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Author Topic: Can you really master sports betting, or is it still all luck?  (Read 496 times)
Hypnosis00 (OP)
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October 10, 2025, 01:08:58 PM
 #1

I’ve always wondered if sports betting can actually be learned the same way you develop skills in poker or trading. Some bettors claim they’ve improved over time , studying player stats, team form, odds movement, and even learning how to manage their bankroll properly.

But others still say it doesn’t matter how much research you do, because one bad call, injury, or last-minute play can ruin everything. So is it really a skill, or just controlled gambling that gives you the illusion of strategy?

What’s your personal experience? Do you feel you’ve gotten better with time, or is it still just luck deciding the outcome in the end?
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October 10, 2025, 01:12:15 PM
 #2

There is mastery to everything but we shouldn't neglect the fact that luck plays a vital role in gambling. Sports betting requires both skills, strategy and level of mastery to win most times, unlike other casino games like slot, roulette which rely mainly on luck to win. If you are good at making good analysis you will become more lucky to win when you bet.

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October 10, 2025, 01:12:20 PM
 #3

I’ve always wondered if sports betting can actually be learned the same way you develop skills in poker or trading. Some bettors claim they’ve improved over time , studying player stats, team form, odds movement, and even learning how to manage their bankroll properly.

But others still say it doesn’t matter how much research you do, because one bad call, injury, or last-minute play can ruin everything. So is it really a skill, or just controlled gambling that gives you the illusion of strategy?

What’s your personal experience? Do you feel you’ve gotten better with time, or is it still just luck deciding the outcome in the end?
We have some level of mastering in sport betting, but we have zero consistency in it outcomes what that means for a sports bettors is that, you have all the statistics and skills to analyze the game but a lot of factors could stop your from reaching your desired winnings, and that is where luck becomes your only hope to win, since you can't rely on skills and performance of the team alone to make a winning.

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October 10, 2025, 01:14:22 PM
 #4

Sportsbetting is a skill based game that involves analysis skills to increase your chance of winning.

It’s proven by some professional bettor since they manage to achieved high winning percentage with positive PnL. There’s also value betting that gives you an edge if you manage to spot them.

For an average sports bettor. Luck play an important part for their analysis to become successful.



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October 10, 2025, 01:19:29 PM
 #5

Sure, one can improve in sports analysis, but I don’t think it’s possible to perfectly predict the outcome of every game, I believe it all still depends on luck since this involves predicting the real life performance of real people. It only takes one with psychic abilities to master sports betting, for ordinary people, regardless of how good your analytical skills are, you still need the luck factor to validate your predictions since you can’t really tell what will happen in the future. It’s a lot more different with poker since opponent is right next to you, it’s easier to master the person’s strategy and come up with a counter strategy, same thing with when you’re dealing on stocks and bonds, it’s easier to predict their patterns but humans aren’t completely predictable you know, and that’s what makes it impossible to master sports betting.

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October 10, 2025, 01:19:48 PM
 #6

I do believe sports betting can be learned as there are people who make a living at it. I can’t prove I’m one of them yet, I’m still bleeding a bit from learning, but I treat those losses as tuition. If I get this right later, I expect to recover what I lost and then some.

But it’s not magic. To get there you need a plan and discipline. Start with how much bankroll you can actually afford, set rules for stake sizing and stop-loss, and manage it for the long term. Short bursts won’t tell you if you’ve really improved, you need time, tracking, and honesty about mistakes.

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October 10, 2025, 01:19:51 PM
 #7


What’s your personal experience? Do you feel you’ve gotten better with time, or is it still just luck deciding the outcome in the end?
I have gotten better than before but no matter how good you become, you will lose your bets when you are bound to, you can not prevent losses that were meant to happen, you can be skilled to win so many of your bets but for games that will make you blow your money, you won't see it before it happens, that's because you are not lucky to see it. Meanwhile, no matter your skill in sports, you don't have to joke with luck. Betting is a game of skill unless you decided to just care less on making prediction but just want to totally depends on random prediction without making a detailed findings of what can be possible and what won't be possible in the game. Skill, gives you more edge than someone that is just making random prediction, but both depends on luck.

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October 10, 2025, 01:25:30 PM
 #8


What’s your personal experience? Do you feel you’ve gotten better with time, or is it still just luck deciding the outcome in the end?
I have gotten better than before but no matter how good you become, you will lose your bets when you are bound to, you can not prevent losses that were meant to happen, you can be skilled to win so many of your bets but for games that will make you blow your money, you won't see it before it happens, that's because you are not lucky to see it. Meanwhile, no matter your skill in sports, you don't have to joke with luck. Betting is a game of skill unless you decided to just care less on making prediction but just want to totally depends on random prediction without making a detailed findings of what can be possible and what won't be possible in the game. Skill, gives you more edge than someone that is just making random prediction, but both depends on luck.
This is correct. Losses is inevitable on gambling no matter how good you are because even a pro still have a winning percentage that borderline above 50% to 60% winning percentage.

