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Author Topic: If you really trust your skills, the key is to bet more, not less  (Read 1630 times)
Dr.Bitcoin_Strange
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November 14, 2025, 05:48:02 PM
 #141

Gambling aside, i always blow my trading account when I use a lot of money like $500 range and more but if I start from $10 I have always grow better to the levels I don't expect, we all control our emotions in different ways, mine works with risking small money and growing it up.

I suspect emotion control, that's why I find it hard to take risks with higher amount, and risking small amount suppress the emotions, the same with gambling for me, I feel like I will expose myself to big risk wagering higher amount, but things are not the same with small amount.

Do what you feel is better for you, small amount of money works wonder for me than taking big risks.

Gambling is even different from betting, though the risk is almost the same but in trading you can talk about perfection in a particular strategy of which if you don't become greedy and chase after trades, you can make sustainable profit but in gambling there's no perfection, the risk is just very big and you can not control your lose after you have stake with a very large amount just like in trading where you can cancel the trade and stop your lose. Like you said, everyone has their different ways of handling things and it's applicable to gambling, what OP explained is easy to say but difficult to achieve good result from it.

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November 14, 2025, 06:02:01 PM
 #142

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

Skill is never useful for gambling. And those who rely most on skill, I believe, are fools. Because gambling can have some ideas but luck plays the biggest role to win. But every big bet will lose the most So as you say, it is never possible. Because every gambler should bet or gamble with a very small amount of money. Because he will never be able to say correctly, he will win this bet. So it is better to gamble within discipline rather than over greed. By doing this, health will be good.

even if someone believes in their skill!! gambling will always be dominated by luck because you can study games, build strategies or track stats!! but none of that guarantees a win at the end, the moment you start increasing your stakes because you trust your skills!! you are just setting yourself up for bigger losses to come not bigger rewards because in gambling the higher the bet, the harder the fall that is why disciplined gamblers focus on protecting their bankroll not stretching it betting small keeps you in control, keeps your emotions steady and keeps you from chasing losses at the end of the day

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November 14, 2025, 08:02:12 PM
 #143

No matter how skillful you are in gambling it doesn't guarantee you winning consistently and their is no need to play more because risk and lose are always constant in gambling.
That's right, also consider that when we play we always have very little Chance of winning , that the house advantage is what always exerts its strength and makes the casino win , as it is a Business and businesses must guarantee profits, we cannot forget that.

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November 14, 2025, 11:34:25 PM
 #144

We all do trust the process but it's a different thing when we're staying longer and even with the little that we have, in the end the house always wins.

But if you're that consistent and it's not only about the skills that you have but also the control that you can apply to yourself.

Then, it's not only about staying longer, more chance of winning and profiting but also about the lesson you get to learn per bet you make. Like knowing if it's the right time to get out or not, by that means about when it's best to withdraw.

 
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November 15, 2025, 01:49:41 AM
 #145

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

Skill is never useful for gambling. And those who rely most on skill, I believe, are fools. Because gambling can have some ideas but luck plays the biggest role to win. But every big bet will lose the most So as you say, it is never possible. Because every gambler should bet or gamble with a very small amount of money. Because he will never be able to say correctly, he will win this bet. So it is better to gamble within discipline rather than over greed. By doing this, health will be good.

even if someone believes in their skill!! gambling will always be dominated by luck because you can study games, build strategies or track stats!! but none of that guarantees a win at the end, the moment you start increasing your stakes because you trust your skills!! you are just setting yourself up for bigger losses to come not bigger rewards because in gambling the higher the bet, the harder the fall that is why disciplined gamblers focus on protecting their bankroll not stretching it betting small keeps you in control, keeps your emotions steady and keeps you from chasing losses at the end of the day

That’s a strong statement, but I’d say it oversimplifies things a bit.
While luck definitely dominates in most gambling activities, skill still plays a measurable role in certain forms like poker, blackjack (with strategy), or sports betting based on analysis and data. Over the short term, outcomes are random, but skill helps manage how much and when you risk, which can improve your long-term edge and bankroll survival.
The problem isn’t that skill doesn’t matter it’s that too many players confuse luck for skill and overestimate their control. That’s why disciplined bankroll management and realistic expectations are as important as any system or analysis method.
So yes, luck is the main driver, but saying skill is never useful ignores how good decision-making, probability understanding, and emotional control are what keep professional bettors from going broke. The key is knowing that skill helps you lose less often not win every time.
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November 15, 2025, 02:07:57 AM
 #146

We all do trust the process but it's a different thing when we're staying longer and even with the little that we have, in the end the house always wins.

But if you're that consistent and it's not only about the skills that you have but also the control that you can apply to yourself.

Then, it's not only about staying longer, more chance of winning and profiting but also about the lesson you get to learn per bet you make. Like knowing if it's the right time to get out or not, by that means about when it's best to withdraw.

As I read it, volume does strengthen the edge, but there must be many terms and conditions that must be met, otherwise the data points will run and become unstable, even if the OP is quite confident. If we truly believe in our skills, it comes back to whether we are capable and confident in controlling the psychological aspects and volatility well.

