BTC Sentiment Poll for August

[cryptotact11]

So yeah...  What do you guys think of August?  Is it gonna be green again or will BTC take a break for a bit and close red?

Following Bitcoin Monthly Returns data for August it seems that it will be red this August. This will be a moment to take a short break because June and July have experienced price strengthening until they reach ATH.

In short, I have not dared to speculate that August 2025 will decide the red column as seen. If it changes, it's amazing.

You are just being a bit picky with that picture. Sure the odds are a bit more in favor of a negative month, but as you can see in the data as posted by another user that it can still be a favorable month. A times it was a really good month.

Check this simple table that shows the price of Bitcoin per month since 2011; you can see the average percentage and median.

Seems the month of August is not a friend of Bitcoin, but there are some years that Bitcoin is doing good during this month, so for me, nothing to worry. It seems we are just doing correct after doing good in previous months.

Thanks for sharing that, it provides a complete picture. A correction would signalize that a pump in September is likely.

[justinlamode]

So July monthly chart is looking pretty good imho.  It's up a tad over 8% and the chart looks nice.  But it looks like there was some month end shenanigans going on as some guys decided it was a good time to sell down.  It's really weird timing. 

So yeah...  What do you guys think of August?  Is it gonna be green again or will BTC take a break for a bit and close red?

August is rarely a green month for Bitcoin so this year will not be different from other years. I have known August as a period in which Bitcoin offer people last buying opportunity before the rally to peak begin from September.  The market is already showing the sign that this sequence will happen so it's time for more buy orders rather than fidgeting.

[Odusko]

So July monthly chart is looking pretty good imho.  It's up a tad over 8% and the chart looks nice.  But it looks like there was some month end shenanigans going on as some guys decided it was a good time to sell down.  It's really weird timing. 

So yeah...  What do you guys think of August?  Is it gonna be green again or will BTC take a break for a bit and close red?

As we can see, August is pointing to some level that is most critical and the market have refused to recover from it hang over price decline for the last few weeks, this is because at some point, we have to agree that what most Bitcoin price speculators pointed to last few weeks a more of expected bullish market for Bitcoin, but at this point we have seen a major decline in the price falling below the 120k price region down to as low as $115k before recovering now make a lot of disappointment for those that were so bullish on Bitcoin for the month of August.

[ScamViruS]

So July monthly chart is looking pretty good imho.  It's up a tad over 8% and the chart looks nice.  But it looks like there was some month end shenanigans going on as some guys decided it was a good time to sell down.  It's really weird timing. 

So yeah...  What do you guys think of August?  Is it gonna be green again or will BTC take a break for a bit and close red?

August is rarely a green month for Bitcoin so this year will not be different from other years. I have known August as a period in which Bitcoin offer people last buying opportunity before the rally to peak begin from September.  The market is already showing the sign that this sequence will happen so it's time for more buy orders rather than fidgeting.

Right. August is not exactly a good month for Bitcoin, as historical evidence suggests. As the market looks to be headed for a greenback and a deeper sell-off, Bitcoin investors are looking for more opportunities to buy Bitcoin. I think Bitcoin might have done something different this year if it weren't for the downtrend seen in traditional markets due to Donald Trump's tariff declaration. So we might be able to see which way the market will go after the market opens next Monday, because we can see a significant impact of the traditional market on the Bitcoin price as well.

[Churchillvv]

For me August is seemly looking like it’s going to be a month with no much uppity but just a regular down to balance back to a proper previous ATH, just like today we have a dip, August is probably to be bouncing back to the all time high but not breaking new ATHs, we are just getting better chances at $200k it might be the crazy effect of this dip in the last quarter of the year which will start in September.

[Asiska02]

So July monthly chart is looking pretty good imho.  It's up a tad over 8% and the chart looks nice.  But it looks like there was some month end shenanigans going on as some guys decided it was a good time to sell down.  It's really weird timing. 

So yeah...  What do you guys think of August?  Is it gonna be green again or will BTC take a break for a bit and close red?

The month of August in the past have always been in a state of bearish conditions and as we can see before the end of last month once entry of this new month, the market have been consolidating or rather say it has been on bearish trend with sellers taken over the market. Since historically, August is not always the best month for bitcoin, I’ll rather settle for a neutral outcome on this state of the market. We may not achieve a new ATH and we may also not fall below the entry price of bitcoin into this month. The market will hold up to $100K+ but won’t see a significant bullish trend to see it record another ATH this August. It will just remain in a consolidating state.

[Popkon6]

Since August 1st, we have been seeing Bitcoin correcting, I definitely see this sign of correction as positive. Because everyone from small investors to whale investors will try hard to buy dips, because everyone has arranged money, they will put themselves forward for dip purchases when the Bitcoin price corrects.
By the end of this month, the Bitcoin price will move towards the highest speed again, it is certain that in the unique month I have seen the Bitcoin price dumping at the beginning and the Bitcoin price has risen significantly at the end of the month. So we must not panic, we must be patient, the more patience we have, the more successful we will be by investing in Bitcoin.