They all rely on the PnL rather than winning percentage so they mostly choose a match that pay a good odds.

Luck is always important on any games that has risk involved no matter how good we are on analysis because there’s some factor on sports that can’t be analyzed accurately.

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October 10, 2025, 01:27:18 PM
 #9

I’ve always wondered if sports betting can actually be learned the same way you develop skills in poker or trading. Some bettors claim they’ve improved over time , studying player stats, team form, odds movement, and even learning how to manage their bankroll properly.

But others still say it doesn’t matter how much research you do, because one bad call, injury, or last-minute play can ruin everything. So is it really a skill, or just controlled gambling that gives you the illusion of strategy?

What’s your personal experience? Do you feel you’ve gotten better with time, or is it still just luck deciding the outcome in the end?
Until i see actual peer reviewed statistics of someone improving in sports betting in long time, i call any one claiming they have a liar.

Obviously someone can get better results then they had when they came in, but i don't believe that's something to do with skills.

Everyone bragging about their ROI is often deleting and forgetting any former public betting data where they lost. This i have witnessed with my own eyes done by people / groups that are giving free and paid tips.

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October 10, 2025, 01:27:26 PM
 #10

Sports betting is not all about analysis and skill but also needs luck to win. However, having the two (good analysis and skills) plays a more important part in betting than luck. This is different from slots and any pure-luck-based games, where you are completely relying on luck, not on skills.

But despite saying this, when we say gambling, nothing assures us. And even mastering sports, losing remains inevitable. That is why we can't leave the confidence of winning, even gambling for many years. We can't manipulate results to make us always win, as gambling is always a win-lose situation.

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October 10, 2025, 01:29:53 PM
 #11

I’ve always wondered if sports betting can actually be learned the same way you develop skills in poker or trading. Some bettors claim they’ve improved over time , studying player stats, team form, odds movement, and even learning how to manage their bankroll properly.

But others still say it doesn’t matter how much research you do, because one bad call, injury, or last-minute play can ruin everything. So is it really a skill, or just controlled gambling that gives you the illusion of strategy?

What’s your personal experience? Do you feel you’ve gotten better with time, or is it still just luck deciding the outcome in the end
?
There's no illusion here because you would definitely have to use a certain style to play.
Unlike any other endeavor out there, practice would result in perfection that even a mistake in betting odds selection might just become pure luck.

There are strategies older gamblers may have subconsciously or consciously learnt and put into practice and while they may go by different names these days, the one I know up my sleeves has to do with checking statistics and comparing bookmakers odds on various platforms, checking previous results of the various teams I intend to use. I also decide if I am going to cashout or wait until the results play out, before the time is up.

More betting time equals more luck because muscle memory is built subconsciously and a newbie gambler would always have that scent that the oldies have outgrown.

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October 10, 2025, 01:30:51 PM
 #12


What’s your personal experience? Do you feel you’ve gotten better with time, or is it still just luck deciding the outcome in the end?
I have gotten better than before but no matter how good you become, you will lose your bets when you are bound to, you can not prevent losses that were meant to happen, you can be skilled to win so many of your bets but for games that will make you blow your money, you won't see it before it happens, that's because you are not lucky to see it. Meanwhile, no matter your skill in sports, you don't have to joke with luck. Betting is a game of skill unless you decided to just care less on making prediction but just want to totally depends on random prediction without making a detailed findings of what can be possible and what won't be possible in the game. Skill, gives you more edge than someone that is just making random prediction, but both depends on luck.
This is correct. Losses is inevitable on gambling no matter how good you are because even a pro still have a winning percentage that borderline above 50% to 60% winning percentage.

They all rely on the PnL rather than winning percentage so they mostly choose a match that pay a good odds.

Luck is always important on any games that has risk involved no matter how good we are on analysis because there’s some factor on sports that can’t be analyzed accurately.
No matter how experienced a person gets with betting there’s always that part of it that comes down to luck you can study the stats analyze every possible factor and still lose because something unpredictable happens that’s just the nature of gambling and especially sports anything can change in a few seconds an injury a bad call or even weather. Getting better with time definitely helps though experience teaches you discipline and patience it helps you know when to bet how to manage your bankroll and when to stay away from risky matches that’s the difference between someone who bets smart and someone who just throws money around skill gives you control over your decisions but not over the outcome.

You’re right that even professionals lose they just lose less because they manage risk better most of them care more about their profit and loss overall than their win percentage they look for value bets where the odds are higher than the real probability that’s how they stay profitable even if they only win slightly more than half their bets. Luck always stays in the picture because no one can predict sports perfectly there are too many moving parts analysis gets you closer to the truth but it doesn’t guarantee success that’s why good bettors always stay humble they know they can win today and lose tomorrow.

