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Author Topic: The three types of cryptocurrency analysis.  (Read 195 times)
Joy- maker (OP)
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June 11, 2025, 09:10:08 PM
Last edit: June 12, 2025, 03:58:54 PM by Joy- maker
 #1

my main motive of creating this thread is for newbies who are just getting started with cryptocurrency to go through it and learn and understand the three types of cryptocurrency analysis.

There are three types of cryptocurrency analysis:
Fundamental analysis.
Technical analysis.
On-chain analysis.

Fundamental analysis: fundamental analysis is a deep dive into all the informations available about a cryptocurrency or a method of evaluating a cryptocurrency potentials by studying it. it uses a mix of both quantitative financial metrics and quantitative measures. the aim of fundamental analysis is to determine a cryptocurrency real value.
When you now compare that fundamental value to the current price market, you can now known wether the cryptocurrency is an under valued or over valued asset, if an asset is under valued it represent a buying opportunity, but if the asset is over valued it's sign time to take profits.
Fundamental analysis are merely for investors but traders also carry out fundamental analysis before placing a trade.

Fundamental analysis.

Quote
Consider a meme coin like Dogecoin, does it have any intrinsic value? The technology entrepreneur Mark Cuban doesn’t think so, saying “That’s not to say [dogecoin] has any intrinsic value. It doesn’t.”

However, when we apply the tools of fundamental analysis, we are more informed. So, what is Dogecoin? Firstly, we can see it lacks many fundamental value propositions like a roadmap, developer team, and even a whitepaper.

Still, it does have a market cap worth tens of billions, hundreds of millions in 24-hour volume, and is one of the most known of any cryptocurrency. It even proved a use case when Mark Cuban’s NBA team, the Dallas Mavericks, accepted it as a payment method for tickets. Clearly, it has an intrinsic value.

While the fundamental analysis may indicate that at $1 Dogecoin would be overvalued, at 5 cents it could be a great buy.
Here are key information to inform fundamental analysis:
Market cap.
Tokenomics.
Total value locked.
Read map.
Team members.
Community size and engagement.
Rate of network growth.
Rate of adoption.
White paper.
And use case.

Technical analysis: technical analysis looks at the past price movement of an asset in attempt to determine which way the market is likely to move next, wether if it will go up, down or sideways. Technical analysis draws on numbers of statistics indicators and patterns to determine the probability of each scenario.  traders use statistical metrics, they rely heavily on visual charts to help identify key signals, such as support and resistance. Ultimately, technical analysis is used to find buy and sell signals.

This is an Example of technical analysis for cryptocurrency.
Below is a bitcoin chart showing technical analysis note the bitcoin chart below was taken from TradingView in late July of 2021. My sincerely apologise for using old chart to cite example.

Quote
The purple line in the lower third is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is an indicator that evaluates overbought or oversold conditions.
Cointree’s Technical Trading Analysts identified that it was entering oversold territory and we may see some profit taking.

Next, our analyst noted the 50-day moving average was moving upwards, confirming what looked like a bullish trend. In summary, our analysts used technical trading tools to predict, that while we may see a short drop in price in the short term, the market would then most likely keep pushing higher. As you may remember, that’s exactly what happened.

Popular tools of fundamental analysis:

Moving average convergence divergence (MACD)
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Bitcoin price Simple Moving average (SMA)
Moving Average (50,200) Crossover
On-balance volume (OBV)

On- chain analysis: on-chain analysis looks at the public data on the Blockchain. It is an emerging field that is unique to the cryptocurrency space. This are on-chain analysis is mostly used by traders, traders use it for better predicting of market movements and gauge market sentiment. Traders also use this on-chain analysis to spot the reasons different market participants are buying and selling, such as miners selling to pay Bills or hedg funds taking profits. traders also use on-chain analysis to see how different market participants are behaving, such as institutional investors, miners, changes and retail trading. traders use range of signals, which includes Wallet balance, coin dormancy and transaction value.
The chart below is an example of on-chain analysis chart.

