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Author Topic: Strategy in gambling like trading.  (Read 698 times)
Coin_info (OP)
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June 21, 2025, 01:50:03 PM
 #1

I have been reading through many of the topics on gambling and based on my knowledge of trading I had to think of something that if people treat gambling the way they treat trading will that increase their chances of success? For instance, will chances of success increase if people choose to bet on specific outcomes in the game as the game is on rather than the result of the whole game as many gamblers usually target. I think it will be easier to guess some specific outcomes in a game when you see how the game is progressing. What do you think of this?
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June 21, 2025, 01:55:19 PM
 #2

You will likely failed in the long run since gambling and trading has completely different mechanics on how they work. Gambling is mainly based on luck even on sportsbook. Your trading skills is not applicable on gambling because price pattern and sports behavior have different factor to consider.

Sports analysis is much complicated than price analysis since there’s no indicator and pattern that will help you to guess the result.

Anyway, it will not hurt you to do some experiments.

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June 21, 2025, 02:00:21 PM
 #3

Did you mean in-play? Many gamblers are using in-play to bet.

Also know that as many people are losing in gambling so are many people losing in trading. Just do both moderately and responsibly. No need to waste too much money on both.

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June 21, 2025, 02:00:58 PM
 #4

Not at all, it's a different element, unless the trading you mean is binary options it will describe the same thing because it is a part of gambling that is considered by many people as trading, only you should know that it will not increase any winning results in gambling if you use it in the same way.

Gambling with trading actually has many different factors and more complex analysis methods than what is in gambling.

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June 21, 2025, 02:09:03 PM
 #5

Live matches or live games are easily being manipulated and you can't predict how the game (match) would run. Although betting on live matches when they are almost about 2nd half is more better but then who knows what would happened at the dying minutes as things do changes. I could remembered then when I stake on a live matches with the hope that weaker team gonna lose completely 1-0 and, at extra time of 5 minutes they equalized the match making it 1-1, severely I have tried it but I does that with 2 to 5 matches most times I will have 4/5, 3/5 and 2/5 and I will end up losing. The only day I had winning was I stake on a single bet thereabouts and is almost within 30 minutes they started.

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June 21, 2025, 02:15:23 PM
 #6

I think it will be easier to guess some specific outcomes in a game when you see how the game is progressing. What do you think of this?
That’s the right approach if you're treating gambling as actual betting specifically for sports betting.

You’ll notice a lot of market line movement once the game goes live, but it’s the system that drives that movement. The only way to take advantage of it is if you really have good knowledge of the game and solid analytical skills. As for me, I’ve been trying that too, it’s just that I haven’t found success with it yet. Maybe I’m still not skilled enough.

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June 21, 2025, 02:25:33 PM
 #7

I think it's more likely to be the opposite: strategy in trading is like gambling.

Short term trading is an illusion, as the market is too volatile and unpredictable, while most people engaged on this kind of activity lose money. The ones who insist making profit from trading are the ones who most lose money along the time. They believe to be accumulating experience and improving their skills, although it's not about skills at all... If a gambler believes the same can be applied in gambling, he is going to suffer the same prejudice.

And by reading there are a lot of people promoting that kind of view as true, makes me believe there is a new wave of newbies coming into trading and gambling industry just now. It's not a new phenomenon and many of us here have already been in your position when we were newbies too.

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June 21, 2025, 02:35:20 PM
 #8

I thought you going to list out the strategy but you are just asking from the masses.

Although, you may be meaning live games where you enter at a specific time and go out at a specific time, if in sport betting, it's either guaranteed to win or loss in live matches.

The only strategy I can assure you of winning in live matches in betting at 75' minutes to ending and the bet option preferably is no goal till the ending of the match.