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October 10, 2025, 01:31:18 PM
 #13

I’ve always wondered if sports betting can actually be learned the same way you develop skills in poker or trading. Some bettors claim they’ve improved over time , studying player stats, team form, odds movement, and even learning how to manage their bankroll properly.

But others still say it doesn’t matter how much research you do, because one bad call, injury, or last-minute play can ruin everything. So is it really a skill, or just controlled gambling that gives you the illusion of strategy?

What’s your personal experience? Do you feel you’ve gotten better with time, or is it still just luck deciding the outcome in the end?
Honestly, its a mix of both in my opinion and skill and luck. You can definitely improve by studying stats, trends, and managing your bankroll better, but you can never control the randomness of a game theres always unprecedented and unforseen events in any sports game. Even the most disciplined bettors lose sometimes. So yeah, you can get smarter at betting, but you’ll never be able to remove luck from the equation completely. Nope for my own experience, just betting on favorite team and based on their potentials but still win or lose on the result.


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October 10, 2025, 01:35:30 PM
 #14

You can't master sports betting, unless you are a clairvoyant. Events are unpredictable to be guessed in a solid basis. You will always miss a detail or something which nobody expected. And then, you have three potential results for each match you place a bet on: team A wins, team B wins or a draw. It means you don't have 50% winning chances, never.

It's not different from the casino's roulette, where some people believe they are playing from equal to equal against the casino due to picking red or black houses, although they forget there is also a third one, the green house (zero number). The gambler's chances are always in disadvantage, so it's just a matter of time until they lose.

Luck is necessary to make quick profit and then quit forever, if you don't want to lose your prize on further betting sessions.

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October 10, 2025, 01:44:44 PM
 #15

From my point of view, to win at gambling, we have to depend on luck as well as research because the future is uncertain, we do not know exactly what will happen in the future. Therefore, to win at gambling, we cannot rely only on luck, nor can we ensure victory by relying only on research or strategy. We have to depend on luck as well as research to win at gambling.

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October 10, 2025, 01:46:47 PM
 #16

All luck? No -  it’s what they call a skill-based game. The name itself tells you that you can actually develop and master your skills in sports betting. Don’t close your mind to the idea that it’s possible to be profitable; if others can do it, then we probably can too.

But of course, there’s a limit. You can’t just keep burning money without seeing any real improvement. At some point, you have to step back and evaluate if your strategy’s really working or you’re just gambling on hope.

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October 10, 2025, 01:48:07 PM
 #17

What’s your personal experience? Do you feel you’ve gotten better with time, or is it still just luck deciding the outcome in the end?
I got better because I know how to manage my bank roll properly than before. I did not believe in making huge amount of money from gambling and I use small amount of money to gamble. That is what I learned from experience over time as I continued to gamble.

About getting better in making money through gambling, I do not think of it at all because I know the end will not be good. I prefer to just get better in managing my bankroll instead.

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October 10, 2025, 01:51:25 PM
 #18

But others still say it doesn’t matter how much research you do, because one bad call, injury, or last-minute play can ruin everything. So is it really a skill, or just controlled gambling that gives you the illusion of strategy?

It is better to refer to it as controlled gambling. No matter how good you are at analyzing sports bets, the outcome depends on the matches. Many factors influence the games, which means we also cannot ignore the role of luck in sports betting.
Analysis and predictions can be made, but the course of the game may not go smoothly. That doesn't mean we are bad at making predictions. Even the best teams can lose. We are just betting with the best possible chances of winning.

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October 10, 2025, 01:56:35 PM
 #19

From my point of view, to win at gambling, we have to depend on luck as well as research because the future is uncertain, we do not know exactly what will happen in the future. Therefore, to win at gambling, we cannot rely only on luck, nor can we ensure victory by relying only on research or strategy. We have to depend on luck as well as research to win at gambling.

I don’t get how people can rely on luck when they have no control over it. With skill, at least you can be confident, you know what you’re doing. You build that confidence, and sure, you still hope to get lucky sometimes, but it’s not your only bet.

You can be consistent with your skills, but never with luck. That’s the difference. Even if you have ups and downs, you’ll still end up ahead eventually, because you’re smart with your approach and you’ve proven that you can actually be profitable.

 
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October 10, 2025, 01:56:52 PM
 #20

You can master the betting in sports and that is an advantage but does not mean that you will be perfect on that field.
remember even bookies do failed also, It is a big advantage but luck still a factor in every game. here in our country we call it Bilog ang Bola.
Even the worst team can beat the leading team in the league.

anyone here remember the series of Dallas (1st) vs GSW (8th seed), GSW won 4-0.

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Argentina National Team
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