Quote
As we can see on the chart above from Glassnode, the percentage of bitcoins held by miners and large holders has decreased significantly, while the number of coins held by everyday investors has increased substantially. This is an important metric as it shows that the network continues to become more and more decentralised over time.

Moreover, the above chart can be used by traders to see how much influence that different market participants have over the price. As the co-founder and CTO of GlassNode, Rafael Schultzre-Kraft, reported, “We have seen a significant increase of bitcoin whales (and their supply) since 2020. This suggests that institutional investors, funds, family offices, and other [high net worth individuals] HNWI have been entering the space.”

Insightful on-chain indicators include :

Number of active addresses
Number of transactions
On-chain volume
Hash rate
Miner revenue
Total value locked (TVL)
Market value to realised value (MVRV)
Network value to transaction (NVT)
Realised cap
https://www.cointree.com/learn/the-three-types-of-cryptocurrency-analysis/
Please your Corrections are valid.



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June 12, 2025, 03:43:22 PM
 #2

There are three types of cryptocurrency analysis:
Fundamental analysis.
Technical analysis.
On-chain analysis.
Focus on fundamentals is best because if a company has good fundamentals, it has good value inside. If you fall into technical analysis or on-chain analysis, you are chasing tails of those companies and their already happened actions while intrinsic value might be nearly zero.

Another risk is all analyses have high chance of inaccuracy and if you are too confident on any of your analysis that is either technical or on-chain, you might make terrible decision while ignoring all basic preventive methods that can help you defending your capital so well and efficiently.

After doing your research on fundamentals of a company, project, you can move on with good insight on its possible value and make your investment decision. Let's say fundamental analysis is for investment and investor, not for traders.

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June 12, 2025, 04:54:03 PM
 #3

Of the three analysis, try to understand them very well and know how to trade, speculate the market and get the basics of how to be a trader, because this will help you well when you're bale to combine them all in making your research about the market performance and what to expect, because it will get to a certain stage, whereby we must only have to consider on all other analysis to be able to arrived at something meaningful concerning the market.

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Joy- maker (OP)
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June 12, 2025, 05:08:40 PM
 #4

Of the three analysis, try to understand them very well and know how to trade, speculate the market and get the basics of how to be a trader, because this will help you well when you're bale to combine them all in making your research about the market performance and what to expect, because it will get to a certain stage, whereby we must only have to consider on all other analysis to be able to arrived at something meaningful concerning the market.
each of this analysis is valuable on their own but when you combine all of them together it becomes more powerful for you as trader or as an investor to carry out research on market performance before placing a trade or before investing in an asset. Though investors don't really need to carry out technical and on-chain analysis before they can invest in an asset, those analysis are mainly for traders but it's also important for an investor to know technical and on-chain analysis.

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June 13, 2025, 11:04:25 PM
 #5

Of the three analysis, try to understand them very well and know how to trade, speculate the market and get the basics of how to be a trader, because this will help you well when you're bale to combine them all in making your research about the market performance and what to expect, because it will get to a certain stage, whereby we must only have to consider on all other analysis to be able to arrived at something meaningful concerning the market.

Each analysis has its strengths and weaknesses, we can form a more complete perspective on market conditions if knowing that. Trading is not just about data, but also about market behavior and managing risk. So, keep practicing, be disciplined in research, and don't forget the market is also influenced by external factors that often cannot be predicted from charts or financial reports, and what makes the difference between traders is the ability to read signals from the indicators. If someone only know the theory but can't understand market movements, I think this will be useless too.

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June 13, 2025, 11:32:00 PM
 #6

There are three types of cryptocurrency analysis:
Fundamental analysis.
Technical analysis.
On-chain analysis.
Focus on fundamentals is best because if a company has good fundamentals, it has good value inside. If you fall into technical analysis or on-chain analysis, you are chasing tails of those companies and their already happened actions while intrinsic value might be nearly zero.
He is talking about cryptocurrency analysis and you are talking about company. If you want to do a fundamental analysis on ETH, according to you then you should do a fundamental analysis on the ETH foundation. That does not make sense.

