How far can we speculate the price of Bitcoin to be near accurate

[Uhwuchukwu53]

Well speculation can never be exact that is while it's called speculation, speculator can go any length it's individual base and can never be certain, while on speculation one really need have some perimeter and range not centering on specific figure while many is lagging or finding it difficult is as a result of having a specific figure while speculating in the market. I was close to friend that was complaining about his target as speculate towards the market guess what he was some over exergerating about what the market out come will look like making him not getting close to the accurate market figure or operations over exergerating should be reduced while on speculation I don't say that expecting high is bad but it should should be within achievable range if the market.

[sana54210]

We can't. We can never be accurate enough to be near all the time, we can be right at sometimes, but we can't be accurate all the time, that is not going to happen and it is not going to be easy.

What we can do however is to make sure that we deal with this as much as we can from the point where we can, and that will definitely do a fine job for us on the long run. That is why it's clear that what we need at the moment would be making sure that we deal with this as easily as possible. This is a try to be right about the direction, because you may not be near accurate to the price, but you can be near accurate with the direction and when you are right about that part then things are getting easier for you.

[DeeppRockk]

We can't. We can never be accurate enough to be near all the time, we can be right at sometimes, but we can't be accurate all the time, that is not going to happen and it is not going to be easy.

What we can do however is to make sure that we deal with this as much as we can from the point where we can, and that will definitely do a fine job for us on the long run. That is why it's clear that what we need at the moment would be making sure that we deal with this as easily as possible. This is a try to be right about the direction, because you may not be near accurate to the price, but you can be near accurate with the direction and when you are right about that part then things are getting easier for you.

You're absolutely right about how unpredictable this market can be-even with all the models and indicators we rely on, it's crazy how quickly things can flip. I've been watching liquidity cycles swing back and forth lately, and those ETF inflows/outflows really do seem to dictate short-term sentiment more than anything else. It's like the market's mood changes overnight based on who's buying or selling. 

The $95k level has been holding surprisingly well, but I'm curious if others are seeing the same thing I am: every time we test it, the bids just keep absorbing the pressure. Still, I wonder how long that can last. If we *do* push toward $100k again, I'll be glued to the volume-last time we tagged that zone, volume spiked but then faded super fast, which made me nervous. Are we likely to see a repeat of that, or is there something different this time around? Maybe the ETF flows will smooth it out, but I'm not convinced. 

What's everyone else's take? Is $100k just a psychological trap, or is there real conviction building here?

[wozzek23]

While we can try to be as close as we want, the trouble isn't about some "being right" for once, it's the sustained long term profit that we should be looking at. Most of the time people miss that and they end up with a loss, if they are more careful then they can make a profit long term.

So do not try to be right just once in a while, try to be right every time on if you are going to profit or not. If you try to be near accurate then you are going to lose so much more money that way.

[Humblevirus]

This question is born out my curiosity from the market event lately, Bitcoin most especially, with the unpredictable market directions for Bitcoin, how far can we say we can go with Bitcoin price speculation.

Or we should just give up on speculating the price and just accept whatever Bitcoin offers us in price since we have been proven wrong in speculation multiple times.

As for me, I don’t speculate about the price of Bitcoin because I know I am not good at prediction. Another thing is that I am an investor, and my plan is to hold my Bitcoin for a long period of time before thinking of selling. So, I don’t have any reason to speculate about the price of Bitcoin, because I am not someone who wants to buy now and sell in a few weeks.

Many of those who speculate about the price of Bitcoin, I always view as traders or short term investors. I don’t see any reason why a long term investor should be speculating about Bitcoin’s price and trying to pressure themselves. It makes more sense for people to focus on investing and stop speculating about Bitcoin, while being ready to accept whatever Bitcoin brings.However, we should only invest what we can afford to lose

[Rabata]

One should not assume that price predictions will always be accurate, and it is also unreasonable to make excessive predictions that do not match reality. If predictions are realistic, then those predictions certainly have importance. Those who are interested in investing in Bitcoin will benefit if they believe in reality-based predictions. In the case of Bitcoin, if someone overestimates and I think that can also be possible in the long run. In 2011, no one ever thought that Bitcoin would go this far, but with time, it did. After 2016, when some people said that the Bitcoin price would be 100, many still called it unrealistic, but with the passage of time, that too has matched reality. One should definitely make logical level predictions that can be useful for future investments.

