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Author Topic: Is there an option to predict possible transfer  (Read 362 times)
Joy_learns_crypto (OP)
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July 17, 2025, 04:32:50 PM
 #1

Liverpool has landed Wirtz, Frimpong, kerkez and are going for isak and ekitike. Manchester city has signed Ait Nouri, Reijnders, Cherki. And so many high profile signings has been made in all top leagues.

Many of this transfer i happen to predict with friends that is would happen, I will like to convert my prediction to possible win. I was checking through some of the sport betting sites I use but could not see such options. Is there any option that allows player to predict is a transfer will happen or not?

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July 17, 2025, 04:48:20 PM
 #2

Since I have been betting, I have not seen this before. I am not really betting when the major leagues season have ended and I may just stay like that until the next season which is already knocking at the door.

If you like something like this, you can send message to the gambling site that you are using to know if they can include something like that or not.

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July 17, 2025, 04:53:27 PM
 #3

I found Kalshi are close to offer what you asked, although there are only two predictions.

Polymarket don't have it, they only ask which player will move to new team next https://polymarket.com/markets?_q=transfer


https://kalshi.com/?search=transfer


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July 17, 2025, 04:57:57 PM
 #4

Ops mean something like what polymarket use to list on the site like political events that gamblers bet on, i did not fine any service of such and for that i agree with the unavailability of players transfers to bet on.

Alot max be discovered in the future and gambling is a growing sector and i am sure qe will have such predictions listed on most gambling sites in 2030, most casinos that offer sport bettings will definitely adopt transfers speculation betting.

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July 17, 2025, 05:23:07 PM
 #5

I haven't seen anything similar on the sites I bet on yet. As mentioned above, I think you'll only find it in prediction markets, and from what I've read, it's possible to suggest the market on Polymarket. I don't know if there's a demand for this type of bet. In casinos, it's harder to have such specific bets that are outside the norm everyone else uses.

 
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July 17, 2025, 05:29:44 PM
 #6

Sports sites in general do not provide betting options for transfers as there are rarely casinos with this option maybe Polymarket does?

Check it out with the link provided by @Apocollapse.

But I don't know if in Polymarket, this kind of bet can be made as an option or is it provided by Polymarket itself? Because I never bet on Polymarket before.

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July 17, 2025, 05:42:27 PM
 #7

Since I have been betting, I have not seen this before. I am not really betting when the major leagues season have ended and I may just stay like that until the next season which is already knocking at the door.

If you like something like this, you can send message to the gambling site that you are using to know if they can include something like that or not.
I really haven’t thought about messaging my gambling site because I think that most options that get added happens because of the high number of demand for that particular option.
Although I don’t think it would be added but it’s worth trying out.
But if this actually works then someone like Fabrizom would be the go to guy for some handouts to winning the games and people like him can also be used to manipulate things by these gambling sites.

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July 17, 2025, 05:46:29 PM
 #8

I know bet365 has this for brazilian players because I follow people who bet on those.

For example, I remember in 2023 a bet about which team Vitor Roque would be in September 2023, with Barcelona having 4.00 odds and Athletico Paranaense 1.90 odds.

I don't know how far this goes, because I don't use bet365 and personally don't bet on transfers. But this shows it exists.


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July 17, 2025, 06:26:14 PM
 #9

Many of this transfer i happen to predict with friends that is would happen, I will like to convert my prediction to possible win. I was checking through some of the sport betting sites I use but could not see such options. Is there any option that allows player to predict is a transfer will happen or not?

I don't think this is common or exist, since most of the transfers we do see are base on what the club wishes to have or bid for, they make their intentions open to the public the same way the players also shows their own interest as well in the club they wish to play for, but for the gambling option, am yet to come in line with having such option, except if this was newly implemented and included on some of the gambling platform.

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July 17, 2025, 06:39:33 PM
 #10

Polymarket is the first prediction market that comes to my mind if it's about betting for some transfers.
There is not that many casinos that are having this kind of bets. I only have seen predictions like the draft pick in the NBA.
But for specific transfers where you can bet, try to dig polymarket maybe something there you'll see such as a transfer bet.


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July 17, 2025, 06:45:10 PM
 #11

Inam just thinking about how the odds would be fixed, and if this is possible it will be done early on a players transfer rumor. For example it will work fine if their is an open bet for  Liverpool landing Isak than an open bet for arsenal landing Victor because the latter is almost a done deal and the former is at its earliest stages as Newcastle have rejected Liverpool's initial offer.

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July 17, 2025, 06:45:37 PM
 #12

Since I have been betting, I have not seen this before. I am not really betting when the major leagues season have ended and I may just stay like that until the next season which is already knocking at the door.

If you like something like this, you can send message to the gambling site that you are using to know if they can include something like that or not.
I really haven’t thought about messaging my gambling site because I think that most options that get added happens because of the high number of demand for that particular option.
Although I don’t think it would be added but it’s worth trying out.
But if this actually works then someone like Fabrizom would be the go to guy for some handouts to winning the games and people like him can also be used to manipulate things by these gambling sites.
You might wanna have your friends message too because they will need a lot of demand to add a market. Gambling sites are looking to make money so they have to see something as a profitable move vs just pleasing 1 bettor.