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June 21, 2025, 02:36:26 PM
 #9

For instance, will chances of success increase if people choose to bet on specific outcomes in the game as the game is on rather than the result of the whole game as many gamblers usually target. I think it will be easier to guess some specific outcomes in a game when you see how the game is progressing. What do you think of this?
Well thats two different thing gambling and trading so i believe its not gonna work out. Plus gambling mostly rely on luck than strategy for some games. Like example slots. How can you used some parameter there to win employing a trading strat. Impossible right? Coz its not fit on that front. Gambling is like 70% luck and 30% strategy.

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June 21, 2025, 02:41:05 PM
 #10

The only strategy I can assure you of winning in live matches in betting at 75' minutes to ending and the bet option preferably is no goal till the ending of the match.

I’m not a football fan but I do bet on some games like the world cup and there’s a lot of goal made after the 75minutes mark.

I think the success on this strategy depends on the league or team you are backing since there’s always a pattern on most of the outcome of the game.

In basketball, I do place bet on player props with star players of each team because they often deliver same performance in many games.

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June 21, 2025, 02:42:08 PM
 #11

I have been reading through many of the topics on gambling and based on my knowledge of trading I had to think of something that if people treat gambling the way they treat trading will that increase their chances of success? For instance, will chances of success increase if people choose to bet on specific outcomes in the game as the game is on rather than the result of the whole game as many gamblers usually target. I think it will be easier to guess some specific outcomes in a game when you see how the game is progressing. What do you think of this?
Do you mean gambling on a specific outcome like for example "Ronaldo to score 2 goals? Messi to receive yellow card? Or Manchester City to have 8+ corners? Because if that's what you meant, it still doesn't guarantee success, because you still have a percentage chances of losing too, despite the fact that it is a bit different than gambling on either Home, Away or Draw to win the full match. Because when it comes to trading, there are certain news a trader will see and immediately knows what direction the market will follow, which is literally not the same with Sport games, as a strong club could lose, and likewise a weak club win when luck falls into play. Hence, both are distinctively different and should be followed by their respective strategies.

 
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June 21, 2025, 02:42:23 PM
 #12

I have been reading through many of the topics on gambling and based on my knowledge of trading I had to think of something that if people treat gambling the way they treat trading will that increase their chances of success? For instance, will chances of success increase if people choose to bet on specific outcomes in the game as the game is on rather than the result of the whole game as many gamblers usually target. I think it will be easier to guess some specific outcomes in a game when you see how the game is progressing. What do you think of this?
they are only similar in a sense that you have to watch out for signs to decide but i find it hard to connect trading with gambling honestly

there are games that allow you to keep betting as the game is going on but a lot of games only will allow you to bet before the game starts and even if you are watching anything can happen in live sports

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June 21, 2025, 02:43:05 PM
 #13

I have been reading through many of the topics on gambling and based on my knowledge of trading I had to think of something that if people treat gambling the way they treat trading will that increase their chances of success? For instance, will chances of success increase if people choose to bet on specific outcomes in the game as the game is on rather than the result of the whole game as many gamblers usually target. I think it will be easier to guess some specific outcomes in a game when you see how the game is progressing. What do you think of this?

This is quite an interesting topic, I was expecting you to point out some of the strategies that trading and gambling has in common. But first thing you must understand about trading is that it has it's uncertainties just like gambling but there's a lot of professionalism in it, the market has a dynamic that works based for you based on your knowledge of it, trading strategies work over a long period of time when you understand the direction of the market, as for gambling it's mostly luck

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June 21, 2025, 02:47:35 PM
 #14

For instance, will chances of success increase if people choose to bet on specific outcomes in the game as the game is on rather than the result of the whole game as many gamblers usually target. I think it will be easier to guess some specific outcomes in a game when you see how the game is progressing. What do you think of this?
I think that one of these is the player props. But while it is easy to win betting in this type of "market", it is also one of the riskiest outcomes to bet on. I think that name gambler who is not meticulous cannot bet here and most gamblers are so they go for the general types of bet. But yeah, I agree with you.

