Junk bets

[Jawhead999]

I wonder how you do it that you have a very high success rate in bets that you say you analyse deeply during the week before betting on such events. I ask this as I have tried this myself which I am no soccer expert or sport expert in general and failed, I tried with very highly skilled premium tipsters, the results over the long run were the same which equal to massive amount of losing bets.

My assumption @OP is betting on favorites hence he has a high winning chance, when he throw money on junk bets, he bet on underdog which have less chance to win in the first place. That's what my observation when people said they're betting using their analysis, most of the time they will bet on favorites.

While for me, I would say someone analysis is really good if they have more than 50% winning chance when they bet on underdog.

[obuoma]

I usually place a few bets a week that I choose in advance. These are usually singles or two-event pairings, and these bets have a very high success rate.

However, during the day, I might decide to place one or two more bets. These are bets I choose during the game day, and I call these junk bets. These are bets I place without in-depth analysis, simply acting on the situation, and the success rate of these bets is frankly low, and sometimes I find it difficult to restrain myself from making such bets, because they seem good to me too.

How does it work for you? Do you feel like if you focused on just a few bets a week, you'd have much better results?

I don't place bets ahead of the game day because it keeps me emotionally attached to the bet. My bets are usually placed on the game day or at most a night to the game day. I know that placing bets days ahead of the game day gives you better odds and your judgements are clearer and without FOMO. It also gives you the opportunity to select many games of high probability unlike when you want to achieve a given odd from the match of the day. I know that place bets days ahead is better but I don't do it because I want my bets settled as quickly as possible.

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

Yes, when I focus on just a few bets any week that I decide to bet, the outcomes are better than when I want to bet on many random games including games that I think feels good to me but without a steady analysis and verification on sudden changes, I usually end up losing the bet, and even when I'm taking on a parlay, some games turns out bad because I didn't do much research on them, although it can favour me too some times but not always. I'm just concerned with taking cash out before it turns out a bad game.

[Cantsay]

How does it work for you? Do you feel like if you focused on just a few bets a week, you'd have much better results?

Something I realized was that, whenever I stack up so many tickets in my account I tend to have a very low win rate because a lot of those tickets games weren’t really thought through properly before I went ahead with the decision of selecting them but when the tickets are very few I tend to spend more time analyzing and considering more things before making a bet.

It’s not as if I don’t make those bets you referred to as “junk bet” it’s just that I don’t do it all the time, it’s a once in a while something. Something I do when I have a few cash to spare or when my balance is just too small to make any significant returns for me, I’d just put it all in a parlay that I didn’t really conduct proper analysis for and most of the times they just end up being wrong.

[boyptc]

IMHO, this is just fine and this is gambling is all about. You bet on what you feel at that moment you're placing that.

You understand the risk that you're taking and you'll accept if you lose it. You're free to make these junk bets anytime you want but there should also be the time that you'll do some of the serious bets.

If you're having fun doing this, make sure that you're gambling with not so much money because the chances of winning is truly low.

[SmartGold01]

Sports betting is something that you can't really predicts how the results would be because those games you think that are common are not common and they are actually very tough to maneuver and sometimes when you picked at random you would see that the results could like be positive but those with indepth analysis usually turns the other way round. I think had similar game like that before were I have won with less analysis, for me I do calls it random pick matches without good deep forecast. 

[mirakal]

How does it work for you? Do you feel like if you focused on just a few bets a week, you'd have much better results?

Yeah, I get that part about having better results when I only pick a few games, but man it gets boring. I don’t feel the thrill when I limit myself, and when the bookies drop a full slate of games in the league I follow, I end up wanting to bet on everything. And honestly, most of my picks aren’t even coming from some deep analysis, it’s more like a quick look and a big gut feel. Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn’t, and even when I try doing a deeper breakdown, it still doesn’t really change much since I’m not profitable anyway.

[SOKO-DEKE]

How does it work for you? Do you feel like if you focused on just a few bets a week, you'd have much better results?

Fact is that the more the bets, the higher the risk, so it is always better for someone to focus on a few bets rather than having multiple bets. So, as for me, I always focus on a few bets just to limit my risk, and honestly, I do have better results sometimes. In fact, it is not really easy to predict multiple games; some may not even have better outcomes due to lack of proper analysis. Despite that gambling depends on luck, if we do analysis before picking a game and staking it, it will surely increase our chances of winning. Analysis really helps in sports betting.

[rachael9385]

I usually place a few bets a week that I choose in advance. These are usually singles or two-event pairings, and these bets have a very high success rate.

