Is 2nd-half betting really better?

[Rufsilf]

Honestly from my own experience I feel like I hit more correct picks when I just watch the first half and only place my bet for the 2nd half. You think you see who’s actually playing good, who’s tired, and how is the flow of the game.

But I’m not sure if that’s a real edge or just me getting lucky.

Anyone here do the same? Does waiting for 2nd half really make your predictions sharper or it’s just a feeling?

[GreatArkansas]

This could also work, but I really don't see any difference if you are just basing it on luck.

What's best here is if you are really watching the whole match, especially in the first half, then you wait for it to finish first before you place your bet because you witness how the team plays before placing your bet based on your decision.
I experienced this before in Dota 2, there is no 1st half/2nd half, but by maps played, like most of the matches are best of 3, so sometimes I tend to waitto see  how both teams play atthe  first map before betting on the 2nd map and more maps.

[retaur]

I think for a lot of sports, possession stats for the first 10-20 minutes often tell you a lot about where the rest of the game is headed. They're wrong sometimes too and a lot of the time places won't let you bet on the second half if there's a clear lead (or they'll give you really bad odds that are a lot riskier and have higher margins).

[Maslate]

It’s better this way if you’re betting a decent amount, since you’ll only be placing a few bets a day, maybe 1 or 2, because basketball games take a couple of hours. Second-half betting is a good idea since bookies can’t fully adjust to what’s actually happening on the court.

Like when a team that’s supposed to be strong defensively suddenly stops defending because the lead gets big, and the game turns into a shootout.
You can anticipate that shift early and bet the over for an easier win.

[Rufsilf]

I think for a lot of sports, possession stats for the first 10-20 minutes often tell you a lot about where the rest of the game is headed. They're wrong sometimes too and a lot of the time places won't let you bet on the second half if there's a clear lead (or they'll give you really bad odds that are a lot riskier and have higher margins).

The bookies I’m using have live markets from the start until just a few minutes before the game ends, so live betting isn’t really the problem for me. I’m just trying to find an edge so I can win more consistently.

I haven’t proven anything yet since it’s only a short-term experience, that’s why I’m sharing it here hoping someone with real experience can drop some tips.

[bitzizzix]

Frankly, live betting offers a more accurate chance of winning than betting before the match starts, especially for second-half bets. Second-half bets tend to be easier to predict because we've watched the match closely and have access to the latest and most specific information about the match, making it easier to make informed decisions.
However, luck still plays a role. Even if we closely monitor the match, anything can still happen, but the chances of winning are higher, although the payout is smaller depending on the amount of your bet.

However, I personally prefer betting before the match starts because I find it difficult and requires effort to conduct thorough research and find the best information to support my predictions. I also occasionally place live bets.

[rat03gopoh]

This strategy isn't just a gut feeling, it makes sense. By waiting for the first half to finish, you're acquiring information not available in the pre-match analysis (actual performance, game rhythm, and even psychological momentum). In probability terms, you're updating your confidence parameters with the new data. So, theoretically, your decisions in the second half should be more accurate.

[Samlucky O]

Honestly from my own experience I feel like I hit more correct picks when I just watch the first half and only place my bet for the 2nd half. You think you see who’s actually playing good, who’s tired, and how is the flow of the game.

But I’m not sure if that’s a real edge or just me getting lucky.

Anyone here do the same? Does waiting for 2nd half really make your predictions sharper or it’s just a feeling?

I wouldn't say much but all I can say is that if that works Best for you then you keep it up, but as for me I don't think that works for me, in Gambling everyone surely follow what works for them. In my opinion, Waiting to see the end of first half before placing a bet may not work as planned always. let me say that Ib first half you where trying to see their lapses before betting, and they somehow managed to score there goals in that first half, and your hoping to see results in second half may be proven abortive as they have already win in the first half, luck may never come in the second half any longer. In this regard I chose to bet in first half than from second half.

[crwth]

Can you clarify, OP, which game you're talking about? Would this be like the NBA or football? Or is it a general thing as long as you are in the middle of the game already?

I haven't really tried to bet that late because at the start of the matches, I feel like there could be a winner, and the odds are so crazy when it's live, so I want to get the best possible rate for it. It's just a feeling IMO.

