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Author Topic: Economic risks of Integrating Bitcoin into a Nation's Official Reserve  (Read 24 times)
Joeboy (OP)
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August 31, 2025, 03:48:01 PM
 #1

I reecently created a topic on my local board titled “Can Bitcoin Ever Match or Replace Gold as the Ultimate Reserve Asset?” (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5557450.msg65751745#msg65751745). In that post, I talked about Bitcoin’s potential of one day standing side by side with gold as a reserve asset, But while the angle of my previous post looked at Bitcoin's possibilities, I also think it’s important that we look at the other side of the coin which is "the economic risks nations could face if they integrate Bitcoin into their official reserves."

Now when talkinng about  about reserves, the first thing that should pop up in our minds is "stability."  That’s why governments keep gold, and foreign currencies like dollars, and other assets that don’t easily swing in price. Now if a nation decides to bring Bitcoin as a national reserve it would immediately face some set of problems. One of which is "volatility," coz Bitcoin’s price tends to swing from time to time. Now Imagine government want to  pay for foodstuff imports or maybe repay international loans, only to find that Bitcoin has dropped in price... That kind of shock could further bring about further crisis instead of solving one.

We also have the issue of  "Liquidity" Indeed Bitcoin is a liquid asset, but I don't think that it is deep enough to support a government moving billions in and out without shaking the market.  This is because that kind of government sized transaction could shake the market. In addition, Bitcoin is greatly influenced by global sentiment and series of of events that goes beyond the control of just a particular nation, which makes Bitcoin less predictable when compared to traditional reserves.

So therefore, integrating Bitcoin into a Nation's official reserves may be very difficult  coz  the risks of doing so could outweigh the benefits if not properly handled. Whaat do we think about this?

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August 31, 2025, 05:49:10 PM
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Now when talkinng about  about reserves, the first thing that should pop up in our minds is "stability."  That’s why governments keep gold, and foreign currencies like dollars, and other assets that don’t easily swing in price. Now if a nation decides to bring Bitcoin as a national reserve it would immediately face some set of problems. One of which is "volatility," coz Bitcoin’s price tends to swing from time to time. Now Imagine government want to  pay for foodstuff imports or maybe repay international loans, only to find that Bitcoin has dropped in price... That kind of shock could further bring about further crisis instead of solving one.
This one is correct, the government sometime use their reserves, it's not untouchable and they will hold for many years before use it. Although I don't know how much actually the government spent from their reserves. They can use Bitcoin, but not recommended if it's all Bitcoin.

I haven't see Bitcoin surge during crisis, but gold did few times.

Quote
We also have the issue of  "Liquidity" Indeed Bitcoin is a liquid asset, but I don't think that it is deep enough to support a government moving billions in and out without shaking the market.  This is because that kind of government sized transaction could shake the market.
I don't think this is correct, it's the same like the government sold gold, it would affect the supply/market too.


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