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Author Topic: If you really trust your skills, the key is to bet more, not less  (Read 1700 times)
Leahized
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November 08, 2025, 04:01:16 PM
 #121

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

Skill is never useful for gambling. And those who rely most on skill, I believe, are fools. Because gambling can have some ideas but luck plays the biggest role to win. But every big bet will lose the most So as you say, it is never possible. Because every gambler should bet or gamble with a very small amount of money. Because he will never be able to say correctly, he will win this bet. So it is better to gamble within discipline rather than over greed. By doing this, health will be good.

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November 08, 2025, 04:33:42 PM
 #122

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.
Real edge comes, indeed, from volume. But it's the house which has an edge advantage over gamblers, so the more they gamble, more they lose, exactly due to the point you mentioned: mathematics. The game works mathematically in favour of the casino. You aren't playing against them with equal chances, and that is what prevents us from profiting on long run.

If you don't believe, you can always try for real, and inevitably you will face harsh losses at some point, which will be unrecoverable, meaning it's not a sustainable practice to make an income from. The best strategy is to play on short run, make quick profit and to quit for good.

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November 08, 2025, 04:44:42 PM
 #123

 You should always keep in mind that the larger the bet, the more difficult it may be to play in your usual manner. This leads to increased responsibility, and your decisions and bets may also change. You may start playing more carefully, betting at lower odds because you think you're minimizing the risks. So, just monitor whether your playing style changes as you start to increase your bets. If it doesn't, then you're ready for it if not, then it's best not to do it.

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Muba20
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November 08, 2025, 04:52:24 PM
 #124

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

Skill is never useful for gambling. And those who rely most on skill, I believe, are fools. Because gambling can have some ideas but luck plays the biggest role to win. But every big bet will lose the most So as you say, it is never possible. Because every gambler should bet or gamble with a very small amount of money. Because he will never be able to say correctly, he will win this bet. So it is better to gamble within discipline rather than over greed. By doing this, health will be good.
It cannot be said that skill is never useful in gambling. In some cases, skill keeps a gambler ahead in winning. In gambling, luck plays the most role in winning, but those who have skill and experience have a relatively higher chance of winning. The amount of a bet will depend on the gambler's bankroll and the gambler's expectations and in my perspective it is best to bet within the gambler's ability. For some, placing small bets is worthless, while others are more attracted to large bets. It is certain that if the amount of bets is low, there will be less regret and it will be possible to bet smoothly, which is good for both health.











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November 08, 2025, 04:52:36 PM
 #125

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

Skill is never useful for gambling. And those who rely most on skill, I believe, are fools. Because gambling can have some ideas but luck plays the biggest role to win. But every big bet will lose the most So as you say, it is never possible. Because every gambler should bet or gamble with a very small amount of money. Because he will never be able to say correctly, he will win this bet. So it is better to gamble within discipline rather than over greed. By doing this, health will be good.
The truth of your statement that I bolded out depends majorly on the aspect of gambling that you are talking about. When talking about stuffz like Roulettes and the likes then I can say that skill there is useless. This is coz no matter the level of your knowledge of the game, or even your level of knowledge of bankroll management and whatnot, chance and luck will still determine the outcome of the game...... But when we are talking about other aspect of gambling like poker, maybe Blackjack, sport betting, I wouldn't say that skill there is useless, infact it is highly needed if you really want to have some profit iñstead of all round loss in  the long run.

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November 08, 2025, 10:11:56 PM
 #126

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

Skill is never useful for gambling. And those who rely most on skill, I believe, are fools. Because gambling can have some ideas but luck plays the biggest role to win. But every big bet will lose the most So as you say, it is never possible. Because every gambler should bet or gamble with a very small amount of money. Because he will never be able to say correctly, he will win this bet. So it is better to gamble within discipline rather than over greed. By doing this, health will be good.

This is is very correct, gambling skills does not determine the outcome of the game you only use your skills to predict the possible outcome but that has nothing to do with what is going to happen in the games you predicted. Advising anyone to gamble with a big amount in the name of skill is a wrong thing to do rather the best thing is to gamble with an amount you can afford, then do not expect to win always so they when you do not win you will not feel bad, lastly no body should believe that there is a Winning guarantee in gambling.

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November 08, 2025, 10:35:03 PM
 #127

But it can only work if of the many bets you make, most of them win, but what if you lose from the many bets you make? since there is no guarantee that the strategy and analysis you use will definitely result in consistent wins on bets, there will definitely be times when the strategy and analysis you use is unsuccessful, and you experience a significant loss.

So bettors also need to think about the risks in the bets they take, even when they feel confident in the analysis they have, but they should never forget the risks that they can lose at one time.

