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Author Topic: ''Rate cut is coming''  (Read 386 times)
Junii (OP)
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October 24, 2025, 04:23:06 PM
 #1

what do u guys think this rate cut can shfit btc bearish trend into bullish?i think this rate cut will breaks crypto market down trend.
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October 24, 2025, 04:31:16 PM
 #2

what do u guys think this rate cut can shfit btc bearish trend into bullish?i think this rate cut will breaks crypto market down trend.
What about if the rate cut is already priced in. People are sure and have been expecting it
So wouldn't be surprised if nothing much occur or even a dip in the short term.
Mid to long it's effect would start showing positively. I think the last had Gold benefiting more.

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October 24, 2025, 05:13:07 PM
Merited by irhact (1)
 #3

what do u guys think this rate cut can shfit btc bearish trend into bullish?i think this rate cut will breaks crypto market down trend.
Bitcoin is not bearish who said it is, brother are you watching the current movement and flow of funds into the bitcoin, wait let me share

Now look at all these numbers and tell me if the recent dump and outflow was bearish, this is just one single factor from the ETFs alone, the recent 15 billion seize of bitcoins by USA, was in the form of bitcoin, they might (high chances) that add this to the national reserve although UK was involved too so maybe to make some money they use UK to dump some but can't dump all.

There are many other factors in the market that shows bitcoin is still bullish, and tell me really if you think bitcoin won't make a new all time high in this year or the next year.

If you were talking about day to day sentiments they are also not bearish, but still the news is already sold, and if you hope to get some positive results, brother pray he won't say sometime shit that day hehe.

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October 24, 2025, 06:03:49 PM
 #4

There's been certainty that a rate cut is coming for almost a complete month now. The data of today just further confirmed it, although I believe a rate cut would still come even if the data was not good. This is already priced it but it will have a positive effect as always. Just look at data and use your head, don't ask basics questions everywhere. What happened after previous rate cuts?

what do u guys think this rate cut can shfit btc bearish trend into bullish?i think this rate cut will breaks crypto market down trend.
Bitcoin is not bearish who said it is, brother are you watching the current movement and flow of funds into the bitcoin, wait let me share
It is mostly the retail digital warriors that are being washed out by these moves, you know those that believe that being able to click the buy or sell button or read a chart makes them traders. We've been in a bullish trend for quite some time.

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October 24, 2025, 06:10:43 PM
 #5

what do u guys think this rate cut can shfit btc bearish trend into bullish?i think this rate cut will breaks crypto market down trend.

The market has been anticipating a significant impact from the planned interest rate cut. Gold's price already reacted positively following the release of today's Consumer Price Index data.

We hope that Bitcoin will follow this trend. Once the US markets fully reopen, we anticipate a period of strongbullish move in the crypto market.

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October 24, 2025, 06:23:48 PM
 #6

what do u guys think this rate cut can shfit btc bearish trend into bullish?i think this rate cut will breaks crypto market down trend.
I think this new interest rate cut policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve  is and would be one of the most significant contributory macro factor besides speculations that would influence the price of Bitcoin and cause a change in the current trend.

Combined with the halving event and strong demands for spot ETF by investors, this rate cut would help the trend shift from bearish to bullish in the shortest possible time from its announcement.


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October 24, 2025, 06:24:27 PM
 #7

what do u guys think this rate cut can shfit btc bearish trend into bullish?i think this rate cut will breaks crypto market down trend.
I get your point. Historically, rate cuts have often forced investors toward risk assets like Bitcoin, since liquidity flows back into the markets. But this time, I think it might be a bit different and that's because inflation is still sticky and global uncertainty remains high. I think we could see a short-term bounce but I will wait for a clear confirmation before calling it a full trend reversal.

Sometimes the market needs a little time to digest the news before showing its real direction. If the sentiment turns positive and volume comes back in, we might finally see some strength returning to the charts.

