Want to be a consistent winner? Stop betting on bad teams

[Russlenat]

If you really want to be consistent in sports betting, the first rule is simple, don’t bet on bad teams.

Take the NBA for example, we already know which teams are usually in the playoff race and which ones are just hanging at the bottom. Those low-tier teams are very unpredictable, sometimes they’ll look strong for a few quarters then suddenly collapse. betting on them is basically flipping a coin. It’s better to stick with teams that are competitive, the ones fighting for playoff spots. They usually play harder, have more stable rotations, and give you better chances of reading the game correctly.

So the key is...  if you want steady wins, skip the unpredictable ones and focus on the teams that actually care to win.

[Ruttoshi]

So the key is...  if you want steady wins, skip the unpredictable ones and focus on the teams that actually care to win.

There's no guarantee that you will win steadily even if you bet on only the good teams because there are somedays that the underdog will win the favorite team and you will run at loss. This has happened repeatedly in football matches. Maybe, it's easy to win frequently in NBA if you only bet on the strong team but in football, it's not the same.

Gambling should be done for fun and not because we want to make profit all the time because it's impossible. It's either you win or lose your bet, don't get ot twisted, it's difficult for not to run at loss because gambling is mostly based on luck to be profitable.

[Versatile_choice]

The truth is sports betting is  unpredictable so the idea of stoping to bet on bad teams can only draw us closer to win but can't make us to be a consistent winner because I have tried this experiment before I must say that I didn't get a positive result the only different is I don't loss more often unlike when I'm betting on random teams.

Talking about NBA, though this idea can be affective in NBA but the truth is I don't pay attention to NBA so I can't really tell for sure maybe those NBA players  will understand but I doubt it when you said that this would work in NBA.

[lovesmayfamilis]

Is it really that simple? Of course, any reasonable person, looking at the standings and having some knowledge of the teams, will favor the leading teams; however, those at the bottom often do not allow themselves to lose at home, for example. Many small details experienced fans can anticipate by knowing and observing how the championship is played, but I agree with the OP: we have a better chance of winning if we stick with those who are ahead. It's no secret that sports are always unpredictable, and it's always surprising to see our mistakes when the expectation and confidence of an obvious victory turn into disappointment.

[michellee]

I am not sure if that can work because the unexpected team can surprise you and beat the strong team. That happens many times, out of our expectation so we can't be sure about that. We can only analyze the match choices that have a chance to win. There are no steady wins in gambling because gambling is uncertain.

You may win or lose depending on the situation and of course, your luck. If you don't luck, you will not win and many people experience that. The best thing you can do is place the team on the sports that you know so you have a chance to win, although that will not guarantee you will win. And don't forget to only use the money you can afford.

[Dickiy]

If winning were that simple, wouldn't so many gamblers become rich? 

But in reality, it's not that easy to win, my friend. There are many factors that can hinder our intention to win. It's not just about choosing the stronger team; that still doesn't guarantee victory.

Every time I bet on any type of sports, I always side with the statistically stronger team, considering their form and also looking at home and away games. But still, losses happen, which means luck still plays a role.

[Solosanz]

I prefer to bet on bad teams that face good teams who're currently under perform.

Sometime, there's a moment a good teams perform bad for few weeks or months, they're still favorite because people value them over their old history. Not many people dare to take this risk for betting against good teams that are in bad shape while it's a good opportunity to take a worthy risk with good reward.

So the key is...  if you want steady wins, skip the unpredictable ones and focus on the teams that actually care to win.

Of course betting on favorite teams will give you steady wins. You bet $100 on favorite team where the odds is just @1.01, if you bet 50x times, you will earn $50. Then if you lose just in one match, you will lose $100.

[rdluffy]

It's not that simple 
Sports betting seems “easy” until you actually start betting and realize that unexpected events happen all the time
You could bet on the favorite every time, but the odds may not be worth it. You could win 5 times, for example, but if you lose once, you could lose more than you won in 5 games

Each match must be analyzed individually, and at least in my betting style, I try to find good opportunities with good odds

[Lucius]

~snip~
So the key is...  if you want steady wins, skip the unpredictable ones and focus on the teams that actually care to win.

Consistent winner? Do you think something like that is possible in sports betting?

What you're suggesting might make sense, but if you always choose the teams that are the best, it means that the odds on their winnings are very low, which in turn means that you need to invest more money if you want to make a profit.

Take the NBA for example, we already know which teams are usually in the playoff race and which ones are just hanging at the bottom.

If you want to win a bet on the NBA, you better have connections to the mafia

The FBI secured multiple indictments for more than 30 people related to their alleged role in an explosive gambling scandal that has rocked the NBA. Portland Trail Blazers coach Chauncey Billups, Miami Heat guard Terry Rozier and former NBA player Damon Jones all were arrested as part of the investigation, which involved extensive illegal gambling rings, FBI director Kash Patel said during a news conference Thursday.

[qwertyup23]

<..SNIP..>

So the key is...  if you want steady wins, skip the unpredictable ones and focus on the teams that actually care to win.

If this were the case, then everyone would be rich and successful in sports-betting now.

Remember, this does not work given that all teams, whether good or bad, has their respective chance to win their games. Even a bad team can win against a super stacked team depending on several and relevant factors that can change such outcome.

Sure you may argue that betting on the stronger teams can yield a consistent result. However, being strong is not only the factor that you should consider. You must also search their matchups, injuries, tactics, etc. because those factors can outweigh on what makes a team 'stronger' against a 'weaker' but technical team.