Each analysis has its strengths and weaknesses, we can form a more complete perspective on market conditions if knowing that. Trading is not just about data, but also about market behavior and managing risk. So, keep practicing, be disciplined in research, and don't forget the market is also influenced by external factors that often cannot be predicted from charts or financial reports, and what makes the difference between traders is the ability to read signals from the indicators. If someone only know the theory but can't understand market movements, I think this will be useless too.
Different kind of analysis takes into account external factors, so that is not really a counter argument. A proper analysis includes internal and external elements, so it does factor in all of this.
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June 13, 2025, 11:46:46 PM
 #7

Fundamental analysis.

Fundamental analysis tends to be used as the main reference by investors in making investment decisions into certain assets, because the main goal is for the long term, so it must be able to ensure that the invested assets have great potential in the future.

Quote
Technical analysis.

In contrast, technical analysis tends to be used only by traders, the main goal is to find short-term profits, so whatever assets have the potential to rise, even if it only rises for a short time, it is likely that traders will buy it, one example is meme coin.

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June 13, 2025, 11:53:38 PM
 #8

There are three types of cryptocurrency analysis:
Fundamental analysis.
Technical analysis.
On-chain analysis.
Knowledge of the three can greatly improve the chances of your success in trading by improving the chances of you being more accurate in your predictions and analysis. If you are a trader who is new and plans on being successful, neglecting any of the three forms of analysis can reduce your efficiency and accuracy greatly. They are all important.

You do not need to be a master of the three but knowledge of the three of them would help.

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June 14, 2025, 01:29:45 PM
 #9

Knowledge of the three can greatly improve the chances of your success in trading by improving the chances of you being more accurate in your predictions and analysis. If you are a trader who is new and plans on being successful, neglecting any of the three forms of analysis can reduce your efficiency and accuracy greatly. They are all important.

You do not need to be a master of the three but knowledge of the three of them would help.
In the crypto trading world, I think the common one that is being used is the technical analysis but if we can add more in our basket why not right? As that can only give us more benefits.

And if ever we can add more, for sure Fundamental analysis is going to be the next one on the list, because I never or rarely heard of that On-chain analysis. But based on its name, it must be related to the transactions, am I right? Though indeed that transactions can also dictate if what will be the price of the coin or the flow of the market. It is just that I think many transactions can occur quickly even before we can react. Maybe that is the reason on why it is being preferred less by the people.

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June 14, 2025, 01:36:10 PM
 #10

I usually check the fundamentals and that's how I analyze the market. While for technicals, there are many ways of doing it but I'm not good at it to admit. And that's why doing fundamental analysis, this is way comfortable to me but I wouldn't say it as something easy to do. But then, whichever type of analysis works for any of us, we should stay on it or even just the holding. It might not be a type of analysis but it's a type of investing strategy that works for the most of us. It's never been easy as well but it has made a lot of people richer.

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June 14, 2025, 01:52:53 PM
 #11

On- chain analysis: on-chain analysis looks at the public data on the Blockchain. It is an emerging field that is unique to the cryptocurrency space. This are on-chain analysis is mostly used by traders, traders use it for better predicting of market movements and gauge market sentiment. Traders also use this on-chain analysis to spot the reasons different market participants are buying and selling, such as miners selling to pay Bills or hedg funds taking profits. traders also use on-chain analysis to see how different market participants are behaving, such as institutional investors, miners, changes and retail trading. traders use range of signals, which includes Wallet balance, coin dormancy and transaction value.
I believe there would be no need of such on-chain analysis because this is definitely belonging to fundamental analysis. You may coin any new name by separating anything from fundamental analysis but I am stating what I feel about your these three types of analysis. Bitcoin or any cryptocurrency is not a new thing with respect to trading perspective hence there could be only 2 type of analyses are possible basically. I mean no innovation is going to be applied in the name of on-chain which is already a part of fundamental analysis.

