12, 2025, 08:37:33 AM
 #9

Asking which of them I prefer is giving me no options

When I started to bet on sports, I was using more of the moneyline betting. That was all I knew, and it was the most popular. The individuals around me who greatly influenced me will be saying that if they put in this money, they will get maybe double in return if the team wins. There was nothing like odds.

It wasn't until I began to be confident in discussing and analyzing football matches with friends that the topic of odds started to come up, and I began to learn about over 1.5 and under 1.5. I tried it on a couple of games and it worked. Whenever I want to bet, it is my analysis that determines whether I will use the moneyline or point spread.

I prefer both of them.

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May 12, 2025, 10:24:12 AM
 #10

I prefer moneyline. To me it is simpler and I don't mind to deal with lower odds, as long as there is a fairly enough chance to earn money out my prediction.

Point spread is a different level of sport betting and requires more analysis and fairly more luck in order to correctly predict the outcome in those terms, it is not as straight forwards as simply doing some basic analysis and trusting one's gut feeling to have prediction we feel confident enough to stake money on.

Perhaps, it is because I don't consider myself to be an advanced bettor in regards of the sports I like to bet on, like football and basket, but I can understand some people feel confident enough on their experience and analysis to get a step beyond and choose point spread, as it stand today, it is simply not for me.

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May 12, 2025, 11:34:18 AM
 #11

They are correlated so it’s fairly equal.
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May 12, 2025, 12:03:14 PM
 #12

Right from time, my preference have always been moneyline and it have been profitable in a way that I don't complain or tend to change but I know I usually win big most times and I also lose more of the time. Betting is something that still works with luck despite the strategy that the player need, he could be right or wrong in their prediction so, I think that in both moneyline and point spread, there's non that can not be profitable.

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May 12, 2025, 12:46:30 PM
 #13

I’d love to know which one is more favorable for you. I’ve already seen some users share their thoughts, but I’m pretty sure more will join in. So I’ll add a poll so you can vote, this way, we can all see which option gets more love from the betting crowd here.   ( I voted first)
I mostly use moneyline. Simple bet without having to do much analysis, just put your money on the favorite, but point spread is also a bet I do sometimes, there are times when I'm bored and need a challenge in sports betting. Lol and moreover the payout is big if you win. haha ​​So it's decided I'll vote for moneyline.

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May 12, 2025, 01:04:52 PM
 #14

I'll always pick moneyline over point spread whenever the odds aren't that far off. Even though point spreads always have better odds, sometimes chasing those higher odds could mean the difference between winning and losing a bet.

It could also end the other way around, where i'd miss out on that extra bit of profit, but most of the time I recall my bad beats (losing by half a point), so moneyline is what I prioritize.

Then again, I still weigh other factors because I also agree with what aouluain mentioned, certain leagues are unbettable on the handicap or point spread.

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May 12, 2025, 01:24:09 PM
 #15

But are we really doing that kind of comparison? Or are we just betting based on gut feeling following our instincts without even knowing if we’re actually winning in the long run?
Mostly just based on gut feeling, especially when betting on the moneyline on a weak team, because based on analysis it is clear that statistics will not provide data for us to bet on the underdog.
Sometimes intuition tells us to bet on that team, the results are sometimes good but also vice versa, because the results of the match certainly will not follow what our intuition says.

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May 12, 2025, 01:54:00 PM
 #16

Have you ever tried keeping a record to compare the two? And what did you find, which one’s actually more profitable?

It’s easier to pick which team will win, so most people go for the moneyline. But the odds can kill your profit, since the favorites usually have really low payouts. So then you start thinking about betting on the point spread, where the payout is more balanced.

But are we really doing that kind of comparison? Or are we just betting based on gut feeling following our instincts without even knowing if we’re actually winning in the long run?
I am not doing that kind of comparison but looking at the odds with the points spread, sometimes they're attractive and I've bet on them. And when I've seen that I've got lesser chance of winning there, I have to stick to the moneyline and for the game winners. That's why I am following that stats only for myself. I'm not sure if the others are doing the same thing. But most of us don't really track these records and we only go with red and green in our stats. So, if we're losing more with the other, we shift and goes to the other one and whichever is more effective, we stay there.

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May 12, 2025, 02:02:36 PM
 #17

I usually go for point spread, mostly because that’s where I see the big bettors risking their money, so I just follow their lead.

With moneyline bets, if you’re backing a heavy favorite at odds like 1.30, you’d need to win four of those just to make a profit. That’s tough. But with point spreads, where the odds are usually around -110 or +100, you don’t need a super high win rate. Just stay above 52% and manage your bankroll well, that’s the key to winning in the long run.

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DaNNy001
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May 12, 2025, 02:15:29 PM
 #18

I feel like money line is more easier than point spread in sports betting, it's just easier to pick the option if any team  to win than betting on any of the teams to lead with a certain number of points...this is only going to make it more complex...what if they win and the point doesn't get up to what was predicted, it would become a wasted effort and a wasted opportunity.. I prefer to avoid things that might end up ruining my bet.

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May 12, 2025, 02:32:26 PM
 #19

When I was still active in sports betting, I always went with the moneyline, whether it was basketball, baseball, or any other sport, since all I cared about was who would win. If I were to bet on the spread, I’d probably still base my decision on the moneyline. I used to do parlays with MLB before. At first, most of my picks were red, if not all, but over time I improved and started seeing mostly green. I even almost hit a parlay once, but one bet ruined it. In the end, it really depends on someone’s gut and where they feel more comfortable, spread or moneyline.



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May 12, 2025, 02:37:11 PM
 #20

Have you ever tried keeping a record to compare the two? And what did you find, which one’s actually more profitable?

It’s easier to pick which team will win, so most people go for the moneyline. But the odds can kill your profit, since the favorites usually have really low payouts. So then you start thinking about betting on the point spread, where the payout is more balanced.

But are we really doing that kind of comparison? Or are we just betting based on gut feeling following our instincts without even knowing if we’re actually winning in the long run?

Moneyline is more simple and straight forward to me,  whenever I want to go with a strategic game on basketball I prefer to go with moneyline than point spread because I don't really have a lot of luck with it. Most gamblers that say they don't benefit from using only moneyline are probably adding up too many games, if you can just make one or two selections using this system it's better.

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