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Author Topic: When gambling what do you measure? Luck or chances?  (Read 1582 times)
Mia Chloe (OP)
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July 23, 2025, 01:18:50 PM
 #1

Different gambling activities have different chances attached to them and when I mean chances I am referring to the probability you have for actually win the bet or hit the jackpot in games like crash and slots. This is basically because sometimes unrealistic bets can sometimes play out as a win and some other times bets that have a high winning chance can eventually become the losing bet.

I believe people who gamble on sports may understand this better since sometimes in sports betting some gambler's prefer to go for the smaller odds that usually have a higher winning chance and sometimes they can still end up a losing game however some prefer to go for the big game with big odds and smaller winning chances.

What's usually your pick as a gambler since sometimes some persons are luckier than others?

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July 23, 2025, 01:24:49 PM
 #2

I’m playing slot games most of the time since the start of this year. Slot games has no defined winning percentage each spin since it’s just use an RNG each spin to determine the result.

So I’m just measuring my luck when gambling. I stop checking the probability since every game gives different results depending on my luck.

I just make my gambling experience very simple to just rely on luck per game.

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July 23, 2025, 01:30:07 PM
 #3

To be honest, when I play at the casino, I only play for fun and make small, consistent bets

When I bet on sports, mostly soccer, I don't look at the luck aspect
I do my analysis, look at the odds, and see if those odds are worth the risk and return
Obviously, luck is involved, but it's always good to do a thorough analysis to increase your chances and maybe have more luck, hehehe
I don't usually play games with very low odds because the return doesn't end up compensating for so much risk

How about you Mia Chloe?

 
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July 23, 2025, 01:41:10 PM
 #4

In soccer, the odds are set up in such a way that there is inherent risk whichever option you choose. If you try to go safe with the lesser odds, you need to stake more to make wins profitable, but doing that, just one loss can wipe out a series of wins. If you take more risk you have a higher chance of losing but can stake less for a good return.

Most casino games are based solely on luck, does not matter if you stake higher or lower. With some like plinko, you can set the amount of risk you are willing to take and will need to stake higher or lower depending on your choice.

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July 23, 2025, 01:42:11 PM
 #5

What's usually your pick as a gambler since sometimes some persons are luckier than others?[/i]
I do not know much about crash games but in slots games the probability is not about odds but about chances and how high the multiplier can be.

About odds, I like playing roulettes and I prefer to go for 2 to 3 odds. Also where I consider odds are sport matches. I prefer lower odds in sport but not too low odds. I do not go for any odds below 1.25.

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July 23, 2025, 01:42:21 PM
 #6

I just make my gambling experience very simple to just rely on luck per game.
Yeah I understand what you're actually trying to say and the fact is for casino games like slots and crash you have to depend on luck almost every single time in fact I don't think there is a strategy for it since it's based on randomization algorithms. But most of the time for sports smaller odds can hit a win more easily.

Obviously, luck is involved, but it's always good to do a thorough analysis to increase your chances and maybe have more luck, hehehe
I don't usually play games with very low odds because the return doesn't end up compensating for so much risk
How about you Mia Chloe?
Although probability has a role to play I believe luck cuts it out most of the time and it is the reason why you see it is very possible for games with unimaginably thin winning chances to still play out more than once so yeah I'd go with luck.

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July 23, 2025, 01:45:14 PM
 #7

What's usually your pick as a gambler since sometimes some persons are luckier than others?

In my own case, i try to focus on the two, when i bet in sport betting and football to be specific, i try as much to select more than five games, then place a number of cuts to them, for instance if the game selections were 8 games, then i applied cut 2 or 3 to them, if some of the games failed up to the number of cut i placed, is till have the opportunity of winning, except it exceeds, this shows that am more of being tactical and logical in my games, when gambling, i work by my risk assessment factors and play bets to minimize the risk and try out my luck to win base on this strategy i just explained.

