BTC Sentiment Poll for December

[bbc.reporter]

I have voted on yes, however, the contrarian in me is telling me that because much of the voters have voted also on yes, it might be a warning sign that the market is not yet entering the mouth of the bear hehehe.

In any case, this founder of Bitwise has declared that there will be 2 occurrences that will cause bitcoin to enter a bear market. This is the bubble pop on the AI bubble and the regulatory reversal on the cryptospace. The reversal of regulations towards the cryptospace will certainly make everyone's heads shake vigorously.



As Bitcoin price tries to catch its footing above $93,000, investors are starting to ask themselves, what will it take to plunge Bitcoin into yet another bitter crypto winter?

For Bitwise, there are two scenarios that pose the biggest threats to the current crypto cycle. One is a collapse in AI stocks while the second is a regulatory reversal in Washington, D.C.

In a December 3 presentation with investors, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan and European head of research André Dragosch laid out what needs to happen for Bitcoin to enter another bear market.

“My biggest worry is on the regulatory side in the US,” said Hougan. “We still haven’t inked the market structure act, and there are growing worries we won’t before the 2026 elections, meaning some of the regulatory progress could be reversed.”

Meanwhile, Dragosch’s fears stem from the AI trade. “We have seen excessive valuations in AI stocks,” he said when asked by an audience member what will signal whether Bitcoin’s bull market has any horns left.

Read in full https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/two-factors-will-send-bitcoin-into-bear-market-says-bitwise/

[tottong]

The price of Bitcoin is going up and down widely between 86k dollars and 100k dollars. However, the possibility of Bitcoin price exceeding the target of 100k dollars at any time is very high, because December is Christmas Day, on this occasion, there is a high possibility of Bitcoin price increasing. However, I see many positive reasons for the increase in Bitcoin price in this December, but I think Bitcoin price will definitely increase on Christmas Day.

We are approaching the end of the year, and there may be some changes in Bitcoin's trajectory for the current period, although typically the end of the year sees much more speculative short-term price movements.
Based on current trends, Bitcoin should see a slight increase before entering next year, but speculative assets like this cannot be accurately predicted. If positive momentum occurs, I believe Bitcoin will rise to slightly above $100,000 due to several factors that could encourage people to seek alternative sources of hedge funds, especially if inflation or other negative economic growth occurs.

This is just my personal analysis because there is always uncertainty regarding Bitcoin price movements and it may be difficult to see the exact price movements, especially in conditions like the current ones.

[Crytohillss]

The price of Bitcoin is going up and down widely between 86k dollars and 100k dollars. However, the possibility of Bitcoin price exceeding the target of 100k dollars at any time is very high, because December is Christmas Day, on this occasion, there is a high possibility of Bitcoin price increasing. However, I see many positive reasons for the increase in Bitcoin price in this December, but I think Bitcoin price will definitely increase on Christmas Day.

We are approaching the end of the year, and there may be some changes in Bitcoin's trajectory for the current period, although typically the end of the year sees much more speculative short-term price movements.
Based on current trends, Bitcoin should see a slight increase before entering next year, but speculative assets like this cannot be accurately predicted. If positive momentum occurs, I believe Bitcoin will rise to slightly above $100,000 due to several factors that could encourage people to seek alternative sources of hedge funds, especially if inflation or other negative economic growth occurs.

This is just my personal analysis because there is always uncertainty regarding Bitcoin price movements and it may be difficult to see the exact price movements, especially in conditions like the current ones.

Since bitcoin has a way of surprising everyone when things seem unclear, all we should be thinking about is watching and managing risk and avoiding getting carried away by the hype. Honestly, I think you made a lot of points here. Bitcoin is  basically a little more volatile towards the end of the year, and right now if the momentum aligns with all the uncertainty around inflation and the global market, no one can determine this thing with any real accuracy. 

[Wildwest]

The price of Bitcoin is going up and down widely between 86k dollars and 100k dollars. However, the possibility of Bitcoin price exceeding the target of 100k dollars at any time is very high, because December is Christmas Day, on this occasion, there is a high possibility of Bitcoin price increasing. However, I see many positive reasons for the increase in Bitcoin price in this December, but I think Bitcoin price will definitely increase on Christmas Day.

