Will 2026 be green?

[Franklyn-wood]

A whole lot can happen in 2026, as Bitcoin has shown us different ATH this year, reaching October and November, the market is showing a different thing that we haven't seen in the market for a long time apart from 2018.

On that note, let's not write 2026 off as a bearish year until we enter 2026 to see its different quarters of the year, because what Q1 will be like in the market will be different from the rest of the quarter of the year (Q2, Q3, and Q4). We may have some good news that could change the face of the market to be green

Really shits are going to happen? I don't know why most people always talk about the 4 years cycle when they know that it has not even reached up to 4 years when this bull market started. I don't support the idea that next year is going to bearish looking at all odds and numbers. We are going to see greenish grasses and not much red market. I am very optimistic about the bull because I know that the bull has not completed producing greenish grasses yet. We are going to see good movement in the price of Bitcoin that will shake almost everybody.

[Cryptoprincess101]

Going by historical data of the price of bitcoin after a bullish year, the price of bitcoin will be bearish in 2026 but that doesn't mean that some part of 2026 won't be bullish but just that the major part will be bearish. That notwithstanding, the bears may not stay so long as it did in the past bear seasons, we might still see a bullish trend that will just last within a short interval of time, but the 3/4 of 2026 will probably be bearish and there after the price will start an uptrend again.

[~speedx~]

Actually, I thought that the market would be bull season in 2025 and 2026, and since the altcoin season has not started yet, it will start towards the end of 2025 or towards 2026, but we are not seeing that situation here either. Rather, we are currently seeing the market moving further downwards, especially below 100k, and from what I am getting from everyone's discussion, the market may not be green in 2026.

[davis196]

I'm convinced that there will be a bear market in the next year. I know that past performances have nothing to do with future results, but I remember the bear market back in 2018. As you know, 2018 was the second year of Trump's first presidential term. Next year is going to be the second year of Trump's second presidential term. History repeats itself. If we follow the same logic, we should expect a spectacular bull run by the end of Trump's presidency, just like the bull run back in 2020. I know that this theory sounds kinda stupid, but sometimes the dumbest theories become true. There's nothing to worry about. Bitcoin is going to the moon after 2 years.

[Asiska02]

There is a belief that this decline of the market points to a good market movement in the next year. I am quite conflicted now because mentally I was preparing for the four year cycle, bear run part of all of this and now there might be a possibility wherein bitcoin may recover. I am quite set with my plan but I also want to be flexible enough in case something unusual happen.

Just expect something unusual. There cannot be a bitcoin cycle without the bull season and the bear season. The bull season doesn’t take long time in the market when it arrives and the bear season takes the longest time within the four years cycle of bitcoin. By so, we should be preparing for the bear season and not give ourselves a false hope of a market recovery come next year. The market maybe unpredictable, but we should also have our minds prepared for the worst case scenario of a bear season being imminent than talked about by optimistic investors hoping for a recovery of the market.

In this cycle, we’ve witnessed a lot of changes in the overall movement of the market and that even made many people aimed for higher price of bitcoin and are not satisfied with the current all time high price of bitcoin now. With an unsatisfactory mindset, you’ll want to keep praising the market to the positive side even though it’s showing some signs of it not going to recover again. No matter where one decides to settle for in the market, the worst should be expected which is the market going into a bear market.

[Donneski]

Going by historical data of the price of bitcoin after a bullish year, the price of bitcoin will be bearish in 2026 but that doesn't mean that some part of 2026 won't be bullish but just that the major part will be bearish. That notwithstanding, the bears may not stay so long as it did in the past bear seasons, we might still see a bullish trend that will just last within a short interval of time, but the 3/4 of 2026 will probably be bearish and there after the price will start an uptrend again.

Of a truth, Bitcoin does have a habit of cooling off after a big year but I have a strong feeling that 2026 might surprise us more than previous cycles. The market structure is changing as they're more institutions, more liquidity and way faster reactions to macro events. So even if the broader trend is bearish like you said, I don’t think we’ll see the kind of drawn-out pain we had in 2018 or 2022. Short sharp dips, quick recoveries and plenty of fake-outs are more likely.

Either way, I agree that the uptrend that comes after might start earlier than people expect.

