Elections Will Decide Bitcoin’s Next Move

[Alpen]

A year ago, Bitcoin was trading around $65K, fueled by hopes that a Trump comeback would turn the U.S. into a crypto-friendly powerhouse. He’d promised sweeping regulatory reforms and positioned himself as the “crypto president.”

But despite Republican control of both chambers, no major crypto legislation has passed — only debates and drafts.

If Democrats regain control of Congress, Trump’s crypto agenda could stall indefinitely. And without clear regulatory progress, Bitcoin might give back all its pre-election gains — potentially sliding back toward that $65K zone.

[Charles-Tim]

You will later understand that not only election is responsible for bitcoin price that increased when it gets to over $250000 at the time, or at least having a price higher than $150000.

Also you will still later understand that bitcoin is a store of value in long term.

Bitcoin got to $15500 in Biden time, but later increased to over $50000.

[ultrloa]

You will later understand that not only election is responsible for bitcoin price that increased when it gets to over $250000 at the time, or at least having a price higher than $150000.

Also you will still later understand that bitcoin is a store of value in long term.

Bitcoin got to $15500 in Biden time, but later increased to over $50000.

Maybe he think about that its because he seen those huge movement at the time Trump won and he announce that US will became a Bitcoin friendly nation and they will set up a Bitcoin strategic reserve for their country.

We have seen such historical price increase happened when they made lots of positive acceptance on Bitcoin.

So if it happens that the next politicians won in elections are more adoptive and have political will to make those plans to happen, then also sign more good laws which can help Bitcoin to became more strong asset then we can provably expect that there are more great things that will happen on Bitcoin.

[karabiber]

Bitcoin can certainly be influenced by Trump's statements, but not every statement or action Trump makes will affect Bitcoin. Otherwise, Bitcoin would have no meaning. The crypto market is influenced by macroeconomic factors, liquidity, interest rates, or global crises. The 65k level is very low for Bitcoin, and I don't believe Bitcoin will reach that level. While the market as a whole has not yet experienced a bull market, I don't think Bitcoin will fall regardless of the process.

[AprilioMP]

A year ago, Bitcoin was trading around $65K, fueled by hopes that a Trump comeback would turn the U.S. into a crypto-friendly powerhouse. He’d promised sweeping regulatory reforms and positioned himself as the “crypto president.”

But despite Republican control of both chambers, no major crypto legislation has passed — only debates and drafts.

If Democrats regain control of Congress, Trump’s crypto agenda could stall indefinitely. And without clear regulatory progress, Bitcoin might give back all its pre-election gains — potentially sliding back toward that $65K zone.

Have you ever heard of and known market manipulators? Bitcoin's price rises and falls are not caused by political situations such as Trump and his party or more concretely, Bitcoin is not a political tool in terms of pricing.

Bitcoin is an electronic cash currency system that has gone through various phases, starting in the midst of economic uncertainty and persisting until now when the political parties of countries are becoming more modern.
Market price movements appear to be in line with the political situation, but that's not what you think.
In the midst of your thoughts in the final paragraph, you will ponder that there is no logical reason why the Bitcoin price could reach more than $150k despite the political situation as you stated.

[bitLeap]

Bitcoin can certainly be influenced by Trump's statements, but not every statement or action Trump makes will affect Bitcoin. Otherwise, Bitcoin would have no meaning. The crypto market is influenced by macroeconomic factors, liquidity, interest rates, or global crises. The 65k level is very low for Bitcoin, and I don't believe Bitcoin will reach that level. While the market as a whole has not yet experienced a bull market, I don't think Bitcoin will fall regardless of the process.

agree, and my view is that whatever type of influence both politics and geopolitics will still have an impact on the price of bitcoin because that is where the money circulation takes place. Every change of leader, economic policy, conflict between countries can have an influence because it is global. Surely the investors involved will adjust their investment flow according to the conditions that occur. In essence, this indirectly shapes bitcoin market sentiment.

[₿itcoin]

dude , I dont think political elections alone will dictate Bitcoins future. To be honest, politics can sometimes influence shortterm sentiment, whether its Trump or Biden, red party or blue, but Bitcoins value is based on math, supply &  demand, not US policy. Sure, some explicit restrictions could help but Bitcoin has already survived sanctions, wars & various forms of negative news FUDS etc etc, value isnt built on who is sitting in the Oval Office. In my opinion, while the crypto agenda in Congress is currently stalled, the halving cycle, adoption growth &  other important factors are going to have an impact.

