Thanks for the nice suggestion. I didn't just focus on profit, I wanted to say how much profit can be. I have decided to buy 0.5 Bitcoin and buying from one year ago. My purchase method is DCA method and one-time investment. I have estimated that my average purchase price may be 80k-90k dollars. If I buy 0.5 Bitcoin, then I need 40000 dollars. If I buy 30 dollars every week, 40000÷30= 1,333.333 weeks will be needed. 1,333.333÷52=25.641 years. It will take about 26 years to achieve my goal, but I will not take so much time. I will try to achieve my goal as soon as possible. Because sometimes I get money from my businesses. I will invest more at that time and try to achieve my portfolio target quickly.
You tried to calculate. That's good. But I think you're still looking at the issue a bit too much from the target quantity and profit angle. Not from the investment process angle.
Setting a 0.5 BTC target is not bad. But such a target leads many newbies in the wrong direction. Because they make quantity a goal. The real question lies elsewhere. How strong your cash flow? How much discretionary income you reliably allocate .How more year can you continue buying
BTC without panicking.
You showed that it can take about 26 years to reach 0.5 BTC with just $30 weekly buy. The lesson from this should be that 0.5 BTC is not impossible. Rather, if the weekly amount is small, the growth of Bitcoin holdings will be slow. This is normal. So the issue is not 0.5 BTC. The issue is the accumulation rate.
If extra money comes from business occasionally, then a better approach would be to not invest that extra money with random excitement. Deploy it in a planned way. Keep regular DCA on. If cash flow is strong, increase the buy amount. If extra funds come, make a staged lump sum instead of waiting for DIP.
But don't be overly aggressive. Don't put money in investment form the emergency fund. Don't put money form necessary expense. Or you may have to force sell later. And forced sell ruins many people's investment plans.
There is no need to worry too much about whether the average price
BTC will be 80k to 90k or not. Because the price of
BTC may increase or decrease after a few years and even now its happening so it is completely unpredictable. Especially if you are still in the accumulation stage. In the early years, more important than the average cost is whether you can make buying habit. you should build a backup fund. you should also build psychological discipline.
If you really want to achieve your goal quickly, Make a clear framework for yourself. What percent of your income will go to
BTC. What is the weekly base amount. What percentage of lump sum will you make if extra money comes from business. And how many months of expenses will the reserve fund cover. Then you will understand whether you are actually investing or just getting excited by seeing a big
BTC number.
0.5
BTC may happen someday. It may also to be not. Increase the DCA amount step by step. And do not destroy the system. Then getting closer to the target will be more realistic. Do not stand on random hope. Because if the price of
BTC increases with time, then you will get less
BTC with same amount . What the price of
BTC will be after 5 or 10 years is uncertain, where as if you buy
BTC after calculating for 26 years, it will be bad feeling for you as you do not reach the target later. Because the price of Bitcoin is always volatile .