Will 2026 be green?

[Furball808]

November 2025 is on its way to be the worst November of bitcoin since 2018 according to crypto educator Sumit Kapoor. We investors have been used to the four year cycle where the year end part looks green, green, green but now we are taken by surprise because November has been bad. Lots of people are believing that this is an early sign of bear cycle. The next year might be the time where bitcoin starts declining before rising again in a few years. Surprisingly, this is not the case for some.

“While November will be printing in the red for crypto, the capitulation signals an opportunity for smart investors to start buying back in,” LVRG research director Nick Ruck told Cointelegraph.

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-likely-on-track-worst-november-in-7-years-analysts

There is a belief that this decline of the market points to a good market movement in the next year. I am quite conflicted now because mentally I was preparing for the four year cycle, bear run part of all of this and now there might be a possibility wherein bitcoin may recover. I am quite set with my plan but I also want to be flexible enough in case something unusual happen.

[Oshosondy]

Just be very careful and not follow only what you see people saying, we are not sure if next year will be good for bitcoin or not, bit I know that if there is a bad time, it is an opportunity for people to buy bitcoin at low prices, the price will increase again. Nobody know yet if next year will be good or not.

[rbynxx]

Only the bears and unbelievers will not be fine for that but we who are into the bull run will definitely want that. Not that optimistic until we show strength and liquidity comes because that's what we really need right now. I do hope that the rumor of replacing Powell with a pro crypto candidate will get massive upside. It's all just speculations but hoping for the best case scenario.

[l99l]

I'm still hopeful for 2026. I sense something will happen again, perhaps after spring or summer.
Without an analysis or report, I'm simply making a prediction based on the cycles so far.
We'll see what happens next year, no one knows for sure whether the price of Bitcoin will go up or down. These are just a few predictions.

[philipma1957]

November 2025 is on its way to be the worst November of bitcoin since 2018 according to crypto educator Sumit Kapoor. We investors have been used to the four year cycle where the year end part looks green, green, green but now we are taken by surprise because November has been bad. Lots of people are believing that this is an early sign of bear cycle. The next year might be the time where bitcoin starts declining before rising again in a few years. Surprisingly, this is not the case for some.

“While November will be printing in the red for crypto, the capitulation signals an opportunity for smart investors to start buying back in,” LVRG research director Nick Ruck told Cointelegraph.

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-likely-on-track-worst-november-in-7-years-analysts

There is a belief that this decline of the market points to a good market movement in the next year. I am quite conflicted now because mentally I was preparing for the four year cycle, bear run part of all of this and now there might be a possibility wherein bitcoin may recover. I am quite set with my plan but I also want to be flexible enough in case something unusual happen.

First off who cares about 2026.

You should lock this and do a new thread

 "will 2025 end up over 107k"

Then do open this thread back up in 2026.

[Mrbluntzy]

Bitcoin price has been green enough, there are many investors that are agitating for a dump so that they can buy more, while we also have many people speculating that next year should be green again so that they can have more profit. For many people, It doesn't matter what happens because they will be at advantage of any price direction. If it's green, they  will make profit and if it's red, they will buy more, how ever it happens, I'm in but I prefer to have opportunity to buy more. I can not predict what's going to happen next year and many predictions are going to be wrong.

[Hardyrobust]

My advice for you OP is to focus on building your portfolio in bitcoin. There is no-one that can speculate the price of bitcoin  correctly . The fact that there was a dip in this month of November didn't really change or mean that next will be bear season throughout. Most of this people you mentioned, there speculation is based on past history or past performance of bitcoin. Sometimes there may be a change that these people may not be expecting. The most important thing is to make such that you are growing your bitcoin investment

[EL MOHA]

Bitcoin price has been green enough, there are many investors that are agitating for a dump so that they can buy more, while we also have many people speculating that next year should be green again so that they can have more profit. For many people, It doesn't matter what happens because they will be at advantage of any price direction. If it's green, they  will make profit and if it's red, they will buy more, how ever it happens, I'm in but I prefer to have opportunity to buy more. I can not predict what's going to happen next year and many predictions are going to be wrong.

I think the reason why some people are anticipating or predicting a green or bullish trend in some quarters of 2026 is simply because they are looking at the market right now and thinks that since the bearish trend has started so early this year it wouldn’t continue to the end of last year, if you actually look at it you will see that aside the major factor of wars causing this bearish trend the bull trend has actually been on for too long since the last quarters of 2023 and this also influences the price been bearish now.