But, when it comes to ability or skill, I don't think this applies to everyone and certainly not the same. On average, not everyone is capable of playing this type of game, even if they have sufficient funds. Furthermore, emotions also vary greatly if they ever get overwhelmed, causing them to lose control and will continue to bet again to chase their losses because they are angry.

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November 15, 2025, 02:25:09 AM
 #147

Your opinion on betting profits is quite right and based on math, which shows that real way of winning in long run is by volume. This is shown by your example that small \text{55} percent winning rate, when applied to 1,000 bets, is much more profitable 100 bets, as your ability gets better with time. This is better than gambling risks and it only works when you believe in your strategy and do not stop or get upset after short times of poor luck. So, fact that bettor takes many bets on regular basis is what really shows whether bettor is skilled or lucky person.

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November 15, 2025, 02:37:12 AM
 #148

Your opinion on betting profits is quite right and based on math, which shows that real way of winning in long run is by volume. This is shown by your example that small \text{55} percent winning rate, when applied to 1,000 bets, is much more profitable 100 bets, as your ability gets better with time. This is better than gambling risks and it only works when you believe in your strategy and do not stop or get upset after short times of poor luck. So, fact that bettor takes many bets on regular basis is what really shows whether bettor is skilled or lucky person.


It’s easy to imagine winning more, but in reality whether it’s gambling or sports betting nothing is guaranteed. That’s why discipline is so important, If we start chasing wins, we can end up losing everything we’ve already built. It’s much better to bet only on matches we understand rather than betting on every match and relying on a 50:50 chance

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November 15, 2025, 02:49:26 AM
 #149

Don't bet continuously because you trusted in Your skills, this might fails you, gambling is not what we can approach the way we wanted to see it come to happen, as this is to why many got surprised at last when they couldn't achieve meeting up in it, after much dependence on their skills with the hope of getting something more better and well improved than the previous, which is in our own eyes, we can't developed a skill that will forfeit losing the more than winning, this is merely impossible, except that we continue gambling for fun.

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November 15, 2025, 02:56:55 AM
 #150

Don't bet continuously because you trusted in Your skills, this might fails you, gambling is not what we can approach the way we wanted to see it come to happen, as this is to why many got surprised at last when they couldn't achieve meeting up in it, after much dependence on their skills with the hope of getting something more better and well improved than the previous, which is in our own eyes, we can't developed a skill that will forfeit losing the more than winning, this is merely impossible, except that we continue gambling for fun.
It won’t ruin you if you actually have a plan. If you’re a volume bettor, you still need to study all your picks, not just rely on gut feel. That’s how you measure if you really have the skill for sports betting.

Say you make 100 bets and you win 60 of them, with proper bankroll management, you’ll definitely end up profitable.
So better to test it first instead of making conclusions without even trying.

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November 15, 2025, 03:21:29 AM
 #151

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.
The argument of volume is mathematically sound, however, only when the bettor does have a real, sustainable advantage, which is where the majority of people overestimate themselves. Volumes exaggerate your positive and negative traits and so, when you have a 55% winning percentage, then indeed, given a few hundreds or thousand bets, then the numbers will reflect consistent profit. However, when that advantage is merely slightly overinflated then greater volume can just as easily empty a bankroll.

The point is not that you have to bet more, it is that you have to stay disciplined, make sure that you have an advantage in the long run, and not taking emotional turns that land you in poor positions. Volume is effective only when they have a solid base, otherwise they end up increasing the losses rather than increasing gains.
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November 15, 2025, 03:39:00 AM
 #152

I don't trust my skills when it comes to gambling because I believe there is no real skill involved in winning the sport betting, we can stretch the number of bets and also we can do the match but one loss can eat away the progress of 10 previous wins and if this keeps repeating then you are not going anywhere other than starting over and over.

I would have to agree, I also do not think there is much skill at all involved in gambling and its all completely just one big luck toss and you're out there dangling a line in the water hoping to catch the very best but often times its just not exatly what you thought or it is just something that you thought you had a good grasp on but really you don't and you're left wondering what more could be done.

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November 15, 2025, 08:09:53 AM
 #153

We all do trust the process but it's a different thing when we're staying longer and even with the little that we have, in the end the house always wins.

But if you're that consistent and it's not only about the skills that you have but also the control that you can apply to yourself.

Then, it's not only about staying longer, more chance of winning and profiting but also about the lesson you get to learn per bet you make. Like knowing if it's the right time to get out or not, by that means about when it's best to withdraw.

As I read it, volume does strengthen the edge, but there must be many terms and conditions that must be met, otherwise the data points will run and become unstable, even if the OP is quite confident. If we truly believe in our skills, it comes back to whether we are capable and confident in controlling the psychological aspects and volatility well.

