Will 2026 be green?

[Cryptohygenic]

November 2025 is on its way to be the worst November of bitcoin since 2018 according to crypto educator Sumit Kapoor. We investors have been used to the four year cycle where the year end part looks green, green, green but now we are taken by surprise because November has been bad. Lots of people are believing that this is an early sign of bear cycle. The next year might be the time where bitcoin starts declining before rising again in a few years. Surprisingly, this is not the case for some.

You are creating this thread late because as it stance bitcoin market has recovered over 13% as it is currently trading $91,000 from it $80,000 lowest dip which occurred in this month of November which is very much amazing that is changing the thoughts of investors that the market is recovering and so forth might be leading us to the bullish which we are disappointed about this season bullishness being too brief and quick to elapse following the historical events of the four years cycle.
Although we don't need to be carried away over the short term trends so that we don't keep nurturing the our sentiments with the market due to the unusual bullish season of the 2025.

[adultcrypto]

The way the market is behaving now signals that there is a shift in the market structure and that is pointing to 2026 to be a very good year for bitcoin. The market retraced but it has recovered some of those losses and if the market holds below $100,000 before the year end, they optimism may be low about the price making a new ATH in 2026. On the other hand, if December shows the market trading above $100,000, then we will be reaching a new ATH in the first quarters of next year. This is how I project the market and I'm preparing to follow it up in that accordingly.

[JeffBrad12]

If the market is already down quite significantly at the end of the year usually the price can recover back the next year. New year new sentiment.
The only thing to keep in mind is whether we gonna see another bearish cycle or not. If there's none we might even print another all time high.

At the end of the day we're just speculating here but honestly since inflation is high my bet is we go higher. Just see money supply.

[jcojci]

I am still 50:50 for the next year. Anything can happen so the best we can do is prepare for anything. If the situation next year is good, we may be back to make a profit. But if the situation becomes worse, we are ready to buy at a low price.

People out there can speculate about what will happen but they don't know what will happen in the next year. You should not feels conflict that because analysts speculate without knowing whether that will happen or not.

So you need to prepare everything, including your money to buy back in the bearish market, if that happens. But we can hope that next year will be better than now.

[NewRanger]

If the market is already down quite significantly at the end of the year usually the price can recover back the next year. New year new sentiment.
The only thing to keep in mind is whether we gonna see another bearish cycle or not. If there's none we might even print another all time high.

At the end of the day we're just speculating here but honestly since inflation is high my bet is we go higher. Just see money supply.

That's the key point: there shouldn't be any more large-scale dumping by institutions or other large entities, which would increase selling pressure and further confuse market participants.

The price of BTC is currently defending itself from selling pressure at its current price range of $90,500. Judging by this defensive trend, it's possible the price will rise again in 2026, but there will likely be a slight correction during Eid al-Fitr and New Year's as many people sell in preparation for those times.

But 2027 will be a year of extraordinary waiting if we hold long term.

[DanWalker]

Any financial market has bear markets and bull markets, and that is the immutable law of finance. Not to mention, we have been in a bull market since 2024, which is considered the longest bull market in industry history. That means as investors we have to realize that sooner or later a bear market is going to happen, and it is inevitable. But strangely, many of us don't want to accept this and wish the bull market would last forever. Does this make sense?

Instead of being stubborn and going against the market rules, we should prepare and plan for a bear market, it is inevitable.
2026 will be a bear market, IMO.

[Fullcoinese]

We don't know what will happen next year. The decline happening right now is not something major. So there is a possibility that the recovery might not be too significant either. Next year, if there is a recovery in Bitcoin's price, I think it won't go much beyond the previous ATH. Hopefully, next year will be better, after the hopes of many people who speculated in October this year were not realized.

[bounceback]

-snip-
There is a belief that this decline of the market points to a good market movement in the next year. I am quite conflicted now because mentally I was preparing for the four year cycle, bear run part of all of this and now there might be a possibility wherein bitcoin may recover. I am quite set with my plan but I also want to be flexible enough in case something unusual happen.