However, during the day, I might decide to place one or two more bets. These are bets I choose during the game day, and I call these junk bets. These are bets I place without in-depth analysis, simply acting on the situation, and the success rate of these bets is frankly low, and sometimes I find it difficult to restrain myself from making such bets, because they seem good to me too.

How does it work for you? Do you feel like if you focused on just a few bets a week, you'd have much better results?

Sometimes even the matches that you analyze deeply might not be successful and the junk bets might surprisingly come through. Is there anytime you have won from these junk bets?because I have placed such random games before and I still ended up winning. Although it is better to stick to your analyzed bets because it reduces the chances of losing and also limits the time you spend gambling

[aoluain]

IMHO, this is just fine and this is gambling is all about. You bet on what you feel at that moment you're placing that.

You understand the risk that you're taking and you'll accept if you lose it. You're free to make these junk bets anytime you want but there should also be the time that you'll do some of the serious bets.

If you're having fun doing this, make sure that you're gambling with not so much money because the chances of winning is truly low.

yea I agree with this too.

I feel like the OP's 'Junk' bets are probably more fun and is a good mixup to a
strick betting regime.

I have something similar going on although I wouldnt call myself a serious gambler,
more casual so my regime is more casual too, a mixup of serious good research
bets and probably more 'junk' bets.

I think its ok as long as it doesnt cause stress and worry.

[boyptc]

IMHO, this is just fine and this is gambling is all about. You bet on what you feel at that moment you're placing that.

You understand the risk that you're taking and you'll accept if you lose it. You're free to make these junk bets anytime you want but there should also be the time that you'll do some of the serious bets.

If you're having fun doing this, make sure that you're gambling with not so much money because the chances of winning is truly low.

yea I agree with this too.

I feel like the OP's 'Junk' bets are probably more fun and is a good mixup to a
strick betting regime.

I have something similar going on although I wouldnt call myself a serious gambler,
more casual so my regime is more casual too, a mixup of serious good research
bets and probably more 'junk' bets.

I think its ok as long as it doesnt cause stress and worry.

Because he's said that he basically throw money to these bets without further analysis and that's why he's ready to lose it.

I think that each of us have in common when we do this, we just want to have fun and just put that place to whichever game we want.

The money that's dedicated to it won't cause that harm to the pocket of OP and to any other bettors that also does the same thing.

[suzanne5223]

If we're to do the estimation, I believe 90% of all sports bettors have once done the betting that involves simply betting based on the situation of what's happening between 2 teams, because at some point, some matches don't require indepth analysis for someone who's fully aware of what's happening in a certain league or football club, and in most case awareness with understanding of both team is what always determine if the junk bet will work or not.
 
What i do is focused on a game i believe will be easy for me to win, not a few bets a week, but if the few a week still works for you, continue with it.

[EluguHcman]

How does it work for you? Do you feel like if you focused on just a few bets a week, you'd have much better results?

Put for instance about those who only plays on seasonal matches, so they make it successful after being patient and spending energies on analysing the games on the occasionally before they plays bets on them?

How about those who only bets on weekend games, do they remain successful because they don't play randomly on both week-in and week-ends? Absolutely, they are still standing on same risks as those regular or random gamblers who bets on multiple games.

Though betting of few games could stand and advantage but not guaranteed to be found a reliable strategy.

[JiiBs]

However, during the day, I might decide to place one or two more bets. These are bets I choose during the game day, and I call these junk bets. These are bets I place without in-depth analysis, simply acting on the situation, and the success rate of these bets is frankly low, and sometimes I find it difficult to restrain myself from making such bets, because they seem good to me too.

How does it work for you?

A lot of us do place bets in this way and it seems like the normal thing to do, placing bets on the day of the fixture, you get the chance to make precise analysis on that day, team news, if their was any injury situation at the trainings and it’s even better in live bets where you get to see the line ups and know what to expect of the squad. Your junk bet might just be the way a lot of us like to play.

There isn’t anything bad on predicting games several days to the actual fixture though, you could still come up with good analysis for a good bet.

[OgNasty]

I usually place a few bets a week that I choose in advance. These are usually singles or two-event pairings, and these bets have a very high success rate.

However, during the day, I might decide to place one or two more bets. These are bets I choose during the game day, and I call these junk bets. These are bets I place without in-depth analysis, simply acting on the situation, and the success rate of these bets is frankly low, and sometimes I find it difficult to restrain myself from making such bets, because they seem good to me too.

One man's junk is another man's jackpot. 