[EarnOnVictor]

Two factors would determine the status of Bitcoin this month, and they are:

1. Economic factors and uncertainty around the world, particularly Trump's remarks, and especially economic uncertainties and war rhetoric.
2. The overall chart condition.

As for the chart condition, I believe that more selling could occur below $111,555, and only a break above $115,400 (TM level) could make me take the bullish trend seriously for now. However, the daily chart is seriously oversold and might ease Bitcoin soon for breathtaking activities. This could eventually push it above the $115.400 level, which could later make it rise higher this month.

In a nutshell, below $115,400 could mean Red in August, and above it could mean Green.

[DanWalker]

Check this simple table that shows the price of Bitcoin per month since 2011; you can see the average percentage and median.

Seems the month of August is not a friend of Bitcoin, but there are some years that Bitcoin is doing good during this month, so for me, nothing to worry. It seems we are just doing correct after doing good in previous months.

Many people rely on history and say that August is not a good month for bitcoin, and based on the chart is not entirely wrong, but you and they are missing something quite important. If you pay attention, you will see that in August 2013, 2017, 2021, that is 1 year after halving, bitcoin price is always green. That means if you believe in history and think it will repeat itself, August 2025 will be the green month because 2024 is when the halving will take place.

August this year could be a good month for bitcoin.

[aylabadia05]

In short, I have not dared to speculate that August 2025 will decide the red column as seen. If it changes, it's amazing.

Next month is also full of red, I think people gonna sold their coins in this month, bought in September and sold in October.

It's not certain that next month will be red. Although this month is predicted to be red in monthly Bitcoin returns, its nature is also uncertain. Even if it is red, the percentage rate probably won't reach the red level of August 2024.
I'm saying this assuming the price doesn't fall below $100,000 by mid-August.

If this August's negative returns are similar to last August, then buying will likely be intense.

[Strongkored]

-snip-

Many people rely on history and say that August is not a good month for bitcoin, and based on the chart is not entirely wrong, but you and they are missing something quite important. If you pay attention, you will see that in August 2013, 2017, 2021, that is 1 year after halving, bitcoin price is always green. That means if you believe in history and think it will repeat itself, August 2025 will be the green month because 2024 is when the halving will take place.

August this year could be a good month for bitcoin.

You could be right, and if we also pay attention to the table, we can predict that even if it's going green, the increase won't be very significant. Only in August 2013 and 2017 did Bitcoin experience increases of tens of percent, while the rest were only slightly higher.
Overall, even without taking into account the August halving, Bitcoin hasn't moved very well. So it's understandable if some think Bitcoin will also be in the red this month. However, I can understand that after such a good performance in July, there will be a correction this month.

[Don Pedro Dinero]

I see that the vote is split. I voted for green month for two reasons. The first is that I believe that the recent drop, which has to do with the Fed's announcement to maintain rates and a couple of aspects of Trump's policy, will not be able to keep up with the demand for bitcoin, which continues to grow. The second is more irrational, it's a hunch. I think we are going to see something similar to 2017 in the second half of 2025. And the timing of the cycle we are in supports this, as the GreatArkansas chart shows.

[EL MOHA]

Many people rely on history and say that August is not a good month for bitcoin, and based on the chart is not entirely wrong, but you and they are missing something quite important. If you pay attention, you will see that in August 2013, 2017, 2021, that is 1 year after halving, bitcoin price is always green. That means if you believe in history and think it will repeat itself, August 2025 will be the green month because 2024 is when the halving will take place.

August this year could be a good month for bitcoin.

The most anticipated sentiment is a bearish market in this month as everyone believes that August is usually bearish but looking at the chart now, it is clear that the years which its August has been bullish is the years which comes right after the halving year, historically this is a very good indicator of a bullish month because bitcoin even though it is unpredictable as definitely been following historical trends than any analysis used for it.

Also bitcoin trend this year has been very much taking similar trend to that of 2017 and this has even made people to actually think that it is going to be more of same trend till the end and if it is base on this analysis Then it is going to be a very bullish August then and as such my prediction will also be aligning here with a bullish sentiment then,

[bbc.reporter]

I have voted on take a rest. I am beginning to notice that the fud in cryptonews media is starting again already. I speculate that it is a new season of fud after a season of good news. The good news storylines might be losing clicks and views heheheh. They need to fud to get everyone's attention again.

Similar to this article. This is clearly a type of story that was written to create fud for the readers hehehe. In any case, I reckon the fud will create a temporary bearishness.



