Stadus NBA betting Journey - Magic +2.5. (52% WR)

[yahoo62278]

With that, my pick is Cavaliers -3.

Back to 50% (42-42).

Starting to build a little win streak here, hopefully it keeps going.

I’m looking at the matchup between the Miami Heat and the home team Chicago Bulls. Both teams are on a back-to-back, but the last two games between them were dominated by Miami with pretty big margins, and that’s really my main basis for backing the road team again.

With that, my pick is Miami -1.5.

Battle of the who wants it more here, Miami has been struggling with Herro out and the Bulls have been mediocre since the 90's lol. Your pick is probably right here, but it will be a close game IMO.

[stadus]

With that, my pick is Miami -1.5.

That’s a win, record is now 43–42, spread cashes so let’s try to add another one.


For tomorrow, I’m looking at the Sacramento Kings vs the Boston Celtics. The Kings just played the Sixers and came up short, so this will be a back-to-back for them. Boston should be well prepared here, especially after that last loss, they’ll be looking to bounce back in a big way. I’m expecting a blowout, so my pick is Boston -11.5.

Your pick is probably right here, but it will be a close game IMO.

YES

[stadus]

so my pick is Boston -11.5.

Another win, biings my record to 44-42 = 51% ( the win streak continues).


Of course we keep going while we’re hot. Tomorrow I’m looking at the game between the Timberwolves and the Grizzlies.

I really think the Wolves should take this by double digits. The Grizzlies look like a team that’s still struggling right now, they’re on a five-game losing streak already, so I wouldn’t be surprised if that turns into six.

My pick is Wolves -8.

[stadus]

My pick is Wolves -8.

Still on fire right now, 45–42 (51.72%) is the updated record.

Going early as usual. Tomorrow I’m looking at the Lakers vs Knicks, and I’m siding with the home team against LeBron and company. The spread looks fair to me, and most of the public will probably lean toward the Lakers here.

I trust the Knicks at home though, so my pick is Knicks -5.

[stadus]

so my pick is Knicks -5.

Another win, win streak is still on, 46-42 (52.27%)..


Tomorrow I’ll be picking the game between the Wolves and the Grizzlies, it’s a rematch at the same venue and the last game was pretty much dominated by the Wolves. I don’t really see much changing this time, I’m still leaning toward the Wolves and I think we’ll witness a similar result again, with them winning by double digits.

My pick is Wolves -8.

[stadus]

My pick is Wolves -8.

Win streak has ended. 46-43 = 51.68%


Now let’s continue and start a new one. Today I’ve got the Lakers vs the Nets. The Lakers lost to the Knicks in their last game, so I’m expecting a bounce-back here and a win against the Nets on their home court.

The Nets are 2–8 in their last 10 games, and honestly they look like a bad team right now.

[OgNasty]

You planning on making any bets in prediction markets around who will be traded where? The Giannis trade market seems to be the hot bet at the moment. Seems like that might be straying from the subject a bit, but still fun to make predictions.

[stadus]

so I’m expecting a bounce-back here and a win against the Nets on their home court.

its a win, so now let's start this win streak again, 47-43 (52.22%) is the current record.


So now let’s continue. I’ve got the San Antonio Spurs to beat the Oklahoma City Thunder at home.
They lost their last game, so I feel like this one is more of a revenge spot for them.

These two teams have already met a lot this season, and in most of those games, the Spurs actually had the edge. That’s why I’m leaning toward them again here.

My pick is Spurs +2.

You planning on making any bets in prediction markets around who will be traded where?

I’m not really into this kind of market yet Og, but thanks for sharing it, it does look interesting.
Still, I’ll probably stick with my usual grind for now.

[Sanitough]

My pick is Spurs +2.

It’s slowly leaning toward the  Spurs now since the line moved to +1.5. It’s just a small movement, but in a big market like this, that already means something.

Their last game on January 13 was a blowout loss, but before that, the Spurs were on a 3-game winning streak against the Oklahoma City Thunder. So this could be a spot where the Spurs make some adjustments and return the favor with a big win of their own.

I’m even considering the moneyline here. Since they’re playing at home, this might actually turn out to be an easy win for the Spurs.

[stadus]

My pick is Spurs +2.

and yes that continues, 48-43 = 52.74%

So today I’ve got the GS Warriors vs the Phoenix Suns. Based on the latest reports, Stephen Curry is still out, so this feels like a good spot for the Suns to get some revenge for their last loss to the Warriors. I’m taking the home team here at -6, and honestly I’m even thinking this could turn into a blowout win.

