Will 2026 be green?

[Fuso.hp]

If we look closely at the Bitcoin market at the moment, we will see that this market is not growing much, it is not dumping much, that is, there is a compromise in the market. When we see such changes in the market, either negative changes occur in the market or positive changes occur in the market. There is not much time left for the end of 2025, many of us have the idea that if 2025 ends well and 2026 starts well, then the Bitcoin market will go to a good level, but I do not agree with all these arguments because none of us know when and in which direction the market will change. We have to wait and the most important thing is that we have to trust the Bitcoin market.

However, as investors, we will certainly expect that 2026 starts well and the end of 2026 also ends well.
Overall, Bitcoin should maintain a continuous increase in price.

[YOSHIE]

Surprisingly, this is not the case for some.

Currently the crypto market, the price of Bitcoin is trading at $86k, many people speculate the market is currently in a short-term bearish situation, meaning this is not over yet it is likely to continue until 2026, realistically for 2026 if I speculate Bitcoin will go down.

We all know from the analysis of the coming halving cycle in the future, Bitcoin will experience speculation of a decline, especially in the future, many crypto users are considering approaching the new year and it is very likely that selling Bitcoin will continue at least until 2026.

[Son Of Blockchain (SOB)]

Surprisingly, this is not the case for some.

Currently the crypto market, the price of Bitcoin is trading at $86k, many people speculate the market is currently in a short-term bearish situation, meaning this is not over yet it is likely to continue until 2026, realistically for 2026 if I speculate Bitcoin will go down.

We all know from the analysis of the coming halving cycle in the future, Bitcoin will experience speculation of a decline, especially in the future, many crypto users are considering approaching the new year and it is very likely that selling Bitcoin will continue at least until 2026.

Is the market perfectly predictable? No, we can just speculate what it would look like and my thought it that there would be bullish and bearish side of the coming year but I hope that the bull is greater than the bear.
 I have this feelings that since Gold and Silver made new heights some investors in those projects could take profits to invest in Bitcoin sso we could experience some bullish trends in the first quarter of 2026, that's why people should take advantage of this current bearish period to the prepared ahead of the possible bullish period ahead.

[As-Soon-As]

November 2025 is on its way to be the worst November of bitcoin since 2018 according to crypto educator Sumit Kapoor. We investors have been used to the four year cycle where the year end part looks green, green, green but now we are taken by surprise because November has been bad. Lots of people are believing that this is an early sign of bear cycle. The next year might be the time where bitcoin starts declining before rising again in a few years. Surprisingly, this is not the case for some.

“While November will be printing in the red for crypto, the capitulation signals an opportunity for smart investors to start buying back in,” LVRG research director Nick Ruck told Cointelegraph.

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-likely-on-track-worst-november-in-7-years-analysts

There is a belief that this decline of the market points to a good market movement in the next year. I am quite conflicted now because mentally I was preparing for the four year cycle, bear run part of all of this and now there might be a possibility wherein bitcoin may recover. I am quite set with my plan but I also want to be flexible enough in case something unusual happen.

No one can predict whether the price of Bitcoin will be good next year because everyone is unknown about the future. However, we can only guess that 2026 is a month of correction for Bitcoin, if the price of Bitcoin is low in 2026, then there will definitely be an opportunity to buy. Because only when the price of Bitcoin is low can Bitcoin investors create an opportunity to buy Bitcoin, but this opportunity may be to use the Bitcoin purchase in 2026.

[aysha9853]

Honestly nobody really knows what 2026 will look like for Bitcoin we have cycles and patterns but the market has surprised us many times before for me red months are not a signal to panic but a chance to slowly buy if you believe in Bitcoin long term.

[bangjoe]

Honestly nobody really knows what 2026 will look like for Bitcoin we have cycles and patterns but the market has surprised us many times before for me red months are not a signal to panic but a chance to slowly buy if you believe in Bitcoin long term.

