Bitcoin Forum
October 16, 2025, 01:00:07 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 30.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: [1]
  Print  
Author Topic: ⚾ MLB playoffs picks and discussion Bitcoin-Betting ⚾  (Read 163 times)
Web3betting (OP)
Copper Member
Jr. Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 196
Merit: 2


View Profile
September 30, 2025, 06:55:07 PM
 #1



⚾ Dodgers vs Reds — Tonight

Quick angles

🌅 Early innings can be quiet at Dodger Stadium — With the sun and shadows early, hitters sometimes struggle for the first couple of innings. If you like a low-scoring start, the under for the first five innings can make sense.

🧠 Reds vs a lefty like Snell — Cincinnati hasn’t hit left-handed pitching very well. If Snell’s curve and changeup are working, the Dodgers usually gain the upper hand after the Reds have seen him once.

🎯 What to expect from Snell and Greene — Snell strikes out a lot of hitters but he also issues some walks. Greene throws gas, but the Dodgers’ top hitters are patient and can draw walks, too.

🌬️ Quick weather check before first pitch — If the wind is pushing to right field, it helps the Dodgers’ left-handed bats (Freeman, Ohtani). If the marine layer thickens and the air gets heavy, it can hold the ball up and favor the under.

🧊 Bullpen edge later — If Greene’s pitch count climbs and he exits early, the Dodgers are more likely to score late against the Reds’ middle relievers. If Snell gives five good innings and the Dodgers hand it to their top relievers, backing L.A. live after the fifth can be safer than laying a big pregame price.

💵 Bets
• ⏱️ First 5 innings under 4 — 1.758 
• 🔥 Snell over 6.5 strikeouts — 1.961 
• 🟦 Dodgers to win — 1.518

🏢 Sportsbook🔵 Dodgers🔴 Reds
Bitcoin-Betting1.5262.730
Stake1.522.65
Sportsbet1.482.68

⚾ BASEBALL BETS ⚾
Sims25
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 317
Merit: 0


View Profile
September 30, 2025, 08:08:18 PM
 #2

https://talkimg.com/images/2025/09/30/UQW3CW.jpeg

⚾ Dodgers vs Reds — Tonight

Quick angles

🌅 Early innings can be quiet at Dodger Stadium — With the sun and shadows early, hitters sometimes struggle for the first couple of innings. If you like a low-scoring start, the under for the first five innings can make sense.

🧠 Reds vs a lefty like Snell — Cincinnati hasn’t hit left-handed pitching very well. If Snell’s curve and changeup are working, the Dodgers usually gain the upper hand after the Reds have seen him once.

🎯 What to expect from Snell and Greene — Snell strikes out a lot of hitters but he also issues some walks. Greene throws gas, but the Dodgers’ top hitters are patient and can draw walks, too.

🌬️ Quick weather check before first pitch — If the wind is pushing to right field, it helps the Dodgers’ left-handed bats (Freeman, Ohtani). If the marine layer thickens and the air gets heavy, it can hold the ball up and favor the under.

🧊 Bullpen edge later — If Greene’s pitch count climbs and he exits early, the Dodgers are more likely to score late against the Reds’ middle relievers. If Snell gives five good innings and the Dodgers hand it to their top relievers, backing L.A. live after the fifth can be safer than laying a big pregame price.

💵 Bets
• ⏱️ First 5 innings under 4 — 1.758 
• 🔥 Snell over 6.5 strikeouts — 1.961 
• 🟦 Dodgers to win — 1.518

🏢 Sportsbook🔵 Dodgers🔴 Reds
Bitcoin-Betting1.5262.730
Stake1.522.65
Sportsbet1.482.68

⚾ BASEBALL BETS ⚾
Game 1 should be fun even though both teams would be playing it safe early on. I fancy Dodgers in this matchup and I'd also be adding the over 8.5 run totals.
I'd also be going light with Ohtani to score a home run and a stolen base.
Go Dodgers!!!
Bastketsrus
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 177
Merit: 0


View Profile
September 30, 2025, 08:12:54 PM
 #3

https://talkimg.com/images/2025/09/30/UQW3CW.jpeg

⚾ Dodgers vs Reds — Tonight

Quick angles

🌅 Early innings can be quiet at Dodger Stadium — With the sun and shadows early, hitters sometimes struggle for the first couple of innings. If you like a low-scoring start, the under for the first five innings can make sense.