Haven't we often seen that even though Bitcoin is dropping, it doesn't mean it will lose all its value? The current price drop does cause some people to panic, but on the other hand, day traders will take advantage of the price drop to profit by making short-term trades.
After a sharp drop, there's usually a significant rise, so you shouldn't worry too much about the drop. It's best to hold on to your Bitcoin, and when the price recovers, you'll reap substantial profits.

[Smack That Ace]

If the market is already down quite significantly at the end of the year usually the price can recover back the next year. New year new sentiment.
The only thing to keep in mind is whether we gonna see another bearish cycle or not. If there's none we might even print another all time high.

At the end of the day we're just speculating here but honestly since inflation is high my bet is we go higher. Just see money supply.

If I remember correctly, this was also the thinking of many investors in the 2022 bull market, when bitcoin peaked at $69k and then fell. At that time, everyone was optimistic that this was just a correction and the price would soon rise again and reach higher ATHs. But the result is that we are slowly entering a bear market and by the time we realize it, it is too late.
There is no guarantee because the price has dropped so much, it will definitely go back up.

Bitcoin price will definitely increase due to inflation and increased M2 money supply, but that is only true in the long term. In the short and medium term, volatility is inevitable and unpredictable.

[LogitechMouse]

---
There is a belief that this decline of the market points to a good market movement in the next year. I am quite conflicted now because mentally I was preparing for the four year cycle, bear run part of all of this and now there might be a possibility wherein bitcoin may recover. I am quite set with my plan but I also want to be flexible enough in case something unusual happen.

A belief doesn't mean the reality. Yes, it can happen, but there's a chance that it might not as well. A decline of the market could also mean A START OF THE NEW TREND as well.

Like you, there are many of us that are confused on what's happening as well because we know that the market is unpredictable, but not this unpredictable. I mean who would've thought that Q4 so far has been a bearish quarter where when we look at the history, this quarter has been a bullish quarter. There's a chance that we could see the bear market happening way earlier than what many are expecting. We might see it happening next month.

Bitcoin has recovered as we have seen this week. Let's wait on how it will perform in the final 4 weeks of the year. I'm ready to sell all of my Bitcoins just in case I see a sign that I need to. I just hope that the macroeconomics and the fundamentals will positively affect the crypto market.

[Free Market Capitalist]

I honestly have no idea. Once the supposed regularity of previous cycles has been broken, I guess the only thing we can do is wait and see what happens and try to draw conclusions. If you ask me what the price will be at the end of 2035, I'm sure it will be much higher than it is now, but next year? No idea if it will be red or green. I would say green, but I don't know if that's more of a wish than anything else.

[minairia3]

I am still 50:50 for the next year. Anything can happen so the best we can do is prepare for anything. If the situation next year is good, we may be back to make a profit. But if the situation becomes worse, we are ready to buy at a low price.

People out there can speculate about what will happen but they don't know what will happen in the next year. You should not feels conflict that because analysts speculate without knowing whether that will happen or not.

So you need to prepare everything, including your money to buy back in the bearish market, if that happens. But we can hope that next year will be better than now.

Well said, the best thing we can do right now is to prepare for everything rather than predict because anything can happen.

I read somewhere that a successful investor will not try to be a prophet and spend most of his time making different predictions.  Instead, what they do is plan and prepare for everything, and no matter which way the market turns, they remain unfazed.

And as we have seen, the successful bitcoin investors so far have largely been long term holders, and stuck with the market for a long time. Not the speculators who constantly make random predictions.

[PrivacyG]

I absolutely despise these kind of 'Market analysis'.  November is on track to be the worst November in years but this is published two days before November ends.  Bitcoin may rise or fall, 2026 may be Bull or Bear.  What in the World even is this?

Bitcoin has done a new All Time High while the Economy was slowly starting to show signs of danger all around the World and we are approaching similar times to 2008 when Bitcoin launched.  If Bitcoin is doing its worst since 2018 when 2017 was another All Time High one year after the 2016 Halving which is identical to how this Cycle went, as in 2024 Halving followed by 2025 All Time High and then by a possibly Bearish 2026 then I do not know what to even say any more.

All the idiots around the world seem to be able to write articles nowadays.