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October 26, 2025, 06:08:21 AM
 #8

I have been in this space for too long to know that when loads of people believe too much on something the opposite always happens, it is just like how we believe this October to be a uptober like people called it but it turned out to be a bearish month, rate cut is surely coming but we can be dissapointed with the performance of the market right after.

I am not expecting too much from this market anymore, the best could have already happened, we are looking forward to a new all time high, what if 125k was the top? That's why I prepared for both scenarios, don't expect too much positivity from the rate cut like many others, it might not make much difference.

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October 26, 2025, 08:51:57 AM
 #9

I have been in this space for too long to know that when loads of people believe too much on something the opposite always happens, it is just like how we believe this October to be a uptober like people called it but it turned out to be a bearish month, rate cut is surely coming but we can be dissapointed with the performance of the market right after.

The market tends to go against the crowd rather than following the crowd's expectations. In fact, this has happened many times throughout the history of market development. That is why more and more people are overly optimistic, setting unrealistic expectations.
I’m becoming more anxious and increasingly pessimistic, instead of following the crowd.

I am not expecting too much from this market anymore, the best could have already happened, we are looking forward to a new all time high, what if 125k was the top? That's why I prepared for both scenarios, don't expect too much positivity from the rate cut like many others, it might not make much difference.

There is nothing wrong with staying optimistic, but optimism is different from delusion, and many are delusional, not optimistic, IMO.

The market is unpredictable and nothing is certain, always having a backup plan is something any investor should have.

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October 26, 2025, 11:33:42 AM
 #10

The market tends to go against the crowd rather than following the crowd's expectations. In fact, this has happened many times throughout the history of market development. That is why more and more people are overly optimistic, setting unrealistic expectations.
I’m becoming more anxious and increasingly pessimistic, instead of following the crowd.

There is nothing wrong with staying optimistic, but optimism is different from delusion, and many are delusional, not optimistic, IMO.

The market is unpredictable and nothing is certain, always having a backup plan is something any investor should have.
Rate cut effects perhaps already are reflected on the market and I believe in market cycle history, its cycle length before it has new history and the market cycle length changes. With history of the market, I believe that the bear market will start very soon so I don't let expectation with rate cut on the market too much. Such expectation can affect my decision in coming months and if I am not careful, I can stuck in this bear market which is never good experience for my portfolio.

It's time to plan our withdrawals from the market before the bear comes and two or three months are enough for doing withdrawals gradually.

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October 26, 2025, 12:17:51 PM
 #11

I have been in this space for too long to know that when loads of people believe too much on something the opposite always happens, it is just like how we believe this October to be a uptober like people called it but it turned out to be a bearish month, rate cut is surely coming but we can be dissapointed with the performance of the market right after.
'Uptober' is a thing because October has for a long time proved to be a good month for Bitcoin.  This Bitcoin cycle is very different however if you ask me.  Many of us were expecting for this cycle to follow previous ones almost 1 to 1 but it did not.  Bitcoin is now being held and moved by many institutions and apparently influenced by Presidents.  It has become much less predictable.

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October 26, 2025, 12:19:54 PM
 #12

I have been in this space for too long to know that when loads of people believe too much on something the opposite always happens, it is just like how we believe this October to be a uptober like people called it but it turned out to be a bearish month, rate cut is surely coming but we can be dissapointed with the performance of the market right after.

I am not expecting too much from this market anymore, the best could have already happened, we are looking forward to a new all time high, what if 125k was the top? That's why I prepared for both scenarios, don't expect too much positivity from the rate cut like many others, it might not make much difference.

Why do many people believe that Q4 will be a month that is highly anticipated by investors and traders in the market because during Bitcoin's history in Q4 it became a momentum for bitcoin to print a new ATH, and after we open our eyes how announcements about the US economy become one that is highly anticipated, because there are many investors and large companies that can borrow money to trade in the market and there we also know that the US is the financial center of the world, this October became very disappointed because it was not as expected, the US and China trade conflict strengthened, on the other hand the US economy was not in good condition, interest rate cuts were postponed, making the market sensitive to any bad news. Don't be overconfident but you can learn from the past, logically if we think the same thing will happen repeatedly in October, November and December it will make it easier for many people to make money, but of course there are losses, this theory cannot be separated, seeing how the market did not get fresh money and only staked at $126k during this month shows a change in trend and obviously will not move the same, it could be that we will be transferred to the next year.

