If you really trust your skills, the key is to bet more, not less

[Text]

Volume really helps if you already have that edge and you’re confident with your reads but once you increase the number of bets the room for error also widens especially if emotions start kicking in. For me it’s all about striking that balance, build consistency first with a smaller sample then slowly scale up once you’re sure your system actually works over time. Too many bettors rush to increase volume thinking it’ll multiply their profits but it can just as easily multiply their mistakes if they’re not careful.

[SFR10]

But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

You have a point, but as someone who mostly does bets on soccer games, despite trusting my own skills in making an educated bet based on the available information, I still can't trust the most important thing that matters ^{[trusting the ones who are on the field to perform the way they usually do]}.

[crwth]

I agree that if you have the guts to play more and stick to your strategy, it might really work. However, it is a risk, and if you're confident, I think it can be neglected. I haven't had that kind of mindset, and I really want to bet longer, not faster.

The emotions would likely consume my thoughts and lead to poor decisions. The important thing is you know what you are doing.

[Sandra_hakeem]

That’s a good comparison, though your calculation is probably based on 2.00 odds. In real betting, it’s usually around 1.90, but even then, a 55% win rate is still profitable as long as you stick with proper bankroll management.

Even on the 1.90, it's almost impossible to win a bet in a row with the normal selections in the game, talk more with his calculations. Trying to defeat the house edge is not even a good idea. The 55% win rate is not a guarantee that every single game will be productive, so there are still a lot of hurdles!

Honestly, I didn’t realize it could grow that much based on the number of bets. So if I can hit 55% or win 550 out of 1,000 bets, that means my money would grow about six times (assuming the 2.00 odds calculation still applies). Great tip!

Seems like you got a grand that you ain't really using anymore, so how about you send them in my wallet?   cause I bet you on the outside, you'll still come back scratching your balls in deep regrets...

[robelneo]

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

Even the most skilled bettors fumble with their strategy, because this is gambling, what you've expected most of the time will not materialize, so you need to have a backup plan and not rely on one strategy, hoping that you will be consistent with this strategy when in reality it's not going to work anytime.
I use a variety of strategies in gambling. I enjoy doing that, experimenting with what works that time. The most important thing is that you enjoy the game.

[Odusko]

Volume really helps if you already have that edge and you’re confident with your reads but once you increase the number of bets the room for error also widens especially if emotions start kicking in. For me it’s all about striking that balance, build consistency first with a smaller sample then slowly scale up once you’re sure your system actually works over time. Too many bettors rush to increase volume thinking it’ll multiply their profits but it can just as easily multiply their mistakes if they’re not careful.

Agreed with you because aside from the risk of error in game's speculation that reduces the chances it's very vital to note that the higher your bet the higher the house edge on the games which means the gambler have two forces working against him,, this is the most cases and for reasons of that we need to do a proper check on if we really need to take the bet in the first place.

[mcdouglasx]

Yes, you can win, but I'm not sure you can maintain an exact profit margin. It's very difficult to achieve this because at a certain point you still depend on luck. Although in sports, luck doesn't have much influence, it still has a significant enough percentage in the outcome of these bets, so I preferred to focus on a real business to make money and leave betting as nothing more than entertainment.

[Fivestar4everMVP]

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

And how sure is the person that he or she will be able to maintain that 55% percent win rate over the 1000 or more bets?
1000 bets is not child's play and if for any reason in the process or journey to achieving that milestone, the gambler's winrate drops to lets say 40% or 45% due to a long losing streak, what this simply means is that there is the possibility that that gambler may end up in losing the entire prospective profit and even part of his capital..

There are never any form of guarantees when it comes to gambling, this is why I think this plan Wil hardly work without a person's being lucky, and this is why I think one should not count on things like this, else they end up making the wrong decisions, gambling is still best profitable when its for fun.

