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Author Topic: Knowledgeable sports bettor vs bettor merely going with favorite  (Read 781 times)
libert19 (OP)
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June 04, 2025, 06:24:14 AM
Last edit: June 04, 2025, 02:12:31 PM by libert19
Merited by Julien_Olynpic (20), TheUltraElite (2)
 #1

We can argue sports betting is about knowledge a person has about sports but at the end of the day, a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right. So is sports betting actually about knowledge?

Edit: So many people are misunderstanding the word, 'favorite' here. What I meant here is oddmaker's favorite. Suppose, a competition is held between two teams 'A' and 'B' with odds 1.2 for former and 2.0 for latter, then former is favorite, and bettor can bet on this favorite without having iota of knowledge about sports itself and still likely win the bet.

I understand the payout will be less, but here we are saying, getting the pick right without having knowledge about sports whatsoever.

Hope I have made myself clear enough.

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June 04, 2025, 07:51:33 AM
 #2

Sport betting is not about the knowledge someone has in sport but more about the knowledge of how he knows how to analyze teams and leagues. Knowledge in sport can also help but that is not completely necessary.

a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right.
This is not true because the person cannot be perfect all the time and the favorites can not allows win.

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June 04, 2025, 08:01:24 AM
 #3

Normally knowledge first before thinking of venturing into anything. because in life having the basic knowledge and understand is very important, more especially in gambling because it is only when you have the proper knowledge that you can only make informed decisions. Though, what most gamblers are surfering today in gambling is lack of understanding, without remembering that luck can only comes in when you do the needful things.
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June 04, 2025, 08:03:50 AM
 #4

We can argue sports betting is about knowledge a person has about sports but at the end of the day, a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right. So is sports betting actually about knowledge?
I agree with you in the sense that those who feels knowledged about sports and undergoes logical researches before picking which teams to bet on and those who does not have knowledge about it but when betting, they only picks up favorite either by the team can both stand chances to win as it maybe, sport games are game of luck but, I will give a more successful privilege to those who are knowledgeable about the events because, they don't only leave the outcome for the house edge to decide for them like those just going for favorites without analysing which team is stronger before deciding.











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June 04, 2025, 08:10:15 AM
 #5

Gambling is more of a game of luck and knowledge on the strength and weaknesses of the both teams will give you a hedge on making your analysis properly. However, it doesn't still guarantee that you will win your bet. It's good to be knowledgeable in whatever game that you what you are gambling on.

If you are going only for favorites, it's still a 50-50 thing because the favorites cannot win their matches all the time due to some factors and imperfection of man.

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June 04, 2025, 08:11:07 AM
 #6

Having knowledge about football is not a guarantee of winning in betting because it can only help, because they only understand football as a whole which does not necessarily learn about how to analyze a team's chances of winning well and combine knowledge, statistical data, conditions of the team that will compete, players who play, injuries and so on and all of that must go through very mature research which according to him is not easy to be able to determine the choice even though it is a favorite team because anything can still happen if you go through all that.

And not always the favorite team will always win the match, but in reality they win more matches than they lose. So I bet on football just to test my ability to do what I mentioned above, and also as a different sensation when watching and can really enjoy it because when betting there will be seriousness and a different sensation when watching it.


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June 04, 2025, 08:14:12 AM
 #7

We can argue sports betting is about knowledge a person has about sports but at the end of the day, a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right. So is sports betting actually about knowledge?
It seems like you are dealing away the probability behinds gambling and as sport betting there is no right knowledge or perfect knowledge in it that is why when people who are that educated and knowledgeable about sports betting still ends up losing their bets, and someone who aren't that knowledgeable about sport could just make their guess and have winning, this is to tell you that sports betting hasn't moved from probability game to a game of certainties. In other words what do I mean? Gambling still remains the chances and probability.

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June 04, 2025, 08:21:54 AM
Merited by ultrloa (1)
 #8

We can argue sports betting is about knowledge a person has about sports but at the end of the day, a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right. So is sports betting actually about knowledge?