[PrivacyG]

This strategy isn't just a gut feeling, it makes sense. By waiting for the first half to finish, you're acquiring information not available in the pre-match analysis (actual performance, game rhythm, and even psychological momentum). In probability terms, you're updating your confidence parameters with the new data. So, theoretically, your decisions in the second half should be more accurate.

It would be interesting to see statistics for how often the second half of a game relates to the first.  I have seen a TON of games with very different out come in the second half so I do not really know if there is a real correlation there.

[rat03gopoh]

This strategy isn't just a gut feeling, it makes sense. By waiting for the first half to finish, you're acquiring information not available in the pre-match analysis (actual performance, game rhythm, and even psychological momentum). In probability terms, you're updating your confidence parameters with the new data. So, theoretically, your decisions in the second half should be more accurate.

It would be interesting to see statistics for how often the second half of a game relates to the first.  I have seen a TON of games with very different out come in the second half so I do not really know if there is a real correlation there.

As I said, unfortunately, this theory only affects confidence levels. Proving its accuracy enough to be considered a statistical reference requires long-term experiments. If the results are random, it's likely that the "feeling" is simply a result of a random winning streak. If otherwise, it means your intuition and rhythm reading are above average.

[terrific]

Honestly from my own experience I feel like I hit more correct picks when I just watch the first half and only place my bet for the 2nd half. You think you see who’s actually playing good, who’s tired, and how is the flow of the game.

But I’m not sure if that’s a real edge or just me getting lucky.

Anyone here do the same? Does waiting for 2nd half really make your predictions sharper or it’s just a feeling?

Live betting during the 2nd half, it's good if that's what makes you more wins.
You're not lucky, you have planned it well and this is a good strategy. I also do this for some time and I think we get the idea of the whole game.
We picture out the game itself just like what you're saying which we can see who are the tired ones and playing good/bad.
So, it's not just a feeling but this is a good analysis that you're doing.

[joeperry]

I actually like placing bets on live games rather than pregame matches. I agree with you, sometimes waiting for quite some time before placing bet is could really give you more chance of winning (Base on my experience). Usually I take a look at matches H2H and previous matches and there are times that when I place bet on pregames the opposing team scores early and lose my bet already. Waiting for the next half would only shows that the stats were good and your chance of winning increased, that's why for me, placing bet on 2nd half or placing bet in live games is better than pregames or first half.

But the only cons here is the odds will greatly reduce at some point which is understandable. However, it's not always the same, there are times that you will still be losing because after all, gambling is unpredictable and anything can happen.

[Sammye3]

Honestly from my own experience I feel like I hit more correct picks when I just watch the first half and only place my bet for the 2nd half. You think you see who’s actually playing good, who’s tired, and how is the flow of the game.

I believe in this case the game can be easily predicted given the live performance of both teams but in some case this does not always work out.
There are cases where the least expected outcome becomes the winning even after live analysis.

But I’m not sure if that’s a real edge or just me getting lucky.

Luck is always a factor in sports betting. No predictions can be accurately predicted even with the best analysis.
It could all go wrong with a single mistake.

Anyone here do the same? Does waiting for 2nd half really make your predictions sharper or it’s just a feeling?

The feeling derived from watching the live. That gut feeling that gives you the chills and open spaces for possible occurrences with mind blowing odds. It has a bigger risk to me , I don't know if it's only me?

[Hardyrobust]

Honestly from my own experience I feel like I hit more correct picks when I just watch the first half and only place my bet for the 2nd half. You think you see who’s actually playing good, who’s tired, and how is the flow of the game.

But I’m not sure if that’s a real edge or just me getting lucky.

Anyone here do the same? Does waiting for 2nd half really make your predictions sharper or it’s just a feeling?

It should be how you feel or you are just lucky on your end because this may not work for everyone. There times after watching the first half, you will notice that some odds will increases while some will also reduce but this didn't change anything. The team that wasn't doing well in the first half may end winning the match at the second half. Just imagine placing your bet based on the outcome of the first half of a game and then the second half turn out to go the opposite direction. I believe you are just lucky, thinking that placing between after first half that it will favour everyone is wrong.