I think as long as you are being entertained and not slacking during the day to place your bets, it doesn't do much harm.  Don't bet more than you can afford to lose and it's no problem.

[Sandra_hakeem]

These are bets I place without in-depth analysis, simply acting on the situation, and the success rate of these bets is frankly low, and sometimes I find it difficult to restrain myself from making such bets, because they seem good to me too.
How does it work for you?

That's what I call "carelessness" in betting... By the way, anything else seems good to you aside this? You might want to check your addiction level huh. It's not a strategy to begin with, because it doesn't deliver the same outcome every time you try it. You may not even get a single outcome twice (with the same pattern) from doing this.

Do you feel like if you focused on just a few bets a week, you'd have much better results?

I feel that would still happen depending on how you make your selections. Surely, there's going to be a big difference from when you don't put in any efforts to match up the teams. Also, a huge stake, at the right moment, on the wrong odds can change the story.

[Patikno]

I usually place a few bets a week that I choose in advance. These are usually singles or two-event pairings, and these bets have a very high success rate.

However, during the day, I might decide to place one or two more bets. These are bets I choose during the game day, and I call these junk bets. These are bets I place without in-depth analysis, simply acting on the situation, and the success rate of these bets is frankly low, and sometimes I find it difficult to restrain myself from making such bets, because they seem good to me too.

How does it work for you? Do you feel like if you focused on just a few bets a week, you'd have much better results?

Personally, I don't think there is a difference between betting with in-depth analysis, and betting without in-depth analysis. I have often wonm, and lost when using in-depth analysis, or vice versa. So, that is why I consider it the same, and I consider all my bets to be based on my luck at that moment. We know anything can happen with every bet we make, even if we have a very good chance of winning. Therefore, I often just do simple analysis while enjoying the game, and I feel like it is all just entertainment. Even if I win, I consider it additional entertainment. With that mindset, I feel that is the ideal way to bet, so I can enjoy gambling without excessive mental burden, so I can enjoy the next betting session, and I think everyone should do the same. Cmiiw.

[TheUltraElite]

That sounds like bets made from impulse. But I think there is very little difference between such bets and bets made with analysis because ultimately luck factor comes in and makes the stuff cancel out. One stroke of bad luck is enough to wipe out your entire analysis in seconds.

Either way I think it would be better if you stick to what you have been playing with. Impulsive bets or bets done at random or bets done with analysis.

Sometimes bets with analysis will work out, sometimes they wont. You cant guess when.

[alegotardo]

I usually place a few bets a week that I choose in advance. These are usually singles or two-event pairings, and these bets have a very high success rate.

However, during the day, I might decide to place one or two more bets. These are bets I choose during the game day, and I call these junk bets. These are bets I place without in-depth analysis, simply acting on the situation, and the success rate of these bets is frankly low, and sometimes I find it difficult to restrain myself from making such bets, because they seem good to me too.

How does it work for you? Do you feel like if you focused on just a few bets a week, you'd have much better results?

At least you've already done what the most bettors fail to do... identify the problem behind your money loss, recognize the issues and know where improvements are needs. To consistently profit, the key is to avoid these impulses. The more you bet without planning, greater is your risk and the worse the long term return.
Of course, it is necessary to find a balance between financial return and enjoyment... making careful bets requires time, research, and planning.... sometimes it is too boring and not fun at all, stressful and monotonous. So, I think it is really necessary to make bets on impulse, for fun, but as long as you are always aware that this is lost money, something you risk without intending to get a return... if you are okay with that, then everything's fine!

I am a responsible gambler; most of my bets are placed in advance and rationally, but I confess that it's tiring, and I usually "dedicate" a few days every month to spending whatever is left, just for fun, without technical criteria and without any intention of financial return.

[junder]

I usually place a few bets a week that I choose in advance. These are usually singles or two-event pairings, and these bets have a very high success rate.

However, during the day, I might decide to place one or two more bets. These are bets I choose during the game day, and I call these junk bets. These are bets I place without in-depth analysis, simply acting on the situation, and the success rate of these bets is frankly low, and sometimes I find it difficult to restrain myself from making such bets, because they seem good to me too.

How does it work for you? Do you feel like if you focused on just a few bets a week, you'd have much better results?

We know that betting or gambling involves luck. If you do it without thorough analysis, and even if you think the odds of success are low, I don't think that's impossible. Your bets can yield positive results if luck is on your side. I'm a big believer in luck, but that doesn't mean you should always rely on luck, especially in sports betting, where relying on luck is certainly not recommended. I sometimes bet on my favorite teams or big matches.