Confidence is fine but rationality and caution must also be possessed, there are many big players who do not want to lose and seek profit, such as market makers when too many people are long positions then they cannot be silent because they have to pay when many positions get profit, and that's where they lose, but what? The market is made to move otherwise when there are many questions about the state of the macro economy and that is a strong reason to lower prices and panic many people so that the result is that many people are liquidated and they get profit.

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October 26, 2025, 01:05:01 PM
 #13

this October became very disappointed because it was not as expected, the US and China trade conflict strengthened, on the other hand the US economy was not in good condition, interest rate cuts were postponed, making the market sensitive to any bad news. Don't be overconfident but you can learn from the past, logically if we think the same thing will happen repeatedly in October, November and December it will make it easier for many people to make money, but of course there are losses, this theory cannot be separated, seeing how the market did not get fresh money and only staked at $126k during this month shows a change in trend and obviously will not move the same, it could be that we will be transferred to the next year.
The change of this cycle is something only people who are betting on the Market are affected by however.  There are way too many people betting on it by selling every thing to wait for a lower price.  If you look at the charts, it looks like an easy thing to do.  And then the Market has to steer only ONCE to a different direction than it used to and you are getting wrecked easily and faster than you can imagine.

Also.  The entire world is in a dubious state.  All the economies are showing question marks and red flags.  All Assets are behaving different to what we are used to.  Every thing is apparently blooming but in the mean while every body knows that the economy is rotting.  Events shocking either the Stock Market or Cryptocurrencies are now common.  Who in the world knows what is going to happen soon any more.

Bearish or Bullish, the people who invest every now and then by Dollar Cost Averaging are still the least to suffer and the ones least to worry.  The only thing I know for myself is that Bitcoin is going to continue and it will continue to have value.

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October 26, 2025, 01:30:53 PM
 #14

this October became very disappointed because it was not as expected, the US and China trade conflict strengthened, on the other hand the US economy was not in good condition, interest rate cuts were postponed, making the market sensitive to any bad news. Don't be overconfident but you can learn from the past, logically if we think the same thing will happen repeatedly in October, November and December it will make it easier for many people to make money, but of course there are losses, this theory cannot be separated, seeing how the market did not get fresh money and only staked at $126k during this month shows a change in trend and obviously will not move the same, it could be that we will be transferred to the next year.
The change of this cycle is something only people who are betting on the Market are affected by however.  There are way too many people betting on it by selling every thing to wait for a lower price.  If you look at the charts, it looks like an easy thing to do.  And then the Market has to steer only ONCE to a different direction than it used to and you are getting wrecked easily and faster than you can imagine.

Also.  The entire world is in a dubious state.  All the economies are showing question marks and red flags.  All Assets are behaving different to what we are used to.  Every thing is apparently blooming but in the mean while every body knows that the economy is rotting.  Events shocking either the Stock Market or Cryptocurrencies are now common.  Who in the world knows what is going to happen soon any more.

Bearish or Bullish, the people who invest every now and then by Dollar Cost Averaging are still the least to suffer and the ones least to worry.  The only thing I know for myself is that Bitcoin is going to continue and it will continue to have value.

I literally sold tons of copper wires to have cash to buy more btc.

I did buy some extra btc this month and last month along with the DCA mining I do.

I dca mine by never cashing the btc I mine.

I actually prefer sideways with a slight tilt upwards.

ie 106 in dec 2024 and 113 in October 2025 works

next August could be 132k it would be okay.


Basically I want the end of the four year cycles

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October 26, 2025, 01:37:52 PM
 #15

The rate cut is a good sign, but it's worth noting that even with this cut, rates are still well above the Fed's desired target of 2%. So, I don’t think the upcoming interest rate cuts will be significant enough to reverse the market trend. Furthermore, as usual, a rate cut is almost priced in, so we shouldn't get our hopes up.