A previously undisclosed theft of 127,000 Bitcoin, worth $3.5 billion at the time, has been traced back to the sudden 2020 disappearance of Chinese mining pool Lubian, according to new data from blockchain analytics firm Arkham.

The hack, which Arkham says occurred on December 28, 2020, is now believed to be the largest crypto theft in history, far surpassing the $1.5 billion Bybit exploit that occurred in February.

Despite draining nearly all of Lubian’s holdings, the incident went entirely unreported for over four years, and neither the mining pool nor the hacker has ever acknowledged the breach.

Arkham now suggests the shutdown was the direct result of a catastrophic breach, likely enabled by weak private key generation vulnerable to brute-force attacks.

The hacker has yet to move the stolen coins beyond a 2024 consolidation.

Read in full https://www.dlnews.com/articles/people-culture/arkham-links-3bn-bitcoin-theft-exit-chinese-mining-lubian/

[BALIK]

Since August 1st, we have been seeing Bitcoin correcting, I definitely see this sign of correction as positive. Because everyone from small investors to whale investors will try hard to buy dips, because everyone has arranged money, they will put themselves forward for dip purchases when the Bitcoin price corrects.

There will definitely be a lot of people buying when bitcoin price corrects but the market will not fall without people taking profits and selling massively. So when bitcoin price corrects, it doesn't mean everyone is buying, it means a lot of people are selling and taking profits.

By the end of this month, the Bitcoin price will move towards the highest speed again, it is certain that in the unique month I have seen the Bitcoin price dumping at the beginning and the Bitcoin price has risen significantly at the end of the month. So we must not panic, we must be patient, the more patience we have, the more successful we will be by investing in Bitcoin.

Bitcoin price is governed by supply and demand, geopolitics, manipulation...so whether Bitcoin price will continue to fall or recover by the end of this month will depend on the situation. Bitcoin volatility does not follow any fixed pattern. So it's all just predictions, expectations and there's no guarantee that anything will happen.

[cryptotact11]

By the end of this month, the Bitcoin price will move towards the highest speed again, it is certain that in the unique month I have seen the Bitcoin price dumping at the beginning and the Bitcoin price has risen significantly at the end of the month. So we must not panic, we must be patient, the more patience we have, the more successful we will be by investing in Bitcoin.

Bitcoin price is governed by supply and demand, geopolitics, manipulation...so whether Bitcoin price will continue to fall or recover by the end of this month will depend on the situation. Bitcoin volatility does not follow any fixed pattern. So it's all just predictions, expectations and there's no guarantee that anything will happen.

I agree with you but I would like to note that the effect of manipulation continues to become lower even of geopolitics. If you look at the history and recent news and the related price movements, Bitcoin has matured drastically. There was a time that you could crash Bitcoin by saying China is banning it and pump when it unbans it. There were times when some negative news articles could cause more movements. These days not so much. Think about this. We have many global wars, tensions, bad macro economic situation and still we are priced over $100k at an crazy ATH! Just imagine the price of Bitcoin were the outlook on the planet more stable or even positive! This is what people don't understand doubt Bitcoin's future potential price increases.

Imagine no wars, interest rates near 0%, massive money printing. It will happen one day. When exactly nobody knows, but the outlook will be very positive once and that will propel Bitcoin to heights that most people doubt were possible.

[STT]

Interest rates near 0% is a distress signal I always thought, its not really supposed to happen.  Think of the people who rely on interest for safe income, its a bit of disaster for those in the safest areas of the market.

August BTC as predicted has checked the 50 day moving average and its a neutral month or second option on the poll is what I voted now as my guess.

   Hammer on July 25th was a sell that recovered and top prices now I expect to be below that measure unless BTC price action becomes bullish and recovers in an attempt higher.    Lower marker would be the July 10th candle which is important for igniting that higher level.

50 DMA is rising every day so thats your pressure, momentum stall etc., target is 108k lower once we do lose this foothold down to 110k

[Btcdeybodi]

August already started with the price of bitcoin falling, it is most likely to continue in bear mode till the end of the month. Looking at the chart you will see that the market doesn't have enough support and momentum for an upward movement but even if an uptrend happens, it won't get to the end of the month. Historically, August is known for sluggish and slow movement of ups and down in the price of bitcoin so i don't think that a different thing will be seen this year. It is a good opportunity to buy at a DIP price anyways.

[Free Market Capitalist]

I voted for the bullish option, but I see that opinions are divided. Although I have been bullish all year and the price has not quite taken off, we have recently broken the ATH. However, the price needs a good push to consider that we are in a proper bull run. I hope it won't take long, starting this month, but who knows.

[adaseb]

Adjust in the past was the least volatile month. So I think we will trade sideways.

Most likely the monthly open will be similar in price to the monthly close. However with Trump in office then anything is possible. Due to his talk of tariffs and sanctions anything is possible.
Many of his tweets move the markets.