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Author Topic: At what point does confidence in gambling turn into denial  (Read 480 times)
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October 17, 2025, 09:11:28 AM
 #1

Well you go online and maybe you have the best strategy in your games, like in baccarat and black jack. And as gambler, I haven't met one that is not that confident. The moment to let's say you go to a land base casinos or go online, your thoughts is that you are going to win and be very positive.

But where can you draw the line though? You started to lose and your bankroll is almost empty. But you keep talking to yourself that you just needed that one win to break that spell and be back in the winner form.

With that it's turns that you are no longer calculating the odds for your favor, but simply trying to protect your ego and you are stubborn. Did you experience this, and how did you get over with it?

.
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October 17, 2025, 09:23:37 AM
 #2

Well you go online and maybe you have the best strategy in your games, like in baccarat and black jack. And as gambler, I haven't met one that is not that confident. The moment to let's say you go to a land base casinos or go online, your thoughts is that you are going to win and be very positive.
Well I think it happens at that particular point where a gambler begins to assume only profits and does not to regard the fact that losses could also come in. Gambling is about luck and strategy can't cut it all a majority of the time and because of this it is very important as a gambler to also consider a risk of losses.
The moment you begin to ignore the chances of actually of actually losing a bet you'll find yourself risking more and even more than you should on a normal day and that actually should should be where you draw the line.

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October 17, 2025, 09:28:10 AM
 #3

Well you go online and maybe you have the best strategy in your games, like in baccarat and black jack. And as gambler, I haven't met one that is not that confident. The moment to let's say you go to a land base casinos or go online, your thoughts is that you are going to win and be very positive.

But where can you draw the line though? You started to lose and your bankroll is almost empty. But you keep talking to yourself that you just needed that one win to break that spell and be back in the winner form.

With that it's turns that you are no longer calculating the odds for your favor, but simply trying to protect your ego and you are stubborn. Did you experience this, and how did you get over with it?

It sounds like a nightmare. ) You can't lose your entire bankroll in one evening, it should be prohibited, and if you do, it's best to give up gambling altogether. Your bankroll should be divided into several parts, one part for each evening, so you can't say you lost it all because of one bad evening. And if you lose every night, then you should consider changing your strategy, your game, or something else, because losing every time won't bring you any pleasure.

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October 17, 2025, 09:31:21 AM
 #4

But where can you draw the line though? You started to lose and your bankroll is almost empty. But you keep talking to yourself that you just needed that one win to break that spell and be back in the winner form.
Which means the person will make use of the martingale strategy, but if he did not use of such strategy, at least he will increase the amount of money that he is using to bet. This is the most dangerous time for a gambler while gambling. It has happened to me before but that was a very long time ago but right now I have discipline myself in a way that it cannot happen to me anymore.

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October 17, 2025, 09:32:27 AM
 #5

Well you go online and maybe you have the best strategy in your games, like in baccarat and black jack. And as gambler, I haven't met one that is not that confident. The moment to let's say you go to a land base casinos or go online, your thoughts is that you are going to win and be very positive.
Well I think it happens at that particular point where a gambler begins to assume only profits and does not to regard the fact that losses could also come in. Gambling is about luck and strategy can't cut it all a majority of the time and because of this it is very important as a gambler to also consider a risk of losses.
The moment you begin to ignore the chances of actually of actually losing a bet you'll find yourself risking more and even more than you should on a normal day and that actually should should be where you draw the line.
I know that we really need to be positive when we go online and be that confident. But obviously, it's not enough for us to win as we are betting on the unknown. And even if we think that we have a foul proof strategy in every games, still the house edge is going to caught with us. With that, we should at least practice self control if we see that our bankroll is depleting. Maybe back off and re-assessed the game itself. Or maybe switch games instead of emptying our bankroll in just one game. So it's very dangerous for gamblers to have that kind of "one win" mindset to get back. Maybe the better part is just to move away first and think and trying to get control.

 
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October 17, 2025, 09:34:44 AM
 #6


With that it's turns that you are no longer calculating the odds for your favor, but simply trying to protect your ego and you are stubborn. Did you experience this, and how did you get over with it?

I experienced this a lot and this scenario will always gonna happened if you are playing gambling since losing streak is part of the game.

I’m using only a bankroll that can afford to lose so busting it is not a problem for me. I’m always waiting for the perfect opportunity when winning streak occur then slightly adjust my bet size to catch up with my previous losses.

The only time this scenario is pretty bad is when you use bankroll that you can’t afford to lose because you will surely experience panic once your bankroll is already depleted on a significant level.

