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Author Topic: How Are Games Fixed and Which Markets Do They Target?  (Read 397 times)
Kasabus (OP)
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November 19, 2025, 05:42:04 AM
 #1

Since fixing is all over the place again, I kinda have an idea already, but maybe I’m missing a few things, so I’m wondering how these things actually happen in real cases and which betting markets they usually target.

Is point spread really the easiest to mess with, or do they go for totals since even small changes can flip everything?
Some people say player props are the usual target since you only need one guy to underperform a bit.

If anyone has seen real examples or read legit reports, feel free to share.
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November 19, 2025, 05:47:40 AM
 #2

If anyone has seen real examples or read legit reports, feel free to share.
I'm pretty sure it was always there and didn't leave. Yes If I am not mistaken the easiest way to do it is through player props, sometimes the player itself take advantage of it. He/she will tell a family member or friends that he will limit his rebounds or score (just an example) to certain number and the friend/family member will place bet on that, not only he's the only one who will know about it which avoids suspicion but it's the easiest way to take advantage, unlike the spread I think the whole team should know about it to avoid conflict. Also there are some gossips or unsupported claims that sometimes people (Maybe mafia or idk) paid referees to manipulate the game, for instance drawing more foul to other team so they could have more free throws, etc. but we don't know.

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FFrankie
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November 19, 2025, 05:49:38 AM
 #3

Are you just looking at USA?

Because if you include worldwide, sumo wrestling is the first thing that comes to mind that has obvious fixing.

Do you consider steroid use in the MLB to be fixing because it affects a players props?

Are we considering public day or ancient times.

I think it’s safe to say until the end of time there will be gambling and cheating
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November 19, 2025, 06:12:55 AM
 #4

I'm pretty sure it was always there and didn't leave. Yes If I am not mistaken the easiest way to do it is through player props, sometimes the player itself take advantage of it. He/she will tell a family member or friends that he will limit his rebounds or score (just an example) to certain number and the friend/family member will place bet on that, not only he's the only one who will know about it which avoids suspicion but it's the easiest way to take advantage, unlike the spread I think the whole team should know about it to avoid conflict. Also there are some gossips or unsupported claims that sometimes people (Maybe mafia or idk) paid referees to manipulate the game, for instance drawing more foul to other team so they could have more free throws, etc. but we don't know.
Match fixing is when what would be the match result would have been discussed before the match will be played. This is not the only manipulation in sport. There are manipulations in a way that the match will not be fixed but a player will decide to intentionally do something just to make sure that he won a bet. The two are different.

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November 19, 2025, 06:40:30 AM
 #5

According to the reports, most of the old cases were just point shaving on the ATS market. But what’s happening recently is more likely on the player props because it’s way easier to operate. Just one player is enough as he can bet on himself or have someone else do it for him. The easiest thing to exploit is just underperforming.

But the league already has patterns for that. That’s why some got caught, because they weren’t playing like their usual selves. And I also read that sometimes a player will tip the bettor to bet the under on him because he’s dealing with an injury and knows he’ll only get limited minutes if he plays.
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November 19, 2025, 06:57:36 AM
 #6

Since fixing is all over the place again, I kinda have an idea already, but maybe I’m missing a few things, so I’m wondering how these things actually happen in real cases and which betting markets they usually target.

Is point spread really the easiest to mess with, or do they go for totals since even small changes can flip everything?
Some people say player props are the usual target since you only need one guy to underperform a bit.

If anyone has seen real examples or read legit reports, feel free to share.
The ones I've won from are correct scores and ht/ft combinations, I'm yet to win from player props explicitly, although I've seen players intentionally underperform just to align with the agreed match pattern.  I've watched a match that was fixed for 4 nil in favor of the underdogs in a lower league and seen how good players  were ignored from the lineups to achieve the result comfortably.

Somehow I see this repetition in some higher league games  and I wonder if it's match fixing or just player rotations since cheating is obtainable at every football level.


 
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Dave1
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November 19, 2025, 07:00:36 AM
 #7

Since fixing is all over the place again, I kinda have an idea already, but maybe I’m missing a few things, so I’m wondering how these things actually happen in real cases and which betting markets they usually target.

Is point spread really the easiest to mess with, or do they go for totals since even small changes can flip everything?
Some people say player props are the usual target since you only need one guy to underperform a bit.