[stadus]

I’m taking the home team here at -6, and honestly I’m even thinking this could turn into a blowout win.

I honestly thought I already had this in the bag after that big third-quarter run by the Phoenix Suns, but somehow, even without Stephen Curry, the Warriors still managed to put together a huge fourth quarter and steal the win on the road.

With that loss, my record is now 48–44, sitting at around 50.52%. Still slightly positive, but that one really hurt.


Moving on, I’m taking the game between the Miami Heat and the Boston Celtics. I’m going with the home team here at -6.

The last two games were dominated by Boston, and I don’t really see much changing this time, especially since the Celtics are on a roll right now. Everything seems to be clicking for them.

[stadus]

I’m going with the home team here at -6.

Down big in the first half, then Celtics came back hard in the second half and still won the game. Thought for a moment I might still cover, but not enough in the end, so that’s an L on my bet.
Record now is 48-45 = 51.61%

Tomorrow let’s keep grinding. I’m on the LA Lakers vs Warriors.

Lakers have been solid at home lately, so this feels like a no-brainer for me. I’m taking them -3 at home.
Let’s see how it goes. 

[stadus]

I’m taking them -3 at home.

No Luka no problem, 49-45 (52.12%) is the new record.

Alright, let’s continue. We’ve got a good matchup here, and this one honestly feels like a possible playoff preview already, since both teams are really solid. It’s the New York Knicks vs the Boston Celtics.

I’m going with the home team here, because Boston has been really strong at home lately, and just like in their last game, even when they were down big, they still found a way to come back and win. So with that in mind, I’m taking Celtics -4 and hoping they show up again. Good luck to us.

[stadus]

I’m taking Celtics -4

Big loss, 49-46 (51.57%)  is the new record.


Tomorrow we’ve got Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic. The Magic won their last game but failed to cover, while the Bucks are on a 3-game win streak right now.

For me, they look due for a loss, and I think it could be by double digits. So my pick is Magic -10.5.

[stadus]

So my pick is Magic -10.5.

This one was easy, 50-46 (52%)

Now moving on, we’ve got Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks. Dallas has been really bad lately, they’re on a 7-game losing streak already, and I’m expecting that to turn into 8.

I’m backing the Suns at home, they’re coming off two losses and I think they’ll bounce back strong tonight.
My pick. Suns -8.5

[stadus]

My pick. Suns -8.5

Final score suns 120 - dallas 111.. suns won by 9 points..  with that my record is now at 51-46 = 52.47%


Today, my pick is Boston -13.5. After that disappointing loss last game, I think they’re bound to bounce back strong. Meanwhile, the Bulls are on a 5-game losing streak, and most of those losses are double digits against playoff teams.

So that’s really my basis for this pick. I feel like this one should be relatively easy, at least on paper.

[stadus]

Today, my pick is Boston -13.5.

Another win, 52-46 is the new record ( 54.16%)


Tomorrow there are only a few games, and honestly I’m not that confident with my picks. With my current record, I already feel a bit satisfied, I don’t feel the need to force anything right now. I’m calling it a day off. First time I’ve had a win streak and decided to rest instead of pushing my luck.

[stadus]

After a few days of break, we’re finally back now.

Tomorrow there are plenty of games, but honestly I don’t see many good choices for betting. The only one that stands out to me is Houston Rockets vs Charlotte Hornets. The underdog already beat the Rockets in their last meeting, and they’re also on a strong run, like 9 wins out of their last 10 games.

with that stat, I’m kind of confident they can give Houston a competitive game again. Since it’s at home, I’m leaning with Hornets +4.5.

[stadus]

I’m leaning with Hornets +4.5.

Almost, that .5 was a life saver, record now is 51-46 = 52.57%


So we’ve got plenty of games again tomorrow, but as usual, we just pick what we think is the best matchup.

I’ll still back the team that gave me a win, and that’s the Charlotte Hornets. They’re on a back-to-back, but the cavs are in the same situation anyway. The line right now is +6.5, and for me that looks like good value. If I wanted to go a bit crazy, I might even take the moneyline, but I’ll stick with just one bet for now. 

Pick: +6.5

[stadus]

Pick: +6.5

The two losses of the Hornets actually gave me two wins on the handicap, another one covered. With that, my record is now 52-46, around 53%.


So let’s try to keep this win streak going. We move on to tomorrow’s games. I’m looking at the Knicks vs Rockets matchup.
Honestly, I’m having a hard time analyzing which team will win here, so I won’t force a side. I’ll still bet on the game, but this time I’m going with the total instead.

Final pick: Under 216.5