[sompitonov]

Yes, you can win, but I'm not sure you can maintain an exact profit margin. It's very difficult to achieve this because at a certain point you still depend on luck. Although in sports, luck doesn't have much influence, it still has a significant enough percentage in the outcome of these bets, so I preferred to focus on a real business to make money and leave betting as nothing more than entertainment.

Business also carries risks, but of course, achieving positive business flows is much easier because luck isn't as influential as in gambling. I'd like my work to be less dependent on luck, so this option isn't a bad one, and gambling can be left as a pastime. And of course, it's still a good idea to constantly improve ourselves and the skills we control, refine our strategies, and improve our emotional control, so that this brings us closer to winning more often. And not just hope for luck, which may or may not come.

[finaleshot2016]

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

Well, for some reason, it's not about the skill, it's about how reckless we are during gambling, we make mistakes and chase those losses. I have the same mindset with yours but sometimes gamblers change their bets or go all in if they really feel confident and that's the start of the mistake. If you stepped into the other side, which is lose, then your money is gone. It's easy to say but it's hard to implement, even if a bot doing it's job can't generate a consistent profit and that's why you can't see any bot that continuously gain money.

It's difficult to achieve to be honest, it requires a lot of things in order to pull that strategy like having a discipline since trusting your ability isn't the only thing that will run the whole scene, luck is there too.

[Cityhunter34]

I'm not a skill gambler, in fact there is nothing like skill in gambling. However, I think the earlier we stop relying on skill better for us because gambling doesn't work with anything else except luck, but I don't know why most gamblers normally have this feeling of skill knowing fully well that luck plays a big role in determining the game. Honestly, this is a very wrong decisions because putting trust on your bets is bringing more losses to yourself because it can only happens when the luck is on your side.

[dunfida]

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

Well, for some reason, it's not about the skill, it's about how reckless we are during gambling, we make mistakes and chase those losses. I have the same mindset with yours but sometimes gamblers change their bets or go all in if they really feel confident and that's the start of the mistake. If you stepped into the other side, which is lose, then your money is gone. It's easy to say but it's hard to implement, even if a bot doing it's job can't generate a consistent profit and that's why you can't see any bot that continuously gain money.

It's difficult to achieve to be honest, it requires a lot of things in order to pull that strategy like having a discipline since trusting your ability isn't the only thing that will run the whole scene, luck is there too.

Sounds easy on paper but emotions ruin it for most gamblers the moment you start chasing losses or doubling down because you “feel” confident the whole math behind your edge disappears that’s why bankroll management and discipline are way more important than any prediction skill or strategy you have. A lot of people know the logic but can’t handle the pressure when the losses come after a few bad runs they change their system or go all in trying to recover fast and that’s when things spiral one bad decision wipes away weeks of small consistent gains that’s the hardest part of gambling knowing when not to act even when your gut tells you to.

You said it right even bots that follow data and probabilities can’t win continuously because luck and variance are part of every game it’s not something that can be eliminated no matter how good the model is the difference between a skilled bettor and a reckless one isn’t who wins more it’s who manages losses better. In the end the math works only if your mindset does too patience is what separates those who grow their bankroll slowly from those who burn it fast skill matters but discipline decides who lasts long enough to see the edge actually pay off.

[Bright0515]

Trust is a very dangerous thing, it can make you lose everything you have mostly when you trust your skills or strategy during gambling. Good bettors don't trust their skill or strategy. The just risk what they can afford to lose because they know that gamble has both sides which are losing and winning and winning doesn't comes easy as people thinks.
The urge for winning big amount within a short period of time during gambling make people lose more money. It's good to go gradually and enjoy the game than losing all at ones then remake another deposit.

[Juse14]

I do enjoy gambling, but rather than worrying about how to profit from my bets, I would rather go to the office and work overtime, or go to the market to sell goods, or use the money to increase my investments to get more certain profits, even if they are not that big. Because I think it is a lie that a casino visitor can get big profits from the bets they make.

