SpaceX IPO

[STT]

Im not buying the IPO but I might be buying stock of the operations who bought the private equity of this deal a good few years ago, got low prices and are now benefitting from the IPO.  If they benefit and I own their stock then I benefit in some way even if the end price might well be bumpy.
    Its really not going to be simple I guess and some are pointing out the size of this project has meant a large number of investors are already inside and owners, so whose left to buy and apparently a third of the IPO buyers are hoped to be retail or the small guys like us.
   I don't think the average person is feeling that rich right now, its not a boom time for most people so I kinda doubt that strategy but the IPO prospectus is framing it like an episode of Star Trek updated for the modern era, more story then profits so you really have to believe.

[OgNasty]

“MORGAN STANLEY PROJECTS SPACEX WILL REACH ANNUAL REVENUE OF $3.4 TRILLION BY 2040 WITH ANNUAL PROFIT OF $2.7 TRILLION”

Running the math on this… With a P/E ratio of 25, that would put SpaceX shares at a price of $5,200/share by 2040. A x38 in 14 years. Not bad. I’ll be trying to buy all I can at the IPO price and crossing my fingers I get some.

[WillyAp]

“MORGAN STANLEY PROJECTS SPACEX WILL REACH ANNUAL REVENUE OF $3.4 TRILLION BY 2040 WITH ANNUAL PROFIT OF $2.7 TRILLION”

Running the math on this… With a P/E ratio of 25, that would put SpaceX shares at a price of $5,200/share by 2040. A x38 in 14 years. Not bad. I’ll be trying to buy all I can at the IPO price and crossing my fingers I get some.

A clear sign that Morgan Stanley's Marketing got the result of their strategy. 

[OgNasty]

Tomorrow is the day. SpaceX is said to be finalizing their IPO offering to investors after the market closes. No idea if I will find out what I’ll receive on Thursday or if I have to wait for trading to begin. Trading is expected to start sometime after lunch on Friday.

[Vod]

If anyone has any money left over from the AI boom, this is the best place to lose it!   This 2026 IPO is being priced on future vision (orbital data centers, Mars, AI) rather than current fundamentals.

1.  Grok was marketed as an "anti-woke," truth-seeking AI alternative to ChatGPT. Instead, it repeatedly generated left-leaning political content, refused to answer certain questions about Musk's critics, and hallucinated confidently about current events.   xAI is burning an estimated $1 billion per month in cash and is debt-laden. SpaceX's free cash flow is expected to subsidize this cash furnace.

2.  Since Musk's acquisition, X has lost an estimated 80% of its pre-acquisition value (from $44B to ~$9B at some estimates).  Now that inflated valuation is embedded in the SpaceX-xAI merger math. Public investors are being asked to buy into a social media property that has been systematically destroying its own revenue base.

3.  His failed Boring company adds a 6% IPO bonus.

4.  SpaceX's Starship is still in early test flight phase with no crew-rated vehicle, no orbital refueling demo, no successful booster reuse, and a 3-year slip on the crewed lunar landing. 

This $1.7 Trillion IPO is the equivalent of buying Bitcoin on Oct 4, 2025.   It will be fun to see who falls for it.   

[SUPERSAIAN]

There's no investment without risk. So will be buying too.
I believe it's going to have FOMO and short term spike but I will just take it as a share that either makes it or not
So wouldn't be fixated.

According to what I read it's price ranged around $200-$400+ per unit share in the secondary market.

Lol atleast let me be a shareholder in a Rocket creating company.

Every investment has risks the important thing is to take sensible risks. Investing in technology always seems logical. I won't take that risk, but I'll still monitor it closely. If the price crashes, then I'll start making small purchases. I don't want to rush into making an investment; I've suffered a lot of losses from hasty decisions.

[dwyane36]

If anyone has any money left over from the AI boom, this is the best place to lose it!   This 2026 IPO is being priced on future vision (orbital data centers, Mars, AI) rather than current fundamentals.