[Zigabel]

Honestly from my own experience I feel like I hit more correct picks when I just watch the first half and only place my bet for the 2nd half. You think you see who’s actually playing good, who’s tired, and how is the flow of the game.

But I’m not sure if that’s a real edge or just me getting lucky.

Anyone here do the same? Does waiting for 2nd half really make your predictions sharper or it’s just a feeling?

Mostly for single picks, i see this working more than it would for Multi selections because you may not be able to watch several games all at the same time, But its not a bad idea, you can actually achieve some really great level of accuracy going by this method but it isn't completely void of losses, you will still have cases where you will still suffer losses even while using this method that is supposed to pose some high levels of accuracy.

Some 2nd halves honestly gets really different form the first and in some case the difference will be just too much that you will not expect what you will be seeing in the second half making it almost unpredictable enough so it is usually not all the time the first half will be able to give you a good insight into what you should be expecting in the second Half but then from experience you should have it right often than you will be wrong. So be it first or second half, or even Full time, whichever works better for you, you can improve it and stick to it or continue to work on it as often as you want to gamble.

[shield132]

Honestly from my own experience I feel like I hit more correct picks when I just watch the first half and only place my bet for the 2nd half. You think you see who’s actually playing good, who’s tired, and how is the flow of the game.

But I’m not sure if that’s a real edge or just me getting lucky.

Anyone here do the same? Does waiting for 2nd half really make your predictions sharper or it’s just a feeling?

That's true, when I was betting on live matches, I was more successful betting on the 2nd half. I was mostly betting on soccer matches and when you watch the first 45 minutes of the match, more or less it's clear who is going to win unless something very unexpected happens. Btw also consider that odds significantly change in the 2nd half because it's not only you who predicts better which team is going to win, casinos also predict that very well, so they adjust odds in their favour.

[Jubilee58]

I think placing your bet at the 2nd halve doesn't even guarantee your winning because, sometimes a team might be dominating in possession and every thing, yet they will eventually loose the game.

No particular method is the best, but as for me I prefer using stats to make my predictions and place my bet. Using stats will actually show you the consistency and performance of the team at least in their last 4-5 matches.

[Crypt0Gore]

Honestly from my own experience I feel like I hit more correct picks when I just watch the first half and only place my bet for the 2nd half. You think you see who’s actually playing good, who’s tired, and how is the flow of the game.

But I’m not sure if that’s a real edge or just me getting lucky.

Anyone here do the same? Does waiting for 2nd half really make your predictions sharper or it’s just a feeling?

Hmm, sound interesting, this isn't the first time I would hear such from a gambler, they mostly trust the  second half result than betting before the whole match begins.

I believe that this is possible because most of the time the first half of the match decides it all, it will become easier to predict based on the action of that first half, it makes sense to bet this way.

This is something worth trying out, it makes prediction more easier, but risking what you can afford to lose will never stop coming from my mouth, there are games where the first half was nothing until the second half changed completely.

You can still lose money if you bet on the second half of the game too.

[NewRevelation]

Honestly from my own experience I feel like I hit more correct picks when I just watch the first half and only place my bet for the 2nd half. You think you see who’s actually playing good, who’s tired, and how is the flow of the game.

But I’m not sure if that’s a real edge or just me getting lucky.

Anyone here do the same? Does waiting for 2nd half really make your predictions sharper or it’s just a feeling?

I haven't tried that before, but I think it's a good sense here. At least you get the real opportunity to really access the teams and know which is doing better. Of course one of the major challenge or discouragement to be faced here is reduced odds. Since the game has started, and has a pattern or direction it's going, depending on how the game ended in the first half, then I think the bookmakers will certainly adjust the odds.

So at this point, maybe the gambler will only have to increase his stake in order to win something tangible, because if it were to be a fresh match, the odds will almoybw ×2 of whatever it till be at the beginning of the second half.

About if it's better, I think it's all about Choice. But for me, I would rather just bet before the match starts than wait for the second half. Remember it's football and. Anything can happen, so we must be careful to bet with what we can afford to loose