If anyone has seen real examples or read legit reports, feel free to share.

If we talk about basketball, I think point spread is the easiest one. I was watching this college game wherein a player has been accused or already found guilty of point spreading. And it's easy for him, missing a lot of open shots, committing turn-over.

So he will be bench by the coach, but then when he will be given minutes to play in the second half, he will display the same, not playing defense.

Most likely point shaving is the best and easiest way to fixed a game or at least the result favors those players and their accomplice.


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November 19, 2025, 07:06:09 AM
 #8

Since fixing is all over the place again, I kinda have an idea already, but maybe I’m missing a few things, so I’m wondering how these things actually happen in real cases and which betting markets they usually target.

Is point spread really the easiest to mess with, or do they go for totals since even small changes can flip everything?
Some people say player props are the usual target since you only need one guy to underperform a bit.

If anyone has seen real examples or read legit reports, feel free to share.
These are mainly for sale on the black market. Many powerful people are involved in these and they earn huge amounts of money by selling those signals. The fixing thing does not always happen, sometimes it is done so that they can carry it out as realistically as possible. However, these are done in a very secure way and they are private so those who take advantage of them never reveal how it is happening and how they are able to do it. Many good players' lives are ruined due to such match fixing because they fall under a lot of pressure and do things that slowly destroy their sports careers.

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November 19, 2025, 07:08:37 AM
 #9

According to the reports, most of the old cases were just point shaving on the ATS market. But what’s happening recently is more likely on the player props because it’s way easier to operate. Just one player is enough as he can bet on himself or have someone else do it for him. The easiest thing to exploit is just underperforming.

But the league already has patterns for that. That’s why some got caught, because they weren’t playing like their usual selves. And I also read that sometimes a player will tip the bettor to bet the under on him because he’s dealing with an injury and knows he’ll only get limited minutes if he plays.
You will say the one that you heard about, the low leagues do not have attention of people and that is why the match fixing are rampant unlike the major leagues that people noticed. I have seen some kind of match fixing that it is obvious that the match are fixed while players will be playing rubbish.

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November 19, 2025, 07:19:54 AM
 #10

Since fixing is all over the place again, I kinda have an idea already, but maybe I’m missing a few things, so I’m wondering how these things actually happen in real cases and which betting markets they usually target.

Is point spread really the easiest to mess with, or do they go for totals since even small changes can flip everything?
Some people say player props are the usual target since you only need one guy to underperform a bit.

If anyone has seen real examples or read legit reports, feel free to share.
Sincerely speaking I have not seen any real example of a fixed match, but as rumours may have it, they said before a fixed match is been played, the group of person's who want to fixed a match to play as they want will first of all seat in a round table and discuss it, them from there they will figure out how they can achieve their earn, and if you ask me I don't think if they can be able to achieve their earn when a particular player underperformed in the pitch, it has to be team work, because all the players in team that's has been projected to loose the match has their own role to play in that fixed match, and the referee also has a role to play in that match, because to fixed a match and achieve it, it require strategies and collaboration if not it will be a mess up. This is just my opinion on this matter, although others May come up with a better opinion.

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November 19, 2025, 08:09:38 AM
 #11

Since fixing is all over the place again, I kinda have an idea already, but maybe I’m missing a few things, so I’m wondering how these things actually happen in real cases and which betting markets they usually target.

I wont employ that we make use of the statement games are being rigged more often, though I've also been seeing some related topics on similar discussion on this section, not that fixed match does not exist, but it all depends on the game and every other thing as conditions around playing it, but not often seen as the way some already thought they occur, if not many would have lose interest in gambling.

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November 19, 2025, 08:15:41 AM
 #12

Since fixing is all over the place again, I kinda have an idea already, but maybe I’m missing a few things, so I’m wondering how these things actually happen in real cases and which betting markets they usually target.

Is point spread really the easiest to mess with, or do they go for totals since even small changes can flip everything?
Some people say player props are the usual target since you only need one guy to underperform a bit.

If anyone has seen real examples or read legit reports, feel free to share.

Point spread is match harder to maintain on match fixing since you need control on both side while you need a full team participation in able to achieve this on one team only.

