Stadus NBA betting Journey - 52.70%

[stadus]

With that in mind, I’m taking Dallas -3.5 on the spread.

won this game and the record is 37-34 =  52.11%


Tomorrow we’ve got Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers and I’m leaning toward the home team at just -1.

The Cavs beat the Sixers by double digits last game, so this feels like a clear revenge spot.
It’s also Philly’s first game back home after a road trip, which usually helps.

Good luck to everyone betting.

[rbynxx]

Tomorrow we’ve got Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers and I’m leaning toward the home team at just -1.

The Cavs beat the Sixers by double digits last game, so this feels like a clear revenge spot.
It’s also Philly’s first game back home after a road trip, which usually helps.

Good luck to everyone betting.

I did the same to lean on them but I've got it for -1.5 with also a parlay for Raptors -2.5 considering Ingram is expected to play. It's a risky bet considering it's Indiana's home and they've been on a streak now.

Good luck and hope my parlays goes through.

[stadus]

I did the same to lean on them but I've got it for -1.5

Sorry we lost our bet.

my record now is 37-35 ( 51.38%)


We’ve got one early game tomorrow, and that’s where I’ll be putting my money.
Orlando has been solid at home with a 13–6 record. Their ATS record isn’t great, but against a team that’s been inconsistent, I think they still win and cover the spread.

With that said, my play is Orlando -5.

[stadus]

With that said, my play is Orlando -5.

Good bounce-back win for me as Orlando took the game 118–111. (38-35)

Since there are still games later, I’ll place one more bet and go with Spurs vs Bucks. With how the Bucks have been struggling lately, I think that continues, especially against a Spurs team that’s been very solid at home.

My pick is Spurs -7.5.

[stadus]

My pick is Spurs -7.5.

Another win, record improve to 39-35 = 52.70%


For tomorrow, I already have an early lean, and that’s Wolves +3.5.

The Rockets just lost to OKC and they’re on a back-to-back. I like the Wolves to take advantage of that, especially with their speed against this team.

[stadus]

For tomorrow, I already have an early lean, and that’s Wolves +3.5.

The Rockets just lost to OKC and they’re on a back-to-back. I like the Wolves to take advantage of that, especially with their speed against this team.

Bad decision on my part, I didn’t realize Edwards was out. Still, Minnesota actually played well, they just fell short in the fourth.
With that, my record is now 39–36, around 52%.


NYK -3.5

[stadus]

NYK -3.5

No Brunson it was a problem for the Knicks, 39-37 (51.13%)

Tomorrow, I’m looking at the Lakers vs Raptors game. With the Lakers on a back-to-back and coming off a loss to the Blazers, I think the Raptors can take advantage of that with fresher legs. The Lakers are playing their third game in four nights, and that’s an easy angle for me to bet against them.

My pick is Raptors +1.5.

[stadus]

My pick is Raptors +1.5.

Lakers end up winning as Luka played, 39-38 the current record at 50.64%

We’ll continue this journey with the OKC vs Cavaliers game.

I still don’t fully trust the Cavs, even after winning their last two games. And after OKC lost to the Miami Heat, I’m thinking they’ll come in motivated and look for a bounce-back win, even on the road. Because of that, I’m confident OKC takes this one and covers the -6 spread.

[stadus]

I’m confident OKC takes this one and covers the -6 spread.

This one was quite easy. 40-38 51.28%


Tomorrow I’m going with the San Antonio Spurs vs the Houston Rockets, and I’m taking the young Spurs with the +3.5 handicap. I honestly think they can beat the Rockets outright, but since there’s a small handicap available, I’d rather take that for a bit of safety.

Good luck to everyone. 

[stadus]

Spurs with the +3.5 handicap. I honestly think they can beat the Rockets outright,

Loss my bet, record now 40-39 = 50.63%


Moving forward, I’m looking at the Orlando vs Charlotte game. Both teams are coming off a loss in their previous game, but I’m leaning toward the home team (-5) here since Orlando has been solid at home. I’m also choosing to ignore Charlotte’s decent road ATS record because they’re on a back-to-back, and that usually matters more to me. GL.

[OgNasty]

I’d like to see the actual return instead of the % being correct. For example, I could easily obtain a 90% gambling win rate, but the odds of those wins would be so bad that I could still be unprofitable even with the high win rate. If you track your actual return, it takes the odds into account and provides what I believe is better data.

[stadus]

I’d like to see the actual return instead of the % being correct. For example, I could easily obtain a 90% gambling win rate, but the odds of those wins would be so bad that I could still be unprofitable even with the high win rate. If you track your actual return, it takes the odds into account and provides what I believe is better data.

I’d rather keep the exact amount I’m betting private, but I can assure you that once I hit around a 53% win rate, I’m already in small profit since I’m using a fixed percentage of my running bankroll. Also, if you notice, most of the picks I post here usually come with odds of at least 1.90 in most sportsbooks, that’s the relation I was talking about where even a 53% hit rate can already be profitable.

Thank you for visiting my thread OG. 

[stadus]

e home team (-5) here since Orlando has been solid at home.

Loss by blowout, now my record is even 40-40 50%


Next stop, Boston vs Brooklyn.

Brooklyn is coming off their biggest loss of the season and now they’re facing Boston, a team they actually beat in their last meeting. I’m thinking Boston will be looking for some revenge here and will try to take advantage while Brooklyn is still on a bit of a hangover after that blowout. Because of that, my pick is Boston -8.

[stadus]

Because of that, my pick is Boston -8.

It doesn’t look good right now, but at least overtime gives me a small chance since the game is tied at 104. Now with the extra minutes, I’m hoping Boston goes on a strong run and somehow wins by at least 9 points. That would definitely make my day, fingers crossed.

another OT 18-118 ( chance still alive).