Also anyone looking for more dips at this current level and is not even buying now gradually isn’t having genuine intention of buying because this levels are good enough levels to buy. For me I go with your ideology, simply stick to DCA and hodl for a longer time not a one year holding period and all this short term gains and dumps wouldn’t be a worry

[_BlackStar]

Just be very careful and not follow only what you see people saying, we are not sure if next year will be good for bitcoin or not, bit I know that if there is a bad time, it is an opportunity for people to buy bitcoin at low prices, the price will increase again. Nobody know yet if next year will be good or not.

If they want to hold long term - then this is a good time to buy and accumulate. Buying every dip is a great solution in my opinion - but everyone may have a different approach to their long-term investment plan. Personally - I'm not buying right now, I'm building a reserve fund, this seems more important than fully building an investment portfolio.

I'm not sure what will happen to the market next year - but the possibility of a bear market is definitely there. Set up a backup fund and it's better now - at least we can make adjustments if needed.

[Pandorak]

November 2025 is on its way to be the worst November of bitcoin since 2018 according to crypto educator Sumit Kapoor. We investors have been used to the four year cycle where the year end part looks green, green, green but now we are taken by surprise because November has been bad. Lots of people are believing that this is an early sign of bear cycle. The next year might be the time where bitcoin starts declining before rising again in a few years. Surprisingly, this is not the case for some.

“While November will be printing in the red for crypto, the capitulation signals an opportunity for smart investors to start buying back in,” LVRG research director Nick Ruck told Cointelegraph.

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-likely-on-track-worst-november-in-7-years-analysts

There is a belief that this decline of the market points to a good market movement in the next year. I am quite conflicted now because mentally I was preparing for the four year cycle, bear run part of all of this and now there might be a possibility wherein bitcoin may recover. I am quite set with my plan but I also want to be flexible enough in case something unusual happen.

First of all, in the world of investing, you should not trust anyone too much, you must be very careful. I am not saying that their analysis is definitely wrong, but it is still speculation. None of us knows the future, unless someone actually comes from the future. That is why you should not make this your sole reason for making decisions. You must realize that hope is dangerous, and excessive hope is a huge trap. When we place too much hope in a certain scenario, we may start risking everything just to prove that hope right. And when reality does not match expectations, disappointment can destroy you mentally and of course financially.

Therefore, it is best to stick to the strategy you planned from the beginning. There is no need to force yourself to adjust to anyone else's predictions. The four-year cycle can change, the market can move outside of the norm, the only thing we can control is our own financial management.  Continue to accumulate gradually using ^(DCA), only use discretionary funds or funds that you are truly prepared to lose without disrupting your real life, and focus on the long term. This way, if Bitcoin recovers in the future, you will still be on the right track. If it turns out to be a bear market, you will remain strong because the funds you used are remaining funds specifically set aside for the long term.

[cryptomaniac_xxx]

Just be very careful and not follow only what you see people saying, we are not sure if next year will be good for bitcoin or not, bit I know that if there is a bad time, it is an opportunity for people to buy bitcoin at low prices, the price will increase again. Nobody know yet if next year will be good or not.

Only thing we can do right now is to really keep on stacking sats. But if we look at past historical logs, 2026 could be the start of the bear season so it could be really a bad time i we are to look at it.

But in any case, for those who have been in the market for so long, they might have been preparing already as early as this time and as a I have said, they are adjusting their strategy today and thinking long term so it's the best time to start accumulating already.

[Koadharber]

Bitcoin price has been green enough, there are many investors that are agitating for a dump so that they can buy more, while we also have many people speculating that next year should be green again so that they can have more profit. For many people, It doesn't matter what happens because they will be at advantage of any price direction. If it's green, they  will make profit and if it's red, they will buy more, how ever it happens, I'm in but I prefer to have opportunity to buy more. I can not predict what's going to happen next year and many predictions are going to be wrong.

I think the reason why some people are anticipating or predicting a green or bullish trend in some quarters of 2026 is simply because they are looking at the market right now and thinks that since the bearish trend has started so early this year it wouldn’t continue to the end of last year, if you actually look at it you will see that aside the major factor of wars causing this bearish trend the bull trend has actually been on for too long since the last quarters of 2023 and this also influences the price been bearish now.

Also anyone looking for more dips at this current level and is not even buying now gradually isn’t having genuine intention of buying because this levels are good enough levels to buy. For me I go with your ideology, simply stick to DCA and hodl for a longer time not a one year holding period and all this short term gains and dumps wouldn’t be a worry

The current situation really shows how split the market is some people are waiting for a deeper drop to buy while others are hoping for another rally so they can lock in profits both sides have their reasons and whichever direction it goes someone is going to benefit from it.

