Does Stats in Sports Really Matter?

[stadus]

If stats really matter, then why are we still not winning when all those numbers are free and available for everyone to use? Almost every sport now has detailed stats online like player averages, team efficiency, even advanced analytic - but when it comes to betting or predicting outcomes, most of us still end up wrong.

So maybe the question is: are we misreading the data, or is sports just too unpredictable that even the best stats can’t tell the full story?

[crwth]

If you take a mathematical approach, it should be in terms of probabilities, and it would give you a percentage of wins. If you know the world and its effects, there's no guarantee of 100% results, so it's most likely that another result will occur if it happens. You should know that it's to increase your chances, but not be 100%.

[Japinat]

It really matters a lot. The reason most of us aren’t winning is probably because we’re not being smart enough with how we play. But if you believe there are people out there who actually win, then it means it’s not impossible, they’re just doing something right. They don’t win by luck alone, they use real analysis as their basis.

Maybe we’re all seeing the same games, the same stats, but we don’t process them the same way. Or maybe they just have information or insight that we don’t. That’s what makes the difference between being an average bettor and a profitable one.

[Z_MBFM]

If stats really matter, then why are we still not winning when all those numbers are free and available for everyone to use? Almost every sport now has detailed stats online like player averages, team efficiency, even advanced analytic - but when it comes to betting or predicting outcomes, most of us still end up wrong.

So maybe the question is: are we misreading the data, or is sports just too unpredictable that even the best stats can’t tell the full story?

The more you analyze, the more experience you gain, the more chances you have of winning, but you will never get a full guarantee. So you always have to take the risk that you can afford to lose. Gambling makes everyone realize that he can be a big winner based on his statistics. But not all clubs or players can play well or for some reason they cannot score, then they lose. So even though you find a good team statistically, it may be more likely to win, but he may not win with a guarantee. So it is important for you to remember this before overconfidence.

[Russlenat]

If you take a mathematical approach, it should be in terms of probabilities, and it would give you a percentage of wins. If you know the world and its effects, there's no guarantee of 100% results, so it's most likely that another result will occur if it happens. You should know that it's to increase your chances, but not be 100%.

They say to win in sports betting, you have to find the value and you can’t do that without looking at the stats. The stats are what give you direction, and without them, you’re basically betting blindly, which is no different from relying on luck.

Maybe that’s why most bettors still don’t win, we’re just not being smart enough with our approach. With all the websites and data available today, there’s no excuse not to study the numbers. But if we’re looking at the wrong things, our analysis will always lead to the wrong results. And if you’ve been betting for years without profit, maybe it’s because you’re repeating the same mistakes over and over again.

[yahoo62278]

If stats really matter, then why are we still not winning when all those numbers are free and available for everyone to use? Almost every sport now has detailed stats online like player averages, team efficiency, even advanced analytic - but when it comes to betting or predicting outcomes, most of us still end up wrong.

So maybe the question is: are we misreading the data, or is sports just too unpredictable that even the best stats can’t tell the full story?

If it were as easy as just look at stats and you will know the winner, there wouldn't be sportbetting as the casinos would be broke. People would only be betting 1 side and they'd get rinsed.

For the most part if you look at moneyline odds, the favorite wins alot. Not every game but alot. The payout is very low especially in the predicted blowout games. The 50/50 games are a bit harder to know/predict the winner which is where stats help IMO.

[blomen]

statistics provide you with completely unadulterated, real, and straightforward information. you can use them very well, or you can misunderstand them completely and fail to grasp what is happening.

the thing that is not understood about statistics is this: for example, you see that team a has won three games in a row, and the next game is against team b, which has lost four games in a row. if i asked you to predict who will win based solely on this statistic, you would definitely choose team a. but then, if i gave you more information, if i told you that team a plays two leagues below team b, and if i also told you that team a consistently lost after winning three consecutive games throughout the season, this time your choice would be team b.

that's how statistics work. when they present something to you, they ignore and hide dozens, even hundreds, of other details. if you're curious about this topic, please research how statistics can mislead us. it's important to be aware of this.

[YOSHIE]

Does Stats in Sports Really Matter? 

That's how important it is for someone before gambling and placing a bet to first understand what is being bet on, in the world of sports and my experience of analyzing, data collection, survey data, calculating results during sports matches, studying data on the sport we want to bet on is very important, if it is all included in a statistical system, it is clearly very necessary.

This means that statistics will help us to gamble on sports, where the existing data really determines the chances of what we are betting on, for example football, without statistics we bet like a blind person.

[mak013]

If stats really matter, then why are we still not winning when all those numbers are free and available for everyone to use? Almost every sport now has detailed stats online like player averages, team efficiency, even advanced analytic - but when it comes to betting or predicting outcomes, most of us still end up wrong.

So maybe the question is: are we misreading the data, or is sports just too unpredictable that even the best stats can’t tell the full story?

First of all, not everybody ready to work with data. It is rather dull process - search information, collect it, data processing... On the other hand you see the odds, see the team names and make a bet - much easier and faster.
Second moment is that we have to understand the game, teams, coaches. Sometimes just one players` injury can change the game, but for another game this player willn`t be improtant. Also i don`t think that it would be easy to find how teams are playing during the rain for example. It is misrading data, yes.
And third moment is random/luck. No one can guarantee win due to statistics.

[Rruchi man]

So maybe the question is: are we misreading the data, or is sports just too unpredictable that even the best stats can’t tell the full story?

It is just like studying old past questions to write a new exam, you cannot always rely on them because each new game has the potential for a new outcome regardless of the old statistics. Old statistics are only meant to give you an idea, a sort of reference based on what happened, they do not give you a certain outcome of the future.

There is always the room for randomness in sports this is why it is tagged a game of luck.

