Naoya Inoue vs Alan Picasso December 27 Undisputed Super-bantamweight Title

[aioc]

Looks like we’ve all but forgotten about this fight.

Sorry for not updating this thread. I am subscribed to many boxing pages and online magazines but I missed their updates,

Who are you backing for this one, still Inoue?

Inoue has weathered the best boxers his division has thrown, and he has conquered them all. Picasso made a big promise to be the first boxer to beat the monster. This is a big task, as many have failed to do that; it's always great to see both undefeated fighters in the ring, so I'm not going to miss this fight.

[Sanitough]

Who are you backing for this one, still Inoue?

Still Inoue for me, he’s the champion and he’s been very dominant.

And judging by the betting odds, it already looks clear who the books expect to win. I tried checking it on a crypto sportsbook but couldn’t find the odds there.

On my local bookie though, I saw this:
Inoue 1.03
Picasso 9.30

[Yaunfitda]

^^ I was just confused though as I have been seeing this fight in my social media and I thought that this had happened before. But it will be this 27th so I guess I was wrong. Not to break the bubble but everyone that Inoue has face is very confident that they will be the Monster but it was not the case. And Inoue has learned from his past mistakes not to be aggressive in the early rounds as he has been caught twice already going into the canvass and shattered his invincibility. So I think that this fight might to 10+ over round. However, if a knockout is open for him then I think he will go for it.

[Text]

I’m still backing Inoue on this one. Picasso is undefeated & confident no doubt & I like that he’s talking big that’s part of boxing but Inoue has already faced elite champions & pressure fighters guys who were also the one before they got in the ring w/ him, experience at the very top really matters here. For me this feels less like a true 50-50 & more like a test of whether Picasso is ready now or just promising for the future. Inoue’s speed, timing & power are on a different level & he usually figures opponents out fast.

[bisdak40]

Still Inoue for me, he’s the champion and he’s been very dominant.

And judging by the betting odds, it already looks clear who the books expect to win. I tried checking it on a crypto sportsbook but couldn’t find the odds there.

On my local bookie though, I saw this:
Inoue 1.03
Picasso 9.30

The moneyline odds are negligible, as the bookmakers clearly don’t see Alan Picasso having any real chance of upsetting Naoya Inoue in today’s fight. That’s understandable—Inoue has been in phenomenal form, staying sharp and never letting his guard down, making this bout look like money in the bag for him. The real intrigue lies not in if Inoue wins, but when. The betting focus is on how many rounds Picasso can endure against Inoue’s relentless power. Below are the odds for each round range; personally, I’m eyeing the 7–9 round window, when Picasso is likely to be exhausted and vulnerable, ripe for Inoue to finish the job.

[Sanitough]

I’m eyeing the 7–9 round window, when Picasso is likely to be exhausted and vulnerable, ripe for Inoue to finish the job.

I still find it risky though. Even in the first 3 rounds, a KO can happen if Inoue finds an opening. The way I see it, the outcome is either Inoue wins by KO, or a shocker where Picasso wins by KO. I don’t really see any scenario where Picasso takes this by decision.

So good luck bro. This is a tough one, but with odds around x4, it’s definitely worth a gamble.

[Distinctin]

I don’t really see any scenario where Picasso takes this by decision.

If this fight were in Japan, I’d say there’s no question. But since it’s in Riyadh, it’s more of a neutral venue.

Inoue won’t really have the crowd, the judges, or even the refs on his side here.

That’s why he needs to win convincingly, and the safest way is by KO. If Inoue really dominates, I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if the fight ends earlier than we expect.

[bhadz]

Who are you backing for this one, still Inoue?

Still Inoue for me, he’s the champion and he’s been very dominant.

And judging by the betting odds, it already looks clear who the books expect to win. I tried checking it on a crypto sportsbook but couldn’t find the odds there.

On my local bookie though, I saw this:
Inoue 1.03
Picasso 9.30

Dang, I don't have to go deeper with how the bookies expect this game to end. They're in favor of Inoue and I think that majority of us here are still looking for someone to beat him and that will be satisfying ending for him. But it seems that Picasso isn't that guy to give that satisfying defeat. And we're still cheering for Inoue on this match but with that odds, I don't think it's worth it to bet on him and just watch and wait how the fight will end later.

[Maslate]

Looks like we’ve all but forgotten about this fight.

Sorry for not updating this thread. I am subscribed to many boxing pages and online magazines but I missed their updates,

No worries, I get it. This isn’t really a big fight, so it’s not surprising that only a few people are interested. I don’t even see many Japanese posters here supporting Inoue. Most of the ones I notice are Filipinos, probably because Inoue became popular after beating Filipino boxers.

After Pacman, boxing in the Philippines has been pretty quiet. We really miss the old days. Sometimes I wish a new Pacman could just be reborn in a new body.

BTW, Inoue at 1.03, putting $1 million would generated $30k, easy money. 

[FinneysTrueVision]

Inoue has weathered the best boxers his division has thrown, and he has conquered them all. Picasso made a big promise to be the first boxer to beat the monster. This is a big task, as many have failed to do that; it's always great to see both undefeated fighters in the ring, so I'm not going to miss this fight.

Inoue has been hurt by fighters like Nery and Cardenas, but those guys were more aggressive and hit harder than Picasso. Putting Junto Nakatani in the co-main event makes it clear what the goal is. They wanted a respectable opponent who can give Inoue a tough fight, but not somebody who is actually going to beat him. This will be a showcase for Inoue so they can build some hype for his fight against Nakatani in 2026. The fight should at least be entertaining for as long as it lasts.