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July 23, 2025, 01:47:20 PM
 #8

For sports bettors, they normally analyze and read what other bettors are saying. Its like comparing notes and see which could justify the pick. If they see an underdog team members can make a difference, they make pick this team but for some they stick to what is offered by the bookies and win a small amount thinking its almost a sure win bet. If they bets are wrong then, its just one experience to note.

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July 23, 2025, 02:00:40 PM
 #9


What's usually your pick as a gambler since sometimes some persons are luckier than others?
It depends on what you’re playing. In sports betting, I check my chances because I have an opportunity to win based on my analysis, and when playing luck-based games in casinos it's luck that has a significant factor, its hard to measure it on chances because any kind of analysis will not do.

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July 23, 2025, 02:20:00 PM
 #10

Chances. Luck is very rare to happen. Chances are sometimes obvious, like in sports betting. There was a time I bet on a player's props total stats. 55 total rebounds, points, and assists. Yes, it was for Nikola Jokic. When I checked the props before the game started, it went up to 57 with the same amount to win. The cashout button is already open, and the game hasn't even started yet, but I could cash it out as a winner.

Now, that's a chance. It ain't luck because I really believed that the player mentioned could reach the amount that I input, and so I won that bet without even a need to wait for the game to start.

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July 23, 2025, 02:28:34 PM
 #11

I enjoy betting on important events from major leagues, i barely risk on events with less competitions like we see in friendlies and pre season matches because the chances of anything happing is always low.

During sports betting, i don't majorly follow betting on smaller odds, implication of skill is critical with varieties of options based on odds. I rather risk a high amount on a moderate odd than risk it in a smaller one that may still end up losing. Chance should be based on your analysis, plus luck at the end.



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July 23, 2025, 02:44:11 PM
 #12

What's usually your pick as a gambler since sometimes some persons are luckier than others?

I bet on sports more often. I consider the odds, but I don't deny that luck can influence the outcome. Those who have been betting for a while have likely experienced losing bets with high odds of winning.
So, while we consider the odds heavily when placing bets, we also recognize that luck can influence seemingly unlikely outcomes. While such bets aren't always accurate, those who bet on low odds of winning are also taking greater risks.

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July 23, 2025, 02:57:42 PM
 #13

In soccer, the odds are set up in such a way that there is inherent risk whichever option you choose. If you try to go safe with the lesser odds, you need to stake more to make wins profitable, but doing that, just one loss can wipe out a series of wins. If you take more risk you have a higher chance of losing but can stake less for a good return.

Most casino games are based solely on luck, does not matter if you stake higher or lower. With some like plinko, you can set the amount of risk you are willing to take and will need to stake higher or lower depending on your choice.

- Jay -

this is the point and the neverending cruzade of the good gambler
to balance amount of risk takes vs bet size
I think it'll all come to that
then you can expose yourself to luck and see if she will smile at you or not
at the end of the day you have no way to know for sure
but you can decide when you are taking the bet and when you are sitting out, maybe this is all you need

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July 23, 2025, 03:09:22 PM
 #14

I have nothing to rely on than luck, I don't believe in anything else than this because I am a hardcore slot gambler, there is nothing to expect from slots, there is also no data analysis to add to your strategy, the biggest weakness you can have as a slot gambler is having a strategy, because there is none.

I just relax and let luck have it's way, the only control I have is managing my own money very well, I risk only what I can afford to lose and never look back, I don't even need to keep track on my gambling activities because I don't need to, the risk is too small to be keeping some tracks.

For those who loves sports bet they will definitely choose chances because the opportunities of sports game present it self depending on the contenders, PvP and team advantages, I do sport gambling too but not every time, until the opportunity present itself.

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mvdheuvel1983
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July 23, 2025, 03:13:40 PM
 #15

What's usually your pick as a gambler since sometimes some persons are luckier than others?

Recently gambling on soccer bet has been the only place I gamble on though it is very difficult to get winning if you combine multiple games but as a gambler there is always a lucky day for you if you are consistent with research on the teams that are in good form and you don't gambling based on the game odds.