Player props is the most popular bet type which match fixing is frequently speculated. Michael Porter Jr and Malik Beasley was once being accused of involving in match fixing since they suddenly score very low on the playoffs game like they shot seems like they are trying to intentionally missed.

https://www.nbcsports.com/nba/news/u-s-district-attorney-reportedly-investigating-pistons-malik-beasley-for-betting-on-nba-games-prop-bets

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November 19, 2025, 08:29:12 AM
 #13

There are so many ways that a sports event, like football, can be fixed. It doesn't even have to be betting fraud all the time. It can just be two teams who have good relations helping each other. One of them needs a win or a draw to reach their goals and the other one helps them out.

Regarding betting fraud. Full-time results are the easiest fixes. More complex ones include betting on a team to win with a certain handicap or that the match will have 7+ goals for example. Half-time and full-time winners, where one team leads at half time and the other one turns the score around in the second half and wins. The possibilities are endless. 

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November 19, 2025, 08:53:59 AM
 #14

Fixing is mostly in sports betting, but it isn't that easy to do either and you might not even know when a match is being fixed unless you're told already. All you will think is that the team or its opponent is having a bad game all through (there's a lot that can influence this).

In games like football, fixing happens but I don't know how possible it is with big leagues, they are usually monitored and punished but it can still happen. I do know that smaller leagues fix games at times, but still, it can't be obvious to avoid suspicion and you as a gambler will always get to know about a fix after you have lost your money because of it.

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November 19, 2025, 09:15:41 AM
 #15

all markets in gambling have been involved with "fixed" "rigged" and any other kind of betting fraud.
I would that probably in any league there was this issue. It's a problem when they hide very well what's is going on.
Nowadays there are new kind of "tricks", I have seen even using fake score registered by officials in Italy... or teams that rigged the match by buying a victory.
Well, there are many ways by bookmakers to detect these. But the winning could be really rewarding...

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November 19, 2025, 12:25:44 PM
 #16

Everything the bookmakers offer can be fixed if the players really want to do it. But don’t think they’re the only ones who can rig things… even the referees can. For point shaving, it’s usually the refs who make it happen, same with totals. But for player props, that’s the one players abuse the most. Maybe they should just remove props completely and go back to the old-school betting lines we had back when sports betting first became popular.
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November 19, 2025, 12:41:17 PM
 #17


Some people say player props are the usual target since you only need one guy to underperform a bit.

If anyone has seen real examples or read legit reports, feel free to share.

No prove yet and nothing to substantiate it yet because match fixing is really a top secret, a top secret that very few will know about. I don't think it is just about a player. But, I have heard of that of a player where he could be told not to score, or a defender to be loose at the back or goal keeper not to be in an effort. I also believe that some can be organised with referee especially the centre referee who is in charge of the game. There have been different stories of match fixing but nothing too confirmed about it because it is a top secret.
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November 19, 2025, 03:19:03 PM
 #18

I don't really think that game fixing targets any particular market, the fact that you can not even know when they are going to fix a game makes it possible for them to take advantage of that opportunity. They fix game so that a particular team can win against their opponent, for example, if team A is strong enough to win against team B, they can fix it so that team B is going to win. You can not know what's going on unless they are exposed.

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November 19, 2025, 03:38:33 PM
 #19

No prove yet and nothing to substantiate it yet because match fixing is really a top secret, a top secret that very few will know about. I don't think it is just about a player. But, I have heard of that of a player where he could be told not to score, or a defender to be loose at the back or goal keeper not to be in an effort. I also believe that some can be organised with referee especially the centre referee who is in charge of the game. There have been different stories of match fixing but nothing too confirmed about it because it is a top secret.
Fixing is surely a secret thing but now due to recent developments and many other resources, it's not a problem to check about the matches which was fixed and have results which was not expected even still it's not for all but many peoples have good and solid judgment which can easily identify this.

While nothing is confirmed about how things managed and how they do because just few are able to have all about this. Sportsbetting is recently on hype which is bringing huge money for black market controllers and mafia that is having good influence into their own countries. Many leagues are in schedule which are profitable for peoples those are controlling them and also it's pain in ass for people those are aware about the secret theory of these leagues.

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November 19, 2025, 06:36:36 PM
 #20

The market can be affected by fixed games, but from recent complaints, the total, exact score, and point spread are the most affected.
The moneyline is the most difficult to target because both teams have to be in total agreement to achieve that, and it is more noticeable. Team that are involved in targeting the moneyline needs to be very careful.

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