[SmartGold01]

We can also check the possibility of winning with the big team you are saying although it's hard to manipulate those big team because there are attention and focused on them so that could be that very difficult to control or being rigged in favor of the other team.
Small team or club most times manipulation is that simple because they would be trying all best to get known, and a little bribe on the coach, referee and any player will of course have great effects on the club so many people do not like putting their trusts on that club instead the for EPL, but in all we need luck to shine on us before one could be that possible to win game irrespective of any club be it small or big team.

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

A couple of times now, I have said that there's no trick or strategy that someone would tell me about that I have not thought of trying but yet the winning was never consistent. I have tried betting always on one team but it didn't favour me on the long run, I have tried betting only on market option of home win or away to win, it was not favoured on the long run, I have tried the option of "both teams to score" and it still didn't work out. Before I stepped down from being a serious bettor that I was before, I have tried many things that I felt would work consistently but non did.

[LOVER BOY 422]

If you really want to be consistent in sports betting, the first rule is simple, don’t bet on bad teams.

Take the NBA for example, we already know which teams are usually in the playoff race and which ones are just hanging at the bottom. Those low-tier teams are very unpredictable, sometimes they’ll look strong for a few quarters then suddenly collapse. betting on them is basically flipping a coin. It’s better to stick with teams that are competitive, the ones fighting for playoff spots. They usually play harder, have more stable rotations, and give you better chances of reading the game correctly.

So the key is...  if you want steady wins, skip the unpredictable ones and focus on the teams that actually care to win.

You have said a lot ,but let me say this quickly gambling is by choice and willing,the team that gives you more winnings might not be the team that can actually develop and deliver me in times of gambling,the one that can deliver you might fail me ,you see so heating hand in your chest saying that a particular team can't deliver i don't quen in for that ,bet is by luck and if you venture pick the wrong one you will definitely lost ,the one you said that is not good , might be good for another person,so nobody can tell the rightful casino betting till it has finally played.

[rakebit]

Good point, chasing bets on weak teams often comes from emotion, not logic. Consistent bettors usually track form, team motivation, and injury data before placing anything. Sometimes skipping a bad-value game is the real win.

Do you use any stats tools or rely mostly on intuition when picking matches?

[OgNasty]

Gambling to me isn't always just winning the bet.  You have to bet the odds.  Meaning, if you see odds that you don't think are accurately portraying what will happen, that is where you get an advantage.  The odds are setup so that if you bet on the sure thing, it won't pay off meaningfully.  That is why you need to find the bet that has the best risk/reward, not necessarily the best chance of winning.  That is if your goal is to actually win money.  If you just want to win bets, sure, bet on the obvious winner and enjoy your 2% win.

[BABY SHOES]

Easy wins with consistency? Yeah it makes sense not to bet on bad teams but betting on great teams is not necessarily going to win consistently.

Sports betting usually has a lot of options to choose the odds but don't know if NBA is the same as soccer betting odds can be chosen a lot?

Not only betting on 1X2 wins but you can choose the odds you want that have a high chance of winning... like over 0.5 but of course the odds will be small.

[Marykeller]

Funny enough, there are people who like to follow their intuition on bets. If their intuition tells them to bet their games this way, they will bet them that way, not minding whether the team is the strong or weak one.

I hope none of us have seen it for the first time of bad teams winning the good teams. It does happen, nobody will say it is a new thing that happens in sports betting.

[KTChampions]

If you really want to be consistent in sports betting, the first rule is simple, don’t bet on bad teams.

Take the NBA for example, we already know which teams are usually in the playoff race and which ones are just hanging at the bottom. Those low-tier teams are very unpredictable, sometimes they’ll look strong for a few quarters then suddenly collapse. betting on them is basically flipping a coin. It’s better to stick with teams that are competitive, the ones fighting for playoff spots. They usually play harder, have more stable rotations, and give you better chances of reading the game correctly.

So the key is...  if you want steady wins, skip the unpredictable ones and focus on the teams that actually care to win.

This is logical, but everything is already taken into account in the odds. I also don't like to bet on highly volatile teams (like Dortmund or Italian teams), but in the end, a surprise can await us from the most reliable team (for example, last year's City or this year's Liverpool). Whatever your choice, the risk/reward ratio is important. Betting on "reliable" teams is very difficult to achieve a good profit - you end up either making a large bet or making a multiple bet, which results in even worse risk than betting on a random team.

[mcdouglasx]

It's a good option to always bet on a single strong team and a single match, without placing other types of bets like who scores the most points or who scores first. Let's look at it this way: for example, if we bet on Real Madrid to win every time they play, clearly, at the end of the season you'll have a winning streak that outweighs your losing streaks. Therefore, it's safe to say that this is a wise betting strategy.

[Nahl]

In sport betting there is a moment when strong teams lose from weak teams so, the strategy don't putting your money into bad teams is not always be good but indeed with always be putting your money into a good team i am sure your winning rates will be much better because usually bets on favourite teams will always have good chances to won the games considering good team have good strength compared to bad teams

But do not forget too about the profit that because placing your money into favourite teams usually will have low odds which i think it's not always be profitable and for an example that in Bundesliga there is a strong team called Bayern Munich and if you were bets on them consistently i am sure the chances to won the bets for each games is very high but if we see from the profit it far from worthy because for each games the bookmakers only give the odds 1.20 or even less