🧠 Reds vs a lefty like Snell — Cincinnati hasn’t hit left-handed pitching very well. If Snell’s curve and changeup are working, the Dodgers usually gain the upper hand after the Reds have seen him once.

🎯 What to expect from Snell and Greene — Snell strikes out a lot of hitters but he also issues some walks. Greene throws gas, but the Dodgers’ top hitters are patient and can draw walks, too.

🌬️ Quick weather check before first pitch — If the wind is pushing to right field, it helps the Dodgers’ left-handed bats (Freeman, Ohtani). If the marine layer thickens and the air gets heavy, it can hold the ball up and favor the under.

🧊 Bullpen edge later — If Greene’s pitch count climbs and he exits early, the Dodgers are more likely to score late against the Reds’ middle relievers. If Snell gives five good innings and the Dodgers hand it to their top relievers, backing L.A. live after the fifth can be safer than laying a big pregame price.

💵 Bets
• ⏱️ First 5 innings under 4 — 1.758 
• 🔥 Snell over 6.5 strikeouts — 1.961 
• 🟦 Dodgers to win — 1.518

🏢 Sportsbook🔵 Dodgers🔴 Reds
Bitcoin-Betting1.5262.730
Stake1.522.65
Sportsbet1.482.68

⚾ BASEBALL BETS ⚾
Looks like a solid breakdown — Dodgers definitely have the bullpen edge if it comes down to late innings. I like the first 5 under angle too, especially with Snell starting. Should be a tight one early.
Sims25
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 317
Merit: 0


View Profile
October 01, 2025, 07:06:01 AM
 #4

https://talkimg.com/images/2025/09/30/UQW3CW.jpeg

⚾ Dodgers vs Reds — Tonight

Quick angles

🌅 Early innings can be quiet at Dodger Stadium — With the sun and shadows early, hitters sometimes struggle for the first couple of innings. If you like a low-scoring start, the under for the first five innings can make sense.

🧠 Reds vs a lefty like Snell — Cincinnati hasn’t hit left-handed pitching very well. If Snell’s curve and changeup are working, the Dodgers usually gain the upper hand after the Reds have seen him once.

🎯 What to expect from Snell and Greene — Snell strikes out a lot of hitters but he also issues some walks. Greene throws gas, but the Dodgers’ top hitters are patient and can draw walks, too.

🌬️ Quick weather check before first pitch — If the wind is pushing to right field, it helps the Dodgers’ left-handed bats (Freeman, Ohtani). If the marine layer thickens and the air gets heavy, it can hold the ball up and favor the under.

🧊 Bullpen edge later — If Greene’s pitch count climbs and he exits early, the Dodgers are more likely to score late against the Reds’ middle relievers. If Snell gives five good innings and the Dodgers hand it to their top relievers, backing L.A. live after the fifth can be safer than laying a big pregame price.

💵 Bets
• ⏱️ First 5 innings under 4 — 1.758 
• 🔥 Snell over 6.5 strikeouts — 1.961 
• 🟦 Dodgers to win — 1.518

🏢 Sportsbook🔵 Dodgers🔴 Reds
Bitcoin-Betting1.5262.730
Stake1.522.65
Sportsbet1.482.68

⚾ BASEBALL BETS ⚾
Game 1 should be fun even though both teams would be playing it safe early on. I fancy Dodgers in this matchup and I'd also be adding the over 8.5 run totals.
I'd also be going light with Ohtani to score a home run and a stolen base.
Go Dodgers!!!
Went 3 out of 4 of my picks. The first 5 innings missed by a run. Cashed the Snell strikeouts too thnks to your analysis.
Web3betting (OP)
Copper Member
Jr. Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 196
Merit: 2


View Profile
October 01, 2025, 08:26:22 PM
 #5


Nice job Sims! Your plays have been very good. Here are some props that I like.