[colinistheman]

Going by historical data of the price of bitcoin after a bullish year, the price of bitcoin will be bearish in 2026 but that doesn't mean that some part of 2026 won't be bullish but just that the major part will be bearish. That notwithstanding, the bears may not stay so long as it did in the past bear seasons, we might still see a bullish trend that will just last within a short interval of time, but the 3/4 of 2026 will probably be bearish and there after the price will start an uptrend again.

Of a truth, Bitcoin does have a habit of cooling off after a big year but I have a strong feeling that 2026 might surprise us more than previous cycles. The market structure is changing as they're more institutions, more liquidity and way faster reactions to macro events. So even if the broader trend is bearish like you said, I don’t think we’ll see the kind of drawn-out pain we had in 2018 or 2022. Short sharp dips, quick recoveries and plenty of fake-outs are more likely.

Either way, I agree that the uptrend that comes after might start earlier than people expect.

It's all just a hunch, or to put it bluntly, it's just people's expectations, because many of us missed the opportunity to sell when bitcoin hit ATH.Many people feel disappointed and do not want to accept the fact that the bull market is over. Because honestly, the market is still very unpredictable and there are no clear signs that institutions are entering the market and they are changing the market structure.

Whether the market structure has really changed, and whether the 4 year cycle is still valid or already outdated. It's too early to say anything for sure.

[capokmerah]

Actually, I thought that the market would be bull season in 2025 and 2026, and since the altcoin season has not started yet, it will start towards the end of 2025 or towards 2026, but we are not seeing that situation here either. Rather, we are currently seeing the market moving further downwards, especially below 100k, and from what I am getting from everyone's discussion, the market may not be green in 2026.

It's too early to conclude that 2026 won't be a positive year. The current pullback is indeed deep, but every Bitcoin cycle has a significant decline before the next bullish phase. The effects of halvings aren't immediately visible; there's usually a delay of several months.
So, I think 2025–2026 still holds significant potential, although the movement may not be as rapid as many people expect.

And I think many people are too focused on the short term right now. Previous cycles have shown that major declines are normal before the next major bullish phase. If the macroeconomic environment improves and liquidity returns, 2026 could still be an interesting year. The key isn't to predict the exact date, but to look at the long-term structure.

[YUriy1991]

I'm convinced that there will be a bear market in the next year. I know that past performances have nothing to do with future results, but I remember the bear market back in 2018. As you know, 2018 was the second year of Trump's first presidential term. Next year is going to be the second year of Trump's second presidential term. History repeats itself. If we follow the same logic, we should expect a spectacular bull run by the end of Trump's presidency, just like the bull run back in 2020. I know that this theory sounds kinda stupid, but sometimes the dumbest theories become true. There's nothing to worry about. Bitcoin is going to the moon after 2 years.

Your prediction is very interesting. I think so too. Donald Trump is a key player here, with his controversial administration policies. The market will recover. I think it's appropriate to include Donald Trump as a factor in theoretical analysis. I sincerely hope Donald Trump continues to drive Bitcoin market growth with his policies. In the future, after he's gone, people will remember him, and Bitcoin will remain and be an asset that will support a country's economy. I remain optimistic that next year, in 2026, the market will be positive, and Bitcoin's price will reach above $140,000, with all the possibilities.

[Swordsoffreedom]

Going by historical data of the price of bitcoin after a bullish year, the price of bitcoin will be bearish in 2026 but that doesn't mean that some part of 2026 won't be bullish but just that the major part will be bearish. That notwithstanding, the bears may not stay so long as it did in the past bear seasons, we might still see a bullish trend that will just last within a short interval of time, but the 3/4 of 2026 will probably be bearish and there after the price will start an uptrend again.

Of a truth, Bitcoin does have a habit of cooling off after a big year but I have a strong feeling that 2026 might surprise us more than previous cycles. The market structure is changing as they're more institutions, more liquidity and way faster reactions to macro events. So even if the broader trend is bearish like you said, I don’t think we’ll see the kind of drawn-out pain we had in 2018 or 2022. Short sharp dips, quick recoveries and plenty of fake-outs are more likely.

Either way, I agree that the uptrend that comes after might start earlier than people expect.

I believe you're not the only one who has a feeling that the market structure has changed and the four-year cycle no longer holds true. Instead, the market will behave more like the stock market, and its movements will depend more heavily on macroeconomic news. Therefore, even if a bear market occurs, it will be milder and shorter than an older cycle.


