famososMuertos
Legendary

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LE ☮︎ Halving es la purga
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September 22, 2025, 11:50:48 PM |
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OP! Let's stick to a coherent opinion within the original thread so we don't fall into pretentious responses, like some sort of magic ball that predicts the future.
With that said, we can argue that the probability of a prediction coming true, based on the idea that it will happen, is 50%—a simple "yes or no," much like a coin toss. But there's a catch. Why? Well, if you're offered the chance to bet on that event with 50% odds, you should choose "No" in this case.
Anyone can say the price will be 120,001 tomorrow. That's meaningless; it's random, like a horoscope. You know what I mean. One should have a technical analysis, which doesn't guarantee anything, but at least the price you indicate is based on what's called "Technical Analysis."
Tell me, OP, if "Technical Analysis" doesn't sound pretentious, what's its basis? What elements support that idea? On the other hand, predicting such a precise price might not be so relevant, for a simple reason: if we have a price range between 119,500 and 119,975, that specific value will inevitably appear somewhere on the chart.
I can tell you that the probability of that precise price occurring is every investor's holy grail—it's the "ordeal" of all investors. That's why we can only make percentage estimates.
So, here's my point: the current price of Bitcoin is over 112k(+/-). To reach the price you're mentioning, we would need a percentage increase of around 7%. One of the conditions isn't met because your idea says the price will increase by 3.68%.
Now, a 7% increase in Bitcoin in less than 24 hours is a "piece of cake," always when it feels like it. So, if the price hits 115,559.29 within a few hours, which means we have to increase 3% from where we are now, that's easy, right?
Since the price can easily increase by 3% at any time and stay that way for a couple of hours, we can enter that range by tomorrow. In other words, all this I've said is just a smokescreen.
But, as you should know, speculation is primarily fueled by smoke.
After all this, tomorrow's price won't exceed 115,000. That's my prediction based solely and exclusively on the other ingredient of this type of speculation: feelings.
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