Dodgers vs Reds — Props Check (Bitcoin-Betting)

Yoshinobu Yamamoto — Under 3.5 Hits Allowed (2.159)
  • September heater: 0.67 ERA, just 7 hits across 4 starts (three of those were 1-hit outings).
  • Season line: Opponents hit .183; he held teams to 3 hits or fewer in 12 of 30 starts.
  • Only prior start vs CIN: 7.0 IP, 4 H (earlier in the year; current form is stronger).
  • CIN made minimal contact early in Game 1; their road batting average ranked among the 10 worst.
  • Underlying metrics (xERA/xBA) support elite contact suppression.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto — Over 17.5 Pitching Outs (1.961)
  • 18 outs = at least 6 full innings; near even money.
  • Last 7 starts ~100 pitches on average; 18+ outs in 6 of those 7.
  • Final 5 starts: 34 IP, 3 ER, 11 H, 44 K — very efficient profile.
  • Reds’ profile vs RHP: high K rate, bottom-third run creation — path to 6–7 IP is realistic.

Freddie Freeman — Over 1.5 Total Bases (2.080)
  • Clutch track: homered in four straight World Series games last year.
  • Matchup: xSLG around .504 vs Littell; Littell’s poor quality-of-contact metrics, especially vs LHH.
  • Multi-hit in Game 1; hits behind on-base machines (Betts, Ohtani) → extra BA chances.
  • +108 is fair for 2+ TB via two singles, a double, or better.

Max Muncy — Over 0.5 Total Bases (1.621)
  • Career vs Littell: .400/.500/1.600 with 2 HR (small sample but loud contact).
  • Littell is homer-prone with below-average whiff/K rates → more balls in play for Muncy.
  • Only one hit needed to cash; matchup leans in his favor.

Dodgers Team Total — Over 4.5 Runs (1.763)
  • LA hit 5 HR in Game 1; lineup form is hot.
  • Littell: 3.81 ERA but heavy home-run vulnerability; contact profile fits Dodgers’ power.
  • Dodgers led the NL in HR and OPS this season; depth through 1–9.
  • If Yamamoto goes deep, bullpen is fresher to lock down late runs.



Card Summary (Bitcoin-Betting)
• Yamamoto Under 3.5 Hits Allowed — 2.159 
• Yamamoto Over 17.5 Outs — 1.961 
• Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases — 2.080 
• Muncy Over 0.5 Total Bases — 1.621 
• Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5 — 1.763

Web3betting (OP)
Copper Member
Jr. Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 196
Merit: 2


View Profile
October 02, 2025, 04:37:18 PM
 #6

Props went 3-2 yesterday.



TeamStakeBitcoin-Betting
Tigers1.952.020
Guardians1.861.893
Padres1.962.000
Cubs1.851.909
Red Sox2.292.380
Yankees1.631.654

Yankees vs Red Sox – Playoff Props (Strikeouts & Total Bases)

SAFER LEANS
  • Ben Rice – Over 0.5 Total Bases @ 1.602
    – Likely top-order plate appearances (PA volume = more chances); solid hard-hit profile and pulls for extra-base damage.

  • Anthony Volpe – Over 0.5 Total Bases @ 1.662
    – Typical leadoff usage gives 4–5 PA.

  • Connelly Early – Over 8.5 Pitching Outs @ 1.704
    – Modest bar (3.0 IP). If he’s efficient through contact, he can clear 9 outs before bullpen.

