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Author Topic: is just buying tokens randomly without any research a good strategy?  (Read 284 times)
el kaka22
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July 20, 2025, 03:01:23 PM
 #21

Of course not? I mean what kind of question is this? Just discussion for discussing sake? We all know, obviously, that is a bad move and will not make you money. There has never been a worse idea, I rather burn my money than do this, at least it would keep me warm for a minute.

The worst case right now is to figure out a way to handle all of this, and the best way to do this would be making sure that we deal with how we can make a profit out of all of this situation, and when you look at it, there is no way you can profit from random stuff. Remember, 99% of the projects online, do not make a dime, only the top 1% does. We have tens of thousands of projects, and barely the top 20 or 30 are decent, rest are usually shitcoins.

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July 20, 2025, 03:32:04 PM
 #22

One of the rules of thumb when it comes to investing is to do your research, which means not trusting anyone or any platform to be your guide in making investment decisions. Investing is not a dice game or a coin toss where you pick a token or a coin because someone or a platform tells you that it’s worth investing.

You have to remember that many scammers and developers are hiring shills and promoters, and they are paying platforms to promote their token, so it’s like giving away your money to these scammers.
Be a responsible investor by educating yourself and doing your own research.

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July 21, 2025, 05:39:01 AM
 #23

If you think you're a lucky guy and always very lucky at everything you're doing then go ahead.
Hopefully it will turn out good but i'm sure 90% of time it will be a failure.

Investing into altcoin is not just throwing money there is a need to analyze and if you failed to do so you're basically just making a trading decision by emotion or feeling.

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July 21, 2025, 01:10:32 PM
 #24

Whenever you are buying altcoins most especially those in the memecoins categories, you should know that you are gambling with the money and at that, no matter the level of the analysis of the market you do before buying them you will still have to have high luck to see the market go in your favor, because of altcoins high volatilities, So you seems to be gambling whenever you buy them and that high risk volatilities makes a mess of whatever strategy you use in buying those coins.
Altcoin is now having good changes in last few years many things came and then bundled out with huge loses to millions which are now having sidelined this crypto world due to their loses even many still feeling about few projects which are more than gambling.

Meme coins was also had time but recently few big loses give some better understanding and peoples want to avoid this as well because these are entered in phase from gambling to just loses which is more painful now having some good coins or investing into bitcoin is all good otherwise it's nothing positive.

Technology having changes which are essential, but understanding of things is always great while peoples are understanding they are avoiding things like these which give them loses.
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July 21, 2025, 01:36:51 PM
 #25

Choose tokens with nice community that advertise DCA and long term commitment. If all members of a memecoin community DCA with small amounts every day, the token is guaranteed to raise in price for the long term. Some communities that do this are $ASSDAQ - flip NASDAQ and SPX6900 - flip the stock market.
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July 21, 2025, 04:05:23 PM
 #26

it’s all just high-risk betting in disguise.
Bots can read charts, but not team intentions - rugs don’t show up in TA.

In a market this wild, randomness isn’t worse than “research.” Just don’t bet more than you can lose.
If we are talking about normal bots, I think yeah because they are mainly built to auto-trade right? They can't even read charts. But, if we are talking about bots with AI, they are more advance and can even detect shady projects.

I think there are times that they only give us a summarization and it is only up to us to decide if we will proceed or not but only insane person is still going to proceed despite the red flags are already laid out. Randomness in a legit crypto is not worse but in fact normal only. What is only worse is we will invest blindly in a wild market like cryptos. With so many scam projects, there is a big chance of catching them.
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July 21, 2025, 04:20:14 PM
 #27

I’m starting to think this whole “skillful trading” thing is a myth—charts, indicators, “alpha” whispers… it all feels like smoke and mirrors. One minute you’re convinced your TA is bulletproof, the next you’re underwater because some pump-and-dump bot jacked the price. Feels like half the volumes are bots and the other half are FOMO maniacs hitting “buy” on whatever ticker looks shiny.

So get this—I stumbled on a tool called randombag that literally picks you a random basket of tokens from a curated trend list and buys them for you with one click. No research, no DD, no strategy—just pure randomness. And some users swear it actually outperforms their painstaking analysis but who knows if it also smoke.

Makes me wonder: in a market this rigged and noisy, is randomness the ultimate hedge? Has anyone here ever tried a dartboard approach—just throwing capital at random coins—and come out ahead? Or are we all fools chasing unicorns while a monkey with a dart could do just as well? Keen to hear your war stories or data if you’ve tried pure chance over “skill.”

This might sound more like a cliche but its something I have experienced it myself over the years.
I have been here almost for a decade now and with my experience I can say that HODL is the ultimate strategy to make massive gains.
Trading altcoins is the easiest way to lose money. Buy bitcoin and maximum one or two altcoins divide the porfolio as 50% bitcoin and 25% in both the altcoins.
If you bought just one altcoin then go 70% bitcoin and 30% altcoin and then just freaking hold it for years.

