Recency bias

[kotajikikox]

In watching sports, it is very common for fans to have recency bias especially if fans are new. They might not have watched certain important events so they end up only believing what they have witnessed from recently. If a team wins the latest match, fans might think they are already at the best form of their careers.

In sports betting, this can hinder you from making rational decisions. Sometimes, people fall for short clips cut specifically to make an athlete look good or cool. This is very common on reels or tiktok. How would you combat recency bias? Or do you even believe that recency bias is a thing? or do you believe a team or athlete is only as good as their latest match?

[Agbamoni]

Any sports bettor ready to make profit from sports betting needs to understand these two things.

1. Never make predictions with sentimental mentality. Being biased will only make us choose the wrong odds at times,
2. Consistency watch the sports you prefer betting on. If you are not informed then you are deformed. Watching our favorite betting sports will make us know the latest development and performance of each teams,

[Agbe]

Bias is one thing that we can't remove completely from humans especially when it comes to sport where each person has their soft spot for one club and this has affected the sense of judgement of most gambler's as far as am concerned because I have seen gambler's who can't bet against their team in when they are in their worst of forms so for us to be good gamblers we need to remove bias from us by being neutral in our analysis

[Ojima-ojo]

Sport betting have to be somewhat straight forwardedly looked, since sport bet have a higher risks of losing because of an on spot incident that can impact the outcome and speculation of most gamblers, this is why when doing analysis we should not rely too much on them but also take note of recent incidents and possible realities during the game.


Majority of the time that sport bettors lose their bet is either because of reality outcome and also emotional selection of games, winning don't have any affiliation with emotions and at such we have to face the realities and pray luck is on our side.

[Charles-Tim]

From what I understood now is that a strong team that is not having a good time that people think a strong underdog may defeat may disappointed people by winning the underdog that is having a better season but it may also be otherwise. But I prefer to use the last 5 matches to make my own predictions and sometimes I make sure I check their head-to-head.

[robelneo]

In sports betting, this can hinder you from making rational decisions. Sometimes, people fall for short clips cut specifically to make an athlete look good or cool. This is very common on reels or tiktok. How would you combat recency bias?

You are not good at analyzing games if you only believe in one option; there should be other options, and you should be objective and ready to check and take a look at them, and comes up with the best option possible, remember its your money that you are using to bet, so consider all the other options.

Or do you even believe that recency bias is a thing? or do you believe a team or athlete is only as good as their latest match?

It's not conclusive, but it's one of the factors; you have to check the outcome and the performance if there is a deterioration in performance.

[Sandra_hakeem]

In watching sports, it is very common for fans to have recency bias especially if fans are new. They might not have watched certain important events so they end up only believing what they have witnessed from recently. If a team wins the latest match, fans might think they are already at the best form of their careers.

That's crazy!! Who ever thought this would be a topic to discuss?? Yeahhh, I'm not saying in a bad way though. I just have to flow with the current.

Decency bias is infact the reason why we have the diversity in football and sports in general. It's also a major factor and leverage to the casinos -- since we all can't arrive at the same odds and pattern of prediction.

In sports betting, this can hinder you from making rational decisions. Sometimes, people fall for short clips cut specifically to make an athlete look good or cool.

That's exactly why everyone is entitled to their speculations. I find it very difficult to get predictions from some sites and wager with my money for the same reasons.

This is very common on reels or tiktok. How would you combat recency bias?

Trying to combat it is like trying to shut people's mouth from giving their opinions, or being controlling

[Bitcoin Smith]

How would you combat recency bias? Or do you even believe that recency bias is a thing? or do you believe a team or athlete is only as good as their latest match?

I don't bet on the games that I have no knowledge, which eliminates the bias created from social media influence. But in sports recent form matters too, people may do it without knowing the importance of it but if a team won from a place where they are not expected to win then people will expect them to repeat the same in their next game and so on for a while.

Win based on lot of factors and it is possible for people who are passionate about a particular sport can come up with better analysis. However luck is what really maters for us to win the bet.

[Slow death]

I only bet on football matches, sometimes I bet on clubs and leagues that I don't follow often, but I analyze the performance that each team has had in the last 5 or 10 games and how each player is in terms of health and performance and the H2H and how each team has performed at home and away. So this allows me to bet on matches from leagues that are not famous. I don't base my bets on Tik Tok videos, I don't base my bets on other people's opinions and guesses, I base my bets on the analyzes made by myself.