Its often goes with knowledge since we need to know which among them is the strongest this season since it will give us huge chance to win.

Placing bets on our favorite teams will not help our case since there's huge chance that we might lose from them especially that this season they are badly struggling to score some wins against on their opponents.

For some fans its hard to placed bet on the opponent of their favorite team, but if they are wise to know that they are doing that for profitability reasons there's provably a good chance that they can win.

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June 04, 2025, 08:29:58 AM
 #9

Sport betting is not about the knowledge someone has in sport but more about the knowledge of how he knows how to analyze teams and leagues. Knowledge in sport can also help but that is not completely necessary.

How do you analyze teams/leagues without having firsthand knowledge of sports itself?

a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right.
This is not true because the person cannot be perfect all the time and the favorites can not allows win.

Yes, favorites doesn't always win, but they mostly do. Suppose, there are two teams, first one has odds of 1.3 and other has 2.3 — a person who has no idea of sports he's betting on, makes blind bet on former, he'll still likely win.

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June 04, 2025, 08:50:58 AM
 #10

We can argue sports betting is about knowledge a person has about sports but at the end of the day, a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right. So is sports betting actually about knowledge?

Of course it's about knowledge of that particular sport. As it make you somewhat a advantage as compare to those who just merely betting on the favorite. And as we have discussed previously, there are different kind of bets not just ML.

So if you have that understanding of the game and the teams involved, then you can go and bet and pick a good odds like the handicap or even bet on the underdog if you see that it has a great chance that the sport bookies didn't give. And with that, you can make a good amount of money in the end with the knowledge that you have.

 
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June 04, 2025, 08:59:37 AM
 #11

We can argue sports betting is about knowledge a person has about sports but at the end of the day, a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right. So is sports betting actually about knowledge?

Exactly it's basically bent on knowledge be it any sports or your favourite but sometimes why it seems that favourite will always have a better pick is because, the sports bettor I've applied much knowledge on that particular favourite which has led him to take every chances in making sure he got a win win.but a sports bettor not applying a knowledgeable factor is less likely to have a win.

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June 04, 2025, 09:00:40 AM
 #12

We can argue sports betting is about knowledge a person has about sports but at the end of the day, a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right. So is sports betting actually about knowledge?
Gambling doesn't obey or respects who is more knowledgeable than the others and you can guess correctly and win while the person who took his time to study everything could still end up losing big time, the major thing is that we should trying to reduce our tension and hope while gambling, many people focuses their thinking of winning a specific amount of money from gambling while placing their bet and at the ending you would see that they will end up having much accumulated odds which could be that difficult for them win, but someone who is that common to gambling could just come and pick a single game that he knew that is more reliable and place bet to win that particular game, while those who thinks they knows more better ends up losing because they have much bulky games with them.

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June 04, 2025, 09:11:58 AM
Merited by libert19 (1)
 #13

a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right. So is sports betting actually about knowledge?
Sure, he might be getting the picks right, but the real question is, are the bettors actually profitable?
And the answer is likely no, especially if they’re always betting on favorites.

Favorites usually come with low odds, and since we’re talking about sports betting, this is still gambling where there are many options like totals, point spreads, and more. What you’re probably referring to is the moneyline, but relying only on that doesn't guarantee long-term profit.

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June 04, 2025, 09:29:44 AM
 #14

We can argue sports betting is about knowledge a person has about sports but at the end of the day, a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right. So is sports betting actually about knowledge?

Based on my experience, a person who goes by favorite all the time will win less often compare to how frequent a person that has a real knowledge about sport would win. Don't forget that sports betting is a game of skill and luck, if you don't apply the skill and you only depend on luck, that means you will have a less chance to win, while the skilled bettor will win more than you do. When I had no much knowledge about sports betting, I was only making random picks but I saw a difference when I became more knowledgeable.