[Powerjumboo]

This question is born out my curiosity from the market event lately, Bitcoin most especially, with the unpredictable market directions for Bitcoin, how far can we say we can go with Bitcoin price speculation.

Or we should just give up on speculating the price and just accept whatever Bitcoin offers us in price since we have been proven wrong in speculation multiple times.

Actually, what we predict about the price of Bitcoin is just a guess and we take our idea from this guess. For example, many people have said that Bitcoin will be 150000 to 180000 dollars by this January. In this case, it is very difficult to believe in their predictions. There is a concept in us that prevents us from making all these predictions. However, I believe in the future of those people who make predictions that do not make bad predictions and make predictions that Bitcoin will achieve a good position in the future.

[Juicyhome]

One should not assume that price predictions will always be accurate, and it is also unreasonable to make excessive predictions that do not match reality. If predictions are realistic, then those predictions certainly have importance. Those who are interested in investing in Bitcoin will benefit if they believe in reality-based predictions. In the case of Bitcoin, if someone overestimates and I think that can also be possible in the long run. In 2011, no one ever thought that Bitcoin would go this far, but with time, it did. After 2016, when some people said that the Bitcoin price would be 100, many still called it unrealistic, but with the passage of time, that too has matched reality. One should definitely make logical level predictions that can be useful for future investments.

Absolute correct, Bitcoin need patient and commitment to hold for long, no speculation can actually determine the accurate price of Bitcoin, because it's decentralized, unlike fiat that the government controls the price, The best we can do is to speculate the price of Bitcoin and if we're patient enough with time, the price we get to the place we predicted.

As an investors, buy Bitcoin because you believe it will grow in the future and not by speculators analysis, because you will be disappointed if you follow their price analysis. Your duty is to buy and hold for a long time , don't be motivated by any speculators price. They can't actually get the right price correctly

[DeeppRockk]

One should not assume that price predictions will always be accurate, and it is also unreasonable to make excessive predictions that do not match reality. If predictions are realistic, then those predictions certainly have importance. Those who are interested in investing in Bitcoin will benefit if they believe in reality-based predictions. In the case of Bitcoin, if someone overestimates and I think that can also be possible in the long run. In 2011, no one ever thought that Bitcoin would go this far, but with time, it did. After 2016, when some people said that the Bitcoin price would be 100, many still called it unrealistic, but with the passage of time, that too has matched reality. One should definitely make logical level predictions that can be useful for future investments.

Absolute correct, Bitcoin need patient and commitment to hold for long, no speculation can actually determine the accurate price of Bitcoin, because it's decentralized, unlike fiat that the government controls the price, The best we can do is to speculate the price of Bitcoin and if we're patient enough with time, the price we get to the place we predicted.

As an investors, buy Bitcoin because you believe it will grow in the future and not by speculators analysis, because you will be disappointed if you follow their price analysis. Your duty is to buy and hold for a long time , don't be motivated by any speculators price. They can't actually get the right price correctly

You're right about decentralization making price prediction tricky.

That chaotic element is exactly why I focus on liquidity cycles and ETF inflows-they give us better signals than pure guesswork. Institutional money has changed the game, but Bitcoin's still Bitcoin.
Remember 2021's volatility?
Same patterns, just higher stakes now.

Are you watching the $90k support level closely?

[jcojci]

Not too far because we don't know for sure what will happens to Bitcoin. Even if you say Bitcoin will go to $70,000-$150,000 in the near, that still speculation which we don't know if that will happens or not.

We can't believes what others say about their analysis. Speculation is speculation which no one will know the truth but if you want to invest in Bitcoin, you should hodl it for a long time. That will not makes you confuse with the price movements.

[JoyMarsha]

This question is born out my curiosity from the market event lately, Bitcoin most especially, with the unpredictable market directions for Bitcoin, how far can we say we can go with Bitcoin price speculation.