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entertheabyss
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July 23, 2025, 03:18:52 PM
 #16

I don't gamble based on odds. I have realized that odds can be misleading and so my picks are based on analysis. If the analysis favours the big odds I select it but if I am skeptical I may double chance the game instead of giving it a straight win but in cases where the analysis favours the smaller odds which is always the case I confidently give the team a straight win without having to double it since the odd is already small and so double chancing the game will product so low or no value at all. This notwithstanding I have realized that analysis is not enough to make a gambler win. At the end, winning is a function of luck. A gambler may spend quality time carrying out an indepth analysis based on available statistics and team news only to still lose based on poor officiating, on field injury or even red card which cannot be foreseen as a gambler. Thus, making selection and hoping factors which will affect the selection does not occur is where luck comes to play.

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rachael9385
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July 23, 2025, 03:19:05 PM
 #17

Different gambling activities have different chances attached to them and when I mean chances I am referring to the probability you have for actually win the bet or hit the jackpot in games like crash and slots. This is basically because sometimes unrealistic bets can sometimes play out as a win and some other times bets that have a high winning chance can eventually become the losing bet.

I believe people who gamble on sports may understand this better since sometimes in sports betting some gambler's prefer to go for the smaller odds that usually have a higher winning chance and sometimes they can still end up a losing game however some prefer to go for the big game with big odds and smaller winning chances.

What's usually your pick as a gambler since sometimes some persons are luckier than others?


I prefer to rely on chances than luck this is why I bet on sports more than I gamble on casino games. The chances of winning in sports betting when you apply a strategy is increased compared to when you hope to get lucky, this is the reason why many bettors don't joke with doing a lot of analysis before placing a bet. Some people that play sports only go for small odds but I don't think this is what guarantees Winning

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July 23, 2025, 03:28:48 PM
 #18

In the games you mentioned—such as Crash, Slots, Dice, Mines, or other games—it is more about luck than probability because in these games, you don't know what the odds are, even if you look at the RTP. There is still no way to see the odds of winning in these games.

In sportsbook betting, it is clear that we look at the odds with small odds, for example, because that way the chances of winning will be higher than trying your luck with high odds.

R


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July 23, 2025, 03:30:17 PM
 #19

Different gambling activities have different chances attached to them and when I mean chances I am referring to the probability you have for actually win the bet or hit the jackpot in games like crash and slots. This is basically because sometimes unrealistic bets can sometimes play out as a win and some other times bets that have a high winning chance can eventually become the losing bet.

I believe people who gamble on sports may understand this better since sometimes in sports betting some gambler's prefer to go for the smaller odds that usually have a higher winning chance and sometimes they can still end up a losing game however some prefer to go for the big game with big odds and smaller winning chances.

What's usually your pick as a gambler since sometimes some persons are luckier than others?

I prefer to leave it to lady luck which for me dresses always in black meaning I never meet her, only people who see her in green are real winners yet I keep trying in slot machines for the simple reason that if it only hits once a big win you get it instantly and no need to wait like in sport betting. I know some people may look like they have more luck than others as I saw someone back in early 2000-s playing the Play&Win slot machine a lot and he started with 1000 usd which was a lot at that time for starting balance and he used to bet no more than 0.6 usd per bet, he always got the max win of the game for some months and people thought this guy is really lucky but after some months he lost it all in the same machine. What I want to say is that there is no real lucky persons, luck is only temporary.

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July 23, 2025, 03:47:26 PM
 #20

As a slot player, I prefer luck. Chance certainly has strong influence on the outcome of our bets, but as we all know, gambling is actually more about luck. Even if we have 99% winning chance, we can still lose when we experience the remaining 1%. Remembering how my friend had a bad experience because he was too fixated on the chance, he played "Slide" on Stake.com, made x1,1 & bet $1000 on it, do you know what he got? the result came out was x1,08 Cheesy.

R


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