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June 21, 2025, 02:54:28 PM
 #15

I have been reading through many of the topics on gambling and based on my knowledge of trading I had to think of something that if people treat gambling the way they treat trading will that increase their chances of success? For instance, will chances of success increase if people choose to bet on specific outcomes in the game as the game is on rather than the result of the whole game as many gamblers usually target. I think it will be easier to guess some specific outcomes in a game when you see how the game is progressing. What do you think of this?

Everything seems possible and easy in gambling until you actually put it to the test and then you’ll realise that no strategy can give you an edge over the house - the house always wins.

I actually don’t fully understand what you’re trying to say, but one thing I know is that it’s not going to work; so many strategies haven’t been thought of and they all failed miserably and I don’t think this is some kind of strategy that will somehow make gamblers successful - but if you can explain further on how it works, maybe then I can give a better answer as to whether I think it will work or if it’s just another waste of time and money.

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June 21, 2025, 02:55:46 PM
 #16

While I believe watching the games live can make you decide better who to put your money on, I doubt treating gambling as trading means you have better chance of success. I don't even know what that means.

But being a sport fan usually makes you foresee the outcome already. However you wanna make sure of it, depends on you. For some betting live is an option.

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June 21, 2025, 02:56:32 PM
 #17

I have been reading through many of the topics on gambling and based on my knowledge of trading I had to think of something that if people treat gambling the way they treat trading will that increase their chances of success? For instance, will chances of success increase if people choose to bet on specific outcomes in the game as the game is on rather than the result of the whole game as many gamblers usually target. I think it will be easier to guess some specific outcomes in a game when you see how the game is progressing. What do you think of this?

To increase the chances of winning on live betting, maybe possible, but sometimes the odds offered are not better. Could bet on corner kick advantage or other markets that can be profitable than 1x2. But still, trading is trading, and gambling is still gambling. There is a difference between the two. Of course, you will not place a trading position as you speculate in making a bet.

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June 21, 2025, 02:58:43 PM
 #18

Just like trader reacts to real time market changes live bettors can react to what is happening in game trying to predict smaller events. This can feel easier to predict and offer chances to jump on changing odds but it also means fast decisions and and constantly changing odds similar to fast paced day trading. And live betting might offer more chances to react it actually leads to more consistent success in long run is debatable as fast pace and built in house edge still make it challenging requiring strong discipline and emotional control much like in short term financial trading.

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June 21, 2025, 03:08:35 PM
 #19

I think it will be easier to guess some specific outcomes in a game when you see how the game is progressing. What do you think of this?
There was a time when prediction where mostly done just  by looking at the likelihood of the outcome of each game, the result is not always positive and so, the narrative has changed with a lot of gamblers including myself now being more about outcomes within the game like the number of goals that cam be scored in each game and also the number of corners that might likely happen in each game. This way, it's easier to be a bit accurate in your prediction because even if a you're a bit unsure of which team has the highest chance of winning, you're at least able to predict which of the outcome you want to look into. Once a game is progressing, the odds might change and become a bit smaller compared to making the prediction before the game starts. For that reason, it's always best to do your prediction before a game starts and use whatever option you are at least sure of based on your analysis.

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June 21, 2025, 03:43:17 PM
 #20

I have been reading through many of the topics on gambling and based on my knowledge of trading I had to think of something that if people treat gambling the way they treat trading will that increase their chances of success? For instance, will chances of success increase if people choose to bet on specific outcomes in the game as the game is on rather than the result of the whole game as many gamblers usually target. I think it will be easier to guess some specific outcomes in a game when you see how the game is progressing. What do you think of this?
Gamblers are already making such bet. I have a friend who doesn't bet on the outcome of the match, he only bets on first to score, a particular player will score, and the outcome of the first half. When I aaked him why, he chooses ti bet in this pattern, he told me that he has the chance of making profits from various sides.

I don't like gambling this way, I believe on who wins the match, because that's the fun in the game. However, the chance of you losing your bet is the same as betting on only the final outcome of the game.

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