The truth is no one can know exactly what’s coming next the only sensible thing is to stay consistent with a plan if the price goes down it’s another chance to accumulate if it goes up it rewards those who held through the rough patches many traders are overthinking the short term instead of preparing for the long term. Looking at how the market has moved since late 2023 it’s normal for bitcoin to cool off after such a long run corrections like this clean the market and prepare the next phase of growth people waiting endlessly for the perfect bottom might miss the best prices because hesitation often costs more than taking small steady actions.

[Awaklara]

There is a belief that this decline of the market points to a good market movement in the next year. I am quite conflicted now because mentally I was preparing for the four year cycle, bear run part of all of this and now there might be a possibility wherein bitcoin may recover. I am quite set with my plan but I also want to be flexible enough in case something unusual happen.

Are you preparing for purchases in a bearish market? A declining market trend will always be an opportunity for investors to buy; it's normal. But we don't know how deep the decline will go. We've already seen $80k, some investors may have already entered, while others are still waiting for it to go lower. How far Bitcoin drops can also affect how Bitcoin starts to move next year.
Now Bitcoin is back to $90k, and some speculate that there is potential to rise to $100k by the end of this year. The possibility of prices improving next year still exists, but we also have to consider the bearish market sentiment that makes some people hesitant, as you are feeling.

[sunsilk]

The cycle has been firm at most times. But we will see if this drop that we've recently experienced is going to be significant by next year.

Because what we all have seen in the past, after the bull run cycle, we'd definitely go into a bear market.

It could be by the end of 2026 so, if that's what you're saying that it could also be a preparation of recovery, we'll see it then.

[uche6215]

From precious experience, next being the 2026 is not a year of green. We experience halving last year and we have to wait for another 4 year to occur again after the halving. And that should be 2028. And All Time High comes after the halving, though the previous one came before the halving.

Since we have experience initial bear market after the 2024 halving in November 2025, from my prediction, 2026 will be a year of bearish. And everyone should expect anything that will come to your way. But don't panic if the bearish comes.

[salad daging]

Just be very careful and not follow only what you see people saying, we are not sure if next year will be good for bitcoin or not, bit I know that if there is a bad time, it is an opportunity for people to buy bitcoin at low prices, the price will increase again. Nobody know yet if next year will be good or not.

Instead of thinking about “next year will it go up or not” don't overthink it - it's better to go with the flow of the market how it happens later except focusing on the development of buying at a time when prices are low may be good rather than seeing speculation here and there will be a lot of debate.

For me, next year will be down, it's time to buy and do it regularly so that our portfolio continues to grow when the market is bearish.

[STT]

The reason you shouldnt expect lower is by reference to a year ago, at this time BTC price action was trading below the 200 week average regularly for many weeks.   Despite that whole challenge resolved into a positive action much higher.
  
To repeat that positive reaction to testing prices, we have to see the moving average level out.  200 week is positive still but 50 day and 200 day have to stage higher.
   I think 50 day might be the clue to the price taking off higher but its currently falling.  Last year it was showing from about September on-wards accumulating over 2 months of a 'stealth' move higher that did reflect in the 50 day average.

[coolcoinz]

Green being what? There are actually many ways to interpret this.

The lows in 2026 will be higher than the lows of 2025
The highs of 2026 will be higher than the highs of 2025
The average price in 2026 will be higher than the average price in 2025
The average price in 2026 will be higher than the price at the end of 2025
The price in the beginning of 2026 will be higher than the price today.

IMO all this will be true.

Why? Gold made ATH. Now silver also made it to new highs. Bitcoin is next.

[Renampun]

We cannot be sure that 2026 will be a bullish moment for Bitcoin, because market conditions could be worse or we will face a situation that is not much different from this year. and therefore always pay attention to market conditions and maintain realistic expectations, because the market may not move according to your expectations, and always note that bearish conditions may occur and may be deeper than this year, always prepare yourself for the worst case scenario and only invest money that you are ready to invest. and also prepare an emergency fund to prevent you from selling your bitcoins when you need cash fast.

[aoluain]

Personally I am not feeling Bullish at all for 2026.

My reasoning is that this is around the time post halving in Bitcoins cycle where
the markets tend to pull back and start a slow decline and so 2026 will be a Bear year.

Bear or Bull seasons/cycles dont happen instantaneously, its a slow process and I
believe November has Kick-started that process, Thats my thinking,
I hope I am wrong though