  • Cam Schlittler – Over 11.5 Pitching Outs @ 1.649
    – Threshold is only 3.2 IP; if he navigates the order once, he can reach 12 outs.
VALUE SHOTS
  • Giancarlo Stanton – Over 1.5 Total Bases @ 2.360
    – Playoff-power profile; one well-struck ball (2B/HR) cashes. Good vs mistakes middle-in.

  • Aaron Judge – Over 1.5 Total Bases @ 1.943
    – Elite barrel rate; walks are a risk, but any gap/HR clears. Big-game approach favors swing damage.

  • Jarren Duran – Over 1.5 Total Bases @ 2.400
    – Leadoff volume + extra-base speed; thrives turning singles into doubles with aggressiveness.

  • Wilyer Abreu – Over 0.5 Total Bases @ 1.909
    – Left-hand power with all-fields carry; single cashes.

  • Connelly Early – Over 3.5 Strikeouts @ 1.943
    – Yankees can swing-and-miss when behind in counts; four K’s is reachable in 3–4 IP if he leans on secondaries.

  • Cam Schlittler – Over 3.5 Hits Allowed @ 2.190
    – Correlated with Yankees lineup depth; if his pitch count stretches past 12–15 batters, 4+ hits can land at nice plus money.
Bastketsrus
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 177
Merit: 0


View Profile
October 02, 2025, 05:49:19 PM
Last edit: October 02, 2025, 07:07:12 PM by Bastketsrus
 #7

https://talkimg.com/images/2025/09/30/UQW3CW.jpeg

⚾ Dodgers vs Reds — Tonight

Quick angles

🌅 Early innings can be quiet at Dodger Stadium — With the sun and shadows early, hitters sometimes struggle for the first couple of innings. If you like a low-scoring start, the under for the first five innings can make sense.

🧠 Reds vs a lefty like Snell — Cincinnati hasn’t hit left-handed pitching very well. If Snell’s curve and changeup are working, the Dodgers usually gain the upper hand after the Reds have seen him once.

🎯 What to expect from Snell and Greene — Snell strikes out a lot of hitters but he also issues some walks. Greene throws gas, but the Dodgers’ top hitters are patient and can draw walks, too.

🌬️ Quick weather check before first pitch — If the wind is pushing to right field, it helps the Dodgers’ left-handed bats (Freeman, Ohtani). If the marine layer thickens and the air gets heavy, it can hold the ball up and favor the under.

🧊 Bullpen edge later — If Greene’s pitch count climbs and he exits early, the Dodgers are more likely to score late against the Reds’ middle relievers. If Snell gives five good innings and the Dodgers hand it to their top relievers, backing L.A. live after the fifth can be safer than laying a big pregame price.

💵 Bets
• ⏱️ First 5 innings under 4 — 1.758  
• 🔥 Snell over 6.5 strikeouts — 1.961  
• 🟦 Dodgers to win — 1.518

🏢 Sportsbook🔵 Dodgers🔴 Reds
Bitcoin-Betting1.5262.730
Stake1.522.65
Sportsbet1.482.68

⚾ BASEBALL BETS ⚾

Good call — switching focus to Bos/Yanks tonight. Should be another tight one with both teams’ bullpens likely playing a big role. Early innings under looks tempting again, and I’ll probably lean strikeout props depending on how deep the starters can go.
Web3betting (OP)
Copper Member
Jr. Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 196
Merit: 2


View Profile
October 06, 2025, 04:04:45 AM
 #8


⚾️ MLB Playoffs – Pitching Preview (Mon, Oct 6, 2025)

🧢 Dodgers at 🔴 Phillies — NLDS Game 2 ⏰ 6:08 PM ET
LAD: Blake Snell, LHP — 📊 2025: 5–4, 2.35 ERA, 72 K. 🔥 Last outing: 7 IP, 2 ER (Wild Card). Penultimate RS start vs PHI: 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 12 K.
PHI: Jesús Luzardo, LHP — 📊 2025: 15–7, 3.92 ERA, 216 K. 🔼 September: 28 IP, 34 K, 3.21 ERA; last RS start: 7 IP, 10 K, 0 ER vs MIA.
Series note: Dodgers lead 1–0 after a 5–3 comeback. Snell vs Luzardo confirmed.