However, there is still one factor that can change the market situation and that is what the market is most concerned about at this month's FOMC meeting, not interest rates. It's about the Fed ending QT, and there are rumors they will make an official announcement about ending QT and will start QE soon. I think this is the deciding factor for the upcoming market trend.

Let's wait and see what Powell has to say on the 29th.

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October 26, 2025, 02:01:59 PM
 #16

The rate cut is a good sign, but it's worth noting that even with this cut, rates are still well above the Fed's desired target of 2%. So, I don’t think the upcoming interest rate cuts will be significant enough to reverse the market trend. Furthermore, as usual, a rate cut is almost priced in, so we shouldn't get our hopes up.

Yup, the cuts aren't really going to move anything until the desired target is achieved. Under Trump, who knows when that happens (it's not up to him of course but he does appear to have the most influence).

Definitely it's less about the now (priced in) and more about the what next for the coming year. Easing will not be what people are expecting so soon, so if that actually happens, then we'll see sentiment really kick in.

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October 27, 2025, 04:18:46 AM
 #17


It's time to plan our withdrawals from the market before the bear comes and two or three months are enough for doing withdrawals gradually.

I do not give any financial advice as I am not an expert and cannot guarantee anything to anyone. But I agree with you, if someone intends to make a profit before bear season comes. Planning your withdrawals is essential, as even the bull market is not over. It also can't last too long and make a big difference. This bull season is considered to be the longest bull season ever, so it will have to stop at some point and give way to the bears.

Bitcoin price increases over time and always reaches ATH in every cycle, but not many people make profit every time the cycle ends. Many people get stuck because they set their expectations too high, we shouldn't let ourselves become one of them.

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October 27, 2025, 05:17:55 AM
 #18

what do u guys think this rate cut can shfit btc bearish trend into bullish?i think this rate cut will breaks crypto market down trend.
As is generally the case from an economic perspective, when interest rates are cut, there will be a boost in investment because it becomes easier for companies to do so, driven by the possibility of fiat currency weakening.
Of course, none of this can be guaranteed automatically or as easily as turning your hand.

When it comes to the Bitcoin market, it also depends on investor interest in taking action, and I don't forget the law of supply and demand.
October is a month with high expectations based on history, but I'm not getting carried away by that either.

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October 27, 2025, 05:47:04 AM
 #19

what do u guys think this rate cut can shfit btc bearish trend into bullish?i think this rate cut will breaks crypto market down trend.
Crypto isn't even in downtrend right now. Just one bad news and certain depegging caused the dip but it's recovering. If rate cut is announced, then crypto market will be more bullish and $120k is in front of our eyes. Maybe even ATH.

I have been in this space for too long to know that when loads of people believe too much on something the opposite always happens, it is just like how we believe this October to be a uptober like people called it but it turned out to be a bearish month, rate cut is surely coming but we can be dissapointed with the performance of the market right after.

I am not expecting too much from this market anymore, the best could have already happened, we are looking forward to a new all time high, what if 125k was the top? That's why I prepared for both scenarios, don't expect too much positivity from the rate cut like many others, it might not make much difference.
There is big chance that rate cut already taken into account by the market, that's why even after the dip price just keep recovering. But it still gives a bullish long term out look.

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October 27, 2025, 01:12:35 PM
 #20

There is no denying that the trend of bitcoin is increasingly dependent on factors such as macroeconomics, geopolitics and interest rates are among them.

News of interest rate cuts is also quite important as it will directly impact the global economy, thereby impacting the markets. However, a second rate cut this year is unlikely to make a difference to the economy and markets. Because inflation remains quite high and the economy has also been negatively affected by Trump's policies. So I think the market will react positively to the rate cut, but that momentum will be difficult to sustain if Trump continues to cause trouble. So don't expect too much from this rate cut.

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