But, when it comes to ability or skill, I don't think this applies to everyone and certainly not the same. On average, not everyone is capable of playing this type of game, even if they have sufficient funds. Furthermore, emotions also vary greatly if they ever get overwhelmed, causing them to lose control and will continue to bet again to chase their losses because they are angry.
That is right, it doesn't apply to everyone even if we want it to be like that. That's because if we're going to take a look at those who are skilled, they still have those losing streak moments.

And no one can change that even if they would like to. Sometimes, we do get bad days and we have no control over that.

The emotions that we portray and the adjustment that we make is giving us the kind of decisions that we make that affects us when we gamble.

 
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November 15, 2025, 09:36:57 AM
 #154

It won?t ruin you if you actually have a plan. If you?re a volume bettor, you still need to study all your picks, not just rely on gut feel. That?s how you measure if you really have the skill for sports betting.

Say you make 100 bets and you win 60 of them, with proper bankroll management, you?ll definitely end up profitable.
So better to test it first instead of making conclusions without even trying.
Just hearing this mathematical calculation you did, which seems simple to me, makes my head hurt. I'm really bad at math. I understand what you mean, but let's always remember that luck is involved, so statistics often don't work so well. So, in summary, be careful guys, only play what you can afford to lose.

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November 15, 2025, 09:42:07 AM
 #155

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

There is no such thing as skills in gambling. It is all 100% based on probability. And the house edge shifts the winning probability towards the casino, not you.

So suggesting people bet more because they have "skills" is the key, is very irresponsible. And if you wish to back up your "math" please go ahead and post it, because I assure you, your math is wrong.

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November 15, 2025, 09:51:23 AM
 #156

I’ve been playing around with some numbers lately. Let’s say you have a $1,000 bankroll and you’re staking $50 per game. If you can keep a 55% win rate over 100 bets, that’s already around $500 profit. But if you stretch that to 1,000 bets, still at 55%, that turns into roughly $5,000 profit .. without even increasing your bet size.

That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

Most bettors stop too early or get emotional after a few losses. But if you truly trust your process and your read on the games, the numbers show that consistency and volume are what separate skilled bettors from lucky ones.

There is no such thing as skills in gambling. It is all 100% based on probability. And the house edge shifts the winning probability towards the casino, not you.

So suggesting people bet more because they have "skills" is the key, is very irresponsible. And if you wish to back up your "math" please go ahead and post it, because I assure you, your math is wrong.

This is common misconception of people seeking for something that they think can able to increase their chance to win.

The fact is none of those things  will work for long time and everything is just based on luck.

What I think good strategy to use on luck base game is bank roll management and they should play for entertainment, not for profit since with this there's good chance that they enjoy those casino games they played.

R


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November 15, 2025, 10:02:18 AM
 #157

I do not have any skill talkles of trusting, and even though I don't think there's any skill for sports betting because you can never get an accurate prediction when using a skill, rather you might even end up regretting it because gambling doesn't have any other thing than luck. It's totally not acceptable for a responsible gambler that understand the role of luck to believe on any skills in gambling because it wouldn't do you any good than hoting you the more.

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November 15, 2025, 10:14:36 AM
 #158

Don't bet continuously because you trusted in Your skills, this might fails you, gambling is not what we can approach the way we wanted to see it come to happen,

That's true, we should gamble continuously because we are winning or because we are risking less and then having fun, but betting repeatedly with a huge amount while trusting a particular strategy and still end up not winning but encountering a great loss, that's to say we should gamble wisely, risking the amount we can afford to lose is the better option so that the day our skill fails, we won't be in a loss that will put us in pressure.

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November 15, 2025, 10:28:38 AM
 #159

No matter how skillful you are in gambling it doesn't guarantee you winning consistently and their is no need to play more because risk and lose are always constant in gambling.
That's right, also consider that when we play we always have very little Chance of winning , that the house advantage is what always exerts its strength and makes the casino win , as it is a Business and businesses must guarantee profits, we cannot forget that.

That is because we're already driven by too much negativity in our minds. Of course, I won't say consistent winning, as it never exists. But believing our skills are something useful to boost ourselves, which may attract luck. And this is how you may increase your chances of winning. Remember that this is betting, not gambling in general. Although we need luck, having good knowledge and analytic skills helps a lot.

If we trust our skills, it is just the same as trusting ourselves. But I don't say we must bet more than usual. Instead, keep the same betting habit that we have.

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November 15, 2025, 11:20:25 AM
 #160


That’s why I think the real edge comes from volume. If you’re confident in your skill, the more bets you take (with proper bankroll management of course), the more your edge compounds. It’s not about hitting one big parlay, it’s about letting the math play out over time.

However, in my opinion, it is not correct to think that more bets always indicate more guaranteed profit. If you really have an advantage, like real edge, then the volume of bets can work. i think, after many bets, your results will be closer to the expected value. however just because you win 55 % of the time does not mean you are positive expected value, you have to have your sizing management in check as well

if you follow percentage based unit model then it will be very effective for safely increasing profits. However keep in mind that variance is the key. With a real edge, it is possible to go through long dry spells. So I would say volume is very important, but if you fail to maintain logic and consistency, then it is useless.

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