That is the general conclusion sentence, that no one knows what the future will be like with bitcoin, 2026 is a big question mark whether it is true that the bitcoin cycle ends or still continues into the bearish season, this is what is being debated, in terms of data today we still have a chance to rise but in terms of market demand it seems that we are still waiting for how the economy will move forward, there is QE that is waiting as a lighter but on the other hand there is also a big threat that is hanging around in geo-political conflicts that are increasingly chaotic in many countries, this is very confusing.

[batang_bitcoin]

red months are not a signal to panic but a chance to slowly buy if you believe in Bitcoin long term.

Whoever are in panic whenever the red days have come are not yet experienced of this market. Or we can understand their perspective if they are booking profits and they're about to miss it and that's why they've made significant action by panicking instead of waiting longer. Long term holding should be done by whoever is panicking by that time because they'll tend to book more profits than what they are panicking with. Otherwise, it's just a simple act of having no idea what cycles are.

[BITCOIN4X]

red months are not a signal to panic but a chance to slowly buy if you believe in Bitcoin long term.

Whoever are in panic whenever the red days have come are not yet experienced of this market. Or we can understand their perspective if they are booking profits and they're about to miss it and that's why they've made significant action by panicking instead of waiting longer. Long term holding should be done by whoever is panicking by that time because they'll tend to book more profits than what they are panicking with. Otherwise, it's just a simple act of having no idea what cycles are.

Those with market experience will capitalize on the downward momentum as an opportunity to accumulate more, while those who panic and sell will undoubtedly regret their decision. While we can't say for certain, I think Bitcoin will return to its all time high and may even surpass its all time high. I believe we just need to be patient and stick to long term investment principles, it will yield commensurate returns.

[8rch7]

No one can predict whether the price of Bitcoin will be good next year because everyone is unknown about the future. However, we can only guess that 2026 is a month of correction for Bitcoin, if the price of Bitcoin is low in 2026, then there will definitely be an opportunity to buy. Because only when the price of Bitcoin is low can Bitcoin investors create an opportunity to buy Bitcoin, but this opportunity may be to use the Bitcoin purchase in 2026.

No one can't predicting yet the future price of bitcoin but we can compare with technical, supply and demand until about possibility good or bad news happening in the future to get accurate predicting about bitcoin price. For current bitcoin right now still down if comparison the last ATH price but possibility green or not bitcoin at 2026 in my viewed likely green, most people have bad thing about bitcoin get bearish moment next year but seeing early quarter of new year bitcoin has good possibility for raise up.
Its great opportunity for investor buy back bitcoin if price get low and many of them sell later after bitcoin recovering back to higher price, I will allow the investor strategy for buying bitcoin right now and sell it later if success hit higher price.

[Iranus]

No one can't predicting yet the future price of bitcoin but we can compare with technical, supply and demand until about possibility good or bad news happening in the future to get accurate predicting about bitcoin price. For current bitcoin right now still down if comparison the last ATH price but possibility green or not bitcoin at 2026 in my viewed likely green, most people have bad thing about bitcoin get bearish moment next year but seeing early quarter of new year bitcoin has good possibility for raise up.
Its great opportunity for investor buy back bitcoin if price get low and many of them sell later after bitcoin recovering back to higher price, I will allow the investor strategy for buying bitcoin right now and sell it later if success hit higher price.

No one can predict the future price of Bitcoin, but as you said, we can rely on technical factors, supply and demand, and news to make more accurate predictions about Bitcoin. So, what makes you believe that Bitcoin has the potential to increase in price by 2026? What technical factors or news led you to think that way?

Conversely, looking at the current situation from both a macro and micro perspective, I see no indication that 2026 will be a bull year. Furthermore, according to market cycles, 2026 is a bear market year.

I agree that anything is possible, but the current signals clearly don't support a bull market next year. We should have contingency plans instead of being overly confident in our biased predictions.

[Zanab247]

Honestly nobody really knows what 2026 will look like for Bitcoin we have cycles and patterns but the market has surprised us many times before for me red months are not a signal to panic but a chance to slowly buy if you believe in Bitcoin long term.

I agree with you that nobody know what will happen next year 2026,  because many people thought that bull run will reach next year but what we saw few weeks ago show that bull run is about to leave the market for bear run to take over. Both bear run and bull run have advantage to every crypto users, because some will use the bear run to buy more coins and hodl while some will use bull run to release their coins to make profit that will give them chance to buy in the future.