How many total circulating coins and how many coins are on dormant wallet kind of things definitely influence the price of a coin fundamentally and not day to day basis. So, for trading point of view, I am not sure how those on-chain related things will help an active trader.

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June 14, 2025, 02:22:46 PM
 #12


There are three types of cryptocurrency analysis:
Fundamental analysis.
Technical analysis.
On-chain analysis.

These three types of analysis are common to traders but your main focus for beginners I appreciate it and you have explained it very well. Another important thing is risk management and emotional management even though you have understood these three types of analysis very well if not accompanied by the two things I mentioned your trading can continue to lose. Risk and emotional management are other pillars for success in trading.

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June 14, 2025, 11:52:48 PM
 #13

It seems that the on-chain analysis is a bit complicated. I never tried this analysis before, but I think banks and big institutions have a good source of data for on-chain analysis because I believe these data came from paid subscriptions. I can't afford a subscription since I am just a retail trader.
I mainly do technical analysis and a bit of fundamentals. For me, it's enough to be a profitable trader; even a slow gain is fine for me.

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June 15, 2025, 03:55:36 AM
 #14

It seems that the on-chain analysis is a bit complicated. I never tried this analysis before, but I think banks and big institutions have a good source of data for on-chain analysis because I believe these data came from paid subscriptions. I can't afford a subscription since I am just a retail trader.
I mainly do technical analysis and a bit of fundamentals. For me, it's enough to be a profitable trader; even a slow gain is fine for me.
It is harder to manipulate on-chain indicators and it takes more time for such on-chain manipulations, however it is still possible. Therefore, on-chain analysis is still possible inaccurate, not only because your bad analytical work, but also because of on-chain manipulations behind the scene from market makers.

Looking in long-term growth, and only focusing on a strong cryptocurrency like Bitcoin, can help us having more comfortable adventure in this market, while it increases our chances of getting profit.

With Bitcoin, it's simple: "If you can HODL your bitcoin, for some years like 5 years+, you will get profit". For a shorter holding time, be more careful with your financial and investment capital management, including emergency fund, because you can have temporary loss.

https://hodl.camp/

R


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June 15, 2025, 07:40:58 AM
 #15

Fundamental analysis - Basically for people who believe in long term and influence by major trends or events. Looking at the big picture.

Technical analysis - Mostly used by tradera, influenced by charts and indicators. Not using events but rely on chart and its pattern for potential market movement.

Onchain analysis - These are the users prefer onchain footprint than charts and green and red lines. Once they saw some good movement onchain they based their decision on these movements. Actually I prefer this over the one on TA.

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June 15, 2025, 02:19:59 PM
 #16

It seems that the on-chain analysis is a bit complicated. I never tried this analysis before, but I think banks and big institutions have a good source of data for on-chain analysis because I believe these data came from paid subscriptions. I can't afford a subscription since I am just a retail trader.
I mainly do technical analysis and a bit of fundamentals. For me, it's enough to be a profitable trader; even a slow gain is fine for me.

Exactly some of these on-chain analysis are hidden because most of the platforms tracking certain chains usually do not give out such information easily, plus with technical analysis you can actually get a glimpse of information on onchain in terms of volume buy and volume sells. Personally I feel with the technical analysis and the fundamentals a trader can get a good or comprehensive confluence and still make profits, most traders usually use only the technical analysis but we all know the market can swing or change sentiment with some fundamentals, that’s why it is great to actually check the fundamentals to have a good set up.

Another analysis needed again is the sentimental analysis, although this looks like the fundamental analysis but it has to do with the market emotions, social media news and we all know of recent how this has easily change the market sentiment in a very short term compared to fundamentals which is based on the product value and how it is a long term trend. For a trader mostly daily traders sentimental analysis is another tool for a very good trade

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