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July 17, 2025, 06:49:10 PM
 #13

Liverpool has landed Wirtz, Frimpong, kerkez and are going for isak and ekitike. Manchester city has signed Ait Nouri, Reijnders, Cherki. And so many high profile signings has been made in all top leagues.

Many of this transfer i happen to predict with friends that is would happen, I will like to convert my prediction to possible win. I was checking through some of the sport betting sites I use but could not see such options. Is there any option that allows player to predict is a transfer will happen or not?
Like everyone else have said, I also have not seen any gambling or betting site that provides gamblers the opportunity to predict possible transfers and signings, but then, I believe in currently live in an internet age where anything is possible to find, I believe a search on Google will list out more than one site that allows users bet or bank on predictions of possible transfers, but the question now would be if those sites can be trusted not to be the type where you deposit money and you never get it back...

Even site like polymarket should be offering such opportunities that allow their users to predict possible transfers, this is 100 percent better than them opening predictions like "will jesus christ come before the end of 2025" 😁

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July 17, 2025, 06:49:39 PM
 #14

Polymarket is the first prediction market that comes to my mind if it's about betting for some transfers.
There is not that many casinos that are having this kind of bets. I only have seen predictions like the draft pick in the NBA.
But for specific transfers where you can bet, try to dig polymarket maybe something there you'll see such as a transfer bet.
That's right Polymarket is the only one in my mind about player transfer bets, it's very rare for casinos to provide bets like this - at least the casinos we use now don't have bets like this.

In Polymarket there are many types of bets there if you want, it's just that it's less interesting but don't know for other people want to bet on player transfers, unless betting with friends is better directly without having to go through the platform.



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July 17, 2025, 06:49:51 PM
 #15

I don't support for having something like this, because it could be strictly manipulated, whereby a player may be said to be in consideration by another club and at the end of the day, they may not sign him, while to predict about a player for a team to also consider for signing may not be possible, because they have their own choice and preference when it comes to players to bid for, anything related to the transfer speculation is not a much perfect idea for me to gamble upon, there are lots of discrepancies that may follows when initiated.


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July 17, 2025, 08:53:35 PM
 #16

You might wanna have your friends message too because they will need a lot of demand to add a market. Gambling sites are looking to make money so they have to see something as a profitable move vs just pleasing 1 bettor.
Indeed I have to get as many people as I can to message them because I don’t like to go against my friends in a money at stake bet, although we just gamble on transfers with nothing at stake. It would be lovely to be able to get something from my prediction.
I have seen some recommendations already on this thread but It is one thing to find the site with that option but it has to be a site that I can work with, I don’t just gamble on any site I love to read the terms and conditions and very importantly I have to know I am safe using the site.

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July 17, 2025, 08:59:17 PM
 #17

This seems like a cool option to bet on but I haven't really seen it before in any bet site...is there a way for to make a suggestion to any bet site for them to add this to their options? But I think that every option made available are the only ones that they think is necessary...it would be very difficult to predict transfers though, without any information on the internet how would you be sure of exactly what to bet on this

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July 17, 2025, 10:26:46 PM
 #18

I have seen some recommendations already on this thread but It is one thing to find the site with that option but it has to be a site that I can work with, I don’t just gamble on any site I love to read the terms and conditions and very importantly I have to know I am safe using the site.
When you are gambling on limited options, you have no choice than to use the nearest available casino to bet. What you are after is the option to predict a certain events and not any other event, so you have to use it as long as they have good deposit and withrawal system. Any other bet can be done in another casino platform. Well, its your choice in the end. But its just a normal thing to do since you have limited casino platforms that will give you what you want to bet on.

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July 18, 2025, 03:30:03 AM
 #19

-snip-
This reminds me that some people accuse popular ITK Twitter accounts of being either the agents' mouthpiece or that they get paid by the clubs to push a narrative to increase the market fee for a player they wanted to sell. On the other hand, it is quite easy to check this source for new rumours so that we don't blindly believe this or that transfer will happen. It just needs time to collect the track records of their reports.

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July 18, 2025, 03:43:02 AM
 #20

Polymarket is the first prediction market that comes to my mind if it's about betting for some transfers.
There is not that many casinos that are having this kind of bets. I only have seen predictions like the draft pick in the NBA.
But for specific transfers where you can bet, try to dig polymarket maybe something there you'll see such as a transfer bet.
That's right Polymarket is the only one in my mind about player transfer bets, it's very rare for casinos to provide bets like this - at least the casinos we use now don't have bets like this.

In Polymarket there are many types of bets there if you want, it's just that it's less interesting but don't know for other people want to bet on player transfers, unless betting with friends is better directly without having to go through the platform.
I honestly thought that OP might have some insiders and that is why he wants to bet on the transfers.
But, it's just to each their own and this type of prop is what he likes to bet and he's probably updated with all the happenings per team's player/roster change and transfer.
He just needs to take time and browse there to see if there is something aligns to the prop that he likes to bet with.


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