I've thought about the scenario too, but in investing, predictions should be based on data and analysis, which is far better than relying on emotions. Because frankly, nobody likes a prolonged bear market.


In my opinion, we should wait until the end of the year and, depending on market developments at that time, we can draw a conclusion. Rushing to conclusions based on emotions at this time would be risky and subjective.

[bitzizzix]

It's difficult to predict the future of the market or Bitcoin because Bitcoin is highly speculative, and anything can happen due to several previously unknown factors. Therefore, there's no guarantee whether Bitcoin will experience an uptrend or a downtrend next year. However, many analysts and major financial institutions tend to speculate on a positive or bullish outlook for Bitcoin in 2026. This is just speculation, and given Bitcoin's continued growth and development, its price will undoubtedly increase over time.
We'll see what happens to Bitcoin in 2026, but those with long-term plans shouldn't worry too much. However, I remain very optimistic and predict that Bitcoin's price will be higher in 2026 than it is now, or at least surpass its previous all-time high.

[Out of mind]

The Bitcoin market has been in a downward spiral since November, and the market is not showing any good signs at the moment. The Bitcoin market did not reach a high in December and is still in a downward spiral. However, we can expect that the Bitcoin market will enter a good position in 2026. If the market position holds a green light at the beginning of the year, then we can expect the Bitcoin price to go up again. However, according to what we can see in the cycle, the market is more likely to enter a downward spiral, if the Bitcoin price does not increase at the beginning of the year, it may move towards a decline.

[AprilioMP]

The Bitcoin market has been in a downward spiral since November, and the market is not showing any good signs at the moment. The Bitcoin market did not reach a high in December and is still in a downward spiral. However, we can expect that the Bitcoin market will enter a good position in 2026. If the market position holds a green light at the beginning of the year, then we can expect the Bitcoin price to go up again. However, according to what we can see in the cycle, the market is more likely to enter a downward spiral, if the Bitcoin price does not increase at the beginning of the year, it may move towards a decline.

If it's not yet $69,000, then I still consider Bitcoin's price to be declining or the market is already bearish. I still consider $70,000 and the current price to be normal, although it's difficult to return to $100,000, as it hasn't even reached $95,000 yet, and it's already declining again.
I speculate that in 2026, especially by the end of the year, the price will surpass its current all-time high. However, this December will be similar to December 2021 and 2022, based on Bitcoin's monthly return data.
A positive market shift will occur if selling begins to subside and buying returns to dominate. Without significant buying activity, a positive price shift is impossible.

[Oasisman]

Going by historical data of the price of bitcoin after a bullish year, the price of bitcoin will be bearish in 2026 but that doesn't mean that some part of 2026 won't be bullish but just that the major part will be bearish. That notwithstanding, the bears may not stay so long as it did in the past bear seasons, we might still see a bullish trend that will just last within a short interval of time, but the 3/4 of 2026 will probably be bearish and there after the price will start an uptrend again.

Historically, yes, since every after huge year for Bitcoin, a bearish trend will follow the next year, and the market usually remains bearish for most of the year.
However, we may not be able to see Bitcoin below $70k as most investors are anticipating for a bear market in 2026, and their getting ready to accumulate more. Most of us might just going to hold our bags, thus, causing Bitcoin's value not going to plunge deeper, like more than 50% from the ATH.

[justdimin]

There is a belief that this decline of the market points to a good market movement in the next year. I am quite conflicted now because mentally I was preparing for the four year cycle, bear run part of all of this and now there might be a possibility wherein bitcoin may recover. I am quite set with my plan but I also want to be flexible enough in case something unusual happen.

Not really, I do not expect it to be green. Normally 2026 is the year where we will see bear run, so it should be very red, bloody red. Of course that's not the case at all times, but sometimes that does happen and this could be one of those. I am expecting it to be very good for the long term and help us out but that doesn't mean we are going to have that.

There could be changes, and maybe it won't be and maybe I will be wrong but looking at the four year cycle I would guess that this would be the case. Not a lot of people are keeping their money in bitcoin already, we are seeing the price lower already, it dropped, so I am not seeing how it would recover and finish higher than 90k, 2026 will probably end lesser than that.