[aoluain]

In watching sports, it is very common for fans to have recency bias especially if fans are new. They might not have watched certain important events so they end up only believing what they have witnessed from recently. If a team wins the latest match, fans might think they are already at the best form of their careers.

In sports betting, this can hinder you from making rational decisions. Sometimes, people fall for short clips cut specifically to make an athlete look good or cool. This is very common on reels or tiktok. How would you combat recency bias? Or do you even believe that recency bias is a thing? or do you believe a team or athlete is only as good as their latest match?

Thats an interesting concept, one I'm sure is relevant to some peoples experiences.

Its a tricky one to call, maybe a recency bias could work in your favour but how
do you know in advance? - its a gamble but the prudent thing to do is bet on
each match separately bearing in mind recent performance but also on the
opposition too - you cannot disregard the opposition based solely on a teams
recent form alone.

[Lanatsa]

In watching sports, it is very common for fans to have recency bias especially if fans are new. They might not have watched certain important events so they end up only believing what they have witnessed from recently. If a team wins the latest match, fans might think they are already at the best form of their careers.

In sports betting, this can hinder you from making rational decisions. Sometimes, people fall for short clips cut specifically to make an athlete look good or cool. This is very common on reels or tiktok. How would you combat recency bias? Or do you even believe that recency bias is a thing? or do you believe a team or athlete is only as good as their latest match?

Only noobs will be doing up such things or simply into those people who are that new into sports betting on which they would be that making up some generalization at the moment or time that they've seen with those recent wins at the time or moment that they have watched up a particular game. Its true that it is that common nowadays on seeing those reels or clips about those players making out some good moves or scoring on which it will be that instilling into their minds that they are that a good player on which they will be that making up some generalization that they are a strong team or whatsoever and with this then they will be basing up with those kind of mentality on which it will fix up their mindset on betting into them. Whereas, into those people who are that real bettors or do have the experience wont be easily that getting decieved with these kind of videos or what because they do know that those are just that highlights and they have much more knowledge about on the sports.

On the time that you would be able to have that indepth knowledge about on a certain sports then you wont be that getting blindly about these stuffs and you would be able to make up some bets on which it will be basing up with real stats and not just being that influenced with those short clips and making up some generalization that they are good enough and you made out some bets basing up on what you do saw. If ever you do have this kind of mentality then sooner or later at the time that you do experience up those huge loses because of having that kind of betting behavior then you would be making up some realizations on which you will be normally adjust at the moment that you do able to experience up such loses and making out those proper way on dealing up with things accordingly.

[Merit.s]

In order for me not to be bias on my pick, I do my analysis and watch the matches to make sure that I don't make any silly mistakes of choosing the wrong club. Sometimes, I follow the odd of the bookmakers to make my analysis because I know that they're not biased. Lastly, gambling is a game of luck and been biased will limit your chance of being lucky.

[Wiwo]

In order for me not to be bias on my pick, I do my analysis and watch the matches to make sure that I don't make any silly mistakes of choosing the wrong club. Sometimes, I follow the odd of the bookmakers to make my analysis because I know that they're not biased. Lastly, gambling is a game of luck and been biased will limit your chance of being lucky.

Alot of times, those guys that have indept knowledge of their clubs knows when the clubs can win a match and you are a none fan may be you may think they dont know what they are doing, but the confidence in their clubs will prompt them to pick them for a winning, some time they become lucky to such bets.

This is the reason why we have ro depend on luck at most time, to be able to win in sports betting.

[Alphakilo]

In sports betting, this can hinder you from making rational decisions. Sometimes, people fall for short clips cut specifically to make an athlete look good or cool. This is very common on reels or tiktok. How would you combat recency bias? Or do you even believe that recency bias is a thing? or do you believe a team or athlete is only as good as their latest match?

Watching short clips on YouTube about some of the best highlights of the game is not wrong in itself. However, I think that it should not stop there. It should be balanced with reading. There are many sports blogs that write articles that can be read to get detailed information on what happened in the previous games and what the writer's opinion is what can happen or not happen in the forth game.
It is one of the ways to combat recency bias.

Any sports bettor ready to make profit from sports betting needs to understand these two things.
1. Never make predictions with sentimental mentality. Being biased will only make us choose the wrong odds at times,

I hear some friends say to one another when they argue about a football game to stop being sentimental. They know it and they know that it leads to a poor sense of judgement in betting too.