We are approaching the end of the year, and there may be some changes in Bitcoin's trajectory for the current period, although typically the end of the year sees much more speculative short-term price movements.
Based on current trends, Bitcoin should see a slight increase before entering next year, but speculative assets like this cannot be accurately predicted. If positive momentum occurs, I believe Bitcoin will rise to slightly above $100,000 due to several factors that could encourage people to seek alternative sources of hedge funds, especially if inflation or other negative economic growth occurs.

This is just my personal analysis because there is always uncertainty regarding Bitcoin price movements and it may be difficult to see the exact price movements, especially in conditions like the current ones.

With the current market conditions, it is indeed very difficult to predict the price of bitcoin, especially as it is approaching the end of the year and we must be clever in analyzing market movements, especially bitcoin, after a decline of up to $ 82 thousand and we hope that in the end this month it can return to breaking through $ 100 thousand, because for this year bitcoin is indeed extraordinary in increasing prices and this all happened beyond our predictions, so whatever happens we make good use of it because there is no involvement in investing, everyone can start even if it starts now.

[Ndabagi01]

And I noticed that the forum's old guard seems to avoid chiming in.  Lol.  Scared to look like clueless idiots?  C'mon guys...  It's ok.  We're all clueless idiots here.  And these polls are all for fun.  Join in!

With the rise of concern by many people of the market not being able to give an accurate direction of price action in the market, the whole market still remains unpredictable and will continue to look so until things gets to settle down. The Bitcoin market is in fact not the best place to trade now because of how unpredictable it is. It does not obey analysis again as it stands to move on its own path in a totally different direction. My monthly prediction for Bitcoin will still remain that it’ll end bearish this month. It has not shown any significant growth to show that it will end bullish. Maintaining the trend below $100K is somehow going to be the outcome by end of December.

[FortuneFollower]

^ Making mistakes is the path to wisdom, and after all - it's a speculation board an topic, nobody is safe from making assumptions and seeing them right or wrong, that's the fun of it 

[tokeweed]

And I noticed that the forum's old guard seems to avoid chiming in.  Lol.  Scared to look like clueless idiots?  C'mon guys...  It's ok.  We're all clueless idiots here.  And these polls are all for fun.  Join in!

With the rise of concern by many people of the market not being able to give an accurate direction of price action in the market, the whole market still remains unpredictable and will continue to look so until things gets to settle down. The Bitcoin market is in fact not the best place to trade now because of how unpredictable it is. It does not obey analysis again as it stands to move on its own path in a totally different direction. My monthly prediction for Bitcoin will still remain that it’ll end bearish this month. It has not shown any significant growth to show that it will end bullish. Maintaining the trend below $100K is somehow going to be the outcome by end of December.

Mmmmm dunno about maintaining the trend below 100k is gonna be the thing that will happen for December.  I mean yeah, it looks like the bear market is just around the corner or it prolly is for all we know.  But the prices of these coins don't go down in a straight line.    I think we're going to see a bounce but more like a dead cat bounce back above 100k then back to down only which will confirm the bear market.

And here's the funny part, it's possible everybody will be saying that it isn't a bear market during the bounce back above 100k.  Lolol.

[YOSHIE]

After recent events, in hindsight, are we in the first innings of a bear market?

You can refer to experiences that have occurred, whether this will happen again, as happened after the halving in 2017, 2020 and 2024. I think in the history of Bitcoin this will continue to happen.

I see that one year into two years the crypto market is always being corrected and changes continue to occur up and down, of course all this happens not without reason, even though there are millions of speculations floating on social media and the internet, the crypto market continues to run as is.

I personally speculate that in December, if I judge that it is indeed the month when the change in direction weakens, next January-March the market will rise again, after that in April and so on it will enter the market at its weakest point. that's when most investors enter, in 2028, can no longer wait and see the highest level of Bitcoin prices and good opportunities for the Crypto market.