🐻 Cubs at 🍺 Brewers — NLDS Game 2 ⏰ 9:08 PM ET
CHC: Shota Imanaga, LHP — 📊 2025: 9–8, 3.73 ERA, 117 K; 0.99 WHIP. 📉 First 13 starts: 2.40 ERA; last 12: 5.17 ERA; 20 HR allowed (12 in last six). Wild Card: 4 IP (behind an opener).
MIL: Aaron Ashby, LHP (opener) — 📊 2025: 5–2, 2.16 ERA, 76 K. 🧩 Crew to open with Ashby, then a bulk arm (e.g., Quinn Priester) as needed. Game 1: 1⅓ IP, 16 pitches.
Lineup watch: Jackson Chourio (hamstring) questionable; Brewers lead series 1–0.

⚾️ Team💰 Bitcoin-Betting🏷️ Stake🏷️ Sportsbet
Dodgers 🧢1.7931.751.74
Phillies 🔴2.1392.092.06
Cubs 🐻2.072.001.99
Brewers 🍺1.8471.811.79

Bitcoin-Betting • No KYC • Best Odds

I'm taking the Dodgers because of Snell. Good luck to everyone.
Sims25
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 317
Merit: 0


View Profile
October 06, 2025, 05:40:41 PM
 #9

https://talkimg.com/images/2025/10/06/UGs0kG.jpeg

⚾️ MLB Playoffs – Pitching Preview (Mon, Oct 6, 2025)

🧢 Dodgers at 🔴 Phillies — NLDS Game 2 ⏰ 6:08 PM ET
LAD: Blake Snell, LHP — 📊 2025: 5–4, 2.35 ERA, 72 K. 🔥 Last outing: 7 IP, 2 ER (Wild Card). Penultimate RS start vs PHI: 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 12 K.
PHI: Jesús Luzardo, LHP — 📊 2025: 15–7, 3.92 ERA, 216 K. 🔼 September: 28 IP, 34 K, 3.21 ERA; last RS start: 7 IP, 10 K, 0 ER vs MIA.
Series note: Dodgers lead 1–0 after a 5–3 comeback. Snell vs Luzardo confirmed.

🐻 Cubs at 🍺 Brewers — NLDS Game 2 ⏰ 9:08 PM ET
CHC: Shota Imanaga, LHP — 📊 2025: 9–8, 3.73 ERA, 117 K; 0.99 WHIP. 📉 First 13 starts: 2.40 ERA; last 12: 5.17 ERA; 20 HR allowed (12 in last six). Wild Card: 4 IP (behind an opener).
MIL: Aaron Ashby, LHP (opener) — 📊 2025: 5–2, 2.16 ERA, 76 K. 🧩 Crew to open with Ashby, then a bulk arm (e.g., Quinn Priester) as needed. Game 1: 1⅓ IP, 16 pitches.
Lineup watch: Jackson Chourio (hamstring) questionable; Brewers lead series 1–0.

⚾️ Team💰 Bitcoin-Betting🏷️ Stake🏷️ Sportsbet
Dodgers 🧢1.7931.751.74
Phillies 🔴2.1392.092.06
Cubs 🐻2.072.001.99
Brewers 🍺1.8471.811.79

Bitcoin-Betting • No KYC • Best Odds

I'm taking the Dodgers because of Snell. Good luck to everyone.
Dodgers take a 1:0 lead into the second game of the series. Going with the Phillies to even the series.
Ohtani to get an home run is also on my radar.
Web3betting (OP)
Copper Member
Jr. Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 196
Merit: 2