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November 08, 2025, 11:31:27 PM
 #128

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

In gambling, skills does not play at all, if you trust your skills then you should be ready to lose  all you have, the most important skill you should trust is to play responsibly with what you can afford to lose and your budgeted limit set aside for gambling, it is good to have confidence in your game when gambling, but how sure you are of winning . As a new gambler you don't rush, instead, you take it gradually so that you don't lose all you have.

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November 09, 2025, 12:01:52 AM
 #129

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

Skill is never useful for gambling. And those who rely most on skill, I believe, are fools. Because gambling can have some ideas but luck plays the biggest role to win. But every big bet will lose the most So as you say, it is never possible. Because every gambler should bet or gamble with a very small amount of money. Because he will never be able to say correctly, he will win this bet. So it is better to gamble within discipline rather than over greed. By doing this, health will be good.

If this is true and you truly believe it, then try going to a physical or online casino and play poker. Don't bother learning how to play, don't bother trying to understand the strategies, just play relying on luck, something like arriving at the casino and starting to lay down the cards. After a few hours, see if you managed to win any game. After that, you'll be convinced that in games of skill like card games and sports betting, luck plays an insignificant role.

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November 09, 2025, 03:38:00 AM
 #130

But it can only work if of the many bets you make, most of them win, but what if you lose from the many bets you make? since there is no guarantee that the strategy and analysis you use will definitely result in consistent wins on bets, there will definitely be times when the strategy and analysis you use is unsuccessful, and you experience a significant loss.

So bettors also need to think about the risks in the bets they take, even when they feel confident in the analysis they have, but they should never forget the risks that they can lose at one time.
No guarantee you will win from many bets. The matches may be different than your prediction so that is the thing you should consider. But if you accept the risks, you can place many bets and just let the outcome and not have too high expectations about winning. You can use your skills to analyze and pick your teams but you can't hope that all of your bets will win. Risks are something that bettors can't avoid so they must be ready for anything. So bettors should adjust their funds to bet.
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November 09, 2025, 03:52:59 AM
Last edit: November 10, 2025, 06:15:05 PM by AmoreJaz
 #131

But it can only work if of the many bets you make, most of them win, but what if you lose from the many bets you make? since there is no guarantee that the strategy and analysis you use will definitely result in consistent wins on bets, there will definitely be times when the strategy and analysis you use is unsuccessful, and you experience a significant loss.

So bettors also need to think about the risks in the bets they take, even when they feel confident in the analysis they have, but they should never forget the risks that they can lose at one time.
No guarantee you will win from many bets. The matches may be different than your prediction so that is the thing you should consider. But if you accept the risks, you can place many bets and just let the outcome and not have too high expectations about winning. You can use your skills to analyze and pick your teams but you can't hope that all of your bets will win. Risks are something that bettors can't avoid so they must be ready for anything. So bettors should adjust their funds to bet.

Even if you are very sure with your bets, I don't think going all in would be a smart option. Because there is this chance that you will still lose even if you are like almost 100% sure that you are right with your prediction. Don't be too confident because you can't be so sure of all the happenings inside the field. You can go all in if you think you are really sure of the outcome and the money that you are spending won'y affect your financial needs. Because if it will have an impact financially, better reserve some funds for safety. Do remember, no one will help you when it comes to financial needd. It is your own battle so to speak.

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November 09, 2025, 04:25:51 AM
 #132

You should always keep in mind that the larger the bet, the more difficult it may be to play in your usual manner. This leads to increased responsibility, and your decisions and bets may also change. You may start playing more carefully, betting at lower odds because you think you're minimizing the risks. So, just monitor whether your playing style changes as you start to increase your bets. If it doesn't, then you're ready for it if not, then it's best not to do it.

Yeah, that's the thing.

If you are betting a lot of money, then it would make sense that the person is not really paying too much attention at the money they are losing.

In the end, they will lose all their money, just faster.

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November 09, 2025, 05:52:56 AM
 #133

That's right, even though we have the skills to read each round, sometimes the results cannot be predicted or are not what we expect and almost the entire game is determined randomly or by luck. In sports betting, analysis is only a tool to predict a match, not a guarantee of winning. Although analysis can increase accuracy by a few percent, the final result or luck is often influenced by random factors.
It's called gambling, bro, so uncertainty is a common occurrence, including the final outcome, which may not be as expected, even if we've done our best, for example by carefully reading each round, but that doesn't mean the outcome will always be exactly what we want. Gambling is random in its course and its outcome. Although some games can be aided by skill or knowledge, even that is not free from luck. Therefore, when discussing gambling, luck is an inseparable factor.