[doomloop]

Mmmmm dunno about maintaining the trend below 100k is gonna be the thing that will happen for December.  I mean yeah, it looks like the bear market is just around the corner or it prolly is for all we know.  But the prices of these coins don't go down in a straight line.    I think we're going to see a bounce but more like a dead cat bounce back above 100k then back to down only which will confirm the bear market.

And here's the funny part, it's possible everybody will be saying that it isn't a bear market during the bounce back above 100k.  Lolol.

I do agree that a bounce is on the way, but we are already seeing it, and not entirely sure if the bounce will hit above 100k. It may just hit something like lets say 98k and then down and that would still be under 100k, barely but true. Bear is obviously here, so it's clear that we are going to go down even more, and when you think of that, going up too much is looking less likely.

We already bounced back to near 93k levels and that is good, when you have something like this, it's very difficult to just let it be anything higher, because the bounce has already happened. Maybe a few thousand more if we are lucky but I am sure that it will then start to crash lower and not have this kind of big 100k+ bounce.

[Powerjumboo]

So yeah...  November sucked.  Lmao.  I'm not really sure what's going on rn tbh.  So I guess the best way to get the updated sentiment from you guys is to ask the same question I did last month.  I mean after the recent events, there might be a change of heart.

We'll see.  Here's the monthly chart.



And I noticed that the forum's old guard seems to avoid chiming in.  Lol.  Scared to look like clueless idiots?  C'mon guys...  It's ok.  We're all clueless idiots here.  And these polls are all for fun.  Join in!

From the highest height of Bitcoin at $126,000, we saw Bitcoin dumping and reaching $80,000. Although we saw Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November through various fluctuations and from there we saw Bitcoin rise again, but at the beginning of the new month of December, Bitcoin was dumped and today saw Bitcoin increase again and reached $94,000. However, I don't know if my guess will be correct, but I think December may be a good position for Bitcoin, maybe the previous dumping may not take place below $80,000 . Moreover, my target for December is $110,000.

[tokeweed]

Mmmmm dunno about maintaining the trend below 100k is gonna be the thing that will happen for December.  I mean yeah, it looks like the bear market is just around the corner or it prolly is for all we know.  But the prices of these coins don't go down in a straight line.    I think we're going to see a bounce but more like a dead cat bounce back above 100k then back to down only which will confirm the bear market.

And here's the funny part, it's possible everybody will be saying that it isn't a bear market during the bounce back above 100k.  Lolol.

I do agree that a bounce is on the way, but we are already seeing it, and not entirely sure if the bounce will hit above 100k. It may just hit something like lets say 98k and then down and that would still be under 100k, barely but true. Bear is obviously here, so it's clear that we are going to go down even more, and when you think of that, going up too much is looking less likely.

We already bounced back to near 93k levels and that is good, when you have something like this, it's very difficult to just let it be anything higher, because the bounce has already happened. Maybe a few thousand more if we are lucky but I am sure that it will then start to crash lower and not have this kind of big 100k+ bounce.

Yeah you're prolly right.  This scenario could happen:  If enough people are thinking that it could go slightly above $100k, then those same people would buy now and will want to sell before BTC even reaches $100k to try to get out before everybody else.  If enough people have the same idea and they try to outdo each other then it's most likely that yeah...  BTC is out of the discussion.  Lol.

But let's see how it goes in the next three weeks before the year ends.  Just from judging from the price action rn, it looks like it's gonna be another red monthly candle. 

Stay safe out there guys.

[Johnlomape]

^ Making mistakes is the path to wisdom, and after all - it's a speculation board an topic, nobody is safe from making assumptions and seeing them right or wrong, that's the fun of it 

There is nothing wrong about making your own speculation about what the price of Bitcoin is capable of doing and we should not be surprised is what we speculated about the market does not come to an existence. I can observe different charts and come to a conclusion that the price of Bitcoin is going to reach $110k to $115k in price before the end of December and another person can look at the charts and conclude that the price of Bitcoin is going to go up to $130k during the months of December.
Nobody should be wrong here even if the price of Bitcoin does not exceed $105 for the month of December. Speculation is try and error, you can not be perfect at market predictions.