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October 17, 2025, 09:47:32 AM
 #7

I think most of us here have experienced it, sometimes it's hard to accept that we are losing and we really can't beat or always win in the casino. I experienced this one time in playing lottery online and I always have a winning number (combinations of my favorite numbers) and usually I do win 2-3x out of 10-15 bets and there's a time that I didn't win anything and said that if I can win once, it will go back but in reality it's just draining my wallet, same goes with playing slots when I almost hit the free rolls and still continuing trying to chase it and losing all my winnings.

Usually new players would only realize that they are losing when they lost everything, I learned it the hard way.  Grin

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October 17, 2025, 09:49:39 AM
 #8

With that it's turns that you are no longer calculating the odds for your favor, but simply trying to protect your ego and you are stubborn. Did you experience this, and how did you get over with it?
I don't think ego is at work here. Actually, what really works here is recovering the losses. The main problem is when you start playing again to recover the losses and make bigger bets. Although I don't play card games much, I mostly play arcade games. A few days ago when I was playing Aviator and I lost a few rounds in a row and to recover the losses I started making bigger bets, which resulted in my game balance becoming zero. But then my ego didn't work, it worked in me that I had to recover the losses.

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October 17, 2025, 09:53:45 AM
 #9

I know that we really need to be positive when we go online and be that confident. But obviously, it's not enough for us to win as we are betting on the unknown. And even if we think that we have a foul proof strategy in every games, still the house edge is going to caught with us. With that, we should at least practice self control if we see that our bankroll is depleting. Maybe back off and re-assessed the game itself. Or maybe switch games instead of emptying our bankroll in just one game.
Actually no bet is 100% certain and because of this you can't risk it all on a bet. Yes to some gamblers there are cases where a particular bet has a very high winning chance but that doesn't mean you should risk it all or ignore the fact that losses can also come in eventually.  Personally, I'm of the opinion that when you place a bet you should assume a loss even before it happens , that way a loss eventually won't be much different.

Gambling can't depend a hundred percent on strategy and that's why you can still refer to it as gambling because of the existence of a probability of losses and wins too.

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October 17, 2025, 09:57:07 AM
 #10

Well you go online and maybe you have the best strategy in your games, like in baccarat and black jack. And as gambler, I haven't met one that is not that confident. The moment to let's say you go to a land base casinos or go online, your thoughts is that you are going to win and be very positive.
Well I think it happens at that particular point where a gambler begins to assume only profits and does not to regard the fact that losses could also come in. Gambling is about luck and strategy can't cut it all a majority of the time and because of this it is very important as a gambler to also consider a risk of losses.
The moment you begin to ignore the chances of actually of actually losing a bet you'll find yourself risking more and even more than you should on a normal day and that actually should should be where you draw the line.

By the time they are thinking about profit that time they are slowly crossing on dangerous territory. Since gambling is not all about about profit and luck. Since we also need to manage volatility and risk to avoid experience destructive losses.

If people stop counting the risk and count only the winnings then also profit I these people are delusional also I think they are starting to be out of control.

Gamblers should treat every wager as calculated risk, not a guaranteed return since with this maybe they can clearly think about good things that can make them profitable in some instances.

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October 17, 2025, 09:57:28 AM
 #11


With that it's turns that you are no longer calculating the odds for your favor, but simply trying to protect your ego and you are stubborn. Did you experience this, and how did you get over with it?

The ego should not have a place in gambling; trying to prove something in gambling is very risky and will put you in trouble trying to prove how good you are.

I lost a lot of money trying to prove how good I am at doing analysis. Not all the time are you good at your game; it's gambling, you cannot accurately predict everything.

You can't tell from a gambler if he is a responsible one; he knows his limitations and does not cross the line of his limitations. In gambling, you have to know how far you can go.

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October 17, 2025, 10:46:55 AM
 #12

With that it's turns that you are no longer calculating the odds for your favor, but simply trying to protect your ego and you are stubborn. Did you experience this, and how did you get over with it?
Nailed! in my opinion this usually comes in play when one have had a winning streaks and maybe people knows how much you usually win and trying to maintain the status of a winner which one must have given themselves that is where they unfortunately fail into trap. No one knows it all, once I start lossing assuming I am in this position, next is just quit for the days have other things in focus and continue my day regardless of the gambling, it's very hard to quit though but that is the best thing one can do not to feed their ego.

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October 17, 2025, 12:12:51 PM
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But where can you draw the line though? You started to lose and your bankroll is almost empty. But you keep talking to yourself that you just needed that one win to break that spell and be back in the winner form.

With that it's turns that you are no longer calculating the odds for your favor, but simply trying to protect your ego and you are stubborn. Did you experience this, and how did you get over with it?

This is exactly what most gamblers think whenever they want to justify their habits: All it takes is just one win and all of my losses would be recovered....