1.  Grok was marketed as an "anti-woke," truth-seeking AI alternative to ChatGPT. Instead, it repeatedly generated left-leaning political content, refused to answer certain questions about Musk's critics, and hallucinated confidently about current events.   xAI is burning an estimated $1 billion per month in cash and is debt-laden. SpaceX's free cash flow is expected to subsidize this cash furnace.

2.  Since Musk's acquisition, X has lost an estimated 80% of its pre-acquisition value (from $44B to ~$9B at some estimates).  Now that inflated valuation is embedded in the SpaceX-xAI merger math. Public investors are being asked to buy into a social media property that has been systematically destroying its own revenue base.

3.  His failed Boring company adds a 6% IPO bonus.

4.  SpaceX's Starship is still in early test flight phase with no crew-rated vehicle, no orbital refueling demo, no successful booster reuse, and a 3-year slip on the crewed lunar landing. 

This $1.7 Trillion IPO is the equivalent of buying Bitcoin on Oct 4, 2025.   It will be fun to see who falls for it.   

Since there’s been a lot of hype surrounding this IPO, I think there will be plenty of people eager to buy SpaceX shares at $135. As you pointed out, the hype is primarily driven by the future prospects of the company. However, many are likely ignoring the fact that SpaceX posted a loss of over $4 billion last quarter. Overall, it wouldn’t be surprising if the SPCX price drops sharply by about 50% by the end of the year following the listing, as has happened with some other large companies after their IPOs.

[WillyAp]

1.  Grok was marketed as an "anti-woke," truth-seeking AI alternative to ChatGPT. Instead, it repeatedly generated left-leaning political content, refused to answer certain questions about Musk's critics, and hallucinated confidently about current events.   xAI is burning an estimated $1 billion per month in cash and is debt-laden. SpaceX's free cash flow is expected to subsidize this cash furnace.

With the money Space X is going through it hardly makes a difference.  Where do you get the amount of burned thru capital from? (sources)

X.AI LLC, doing business as xAI, is a subsidiary of the American spaceflight company SpaceX working in the areas of artificial intelligence (AI) and social media.

source https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/XAI_(company)

Stock exchanges valuate the future for some time now. It is a bet on the future. Musk pushes the future to were it belongs.

[Cryptomultiplier]

In what will be the largest IPO of all time, Elon Musk has said SpaceX will go public in 2026 at a 1.5 trillion dollar valuation.

Will you be buying? I will.

This is massive for SpaceX as they look forward to raise up to $86 billion, making it the largest IPO in history. This is about 30% allocation specifically for retail investors to get in on.
For me, I would like to see how the early days pan out to absorb the liquidity shock before either making a move or just focus on something else.

[OgNasty]

In what will be the largest IPO of all time, Elon Musk has said SpaceX will go public in 2026 at a 1.5 trillion dollar valuation.

Will you be buying? I will.

This is massive for SpaceX as they look forward to raise up to $86 billion, making it the largest IPO in history. This is about 30% allocation specifically for retail investors to get in on.
For me, I would like to see how the early days pan out to absorb the liquidity shock before either making a move or just focus on something else.

There’s always a better time to buy. There’s never another opportunity to participate in the largest fundraise in human history with the goal of making us a multi-planetary species.

I had to approve documents about the SpaceX compute deal with Google today. SpaceX is growing so fast it is mind blowing. I hope I get allocated a lot of shares.


I got a delivery from SpaceX today. A cool jacket with an awesome launch patch. I also received a SpaceX badge for my Cybertruck.

[Vod]

Stock exchanges valuate the future for some time now. It is a bet on the future. Musk pushes the future to were it belongs.

You can watch thousands of videos on basic physics that prove data centers will never work in space and humans will never live on Mars, no matter what Elon is able to sell the investors.

xAI is burning an estimated $1 billion per month in cash and is debt-laden. SpaceX's free cash flow is expected to subsidize this cash furnace.

With the money Space X is going through it hardly makes a difference.  Where do you get the amount of burned thru capital from? (sources)

Good call on that.   SpaceX is $500M a month, XAi was $1.3B.