[Out of mind]

The price of Bitcoin is going up and down widely between 86k dollars and 100k dollars. However, the possibility of Bitcoin price exceeding the target of 100k dollars at any time is very high, because December is Christmas Day, on this occasion, there is a high possibility of Bitcoin price increasing. However, I see many positive reasons for the increase in Bitcoin price in this December, but I think Bitcoin price will definitely increase on Christmas Day.

We are approaching the end of the year, and there may be some changes in Bitcoin's trajectory for the current period, although typically the end of the year sees much more speculative short-term price movements.
Based on current trends, Bitcoin should see a slight increase before entering next year, but speculative assets like this cannot be accurately predicted. If positive momentum occurs, I believe Bitcoin will rise to slightly above $100,000 due to several factors that could encourage people to seek alternative sources of hedge funds, especially if inflation or other negative economic growth occurs.

This is just my personal analysis because there is always uncertainty regarding Bitcoin price movements and it may be difficult to see the exact price movements, especially in conditions like the current ones.

With the current market conditions, it is indeed very difficult to predict the price of bitcoin, especially as it is approaching the end of the year and we must be clever in analyzing market movements, especially bitcoin, after a decline of up to $ 82 thousand and we hope that in the end this month it can return to breaking through $ 100 thousand, because for this year bitcoin is indeed extraordinary in increasing prices and this all happened beyond our predictions, so whatever happens we make good use of it because there is no involvement in investing, everyone can start even if it starts now.

At present, it is very difficult to estimate the value of science at the end of the year, due to the rise and fall of the price. From the lowest level, the market enters a period of some silence, and then it goes towards the decline, all in all, there is some instability in the market. However, we must have such a hope because at the end of the year, the market is more likely to touch $100k when the new year begins.
Accordingly, if someone wants to buy, then this can be a good opportunity for him because the market will tend to enter the high again. Those who have already analyzed the market have bought from the dip, they will plan to invest more Bitcoin for the coming days. I think this time can be good for investment, now the position in the market has come down a little.

[virasog]

The price of Bitcoin is going up and down widely between 86k dollars and 100k dollars. However, the possibility of Bitcoin price exceeding the target of 100k dollars at any time is very high, because December is Christmas Day, on this occasion, there is a high possibility of Bitcoin price increasing. However, I see many positive reasons for the increase in Bitcoin price in this December, but I think Bitcoin price will definitely increase on Christmas Day.

We are approaching the end of the year, and there may be some changes in Bitcoin's trajectory for the current period, although typically the end of the year sees much more speculative short-term price movements.
Based on current trends, Bitcoin should see a slight increase before entering next year, but speculative assets like this cannot be accurately predicted. If positive momentum occurs, I believe Bitcoin will rise to slightly above $100,000 due to several factors that could encourage people to seek alternative sources of hedge funds, especially if inflation or other negative economic growth occurs.

This is just my personal analysis because there is always uncertainty regarding Bitcoin price movements and it may be difficult to see the exact price movements, especially in conditions like the current ones.

Well most people were expecting another all time high for bitcoin price this year and in this month which in my opinion doesn't seem possible.

However this doesn't mean that bull run is over. I think we will have the bitcoin peak in Jan or Feb next year and there are many fundamental updates that favour this opinion. This includes end of QT and probable interest rate cuts in the next FOMC meeting and most importantly QE beginning any time soon.

[dezoel]

most people were expecting another all time high for bitcoin price this year and in this month which in my opinion doesn't seem possible.

However this doesn't mean that bull run is over. I think we will have the bitcoin peak in Jan or Feb next year and there are many fundamental updates that favour this opinion. This includes end of QT and probable interest rate cuts in the next FOMC meeting and most importantly QE beginning any time soon.