You buy now or you buy next year 2026 you will not regret, because red light will be more display than green light next year 2026 base on my observation toward what happened last two years and last year that made bull run to spend many months in the market to pump above $125.

[aylabadia05]

Honestly nobody really knows what 2026 will look like for Bitcoin we have cycles and patterns but the market has surprised us many times before for me red months are not a signal to panic but a chance to slowly buy if you believe in Bitcoin long term.

Two versions have emerged, created by people with experience in the Bitcoin market. These two versions are definitely green and red, and analysts can use them to consider how we should respond. They may not be entirely accurate, but they are close.

To simplify things, we can use their analysis as a reference for monthly analysis using various methods based on available data. Monthly Bitcoin returns and Bitcoin Quarterly returns since 2013, available on Coinglass or other sources, can be used as a reference in technical analysis. Q1 2026, according to my analysis, will be green.
In my opinion, in the long term, there will be no regrets.

[dunfida]

Honestly nobody really knows what 2026 will look like for Bitcoin we have cycles and patterns but the market has surprised us many times before for me red months are not a signal to panic but a chance to slowly buy if you believe in Bitcoin long term.

Two versions have emerged, created by people with experience in the Bitcoin market. These two versions are definitely green and red, and analysts can use them to consider how we should respond. They may not be entirely accurate, but they are close.

To simplify things, we can use their analysis as a reference for monthly analysis using various methods based on available data. Monthly Bitcoin returns and Bitcoin Quarterly returns since 2013, available on Coinglass or other sources, can be used as a reference in technical analysis. Q1 2026, according to my analysis, will be green.
In my opinion, in the long term, there will be no regrets.

Trying to map out 2026 with certainty feels like forcing clarity where the market prefers ambiguity. Bitcoin has respected cycles before yet it has also broken expectations when confidence leaned too hard in one direction. Red months do not automatically mean failure they often represent hesitation digestion and redistribution. For long term believers these phases become opportunities to act slowly without emotional pressure.

Historical data and seasonal tendencies can guide perspective but they should remain references not convictions. Quarterly and monthly returns help frame probabilities rather than promises and that distinction matters over time. If Q1 2026 turns green it will likely be because conditions align rather than predictions being right. Long term conviction is built by staying patient through uncertainty not by timing perfection.

[aylabadia05]

<snip>

Trying to map out 2026 with certainty feels like forcing clarity where the market prefers ambiguity. Bitcoin has respected cycles before yet it has also broken expectations when confidence leaned too hard in one direction. Red months do not automatically mean failure they often represent hesitation digestion and redistribution. For long term believers these phases become opportunities to act slowly without emotional pressure.

Sometimes it is too forced to get there, so I can suggest using monthly analysis based on available data and current conditions that cause supply and demand to increase or decrease.
Appreciating previous cycles and ignoring expectations is part of the volatility that allows things that are considered impossible to be reversed in reality. The only thing that prevents this, we can say, is the possibility itself. The long term tends to be more resilient to all emotional pressures.

[batang_bitcoin]

Whoever are in panic whenever the red days have come are not yet experienced of this market. Or we can understand their perspective if they are booking profits and they're about to miss it and that's why they've made significant action by panicking instead of waiting longer. Long term holding should be done by whoever is panicking by that time because they'll tend to book more profits than what they are panicking with. Otherwise, it's just a simple act of having no idea what cycles are.

Those with market experience will capitalize on the downward momentum as an opportunity to accumulate more, while those who panic and sell will undoubtedly regret their decision. While we can't say for certain, I think Bitcoin will return to its all time high and may even surpass its all time high. I believe we just need to be patient and stick to long term investment principles, it will yield commensurate returns.

I think that time will still come but not this time anymore. We're in the end of this bull run and a new market cycle is about to come in. But I wish that I'm wrong and it's exactly the thing you've mentioned that comes and the market becomes healthier again and the cycle has been broken by Bitcoin itself and we enter into another phase where it's going to be another all time high that's been reached. As we keep on holding, those times for sure will make all time highs again.