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June 04, 2025, 09:43:38 AM
 #15

We can argue sports betting is about knowledge a person has about sports but at the end of the day, a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right. So is sports betting actually about knowledge?
I don't think so because if this is happen most of the poeple who do the only the sports betting those will get chance for betting fews time in a year.
For example, in cricket, Bangladesh and Australia are on my list of favorite teams. Now, if I only pick them, I can bet on them at most five to ten times a year. But usually I don't do that. I try to bet on matches or teams that I have good knowledge about and have a chance of winning if I bet on them. So in sports betting yes knowledge actually does matter.

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June 04, 2025, 09:56:00 AM
 #16

We can argue sports betting is about knowledge a person has about sports but at the end of the day, a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right. So is sports betting actually about knowledge?
Is this not you contracting yourself? How can you have favorite when you know nothing about them? Before you chose a favorite, you must have been watching the team and known how they play and all that, which means something must interest you about the team and that a lone is knowledge. The point is that choosing a favorite is a result of knowledge. If you are a supporter of a club, you will know a lot about the club because you would have been watching their games and know who they can win and who they cannot. That is having pure knowledge of the team.

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June 04, 2025, 10:10:50 AM
 #17

We can argue sports betting is about knowledge a person has about sports but at the end of the day, a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right. So is sports betting actually about knowledge?

In short, betting is a little less luck and a little more knowledge than is needed for casino games. However, betting requires much more luck and much less knowledge than poker. Why is there less knowledge? Because for betting, knowledge, starting from a certain volume, is simply useless due to the inability to take into account all heterogeneous factors. If not, then as a counterexample, is it possible to show a person who, before the final, PSG vs. Inter able to predict 5-0 based on their knowledge? Not to guess, but to predict. Maybe some kind of sports blogger?
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June 04, 2025, 10:13:57 AM
 #18

We can argue sports betting is about knowledge a person has about sports but at the end of the day, a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right. So is sports betting actually about knowledge?
Honestly, sports betting is about knowledge because you wouldn't place a bet without thinking of winning right? Though, sometimes you show support on your favorite underdog team but let's be real that you wouldn't place a high amount of bet because even though it's your favorite team and you are looking forward for it to win, the chance of losing is high.

And you do place on a bet where you think is the most likely going to happen based on statistics, your analyzation and observation and you don't just place bet because you wanted to or you have instinct, that' where most people lose their money. So for me, sports betting is actually about knowledge, logical thinking and analyzation.

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June 04, 2025, 10:21:28 AM
 #19

We can argue sports betting is about knowledge a person has about sports but at the end of the day, a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right. So is sports betting actually about knowledge?
To bet on sports, you need to have knowledge of match analysis. The skills of knowing where the team is playing, what conditions they are playing in and whether they will be able to adapt to the situation and where the strengths and weaknesses of the players will be and how those strengths/weaknesses will affect the team against each other are very important for betting. Knowledge of the games alone is not enough. In cricket, weather and pitch conditions make a team stronger or weaker. In football, crowd pressure and weather affect the teams. Therefore, the skill of match analysis for sports betting can increase the chances of winning the bet. However, the final result is based on luck.

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June 04, 2025, 11:31:34 AM
 #20

We can argue sports betting is about knowledge a person has about sports but at the end of the day, a person who merely goes with favorite, will also get his picks often right. So is sports betting actually about knowledge?
Those who gamble without minimum knowledge are not gambling but blindly betting money. In their case, luck sometimes works, but most of the time their chances of failure increase. Before gambling, a gambler must acquire proper knowledge. Just as it will be useful in gambling, it will also play an important role in controlling himself. Gambling does not always win, but sometimes losses can be avoided by controlling it. The amount of loss is reduced to a large extent. Although luck plays an important role in casino gambling, knowledge is necessary for sports betting. Good research does not yield results in all bets, those who have good knowledge and experience definitely have a good chance of winning. A knowledgeable sports bettor is able to analyze very well why one team will win and the other will lose even if the positions of the two teams are the same.

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