We had an all time high in October, that was it, ever since then it has been just going down and I think it will continue to go down. I am not saying that will be the case forever, we will go back up eventually but we have to realize that sometimes that's just not possible. Of course we can still make it up a bit time to time, like there could be moments where it goes up like recently, but we will go down mostly and won't be living anything more. If we can make it go down then we are going to be lucky.

[cryptomaniac_xxx]

most people were expecting another all time high for bitcoin price this year and in this month which in my opinion doesn't seem possible.

However this doesn't mean that bull run is over. I think we will have the bitcoin peak in Jan or Feb next year and there are many fundamental updates that favour this opinion. This includes end of QT and probable interest rate cuts in the next FOMC meeting and most importantly QE beginning any time soon.

We had an all time high in October, that was it, ever since then it has been just going down and I think it will continue to go down. I am not saying that will be the case forever, we will go back up eventually but we have to realize that sometimes that's just not possible. Of course we can still make it up a bit time to time, like there could be moments where it goes up like recently, but we will go down mostly and won't be living anything more. If we can make it go down then we are going to be lucky.

This might be the case already, we have reach the top of the bull run last October, and after that's it's all downhill for us. Which means that we are or could be in the bear season already just like in 2021.

And with the recent announcement by the Feds, we are down -3.4% in the last 24 hours. So as might as we like to see the price going into 6 digits at the end of the year, it might not happen and on the contrary, we might remain in the $80k'ish. So just be prepared and expect the worst moving forward 2026.

[pawel7777]

Does anyone believe we could still have a Santa Claus rally?
I called it a bear market some time ago, and I'm sticking to it. For a moment, it looked like the trend could reverse, but there wasn't enough steam to take us even to mid 90s.
By now, it's pretty clear that retail pumping the market is off the table. If anything, a lot of retail investors might decide to cash out to cover Christmas expenses. It's all down to spot ETFs now and they are harder to predict, but I doubt any sophisticated investors would be throwing money at Bitcoin at this stage of the cycle.

[liuka]

^ Making mistakes is the path to wisdom, and after all - it's a speculation board an topic, nobody is safe from making assumptions and seeing them right or wrong, that's the fun of it 

There is nothing wrong about making your own speculation about what the price of Bitcoin is capable of doing and we should not be surprised is what we speculated about the market does not come to an existence. I can observe different charts and come to a conclusion that the price of Bitcoin is going to reach $110k to $115k in price before the end of December and another person can look at the charts and conclude that the price of Bitcoin is going to go up to $130k during the months of December.
Nobody should be wrong here even if the price of Bitcoin does not exceed $105 for the month of December. Speculation is try and error, you can not be perfect at market predictions.

The name is also speculation, people make the guesses they want, including in the results of their own analysis, while whether it is wrong or right cannot be assumed to be correct, with the speculation that we do, especially by giving a reasonable price, it is valid.

On the internet there is a lot of speculation about the price of bitcoin at the end of the year in December. Some call bearish, or they call bullish, in terms of prices it varies from $75K to $130K even more than that, not surprising because the market cannot be guessed we only rely on speculation.

[laspol65]

I don't have high hopes only because of how destabilized the world and the global economy has become all thanks to all the wars the US regime has been starting over the past year, the last one being the attempted invasion of the oil-richest country in the world called Venezuela. We even have the occupied Japan talking about wanting to build nukes to fight the US proxy war with China.

I mean the world is getting crazier every hour LOL... this is a not a situation when we can see bitcoin soaring, sadly.

The instability that has arisen in the global economic market has led to the price of Bitcoin being dumped. However, the tariff war has further destabilized the economic market, where businesses have been facing the most pressure. The wars and tariffs of various countries have driven the global market crazy, which is why the price of Bitcoin is normally below $100k.

[STT]

I vote no to the bear but there is a downtrend in play and till 95k is beaten that has to remain the take.  Bear market is bigger then just a trend by itself, I could be alot more confident if we did trade above 95k and establish support above that to move higher but its not happening thus far.

9 weekly candles forming a clear movement for BTC price action downwards.  Only a slight recovery from the lows, only 2 of those candles managed to show as green so quite sharp severe performance (high volatility) compared to all action in sight over the last 3 years.