[Kelvinid]

I'm convinced that there will be a bear market in the next year. I know that past performances have nothing to do with future results, but I remember the bear market back in 2018. As you know, 2018 was the second year of Trump's first presidential term. Next year is going to be the second year of Trump's second presidential term. History repeats itself. If we follow the same logic, we should expect a spectacular bull run by the end of Trump's presidency, just like the bull run back in 2020. I know that this theory sounds kinda stupid, but sometimes the dumbest theories become true. There's nothing to worry about. Bitcoin is going to the moon after 2 years.

This makes sense too. History mostly repeats itself, so we should still be cautious about it. However, having a bear market isn't bad at all since it opens opportunities for us. Instead of thinking to sell and make profits, save it and continue to maximize your purchase with bitcoin while its offering us high discount, and grow our bitcoin portfolio so we can expect a life-changing profits when the bullish market takes over the bearish one.

Bear and bull market have their own market opportunities, at least we should know how to utilize them.

[Raflesia]

There could be changes, and maybe it won't be and maybe I will be wrong but looking at the four year cycle I would guess that this would be the case. Not a lot of people are keeping their money in bitcoin already, we are seeing the price lower already, it dropped, so I am not seeing how it would recover and finish higher than 90k, 2026 will probably end lesser than that.

Regardless of whether it is right or wrong it will be normal because in this case we are only speculating on what we see from several factors and the possibility of speculation is only two right and wrong.
It does not matter in this case the most important thing is how we can best control ourselves so that the decisions we make later do not become mistakes.

We have had at least a green year (maybe even 2 years) and we should be aware that when things go up there will be downs and we should be prepared and confident of that so as not to disrupt what we have done so far especially when we hold the portfolio that we are always proud of.

[Marvell1]

However, we may not be able to see Bitcoin below $70k as most investors are anticipating for a bear market in 2026, and their getting ready to accumulate more. Most of us might just going to hold our bags, thus, causing Bitcoin's value not going to plunge deeper, like more than 50% from the ATH.

It's too early to say for sure that bitcoin won't fall below $70k if a bear market arrives. The market includes not only retail investors like us, but also whales, institutions, and market makers. They are the ones who drive market trends and volatility, not us. Therefore, even if we decide not to sell and buy more, but if they decide to sell massively to create panic in the market and buy back at a better price. In that case, a sharp drop in Bitcoin similar to previous cycles would be inevitable.

Not to mention, the market is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors. And if the economy falls into recession, they may be forced to sell even more to keep the company afloat, and the situation will only get worse.


In my opinion, the view that Bitcoin will not fall below $70k is quite subjective.

[shinratensei_]

November 2025 is on its way to be the worst November of bitcoin since 2018 according to crypto educator Sumit Kapoor. We investors have been used to the four year cycle where the year end part looks green, green, green but now we are taken by surprise because November has been bad. Lots of people are believing that this is an early sign of bear cycle. The next year might be the time where bitcoin starts declining before rising again in a few years. Surprisingly, this is not the case for some.

“While November will be printing in the red for crypto, the capitulation signals an opportunity for smart investors to start buying back in,” LVRG research director Nick Ruck told Cointelegraph.

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-likely-on-track-worst-november-in-7-years-analysts

There is a belief that this decline of the market points to a good market movement in the next year. I am quite conflicted now because mentally I was preparing for the four year cycle, bear run part of all of this and now there might be a possibility wherein bitcoin may recover. I am quite set with my plan but I also want to be flexible enough in case something unusual happen.

The green for december is the recovery from the dip. Since the dip happened by the end of november, it's only right to say that the only way is to go up for bitcoin.
Real question here is what gonna happen in 2026? will market go bullish or bearish? that's the real question, december will be green without a doubt because bitcoin is undervalued. But if it's just a bulltrap then that is entirely different matter we need to be concerned about.

[Uhwuchukwu53]

The bullish market take some person as surprised, because many who have over speculated about the bull run are still hoping to see the heat of the bull between November and December if which there is more decline, personal observations of the market tells better, if the bull has finally ended with the rate at which the market hardly cross 100k for some couple of weeks and always ranging from 86k to 90k plus,. Past records has shown that after bull comes dip, continuous monitoring can be more safer than hoping because better idea will be gotten through the move because if the dip continue to the end of this very month only the long time holder who is accumulating will show more interest to buy those short time holder will be afraid and will eventually sell if they are still holding as a result not lossing more  making the next month more bearish.