I am pretty sure everyone here had experience this kind of mental breakdown where we were in a losing streak. We cling to that hope of "what if" and make that our primary motivation to continue despite all the losses in front of us. The worst part is that, we all know that the end was not what we were expecting- we lost more in the process.

The question posited by OP is- how do we get over with this?

This simple question has a simple answer- simply to STOP when our funds allocated to it are exhausted. Nothing more; nothing less. We just have to accept that we will never ever recover our losses for the night. Move on and call it a day.

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October 17, 2025, 12:20:56 PM
 #14

It’s definitely the ego sometimes, because we stop thinking objectively and just let our emotions take over, and when that happens, there’s no way we’re going to win. That’s just how it is. Eventually, after losing money, we realize it and that’s what makes us stop for a while.

Honestly, the real problem most gamblers face is managing their emotions. Losing streaks are inevitable, and they can really shake you, especially if you’re not disciplined with your bankroll management. That’s when people start chasing losses aggressively and that’s where things usually go wrong.

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October 17, 2025, 12:36:51 PM
 #15

Well you go online and maybe you have the best strategy in your games, like in baccarat and black jack. And as gambler, I haven't met one that is not that confident. The moment to let's say you go to a land base casinos or go online, your thoughts is that you are going to win and be very positive.
Before a gambler places his first bet, the thought that goes through him is one that suggests to him that winning is guaranteed. at his after the gambler has started playing and has lost a couple of times that it ever comes to his mind that things is not going as planned but yet, ego will still try to come into the picture making it hard to quite gambling even at the time the person is losing consistently.

confidence is not a bad virtue even in gambling but once you are overconfident, it becomes a serious problem that might even lead to your downfall. if you do not learn to identify when a stop is necessary and when opting out should be the best option, you are going to face serious issue when pride and over confidence gets the better of you.

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October 17, 2025, 12:45:23 PM
 #16

Well you go online and maybe you have the best strategy in your games, like in baccarat and black jack. And as gambler, I haven't met one that is not that confident. The moment to let's say you go to a land base casinos or go online, your thoughts is that you are going to win and be very positive.

But where can you draw the line though? You started to lose and your bankroll is almost empty. But you keep talking to yourself that you just needed that one win to break that spell and be back in the winner form.

With that it's turns that you are no longer calculating the odds for your favor, but simply trying to protect your ego and you are stubborn. Did you experience this, and how did you get over with it?
The point you will realize that confidence has turned into denial is already point too late. Because you will only realize it when you haven’t won in a while and you have lost quite a lot of money already. When you are at that point, it’s irreversible and there’s nothing you can do but stop and not worsen things.

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October 17, 2025, 12:45:49 PM
 #17

The feeling is too strong to ignore it.  That is the 'point'.  You feel it and you clearly know it is time to either stop or keep pushing in denial.

However.  This is also the way you can get wrecked the easiest.  In my experience, I got the most wrecked when I could not stop and pushed hoping things may turn around for me that day.  And they pretty much never did.

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October 17, 2025, 01:00:19 PM
 #18

Well you go online and maybe you have the best strategy in your games, like in baccarat and black jack. And as gambler, I haven't met one that is not that confident. The moment to let's say you go to a land base casinos or go online, your thoughts is that you are going to win and be very positive.

But where can you draw the line though? You started to lose and your bankroll is almost empty. But you keep talking to yourself that you just needed that one win to break that spell and be back in the winner form.

With that it's turns that you are no longer calculating the odds for your favor, but simply trying to protect your ego and you are stubborn. Did you experience this, and how did you get over with it?

If you want to play gambling you must need to become confident because its the key right here you dont need to doubt with your moves and skills just be with you and keep playing, also take care not all of the confidence are having a good thing sometimes people makes over confident to make a decision and they ended up lose everything so still make your risk management to avoid that. Now if you are playing also you dont need to be afraid, you want to play gambling right, at the first place you know the risk already so why make a play to gambling with a hesitation. If it doesnt meant for you it does not.

.
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October 17, 2025, 01:04:40 PM
 #19

I suppose it's all about control, as that means not controlling yourself and being biased by the imaginary expectations you have that you can achieve the win or wins you need. Although I don't think it's wrong if this happens sporadically, because the best winners are those who once dared to push the limits.

Now, if this happens repeatedly, it means you have a gambling problem to address. Be very careful with this, because the difference is very large.

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October 17, 2025, 01:35:33 PM
 #20


With that it's turns that you are no longer calculating the odds for your favor, but simply trying to protect your ego and you are stubborn. Did you experience this, and how did you get over with it?

I experienced this a lot in the past. I always keep playing even though I don’t have any goal or being entertained.

I learned a lot when I do a calculation of my losses and realized how naive I am for playing that way. Right now I managed to have a break whenever I encounter losing streak while I don’t have any appetite to keep going.

The fear of losing more is what makes me in control.

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