The "$1 billion/month" figure from June 2025 was based on levered cash flow projections shared with investors, not audited financials.  The later SEC filings show the actual 2025 operating loss was $6.4 billion for the year (~$533M/month), though total cash consumption including Spacex was significantly higher.

https://www.straitstimes.com/world/united-states/musks-xai-startup-burns-through-1-3b-a-month-as-costs-pile-up
https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/articles/xai-burned-6-4b-last-222608682.html

[philipma1957]

Stock exchanges valuate the future for some time now. It is a bet on the future. Musk pushes the future to were it belongs.

You can watch thousands of videos on basic physics that prove data centers will never work in space and humans will never live on Mars, no matter what Elon is able to sell the investors.

xAI is burning an estimated $1 billion per month in cash and is debt-laden. SpaceX's free cash flow is expected to subsidize this cash furnace.
With the money Space X is going through it hardly makes a difference.  Where do you get the amount of burned thru capital from? (sources)

Good call on that.   SpaceX is $500M a month, XAi was 1.3B.

The "$1 billion/month" figure from June 2025 was based on levered cash flow projections shared with investors, not audited financials.  The later SEC filings show the actual 2025 operating loss was $6.4 billion for the year (~$533M/month), though total cash consumption including capex was significantly higher.

https://www.straitstimes.com/world/united-states/musks-xai-startup-burns-through-1-3b-a-month-as-costs-pile-up
https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/articles/xai-burned-6-4b-last-222608682.html

pretty sure we can live on mars.

but maybe not with millions of people.

load up the moon build a few bases mostly having robots do the work.

move people there not a lot.


launch tons of supplies to mars.

have robots build a few bases mostly on the mars equator.

see where we go from there.

do I think i will live to see 100,000 people on the moon and 1,000 on mars no as I am too old.

[OgNasty]

I received notification that I have to confirm my indication of interest once the final offer is made. They said this could happen late tomorrow night and I will have to confirm before market open early on Friday. Seems no matter how prepared, financial deals involving banks always have last second things that need to happen. You’d think there would be a better way to do this by now… Will continue to update on this historic IPO.

[OgNasty]

My interest is confirmed. Wont be long now before I find out my allocation. Shares should start trading on the open market in just over 12 hours. Feels a little like the night before Christmas. People seem to think shares will trade around $165 tomorrow when they go live up from the $135 IPO price. We shall see.

[NotATether]

A $321,435 investment in the SpaceX IPO will make you a millionaire when it hits $420.

The more I hear about the disasters that are terrestrial data centers, the more I think SpaceX will be the largest company in the world someday.

Does that Solana contract you posted still work?

[OgNasty]

A $321,435 investment in the SpaceX IPO will make you a millionaire when it hits $420.

The more I hear about the disasters that are terrestrial data centers, the more I think SpaceX will be the largest company in the world someday.

Does that Solana contract you posted still work?

Yes, but I’m not sure what will happen to it once trading goes live tomorrow. I wouldn’t mess with it at this point. I would just buy the shares when trading goes live if you want in. There’s no point taking on additional risk now that they’re trading on actual stock markets.

[dansus021]

Congrat who already buying spacex share

Today bell has been ringing 15 minutes and now already hit 162 USD from 135 usd

According to CNBC SpaceX successfully raised $75 billion in its record-shattering Initial Public Offering (IPO) on June 12, 2026. This historic offering officially ranks as the largest public stock listing in global financial history, easily doubling the previous $29 billion record set by Saudi Aramco in 2019.

and according to cbc Elon Musk has an estimated net worth between $1.005 trillion and $1.1 trillion following the record-breaking SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026. This monumental financial milestone officially makes him the world's first-ever trillionaire in recorded history

[OgNasty]

It’s been a good day for sure. I was a bit disappointed in my allocation though. I got about 25% that I asked for on the brokerage I just signed up for last week and only 3% of what I asked for from my main brokerage. Not ideal but I am glad I signed up for a new brokerage just for this or I’d be really sad.

We’ll see if the small allocation saves me from losing a bunch of money or is a seed of regret. For now I will wait and watch.