[sara.jackson]

Just be very careful and not follow only what you see people saying, we are not sure if next year will be good for bitcoin or not, bit I know that if there is a bad time, it is an opportunity for people to buy bitcoin at low prices, the price will increase again. Nobody know yet if next year will be good or not.

The red in the stock market was an opportunity for whales to accumulate more before the second phase of the bull cycle begins.
If Trump officially orders an attack on Venezuela, I think we will have another buying opportunity.

[Samahabosa]

The current price of Bitcoin has already risen from the lowest price during the crash and drop yesterday to 80k dollars, rising again above 90k, and the highest price yesterday reached 92k dollars.
Regarding the price trend, the price trend in 2026 will still be a bearish trend, usually after halving. So in 2026, the BTC price might reach its lowest point, but not as low as or below 60k dollars, nor will it touch the peak price of the 2020 halving. But for sure, in 2026 the price will drop and reach its lowest point.

[laspol65]

What people say is not always true, the future of the Bitcoin market is always uncertain and the price can change at any time. It is uncertain whether there will be any possibility of improvement for the Bitcoin price in 2026, because those who hold Bitcoin always think positively. However, you can pay more attention to buying Bitcoin. But I am not sure if it will be good for Bitcoin in 2026, but if the price is dumping, then take the opportunity to buy Bitcoin.

[Die_empty]

What people say is not always true, the future of the Bitcoin market is always uncertain and the price can change at any time. It is uncertain whether there will be any possibility of improvement for the Bitcoin price in 2026, because those who hold Bitcoin always think positively. However, you can pay more attention to buying Bitcoin. But I am not sure if it will be good for Bitcoin in 2026, but if the price is dumping, then take the opportunity to buy Bitcoin.

There will always be different speculation about the price of Bitcoin at this period. The four-year cycle seems to have faced a little distortion, that it tricky to determine the next move of the market.

Beyond the expectations of those who felt that we have entered the bear run, the price of Bitcoin has recovered these few days. So it is very possible that the early part of next year will be green. I tell people that they shouldnt raise their their expectation because the market remains unpredictable. Expecting too much from the market may led to disappointment.   

[Wildwest]

The current price of Bitcoin has already risen from the lowest price during the crash and drop yesterday to 80k dollars, rising again above 90k, and the highest price yesterday reached 92k dollars.
Regarding the price trend, the price trend in 2026 will still be a bearish trend, usually after halving. So in 2026, the BTC price might reach its lowest point, but not as low as or below 60k dollars, nor will it touch the peak price of the 2020 halving. But for sure, in 2026 the price will drop and reach its lowest point.

If we look at the movement of bitcoin from last year, it is true as you said after the halving, a bearish market will emerge, but in the crypto world anything can happen beyond our predictions and this year we can see the price of bitcoin rising beyond our predictions so for 2026 we have to see the market movement first, the value of bitcoin could drop drastically and could also reach a new ATH, so we all just follow the path and don't forget to keep investing so that every year we can always get profits.

[Doan9269]

With the way i have been seeing the market perform, i don't think its will be greener by then in 2026, not that we may not have the green at all, but there is more likeness for bear market prevailing next year for bitcoin and then we have the bullrun for the altcoins if we eventually launch into their season, while everything we are saying here are not the final verdict, but as part of the speculations made towards what could possibly happened by then.

[BALIK]

The current price of Bitcoin has already risen from the lowest price during the crash and drop yesterday to 80k dollars, rising again above 90k, and the highest price yesterday reached 92k dollars.
Regarding the price trend, the price trend in 2026 will still be a bearish trend, usually after halving. So in 2026, the BTC price might reach its lowest point, but not as low as or below 60k dollars, nor will it touch the peak price of the 2020 halving. But for sure, in 2026 the price will drop and reach its lowest point.

I agree with your view that 2026 is a bear market because I still believe in the cyclicality of the market. The market cycle is still the same, it does not go away or change as many people say. We are already in bear season, and what is happening is just a temporary rebound, not a sign of a reversal.

But unlike you, I believe bitcoin will get dumped like previous bear markets. Of course, it won't get dumped hard and lose 80%-90% of its value, but it will drop below $60k or $50k.