I prefer evidence, and risk management is essential to me. No matter what the prediction is, as long as it's balanced and stop losses are in place, it should be okay.
Using stoploss alone cannot get you a proper risk management, it means stoploss may save you from a bigger lose but what would happen if you hit stoploss multiple times. So, accuracy of a prediction matters even you use stoploss. Otherwise, it all mean, you are gambling without bothering the track record of predictions.
I’ve been around long enough to see many predictions like this completely miss reality markets usually move on liquidity macro events and adoption not colors or numbers.
Macro economics are the real movers of cryptocurrencies, for example after pandemic with high interest rate in USA, we are not seeing big movements in bitcoin market.