[Kiddo15]

Bitcoin can certainly be influenced by Trump's statements, but not every statement or action Trump makes will affect Bitcoin. Otherwise, Bitcoin would have no meaning. The crypto market is influenced by macroeconomic factors, liquidity, interest rates, or global crises. The 65k level is very low for Bitcoin, and I don't believe Bitcoin will reach that level. While the market as a whole has not yet experienced a bull market, I don't think Bitcoin will fall regardless of the process.

agree, and my view is that whatever type of influence both politics and geopolitics will still have an impact on the price of bitcoin because that is where the money circulation takes place. Every change of leader, economic policy, conflict between countries can have an influence because it is global. Surely the investors involved will adjust their investment flow according to the conditions that occur. In essence, this indirectly shapes bitcoin market sentiment.

Political adjustment and realignment can especially in the US affect the Bitcoin price, but that is not absolute, Bitcoin can always stand on its own and the price can as well remain firm or even upsurge without political inclination, Bitcoin has been strong in it's growth all this year's. Most of the Bitcoin investors too are not politicians, so the need for the full adjustment your referring to might not really be there. During Joe Biden administration, Bitcoin was also flourishing and the price was steadily growing too.

[alastantiger]

If Democrats regain control of Congress, Trump’s crypto agenda could stall indefinitely. And without clear regulatory progress, Bitcoin might give back all its pre-election gains — potentially sliding back toward that $65K zone.

It doesn't matter what happens next because we're heading into the bear market soon and the price of Bitcoin same with other cryptocurrency will be collapsing. Nothing can save this from happening and not the US being friendly towards the market all go ofa sudden will change the fate of the market. They missed the chances that they could have used all those good news to fuel the bull market because now the bull market is almost over and there has been nothing worth celebrating to some extent because the market didn't meet most of our expectations. The market has done well but not well enough because we still didn't get to see the huge numbers of gains. Some altcoins did well too but not like how altcoins do during the altcoins season. The market this period performed below average from my point of view.

[Crypt0Gore]

A year ago, Bitcoin was trading around $65K, fueled by hopes that a Trump comeback would turn the U.S. into a crypto-friendly powerhouse. He’d promised sweeping regulatory reforms and positioned himself as the “crypto president.”

But despite Republican control of both chambers, no major crypto legislation has passed — only debates and drafts.

If Democrats regain control of Congress, Trump’s crypto agenda could stall indefinitely. And without clear regulatory progress, Bitcoin might give back all its pre-election gains — potentially sliding back toward that $65K zone.

You are sleeping, wake the heck up mate.

Have you been following the latest achievement of Bitcoin so far? To hell with Elections, if you don't fear anything else look into Blackrock for once, all Democrats combined can't do shit to this people, it was already too late the moment Trump became the president.

Blackrock is the most powerful elite in the world, no one can cross them and where ever their money goes they take control, this is just one of the elites anyways, the moment to have stopped all this was before Trump became the president, read this very well, ETFs are activated and reserve is in progress, this is now unstoppable bro you are sleeping.

Wake the hell up.

[Fortify]

A year ago, Bitcoin was trading around $65K, fueled by hopes that a Trump comeback would turn the U.S. into a crypto-friendly powerhouse. He’d promised sweeping regulatory reforms and positioned himself as the “crypto president.”

But despite Republican control of both chambers, no major crypto legislation has passed — only debates and drafts.

If Democrats regain control of Congress, Trump’s crypto agenda could stall indefinitely. And without clear regulatory progress, Bitcoin might give back all its pre-election gains — potentially sliding back toward that $65K zone.

Be careful what you wish for.. at the moment Trump supports Bitcoin because it is helping to enrich him, but his erratic and authoritarian manner can backfire in all kinds of ways. It is likely that the next government, which will probably end up being Democrat if the USA still exists in 3 years, will be less friendly than Trump. Trump only likes Bitcoin because he's able to sell his own crapcoin to his followers and faces few repercussions while in power. He might use his executive powers and control of both houses to push through some bills that support it, so that is good. I'm not sure that Bitcoin will slide back that far unless we see a big recession, which might happen with this flipflop in power.