On my own side, I don't know about others, I can go on and on to make speculation on Bitcoin price as long as the market is open, and Bitcoin fluctuates in price. Nothing stops me from throwing in different guesses from time to time even when I know my guesses will be wrong. It's just guesses to say, nothing serious but rather fun

[Ishicryptic]

Speculation is a normal thing for any market that is volatile where price is not stable, the marketers and investors will predict where price will be at anytime to prepare themselves either to buy, wait or sell. If you don't control the market you shouldn't expect your speculations to be 100% accurate, it is the conclusion of guess works after doing your technical analysis and monitoring the market. Bitcoin price fluctuates and traders likewise investors are free to predict where they think price will be because they are not sure, there is nothing binding on anybody that doesn't want to speculate.

[GeorgeJohn]

Not too far because we don't know for sure what will happens to Bitcoin. Even if you say Bitcoin will go to $70,000-$150,000 in the near, that still speculation which we don't know if that will happens or not.

People made Speculation without facts, So most things you see in Speculation is someone exaggeration, most of the speculators doesn't make a research before they analysis next steps of bitcoin price, and so many knew that bitcoin price is unpredictable, bitcoin price falling and rising will be determine by the market cap, so if anyone is afraid of Bitcoin falling, the person shouldn't invest in bitcoin, because falling & rising is a routine of bitcoin.
 

We can't believes what others say about their analysis. Speculation is speculation which no one will know the truth but if you want to invest in Bitcoin, you should hodl it for a long time. That will not makes you confuse with the price movements.

They're some Speculation that is in line with bitcoin price, not all Speculation of Bitcoin is condemnable, but must of the speculators doesn't conduct a research before bringing out their analysis to the public...so many of the Speculations are not reliable...

For the aspects of investing in bitcoin and hold for long-term, it's the detriment of the investors and it doesn't lies on anyone shoulder, it's not necessary that you will hold bitcoin for long-term and people who wish to hold for long-term can hold

I noticed that people are holding bitcoin for long-term due to the amount of capital or funds they have, and also the target they have for holding for long-term...so both short-term holders of bitcoin and long-term holders of bitcoin, is determine by the decision of the investor.

[Hazink]

We have made predictions in the past which all did not come as we predicted, which is just the market proving to us that it's entirely unpredictable. We make the prediction based on past price history and current expected events, but things change in the market. We still get a close prediction but not an accurate one, and we try to better our analysis even if we can't get it right it's just there, and we will forever continue to be trying because we want to know about what price will be in the future.

[Zanab247]

This question is born out my curiosity from the market event lately, Bitcoin most especially, with the unpredictable market directions for Bitcoin, how far can we say we can go with Bitcoin price speculation.

Or we should just give up on speculating the price and just accept whatever Bitcoin offers us in price since we have been proven wrong in speculation multiple times.

We will continue speculating BTC to make other new users to know that BTC is unpredictable in this large industry, because it pump and dump to allow users to achieve what they want from the market. No matter how regular you predict about BTC movement you will not 100% accurate in BTC prediction, because you are not the only crypto user that is pumping BTC and you will not be the only user to be accurate in BTC prediction.

For this year 2026, I guess the price of BTC will still hit $100k again to cause hodlers to earn massive profits that will boost their wealth. I don't think the bull will last long like what we experience few months ago, because the bull season was so long to help many hodlers to achieve what they have not earn before in crypto trading.

[irhact]

This question is born out my curiosity from the market event lately, Bitcoin most especially, with the unpredictable market directions for Bitcoin, how far can we say we can go with Bitcoin price speculation.

Or we should just give up on speculating the price and just accept whatever Bitcoin offers us in price since we have been proven wrong in speculation multiple times.

We cannot stop speculating on the price of Bitcoin, some individuals have tried severally and on their several tries they have actually made a perfect prediction and if they can do that therefore others can do the same. Trading Bitcoin is very fun and entertaining, you don't have to get the exact price correctly you just have to be positive more times than your negative because if you are able to get the price to go upwards or downward a few times you can make enough profit to wait small and wait on the market to finish being volatile before you continue trading again. In speculating Bitcoin you can get the price correct or you get the price wrong but speculating should not be your main way of investing in Bitcoin, how Bitcoin pays it's believers are for those that hold Bitcoin for a long period of time therefore that should be the best way of investing in Bitcoin. If you are trying to speculate, it should just be for the short term and not for the long term because for all those that are investing in Bitcoin for the long term, holding is the only way you can invest in Bitcoin and make a profit.