If you really trust your skills, the key is to bet more, not less

[Questat]

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

[Findingnemo]

I don't trust my skills when it comes to gambling because I believe there is no real skill involved in winning the sport betting, we can stretch the number of bets and also we can do the match but one loss can eat away the progress of 10 previous wins and if this keeps repeating then you are not going anywhere other than starting over and over.

[Beparanf]

Increasing your bet volume means you are taking a lot of house edge. On your computation you didn’t factor in the house edge of each bet you are taking. You use a 2.0 odds and 55% winning percentage as outcome which is an impressive result assuming you can achieve it in reality.

The problem on volume bet is you can have a lot of analysis error to encountered since you are taking higher risk than 50% just to have an outcome like that.

But technically, your assumption is right if we will view it on paper betting that everything will be accurate without error.

[Natalim]

That’s a good comparison, though your calculation is probably based on 2.00 odds. In real betting, it’s usually around 1.90, but even then, a 55% win rate is still profitable as long as you stick with proper bankroll management.

Honestly, I didn’t realize it could grow that much based on the number of bets. So if I can hit 55% or win 550 out of 1,000 bets, that means my money would grow about six times (assuming the 2.00 odds calculation still applies). Great tip!

[Out of mind]

If you have a large bankroll and you are a professional gambler, it will not affect you much. But a new gambler who cannot control himself, even if he has a large bankroll, will definitely get emotional if he loses. However, I think it will be very aggressive because it is very difficult to maintain a 55% win rate, if someone loses several times in a row, he will be very broken, but it is different for an experienced and responsible person. If you can bet in the way you have tacked, using discipline, volume and proper bankroll management, then it will be a good sign for you. However, in my opinion, most of the time in betting, the number of losses is more than the number of wins, so it is important to control yourself, besides, luck in gambling depends a lot on a player, so a gambler should continue his bets responsibly.

[adultcrypto]

The mistake you will make in gambling is to trust your skills. This will make you over leverage, chase losses or even over gamble. You will even ignore the probabilistic nature of gambling because you have brought trust into a game of probability and will lead to chaos if not checked. Everything in gambling, for me, is game of probability with nothing promised and nothing is guaranteed, this is how I remain disciplined in my gambling.

[stadus]

I think I’m fine with starting at $1,000 and staking $50 per bet. It’s a bit high since that’s 5% of the bankroll, but I’m willing to take that risk if I can keep a 55% win rate. It looks easy on paper, but in reality, that number’s tough to reach even 50% can be hard sometimes.

That’s why it takes serious discipline to survive long-term. Losing streaks are inevitable and we shouldn’t collapse when they happen, just stay focused on the goal. For 1,000 bets, I think that’s possible in the NBA season.

[Upgrade00]

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

This will depend on the odds you're betting on over that period of time. It's almost impossible to put together the exact same odds on different games, so you can't exactly calculate the returns or losses.

No one should also depend on their skills when it comes to betting, luck is too big a factor to be able to project profits you'll get. Betting is also not a source of income.

[KeenanEl19]

Sometimes we have to take big risks in gambling because if we're lucky, the winnings will be big too. But the problem is, many people who gamble tend to bet small amounts in the hope of winning big. Even though luck might be on their side and they win, the winnings won't be as large as the large bets they made. However, before taking risks in gambling, I hope you consider it carefully because the possibility of losing is still high.
I sometimes feel confident that I can win when gambling, but sometimes this makes me forget my limits. It all depends on how we do it. The bottom line is that in gambling, losses are more common. Although there are skills that can help, I don't think everything goes according to plan.

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

This is very easy to say in theory but when you try to practice it, you will realize that it is easier said than done. Except you have been able to achieve this which you are talking about, if you have not, you need to try it and tell us that you have tried it yourself and it worked for you, meaning it can work for anyone else, but if you have not tried it, you are still preaching the theory which usually sound sweet and easy but the reality is difficult. I have tried a lot of strategy in gambling, but it's not easy to become successful. Gamble with what you can afford to lose, that's what I'd say.

[Showlove01]

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

I don't completely agree with you because I still believe in luck because no matter the volume and how consistent someone is, when it is not their luck it is not and if you continue you will keep on losing until you realize you are doing the wrong thing. It is true that if some use a good amount of money to play they will have a high chance of winning because they would not pack a lot of game but rather just few but that doesn't mean they will surely win because even a single game that looks sure do actually cut ticket and so we should not talk about skill in gambling because I don't think those things work.