[Odusko]

The current price of Bitcoin should not negate us away from the widely speculated green price of Bitcoin in 2026 a lot of analysis have gone forth, wallstreet and other financial experts have speculated that Bitcoin will be way more than it current price in 2026, even though Bitcoin have it own dianamisim of price actions which is majorly unpredictable by speculators even upon that we still are very optimistic that Bitcoin will do better in the coming year.

[Iranus]

The current price of Bitcoin should not negate us away from the widely speculated green price of Bitcoin in 2026 a lot of analysis have gone forth, wallstreet and other financial experts have speculated that Bitcoin will be way more than it current price in 2026, even though Bitcoin have it own dianamisim of price actions which is majorly unpredictable by speculators even upon that we still are very optimistic that Bitcoin will do better in the coming year.

Do you remember the predictions from celebrities and Wall Street financial experts that Bitcoin would reach $150k, $180k, or even $250k before the end of 2025? But in reality, none of those predictions came true. So, it would be naive to believe that 2026 will be a bull market year just because Wall Street experts say so.

The market doesn't move based on predictions, but rather on money flows, supply and demand, and macroeconomic conditions. If the economy falls into crisis or recession, and demand for risky assets continues to plummet, don't expect Bitcoin to grow in 2026.

The current economic situation is clearly deteriorating, and we should prepare for that scenario instead of putting our faith in the uncertain predictions of Wall Street experts.

[Omj1014]

November 2025 is on its way to be the worst November of bitcoin since 2018 according to crypto educator Sumit Kapoor. We investors have been used to the four year cycle where the year end part looks green, green, green but now we are taken by surprise because November has been bad. Lots of people are believing that this is an early sign of bear cycle. The next year might be the time where bitcoin starts declining before rising again in a few years. Surprisingly, this is not the case for some.

“While November will be printing in the red for crypto, the capitulation signals an opportunity for smart investors to start buying back in,” LVRG research director Nick Ruck told Cointelegraph.

https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-likely-on-track-worst-november-in-7-years-analysts

There is a belief that this decline of the market points to a good market movement in the next year. I am quite conflicted now because mentally I was preparing for the four year cycle, bear run part of all of this and now there might be a possibility wherein bitcoin may recover. I am quite set with my plan but I also want to be flexible enough in case something unusual happen.

First off who cares about 2026.

You should lock this and do a new thread

 "will 2025 end up over 107k"

Then do open this thread back up in 2026.

We all know how volatile the Bitcoin market is, there are still 6 days in this year.
Anything can happen and that's  what we are supposed to be talking about, what this final days of the year has for us investors.

[letteredhub]

Just be very careful and not follow only what you see people saying, we are not sure if next year will be good for bitcoin or not, bit I know that if there is a bad time, it is an opportunity for people to buy bitcoin at low prices, the price will increase again. Nobody know yet if next year will be good or not.

Most of the predictions are coming from a standpoint of optimism in bitcoin price doing the highs by 2026 base on a positive assumption to the atmosphere of the macro economy which has recently being influencing bitcoins price movement and sentiment. It's true nobody knows what 2026 might look like, everything put together is just assumptions, and we have to be cautious how we follow these dynamic bitcoin price predictions. In case of a lot, most definitely it should be taken as an opportunity for extensive accumulation at good price level.

[Oshosondy]

The current price of Bitcoin should not negate us away from the widely speculated green price of Bitcoin in 2026 a lot of analysis have gone forth, wallstreet and other financial experts have speculated that Bitcoin will be way more than it current price in 2026, even though Bitcoin have it own dianamisim of price actions which is majorly unpredictable by speculators even upon that we still are very optimistic that Bitcoin will do better in the coming year.

Only few people among them but well known people that are saying it. This is not what I will believe until it happened. This year is already in red now, although let us see what the price will end as

I still think next year can be for the bears or the market might just be ranging within certain prices. I do not believe those that said bitcoin will get to $200000. Bitcoin will get to $200000 definitely but not next year but it is possible bitcoin will be very boring or slightly bearisg next year.