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November 12, 2025, 08:51:17 PM
 #134

The best teacher in gambling for honing skills, abilities & intelligence is experience.
Yes, there's no doubt, unlike knowing many things, theories or something like that, the most important thing is to have experience Experience tells us when it's appropriate to raise a bet, when it's good to withdraw, and how to avoid losing control in the face of emotions, which is so difficult. I always limit my money; that way I control everything.

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November 12, 2025, 08:53:56 PM
 #135

The best teacher in gambling for honing skills, abilities & intelligence is experience.
Yes, there's no doubt, unlike knowing many things, theories or something like that, the most important thing is to have experience Experience tells us when it's appropriate to raise a bet, when it's good to withdraw, and how to avoid losing control in the face of emotions, which is so difficult. I always limit my money; that way I control everything.

Experience is an important factor in developing ones intuition in playing particularly when the player needs to make decisions quickly. Although theoretical knowledge can give the simplest knowledge, further experience can give more precise perception of patterns, situations, and risks. Something clever to do also is to manage your money because it will make you remain sane during the peak of the game. This management indicates that one has a fantastic sense of self awareness and emotional control, so that the game can be fun, as opposed to something that causes one unnecessary stress.

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November 12, 2025, 09:59:37 PM
 #136

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

Is there any skilled gambler?, this is a big question that demands certain answers. Has there been anyone that is so skilled in gambling and he never loses games once he bets. I think the answer is no, every winnings depends on how lucky the gambler is, majority of the winning comes from luck not how skilled you, and not the number of years you have been betting, high profiled gamblers stake games and looses, so it all centers on luck.

I can perfectly agree that consistency is a paramount factor that makes one win, because you can't play for two days and expect winning or if you  have bet let's say about four times and there was no wins you now quit, it then means you weren't ready. Betting requires you to do away with emotions, if you allow emotions from losses to becloud your thinking then you cannot win. On the other hand if someone is skilled in gambling you are expected to bet a higher amount for a higher payout too, you can't use 100naira and expect to win two million naira.

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November 14, 2025, 06:46:11 AM
 #137

You should always keep in mind that the larger the bet, the more difficult it may be to play in your usual manner. This leads to increased responsibility, and your decisions and bets may also change. You may start playing more carefully, betting at lower odds because you think you're minimizing the risks. So, just monitor whether your playing style changes as you start to increase your bets. If it doesn't, then you're ready for it if not, then it's best not to do it.

Yeah, I guess mental games are always at play.

But at the end of the day it's all about actually gambling on good odds, independent of the betting amount.

It doesn't really matter how much someone bets, as the odds are the same

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swogerino
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November 14, 2025, 07:07:57 AM
 #138

You should always keep in mind that the larger the bet, the more difficult it may be to play in your usual manner. This leads to increased responsibility, and your decisions and bets may also change. You may start playing more carefully, betting at lower odds because you think you're minimizing the risks. So, just monitor whether your playing style changes as you start to increase your bets. If it doesn't, then you're ready for it if not, then it's best not to do it.

Yeah, I guess mental games are always at play.

But at the end of the day it's all about actually gambling on good odds, independent of the betting amount.

It doesn't really matter how much someone bets, as the odds are the same

The only game that can make you do that in my opinion is poker as there you have the possibility to raise the bet several times when you know you have an edge and that is what I do, I keep raising until the end, I never let anyone know that I have an edge, I raise in small increments and in the end I raise a lot. This works for me but it needs a big level of patience to be applied and rarely I know persons that gamble to have this level of patience. In sport betting I would not apply this increase in bet as a bad referee makes all your efforts go into dust so better not try this. For slots do not even think about it  because as soon as you raise the bet the draining of your money starts on turbo mode.

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beveryu778
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November 14, 2025, 07:10:30 AM
 #139

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.
It is extremely rare that even experienced bettors can maintain a win rate of 55 per cent over hundreds of wagers. Volume is profitable not in itself, but only when the benefit is real; otherwise it will only increase variance and bust the bankroll at a faster rate.

To most, the problem is not that there is a shortage of wagers, but is instead that there are too many bad bets that are made on false promises. True expertise is shown by being selective and disciplined as opposed to betting in any chance that comes across.

The continued profitability is due to a provable advantage as well as a regular staking. Without these, a rise in the amount of wager would not be beneficial; it would only hasten bankruptcy.

Crypt0Gore
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November 14, 2025, 09:17:06 AM
 #140

Gambling aside, i always blow my trading account when I use a lot of money like $500 range and more but if I start from $10 I have always grow better to the levels I don't expect, we all control our emotions in different ways, mine works with risking small money and growing it up.

I suspect emotion control, that's why I find it hard to take risks with higher amount, and risking small amount suppress the emotions, the same with gambling for me, I feel like I will expose myself to big risk wagering higher amount, but things are not the same with small amount.

Do what you feel is better for you, small amount of money works wonder for me than taking big risks.

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