[Davidvictorson]

I don't trust my skills when it comes to gambling because I believe there is no real skill involved in winning the sport betting, we can stretch the number of bets and also we can do the match but one loss can eat away the progress of 10 previous wins and if this keeps repeating then you are not going anywhere other than starting over and over.

I agree with your points. I do not also trust my skills. Infact I do not think that I can skillful enough when it comes to gambling especially in this time when AI is being integrated into games by the online casinos. We can't beat them. We can only play responsibly and go home. However, if my gambling game is against another human being where the online casinos doesn't have any influence aside providing their platforms and bringing us together, then in this case, my skill is what will determine my win or loss.

[Ruttoshi]

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

Stopping early is one of the bsst way to manage your bankroll because there's a high tendency that if you continue gambling, you might lose all your bankroll. Making profits is easily said than done when it comes to gambling because luck plays a major role to your win.

What you said above can only work assuming the longer, you play the higher your chances of making profit is. Since gambling is predicting about the future, it's better to do it for fun and not for profit so that you don't regret your mistake at last when you have seen that your strategy isn't working.

[Dave1]

I think I’m fine with starting at $1,000 and staking $50 per bet. It’s a bit high since that’s 5% of the bankroll, but I’m willing to take that risk if I can keep a 55% win rate. It looks easy on paper, but in reality, that number’s tough to reach even 50% can be hard sometimes.

That’s why it takes serious discipline to survive long-term. Losing streaks are inevitable and we shouldn’t collapse when they happen, just stay focused on the goal. For 1,000 bets, I think that’s possible in the NBA season.

Yes, right now as the NBA starts maybe the OP or someone from here can start this or test if this is viable or not. But for sure we all know that even in sports betting, there is an element of luck involved.

And then the mentality too to stay focus. Because it's going to be very hard if we let's say experience a long losing streak. Our discipline might broke down and collapse and so instead of winning and following our plan we might lose that bankroll very quick.

[Ziskinberg]

Stopping early is one of the bsst way to manage your bankroll because there's a high tendency that if you continue gambling, you might lose all your bankroll.

That’s nonsense, why even start a bankroll if you’re just gonna quit the moment you start losing? The money you used to build that bankroll came from gambling in the first place, so you should already be ready to lose it if things go wrong. Thinking like that isn’t just stupidity, it’s also cowardice. If you’re afraid to lose, then better not gamble at all.

[Marvelockg]

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

this kind of math's only works well in theory and not in real life. in a real life setting, you can bet today and win, bet the next day and loose and then the next loose again and again and again. it is not an ideal process and so, thinking that you are a skilled gambling is a steeping stone to becoming an addict.

There is nothing wrong in knowing that in terms of doing analysis that you are not bad at it and that you can actually master certain patterns that might be working for you. that is a possibility that can happen but you cant now start to think that if you won a particular amount now, that if you continue doing same thing over a certain period of time that you might still continue winning like that for the long term.

[_act_]

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

This is very hard to achieve. If you start it, you will know what I am taking about. Or have you tried it and you use this strategy to win $500 or up to $5000?

I will prefer to just bet with little amount of money instead and go for whatever that I like. I am not looking for long term profit because it has not been working for me.

[DaNNy001]

Piece of advice, your skills shouldn't be trusted too much, even though you focus onlu on skills based games it still doesnt change the fact that there must be a little percentage of luck needed...just because you think your skills are good enough doesn't mean that you should place too many bets especially in a day, don't be in a hurry to make profit, there are times that you need to be patient and observant.

[Maslate]

It’s admirable to see someone think this way about sports betting, cause most people would disagree and say there’s no way to win in gambling since it’s all based on luck, and luck has no consistency. But there’s really no harm in trying, as long as you know how much you’re willing to risk.

So I’d say continue with your plan, and if this post was meant to educate us, then thanks.. I can really see the math and logic behind it.

[Slow death]

Stopping early is one of the bsst way to manage your bankroll because there's a high tendency that if you continue gambling, you might lose all your bankroll.

That’s nonsense, why even start a bankroll if you’re just gonna quit the moment you start losing? The money you used to build that bankroll came from gambling in the first place, so you should already be ready to lose it if things go wrong. Thinking like that isn’t just stupidity, it’s also cowardice. If you’re afraid to lose, then better not gamble at all.

I agree with you in the part where you say that if the person has an amount of money in the bank that they can afford to lose, then that person does not need to stop playing when they are losing, they can simply rest a little, something like not betting or not playing and analyzing the game and where they may be making mistakes if it is the case of sports betting, but if it is the case of casino games that depend on luck, then I see no reason to stop playing while there is money left in the bank and when it is an amount that the person can afford to lose.