[Hispo]

. How would you combat recency bias? Or do you even believe that recency bias is a thing? or do you believe a team or athlete is only as good as their latest match?

It is not that difficult to combat, actually, one just needs to keep in mind other matches which are not only the most recent ones and also follow channels on YouTube or TikTok which would not focus on neither positive nor negative plays from specific players of a team. The bias can be transmitted because we are following people who are already biased, since we do not have time to watch the entire matches we are interested in.

Obviously, I think this kind of bias is a real thing and the most experienced bettors are aware of it and try not to get their faces blurred due to the recent performances of a team and ignore the past (in which they could have under-performed).
Anyways... This is a problem which will not only affect newbies within gambling but also those who are casual bettors and do not keep up-to-date with the lastest develooments of their favorite leagues, mostly because of lack of time.

[Dave1]

In watching sports, it is very common for fans to have recency bias especially if fans are new. They might not have watched certain important events so they end up only believing what they have witnessed from recently. If a team wins the latest match, fans might think they are already at the best form of their careers.

In sports betting, this can hinder you from making rational decisions. Sometimes, people fall for short clips cut specifically to make an athlete look good or cool. This is very common on reels or tiktok. How would you combat recency bias? Or do you even believe that recency bias is a thing? or do you believe a team or athlete is only as good as their latest match?

It won't be a thing if bettors are not going to be emotional, but if they do then it will affect on how they are going to bet and it could be one factor that they might lost and then regret involving their emotions on it.

To combat it? very easy, look at the data, the numbers and then make a educated bet. Not just because you are a fan of certain team that even if everything tells that they are going to lose the game you still bet on them. That is wrong, used logic and not your heart.

[Samlucky O]

In sports betting, this can hinder you from making rational decisions. Sometimes, people fall for short clips cut specifically to make an athlete look good or cool. This is very common on reels or tiktok. How would you combat recency bias? Or do you even believe that recency bias is a thing? or do you believe a team or athlete is only as good as their latest match?

I know the point you are making, but I don't think it's everybody that falls for that, maybe it could be those newbie Gamblers who has less or little knowledge about gambling that can only predict match on short video clips on reels or TikTok. As far as betting is concerned we need past and previous match records to be able to make a proper analysis. In fact there is more to betting than just falling for short video clip all in the name of Gambling.

[harapan]

Any sports bettor ready to make profit from sports betting needs to understand these two things.

1. Never make predictions with sentimental mentality. Being biased will only make us choose the wrong odds at times,
2. Consistency watch the sports you prefer betting on. If you are not informed then you are deformed. Watching our favorite betting sports will make us know the latest development and performance of each teams,

My interest is in the second one that says watch the sports you prefer betting on because it gives you clear information about what will go on, but most times bettors don't watch instead they rely on predictions that later on they'll have this feel of bias. Regardless watching your favourite sports gives you higher chances of understanding what's going and make reasonable analysis.

[stompix]

In sports betting, this can hinder you from making rational decisions. Sometimes, people fall for short clips cut specifically to make an athlete look good or cool. This is very common on reels or tiktok.

I am just going to say that whoever bets based on reels on Facebook or clips on TikTok deserves to lose all his money.
If indeed there is somebody as stupid as looking at cuts and not at a Timeform table of said athlete, then maybe it is better for him to lose it all so he can quit TikTok also and do something with his life.

Or do you even believe that recency bias is a thing?

Recency bias by default is a bad thing, because it's biased, so it lacks accuracy.
But betting just on recent events and excluding results further down the road is a thing, especially in horse races. You can ignore 3 years of racing for a horse that has just switched stables or is going over a different distance or ground. In these cases, analyzing his Timeform for a year rather than a few months might be the worse choice.

[danherbias07]

This is the first time I heard about "recency bias," and after reading what it is all about, I must agree with it.

It's difficult to go against what is obvious. When a team is on a winning streak, a gambler tends to go with the flow and never expect that the team will lose, surprisingly. It can be a mistake that we will not see because there's a tendency that we will just pick who wins most of their games in like 10 of them.
One example of it is the Celtics last year, they won 7 of their 10 games in a streak, and sometimes more than that. A gambler will probably make a good amount if they just keep on betting on the said team. There's still a good side to becoming a biased gambler, but we must be careful with each bet.