[BIT-BENDER]

Where was Trump, the Republicans all those years before even we start to relate Bitcoin to the US election. How can you look back at where Bitcoin is coming from and still believe that the election will control the future of Bitcoin.
Bitcoin will survive no matter which US political party is in power.
I believe that Bitcoin will determine how the election will be decided moving forward. It will be mostly likely be Bitcoin interested candidates that will be elected into power.

[asriloni]

Like or not US election strongly drives crypto's climate. Trump's win gave ease to the crypto regulation, and everything went smoothly. Many major institutions were coming in after Trump's regime made it clear with their crypto framework regulation. He's even sacking Gensler, and changing him with crypto friendly person.

No doubt if Democrat will take the steer in the upcoming election. We may be seeing democrats to strict crypto regulation in US.

[moneystery]

The movement of Bitcoin's price is not determined by that... although when Trump was elected yesterday it did impact Bitcoin's price, the effect was only temporary, because ultimately the movement of Bitcoin's price is more influenced by other factors, such as institutional adoption, market demand, and other factors. So it is not entirely driven by the election as you said; there are other factors that are more important than that.

[JoyMarsha]

The truth of the matter is that any price effect on Bitcoin that is caused by any US president elected, whether their law on Bitcoin is a positive or negative approach, it will only affect the Bitcoin for some time, and with time it will be forgotten, for Bitcoin to act on its own for price increase and decrease.

That's what we have seen since Trump took over as US president. Bitcoin at first increased tremendously when he announced having Bitcoin as a US reserve. Bitcoin later starts to stabilize its price on its own, no longer increasing because of that. This time around, Bitcoin is being faced with US tariffs against China that affected the Bitcoin price. Soon it will be over for Bitcoin to overshadow that by showing green candlelight.

[coolcoinz]

Trump or no Trump, bitcoin is not going below 90k.

There was even a much more bullish analysis by Standard Chartered that predicted bitcoin will never go below 100k again.
Bitcoin is not where it is because of US reserve plan but because of institutional interest and Blackrock ETF.
You were very quick to forget that the SEC finally lost in court and had to allow ETFs which was a major trigger for bitcoin and Democrats won't erase that.

As for no major legislation, the US agreed not to sell any seized bitcoin, which to me is a big deal. Remember how people panicked when Germany was selling their BTC? You wouldn't want to see that again.
Also, there's a lot of legislation being done on state level. These things move slow.

[7juju]

Was it elections that brought bitcoin to the previous ATH? If your answer is no which I believe is the right answer you are going to get, what makes you believe that election will determine bitcoin next move? Bitcoin has circles which it follows and bitcoin does it's things without being dependent on any anything. Trump saw a perfect avenue to use as a campaign strategy and it worked for him, that doesn't mean bitcoin is now dependent on elections to make moves that's a big lie. Trump needed bitcoin to win election, bitcoin never needed him to continue making big moves in the future.

[X-ray]

I acknowledge that biden administration is not friendly with the growth of crypto and trump is the opposite.

But what happen if the democrat party also trying to cater to the audience of voters that are bitcoiners? they could be trying to make promises about further pushing bitcoin and so on.

Until there's campaign for the next election and the programs being announced, we're just speculating on what gonna be the outcome.

[d5000]

4% of the world population will decide Bitcoin's fate? (Well, unfortunately, for now they can probably as Bitcoin is influenced a lot by US markets. But not for much more time I think.)

I believe like @coolcoinz that the rally is more related to the institutional investors' Bitcoin boom than to Trump, although of course one of the legs in November was definitely "facilitated" by the US election. It probably would have occurred later in 2025 if the markets realized that a Harris government wouldn't kill Bitcoin.

However I don't think the 90 or 100k are definitely "locked in". We're already close to 100k again, and I can definitely imagine a slump down to 70-80 or even to 50-60k in a year with negative sentiment. And perhaps a US midterm election could bring a 10% or 20% drop if the stars align against Bitcoin, for example if Mrs. Warren refloats her anti-Bitcoin projects.

[adaseb]

Yes it is true, if he loses the Election, well he can't run again but if the Republicans lose the election again and you got some crypto hating president like in the past, then obviously it will pose problems because there will be more regulation and if there are more regulations the growth won't be as large as it was when he got elected.

However we got 3 more years so who knows what will happen by then. Now you gotta assume that Trump will keep pumping the stock market and crypto markets to keep his family and all his investor friends happy. Look how many crypto people he already pardoned. So its safe to assume this will last until the end of his term, but they lose the election in 3 years then depending on who is elected, it might pose problems for Bitcoins growth.