[salad daging]

Statistics only help while the outcome of the match no one ever knows but rest assured you bet in sports using statistical data it will be better than betting carelessly without data.

The name of the bet is 50/50 odds but by looking at statistics you have a 20% chance so the overall chance is 70% (this is just my own data).

So I bet without statistics will be bad, but with statistics it will be better even though losing will always be there.

[EarnOnVictor]

If stats really matter, then why are we still not winning when all those numbers are free and available for everyone to use? Almost every sport now has detailed stats online like player averages, team efficiency, even advanced analytic - but when it comes to betting or predicting outcomes, most of us still end up wrong.

The simple reason is that past outcomes are not the guarantee of the future outcomes. We are being warned daily on things like this because nothing is guaranteed. That is why the most feat, vicious and efficient team could lose a match to a weak team. Is that not crazy?

I conclude by saying that the stats are crucial factors here, but we should always remember that they are not the only factors required. Fate is there, luck is there, chance is there, and even unforeseen circumstance is there. They could always influence the most perfect stats, which is why we should not be certain about anything in betting no matter how beautiful it aligns, but gamble responsibly.

[m2017]

If stats really matter, then why are we still not winning when all those numbers are free and available for everyone to use? Almost every sport now has detailed stats online like player averages, team efficiency, even advanced analytic - but when it comes to betting or predicting outcomes, most of us still end up wrong.

So maybe the question is: are we misreading the data, or is sports just too unpredictable that even the best stats can’t tell the full story?

The point is that these collected statistics are incomplete, meaning they only take into account a portion of the data. Therefore, you can't rely entirely on statistics. Sports are unpredictable due to a combination of factors that can't be fully analyzed. There will always be factors that statistics don't account for, and it is this information that will be decisive when evaluating betting results.

We interpret only a portion of the data, and of course, it's impossible to make 100% accurate predictions when, for example, you only have 70% of the initial data. Hidden factors (incomplete statistics) will prevent you from accurately analyzing an upcoming event and making the right (winning) bet.

[danherbias07]

IMO, it's just too unpredictable, and maybe we are expecting too much.

Let's say a player is averaging 10 rebounds per game, and the reward for betting on that is x1.80. Now, we also put the same number, but the odds of losing that bet are high.
We need to adjust to the lower multiplier with lower stats prediction. Not upward or equal to the average stats of the player. But because we cannot accept the small profit that it will give, that's when we get it wrong and we lose.

It's either our ego or not accepting the very low profit that will be given to us.

[Zigabel]

Stats does matters, it does not guarantee success or wins but it helps align your insight to what you should be expecting and make you prediction in that direction, one thing the stats does not do for you is to predict the game exactly and also the real time human inconsistencies that could happen on the pitch during the play, it also does not covers the actual happenings of that game on that day before the game commence so it can not get you predicting just exactly least it will not be called gambling, it only does gives you data you will look at and then see a pattern and suggest an expectation for a particular fixture and not that it is exactly what's going to happen, it is actually unpredictable even by the casino and the stats because human can not be predicted 100% but can have some expectance on them going by the pattern of their previous behaviors.

[Mr. Magkaisa]

If you take a mathematical approach, it should be in terms of probabilities, and it would give you a percentage of wins. If you know the world and its effects, there's no guarantee of 100% results, so it's most likely that another result will occur if it happens. You should know that it's to increase your chances, but not be 100%.

This is very true, as we also say that ball is round and its anybody ball game. If you look in the NBA also. There are some team that are really great and strong but we never had 82-0 record in any season.
Numbers will not lie but I still remember when Dallas was at rank number 1 vs GSW at rank number. GSW swept the number 1 team in the play-offs 4-0. What is the big factor why it happened?
The coach of the GSW was the former head coach of Dallas MAvericks.

[asriloni]

If stats really matter, then why are we still not winning when all those numbers are free and available for everyone to use? Almost every sport now has detailed stats online like player averages, team efficiency, even advanced analytic - but when it comes to betting or predicting outcomes, most of us still end up wrong.

So maybe the question is: are we misreading the data, or is sports just too unpredictable that even the best stats can’t tell the full story?

Stats help you to have objective basis to build your prediction. However, stats are not the only thing that matter in football. Don't forget about Ref and etc. Judging club performance by being fixated on stats is bad. Just take a look at MU vs Forest. Many judged MU to win the game, but the result is far from that.
The result is still being affected by numerous factors.

Stats are not sport bible that can help you to win your bet without understanding the game deeper.

[BABY SHOES]

Stats are important to me because they help improve bets... although they don't guarantee anything but whenever we make bets on sports we always look at the stats.

Sometimes we bet according to our gut feeling... but still stats are mostly used to look at data in previous H2H matches.

Do not expect to guarantee any winnings because this is a bet you can possibly lose at any time.
If betting guarantees with statistics then betting will be the main source of income for gamblers.

[aoluain]

Using stats to make an informed decision is not mandatory, anyone and everyone is free to
flip a coin for heads or tails!

Using stats is of course not a guarantee to having a winning bet, nobody can predict the future
and in sports literally anything can happen when it comes to human behaviour and decision making.
Anything that is going to be a dead certain wont have odds or maybe 1.01.

But making an informed decision on what way to bet can at least increase the odds of winning
that bet, personally I would rather do a little research than rolling a dice.

[Findingnemo]

~
So maybe the question is: are we misreading the data, or is sports just too unpredictable that even the best stats can’t tell the full story?

Stats don't give us the complete picture, the form maybe more relevant than the stats but the result is still majorly influenced by the performance on the particular day which can end up really bad in the most unexpected way and that is the point of sport, anyone should be able to win over the other and if not then what is the point of watching the losing team.