View Profile
October 08, 2025, 06:58:08 PM
 #10




#BetOddsImplied %My %EdgeWhy
1Cam Schlittler OVER 4.5 Ks1.68459.4%71.5%+12.1%Swing-and-miss profile + likely 5–6 IP leash → frequent 5+ Ks.
2Yankees −0.5 (First 5)1.91752.2%61.0%+8.8%TOR opens with Varland and a taxed pen vs NYY starter with leash; clean F5 edge.
3Louis Varland OVER 0.5 Earned Runs2.74036.5%44.0%+7.5%One scoreless frame in Yankee Stadium isn’t a lock, especially vs top of order.
4Louis Varland OVER 0.5 Hits Allowed1.49267.0%74.0%+7.0%Even in 1–2 IP, allowing at least one hit is the median outcome.
5Cam Schlittler OVER 14.5 Outs1.94351.5%56.0%+4.5%Five full innings is realistic if efficient; 15-out hook is friendly.
6Cam Schlittler OVER 3.5 Hits Allowed1.67559.7%66.0%+6.3%Volume play—4+ hits typically come with 5–6 IP.
7Yankees — Team to Score First2.00949.8%55.0%+5.2%Opener vs settled starter + NYY top-order pop tilts first run toward New York.
8Blue Jays Team Total UNDER 3.51.96251.0%56.0%+5.0%Schlittler 5–6 IP + leverage relievers behind him caps TOR at ≤3 often.
9Aaron Judge OVER 1.5 Total Bases2.02049.5%53.0%+3.5%Form + multiple cracks at TOR relievers; EV-friendly even money.
10Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OVER 1.5 Total Bases2.30043.5%50.0%+6.5%Riding playoff slug; two singles or one XBH gets there.
11Game Total OVER 8.51.94351.5%52.5%+1.0%Bullpen exposure can push late runs if park/weather aren’t suppressing.
12Yankees −1.52.20945.3%48.0%+2.7%Live if NYY reaches TOR middle relief early; pairs with other NYY leans.

Web3betting (OP)
Copper Member
Jr. Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 196
Merit: 2


View Profile
October 14, 2025, 06:10:52 PM
 #11


Dodgers at Brewers — Pitching Splits & Odds

Freddy Peralta (MIL) — better at home: 2025 at American Family Field 1.77 ERA (91.2 IP), opponents.192 AVG. Road: 3.71 ERA (85.0 IP).
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) — better on the road: Away in 2025: 2.13 ERA (105.2 IP), opponents .168 AVG. Home: 3.04 ERA (68.0 IP).


Takeaway: Peralta’s home bump vs. Yamamoto’s road form points to another tight, low-scoring, strikeout-leaning game with the Brewers coming out on top.

Moneyline Odds (Decimal)
TeamBitcoin-BettingStake
Dodgers1.8261.81
Brewers2.1202.05

Bastketsrus
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 177
Merit: 0


View Profile
October 14, 2025, 07:59:55 PM
 #12

https://talkimg.com/images/2025/10/14/UMPlEJ.jpeg

Dodgers at Brewers — Pitching Splits & Odds

Freddy Peralta (MIL) — better at home: 2025 at American Family Field 1.77 ERA (91.2 IP), opponents.192 AVG. Road: 3.71 ERA (85.0 IP).
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) — better on the road: Away in 2025: 2.13 ERA (105.2 IP), opponents .168 AVG. Home: 3.04 ERA (68.0 IP).


Takeaway: Peralta’s home bump vs. Yamamoto’s road form points to another tight, low-scoring, strikeout-leaning game with the Brewers coming out on top.

Moneyline Odds (Decimal)
TeamBitcoin-BettingStake
Dodgers1.8261.81
Brewers2.1202.05

I like the Brewers ML at 2.12 since Peralta has been solid at home, and I’m leaning under 7.5 runs with both pitchers in good form. Feels like it’s going to be a close, low-scoring game.
Pages: [1]
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!