[mirakal]

Putting Junto Nakatani in the co-main event makes it clear what the goal is.

Nakatani’s fight is currently on. I was trying to look for the live odds but they’re no longer available. I’m rooting for him in this one because of his impressive record.

It says this is his debut at super bantamweight, so let’s see how he adjusts. If he can carry his power the same way Inoue did when he moved up, then that would be interesting to watch. He’s also known as a KO artist, so I’m curious how this plays out.

Seems like Hernandez is afraid to throw punches..

[aioc]

The organizer appears to be aware of past cases involving Inoue's hand wrapping; they are instructing Inoue's camp to rewrap it.
Inoue obliged. This is some mind game. Inoue does not need to cheat on hand wrapping, as his power is enough to knock out Picasso.

Inoue is heavily favored to win the fight. There is significant pressure on him because the fight is not in Japan, but I'm confident he can pass the test.


https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=1631348074910449

[Questat]

Seems like Hernandez is afraid to throw punches..

That was in the first round, he was just observing. But if you’re still watching now, a lot of the comments are saying he’s on "tank build" mode. He’s really durable, and it even looks like he’s the more aggressive one. He’s been targeting Nakatani’s body a lot.

[mirakal]

Seems like Hernandez is afraid to throw punches..

That was in the first round, he was just observing. But if you’re still watching now, a lot of the comments are saying he’s on "tank build" mode. He’s really durable, and it even looks like he’s the more aggressive one. He’s been targeting Nakatani’s body a lot.

Yeah, looks like my observation was off. I got a bit too hyped by Nakatani’s record since he’s undefeated with a high KO rate. But now he’s facing a really durable challenger who’s not backing down at all.

At this point, Nakatani already looks tired. His power punches seem gone and he’s mostly just trying to survive while still hoping for a win. If this goes all the way to 12 rounds and ends in a decision, I think we might actually see an upset here.

[Maslate]

At this point, Nakatani already looks tired. His power punches seem gone and he’s mostly just trying to survive while still hoping for a win. If this goes all the way to 12 rounds and ends in a decision, I think we might actually see an upset here.

The result was unbelievable. I honestly didn’t expect a unanimous decision for Nakatani.

It really felt like a cooking show happened in that fight. If you watched it closely, Nakatani was the one struggling at times, just look at his face.

I could maybe understand a draw, or even a very close split decision. But a clear unanimous decision? That’s just too much.
This one feels like a big robbery in boxing. 

[goldkingcoiner]

Naoya Inoue has been my favorite for a long time. He always delivers. At this point I no longer need to even look at the odds anymore...

I totally forgot about the fight until I saw this thread today.
How lucky is that?

I wonder what is this "big bang" that Naoya keeps talking about?

[Natalim]

I wonder what is this "big bang" that Naoya keeps talking about?

I had no idea about that. This might be because he’s fighting outside Japan, but right now he looks dominant.

Picasso is surviving, but he clearly doesn’t have the power punches, so Inoue should still get another win here.

I was expecting this fight to end early, but it’s starting to look like a full 12-round fight if Picasso can keep surviving. Even though Inoue is known as a KO artist, he’s not careless anymore, especially after getting badly hurt in his fight against Donaire before.

very entertaining fight so far..

[Sanitough]

very entertaining fight so far..

Finally the time has arrived, but honestly it’s not that entertaining for me. It’s pretty obvious that Picasso isn’t the kind of opponent who can really trouble Inoue. Right now he just looks like a punching bag, he doesn’t have the power to make Inoue hesitate.

What I’m really wondering is why Inoue still hasn’t knocked him out.

Is he just entertaining the crowd, or are those gloves not loaded at all? 

[coin-investor]

It's a complete blow-up again. Inoue proved he is unmatched in the Super Bantamweight. Although he dominated Picasso, he is not satisfied with his performance and wants a longer break after four fights in 2025.
I hope he will consider moving up to the featherweight division, where the real challenges are present.
He has nothing to prove in the Super-bantamweight.

Naoya Inoue defeats David Picasso by a wide unanimous decision (119-109, 120-108, 117-111) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, to retain his undisputed super bantamweight world title.

[LogitechMouse]

At this point, Nakatani already looks tired. His power punches seem gone and he’s mostly just trying to survive while still hoping for a win. If this goes all the way to 12 rounds and ends in a decision, I think we might actually see an upset here.

The result was unbelievable. I honestly didn’t expect a unanimous decision for Nakatani.

It really felt like a cooking show happened in that fight. If you watched it closely, Nakatani was the one struggling at times, just look at his face.

I could maybe understand a draw, or even a very close split decision. But a clear unanimous decision? That’s just too much.
This one feels like a big robbery in boxing. 

115-113, 115-113, 118-110. A unanimous decision for Nakatani.

I've watched the whole fight, and I didn't expect that one judge scored it at 118-110. I mean I'm not a judge, but at one point I also think that this will end up in a draw because of how close it is. It's a cooking show indeed if you will ask me as well, and we've seen Nakatani backing out at some point to regain some stamina. That just shows that he can't face Hernandez face-to-face just like what Hernandez wants to happen. A split decision or a majority draw is the better decision to this fight, but it is what it is.

Anyway, that co-main event fight was more entertaining than the main fight alone. It's a total domination from Inoue as many are expecting to happen. I just don't know though why he doesn't want to climb to another division and face way better players. I don't know, but he's lowkey cherry-picking his opponents already just to retain his undefeated record while creating records after records.