It's better to make small profits that I'm sure to get than to get big profits that are uncertain and might even result in losing the money we have. This does not mean that I do not believe in every bet I make and do not expect to win from the bets I make, but I think that is not the point. The important point is how we can enjoy every bet we make, feel happy enough without causing huge losses that we are never prepared to bear. I think even if you think about it until you go bald, a visitor will never be able to beat the house.

[giammangiato]

I trust my abilities but I don't trust my luck, which plays a fundamental role in gambling.
I can trust my skills if I have to make a drawing, if I have to build something or maybe if I have to sell an object, but when luck plays such an important role, the skills fail.
In gambling it is true the numbers and bankroll management are important, unfortunately it is not so simple to manage it.

[Royal Cap]

Haha the example you gave is quite funny. Because if luck doesn't help in gambling, then your skill won't help. If it's sports betting that's a different matter. Because in sports betting it completely depends on your analysis of your previous games. But in casino gambling, I think it will bring you more losses than profits. So, in my opinion if you stop playing games after losing a few games your fear of losing will decrease.

[aioc]

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

Do this if you are okay with the potential losses you will incur. There is no proven strategy in gambling. I wonder how many times you have done this, and if this is a recommendation or just an idea.

If this is a recommendation or an idea, you must make a disclaimer about your success rate. I always have doubts about the effectiveness when it comes to making a profit in gambling, because every strategy in gambling is bound to fail; casinos are not a platform to make a profit.

[Alphakilo]

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

Know that a gambler can have great skills but without much funds to spare or proper knowledge of the application of risk management techniques, the question will no longer revolve around betting more but betting according to convenience.

Some gamblers may decide to bet only a maximum number of bets per day and not be bothered about betting more until another day when they feel lucky or fully funded or feel bored and crave some excitement from spending.

Only the more serious gamblers that are unconsciously becoming addicted, would have to bet more under duress of losses despite their skills at picking the odds that favour them.

[MRY]

Sounds easy on paper but emotions ruin it for most gamblers the moment you start chasing losses or doubling down because you “feel” confident the whole math behind your edge disappears that’s why bankroll management and discipline are way more important than any prediction skill or strategy you have. A lot of people know the logic but can’t handle the pressure when the losses come after a few bad runs they change their system or go all in trying to recover fast and that’s when things spiral one bad decision wipes away weeks of small consistent gains that’s the hardest part of gambling knowing when not to act even when your gut tells you to.

You said it right even bots that follow data and probabilities can’t win continuously because luck and variance are part of every game it’s not something that can be eliminated no matter how good the model is the difference between a skilled bettor and a reckless one isn’t who wins more it’s who manages losses better. In the end the math works only if your mindset does too patience is what separates those who grow their bankroll slowly from those who burn it fast skill matters but discipline decides who lasts long enough to see the edge actually pay off.

In my opinion, the nature of such game is in the combination of rationality and emotionality. Even such intelligent a system will not be able to protect humans when it comes to defeat. Once the desire to retaliate defeat strikes even the most professionally designed strategies lose their meaning. Decisions made at that time are more of an issue of vengeance to regain the damaged pride, rather than of an analytical nature. Men who are able to hold themselves together at that point are usually not the brightest, but coolest.

Gambling is not a predictive game, rather it is an uncertain game that one has to play patiently. The fluctuations in data even in the automated systems that are data driven cannot be predicted. Thus, it is mental stability that makes one achieve greatness, not techniques. Once one learns to live with losses as an aspect of the game, he or she trains something much more valuable than winning, how to always be under pressure.

[Accardo]

Haha the example you gave is quite funny. Because if luck doesn't help in gambling, then your skill won't help. If it's sports betting that's a different matter. Because in sports betting it completely depends on your analysis of your previous games. But in casino gambling, I think it will bring you more losses than profits. So, in my opinion if you stop playing games after losing a few games your fear of losing will decrease.

In slot game, the strategy he talked about would bring more losses. Also, tactics works differently, it may work for a few times and stop along the line. The right form to follow is lower down the wagering price, than increasing them like Op mentioned.