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July 21, 2025, 04:48:12 PM
 #28

I’m starting to think this whole “skillful trading” thing is a myth—charts, indicators, “alpha” whispers… it all feels like smoke and mirrors. One minute you’re convinced your TA is bulletproof, the next you’re underwater because some pump-and-dump bot jacked the price. Feels like half the volumes are bots and the other half are FOMO maniacs hitting “buy” on whatever ticker looks shiny.

So get this—I stumbled on a tool called randombag that literally picks you a random basket of tokens from a curated trend list and buys them for you with one click. No research, no DD, no strategy—just pure randomness. And some users swear it actually outperforms their painstaking analysis but who knows if it also smoke.

Makes me wonder: in a market this rigged and noisy, is randomness the ultimate hedge? Has anyone here ever tried a dartboard approach—just throwing capital at random coins—and come out ahead? Or are we all fools chasing unicorns while a monkey with a dart could do just as well? Keen to hear your war stories or data if you’ve tried pure chance over “skill.”
While i agree with you in that skilled trading is more like a myth, i have to point out that no TA is "bulletproof" because TA is about probability, and there's no 100% probability in trading. One could argue if there is even 51% accuracy in any TA.

Randomness can bring you money, but it's about insider info about team not rugging it or just pure luck. I have made money just by smelling that the team isn't running away immediately, and those tokens can rise, especially when they are microcaps. I would like to see that a skill, but if i am completely honest, it was luck.

If there's some some project doing everything for you, it sounds a lot a plan to trigger bots. Dev team is buying and you will be the pump and dump volume and number of active wallets that could trigger bots for exit liquidity.


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July 21, 2025, 05:10:35 PM
 #29

In a random market, no matter how smart a trader is, there is no benefit. His experience cannot favors him. No matter how good the analysis is, there is no advantage. In such a situation, the market will not always follow the same path, which is why there are some strategies that can be applied to get good results.

When the market behaves randomly, as a trader, you must focus on how to minimize your losses. Any trade you take must be completed within a short period of time. Long-term such trades increase the risk, which increases the amount of loss. Moreover, stop loss must be set so that you can be protected from more losses. The right decision is to control your greed and come out with as little risk as possible.

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July 21, 2025, 05:29:49 PM
 #30

Makes me wonder: in a market this rigged and noisy, is randomness the ultimate hedge? Has anyone here ever tried a dartboard approach—just throwing capital at random coins—and come out ahead? Or are we all fools chasing unicorns while a monkey with a dart could do just as well? Keen to hear your war stories or data if you’ve tried pure chance over “skill.”

First of all, i think this is too risky. Buying tokens randomly without analysis can increase the potential for significant losses. Even when we have analysed the tokens we want to buy, there is still the potential for loss, let alone without doing any research at all. It's like buying something we don't even know what it is, without knowing its benefits or uses, just buying it, hoping and expecting big profits. This is no different from gambling.

R


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July 22, 2025, 03:23:22 AM
 #31

Completely randomly? Definitely no! There are more than 4 million tokens, and if you invested in 99.99% of them you would have lost money! A couple of years ago there was someone who gave up on picking tokens and just bought top 100 listed on Coingecko if I remember correctly. He was doing fine for a while, I don't know if there is an update on that. Anyhow, randomly is a bad idea.
Totally fair- blindly picking from 4M tokens is suicide.  Roll Eyes

But if you limit “random” to top-trending, active projects with real volume?
At that point, you’re basically doing what most retail does — just without the illusion of control.
Even if you limit, random isn't a reasonable method, you can do "random" in top 100, and it would still be silly move, we have seen plenty of projects be in top 10 and then get out of top 10, let alone top 100, so we know for sure that some of them will go down.

If you do not look at them then you are going to lose a lot more. If you can't do that then you are going to make sure that you are going to lose a ton of money and you won't be really getting a good return. You have to check all of them and if you are careful then you are going to get a lot better results without a doubt. If you do that then you could get a great return because you would be able to get a great return without a doubt. If you do that, then you should be fine.

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July 22, 2025, 04:30:22 AM
 #32

Well I do think if you buy some random tokens you are going to lose your investment. There is thousands of tokens that are going to be worth nothing or they will become a 'rug pull'.  If you want to buy some new tokens then I think we must do alot of research.

There is new tokens that does come out every day it can be hard to choose a new token that will make us profit. I do not buy any new tokens I only stack older tokens and coins so I know I will make profit if I just hodl them.

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July 22, 2025, 10:57:26 PM
 #33

The concept of using bots to predict potential altcoins also has its own risk as most coins are created for the purpose of rug pull so it's best you invest with the mindset that nothing is promised for altcoins as there are no fundamentals for this coins but also a possibility of making 10x or even 20x with the right information. It's consistency can be debated so the analysis of how and what time to buy couldn't be fully evaluated.

It’s really funny how some people think they can predict the market or a coin using a bot and how those who even feel safe for them because it’s really surprising to me. I think someone who predicts the coin using a bot is even at a higher risk than someone who does research and invests in it. Furthermore, all these things are happening due to lack of knowledge; beginners don’t want to learn; they need quick money and will find it difficult to get it.

They will continue losing their money as long as they are looking for a shortcut to make money, because I believe that there is no free money. One must work to get money, and that is the same as crypto; one must learn before earning.

R


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